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21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch

 
Azure'
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User ID: 338339
South Africa
12/18/2008 05:41 PM
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21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
My software predicts (a) large earthquake/earthquakes event(s) [6.6+] for the 21st/22nd (it's based around Universal Time, so the actual day/time may be 20th/21st for some places and 22nd/23rd for other places.)

I guess we'll know soon whether or not I need to make adjustments to it (well, I'm always making adjustments to it.)

If something's coming, hopefully it is dissipated into a series of smaller quakes and not one big destructive one.

Azure'
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Anonymous Coward
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12/18/2008 05:43 PM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
Where
Aztec Cavalry
User ID: 561747
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12/18/2008 10:44 PM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
Your software may be picking up something other than the usual Earth energies.. look up the many threads on a December 21 something.
Azure' (OP)

User ID: 338339
South Africa
12/19/2008 09:03 AM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
Your software may be picking up something other than the usual Earth energies.. look up the many threads on a December 21 something.
 Quoting: Aztec Cavalry 561747


Currently it factors in only the relationship between the Moon and planets (mostly positional and angular factors.)
Life is All there Is. What are you doing in It? What have you done in It? What will you do in It? Eternally On...
Azure' (OP)

User ID: 338339
South Africa
12/20/2008 06:45 AM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
6.5 and 5.1

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

2008/12/20 10:29:22 and 10:48:24 Off the coast of Japan

Seems this one was dissipated/distributed.

What I prefer to see.
:-)

Software will be tweaked and I intend to add location prediction data soon as well.

Azure'
Life is All there Is. What are you doing in It? What have you done in It? What will you do in It? Eternally On...
Azure' (OP)

User ID: 338339
South Africa
12/20/2008 06:51 AM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
This is quite possibly part of a set of two 6.6+ quakes around 21/22, and seemingly precursors. We'll have to see what happenes next...
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Little Star

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12/20/2008 07:12 AM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
Interesting, indeed!
Anonymous Coward
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12/20/2008 07:13 AM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
volcano

lol
Azure' (OP)

User ID: 338339
South Africa
12/20/2008 08:04 AM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

5.3 reported a few minutes ago... Dissipating of this event on-going.
Life is All there Is. What are you doing in It? What have you done in It? What will you do in It? Eternally On...
Azure' (OP)

User ID: 338339
South Africa
12/20/2008 11:10 AM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
(Tried to remove this post with the Edit button 'cause it had some graphics in it, guess the Edit button can't do that.)
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Azure' (OP)

User ID: 338339
South Africa
12/20/2008 11:12 AM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
Second attempt:

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

4.8 ( 14:51UTC ) Pressure continuing to release.
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Azure' (OP)

User ID: 338339
South Africa
12/20/2008 02:28 PM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

4.9 (17:37:20UTC) more releasing.
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Azure' (OP)

User ID: 338339
South Africa
12/20/2008 02:34 PM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
In summary:
6.5 2008/12/20 10:29:22 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
5.1 2008/12/20 10:48:24 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
5.3 2008/12/20 12-22-03 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
4.8 2008/12/20 14-51-06 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
4.9 2008/12/20 17:37:20 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
Life is All there Is. What are you doing in It? What have you done in It? What will you do in It? Eternally On...
Azure' (OP)

User ID: 338339
South Africa
12/20/2008 02:41 PM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
Another one just in:
5.2 2008/12/20 19-13-39 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
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Azure' (OP)

User ID: 338339
South Africa
12/21/2008 06:22 AM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
More:

6.0 2008/12/21 09:16:45 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
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Azure' (OP)

User ID: 338339
South Africa
12/21/2008 09:25 AM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
...and it continues...

4.9 2008/12/21 12:19:23 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
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GraftedPromise U$ofA
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12/21/2008 04:40 PM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
.
Christian
User ID: 341042
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12/21/2008 04:46 PM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
We have to warn the Japaness

:)

hf
Anonymous Coward
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12/21/2008 04:47 PM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
OMG, he is right!!!

22 does come after 21....

WE ARE ALL DOOMED!!! DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMED!!!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 575949
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12/27/2008 04:49 AM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
It is so rare that someone actually predicts something that happens and with such accuracy on GLP. Azure' you really did a good job with this! How is your software coming along? And any others to watch out for in the near future?
Azure' (OP)

User ID: 261589
Netherlands
12/28/2008 07:35 PM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
Azure' you really did a good job with this! How is your software coming along? And any others to watch out for in the near future?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 575949


Thanks AC. I'm soon going to make time to fine-tune the software and improve it further.

As predicted, we are now (25th onward) in relatively quiet period, with a small bit of an increase in overall activity/magnitude for the next 3 days. The prediction at the moment for next month is 'mild', except for a high probability of a 6.6+ in the middle of January. Increased activity predicted for early February. *Big probability* for *major* activity/quakes in March (beginning, middle and end of the month.) High activity/magnitudes predicted at a third the way through May.

Azure'
Life is All there Is. What are you doing in It? What have you done in It? What will you do in It? Eternally On...
Azure' (OP)

User ID: 261589
Netherlands
01/15/2009 03:54 PM
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Re: 21/22 (and after) - Earthqauke Watch
Update:

*Major* activity shown by the software for the last half of 2009 (starting end of June). Also a few big spikes between now and then.

Azure'
Life is All there Is. What are you doing in It? What have you done in It? What will you do in It? Eternally On...

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