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Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com

 
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Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
A recent NASA report suggests that a coronal mass ejection could cause wide spread calamity. The doomsday scenario is outlined below.



[link to www.newscientist.com]
New Scientist
March 23 2009


It is midnight on 22 September 2012 and the skies above Manhattan are filled with a flickering curtain of colourful light. Few New Yorkers have seen the aurora this far south but their fascination is short-lived. Within a few seconds, electric bulbs dim and flicker, then become unusually bright for a fleeting moment. Then all the lights in the state go out. Within 90 seconds, the entire eastern half of the US is without power.

A year later and millions of Americans are dead and the nation's infrastructure lies in tatters. The World Bank declares America a developing nation. Europe, Scandinavia, China and Japan are also struggling to recover from the same fateful event - a violent storm, 150 million kilometres away on the surface of the sun.

It sounds ridiculous. Surely the sun couldn't create so profound a disaster on Earth. Yet an extraordinary report funded by NASA and issued by the US National Academy of Sciences (NAS) in January this year claims it could do just that.

Over the last few decades, western civilisations have busily sown the seeds of their own destruction. Our modern way of life, with its reliance on technology, has unwittingly exposed us to an extraordinary danger: plasma balls spewed from the surface of the sun could wipe out our power grids, with catastrophic consequences.

The projections of just how catastrophic make chilling reading. "We're moving closer and closer to the edge of a possible disaster," says Daniel Baker, a space weather expert based at the University of Colorado in Boulder, and chair of the NAS committee responsible for the report.

It is hard to conceive of the sun wiping out a large amount of our hard-earned progress. Nevertheless, it is possible. The surface of the sun is a roiling mass of plasma - charged high-energy particles - some of which escape the surface and travel through space as the solar wind. From time to time, that wind carries a billion-tonne glob of plasma, a fireball known as a coronal mass ejection (see "When hell comes to Earth"). If one should hit the Earth's magnetic shield, the result could be truly devastating.

The incursion of the plasma into our atmosphere causes rapid changes in the configuration of Earth's magnetic field which, in turn, induce currents in the long wires of the power grids. The grids were not built to handle this sort of direct current electricity. The greatest danger is at the step-up and step-down transformers used to convert power from its transport voltage to domestically useful voltage. The increased DC current creates strong magnetic fields that saturate a transformer's magnetic core. The result is runaway current in the transformer's copper wiring, which rapidly heats up and melts. This is exactly what happened in the Canadian province of Quebec in March 1989, and six million people spent 9 hours without electricity. But things could get much, much worse than that.
Worse than Katrina

The most serious space weather event in history happened in 1859. It is known as the Carrington event, after the British amateur astronomer Richard Carrington, who was the first to note its cause: "two patches of intensely bright and white light" emanating from a large group of sunspots. The Carrington event comprised eight days of severe space weather.

There were eyewitness accounts of stunning auroras, even at equatorial latitudes. The world's telegraph networks experienced severe disruptions, and Victorian magnetometers were driven off the scale.

Though a solar outburst could conceivably be more powerful, "we haven't found an example of anything worse than a Carrington event", says James Green, head of NASA's planetary division and an expert on the events of 1859. "From a scientific perspective, that would be the one that we'd want to survive." However, the prognosis from the NAS analysis is that, thanks to our technological prowess, many of us may not.



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Last Edited by Account Deleted by User on 09/01/2012 03:28 PM
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
bump
Anonymous Coward
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03/23/2009 02:17 PM
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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
it's not if

it's when
Anonymous Coward
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03/23/2009 02:17 PM
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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
Watch the movie called "Polar Storm" this Saturday on SciFi channel!!!
Anonymous Coward
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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
it's not if

it's when
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 641020


2012, it only makes sense!
Anonymous Coward
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03/23/2009 03:04 PM
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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
Leave the cities, if possible.

Only if you want to survive.
Anonymous Coward
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03/23/2009 03:04 PM
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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
LESS IS MORE...
Anonymous Coward
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02/27/2010 11:45 AM
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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
is this gnna happen this weekend and are we just not being told.
Anonymous Coward
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02/27/2010 11:51 AM
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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
Sure it is, and a 9.6 EQ is gonna hit Cali and destroy it... LMAO
Earth420
Om mani padme hum

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02/27/2010 11:53 AM

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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
Sure it is, and a 9.6 EQ is gonna hit Cali and destroy it... LMAO
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 855760


You never know when another BIG one will hit and where...

Peace
Om Tare Tuttare Ture Svaha
Anonymous Coward
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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
Sure it is, and a 9.6 EQ is gonna hit Cali and destroy it... LMAO


You never know when another BIG one will hit and where...

Peace
 Quoting: Earth420



Peace to you too, we could only hope!
Anonymous Coward
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02/27/2010 12:01 PM
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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
John 16:33 These things I have spoken unto you, that in me ye might have peace. In the world ye shall have tribulation: but be of good cheer; I have overcome the world.
rhett
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06/30/2011 12:45 PM
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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
Really this is all opinions not facts, anything can happen at any time sitting around worrying about it isnt living.
2012 is utter bullshit and the Mayan prophecy uhh yea right they couldnt predict their own destruction, but they can tell us the end of the world.
Get some real evidence then get back to us speculation and bible verses isnt science isnt facts.
Houstonian

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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
it will happen before 2012 ... review what happened when Comet Neat made perihelion in 2003, that will give you an idea
guest
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03/07/2012 05:44 PM
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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
Oh don't be silly you lot, the only people vulnerable to it are people in planes and space.
Anonymous Coward
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03/07/2012 05:49 PM
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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
Oh don't be silly you lot, the only people vulnerable to it are people in planes and space.
 Quoting: guest 12128229


british fail.
guest
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03/08/2012 07:57 AM
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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
Oh don't be silly you lot, the only people vulnerable to it are people in planes and space.
 Quoting: guest 12128229


british fail.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 12090540


British fail? I do astronomy as a hobby, I have books on this. The earth gets hit by solar flares all the time, very small ones. When a bigger one hits, all it does is just mess up with navigational systems and cause power cuts, nothing too serious. People in space are more at risk due to intense radiation, so are people flying at very high altitudes. Only the people in space are higher risks of things such as skin cancer, people in planes are more likely to get sunburn of sorts.


NASA also agrees that the earth is protected by a magnetic field, and that Mercury will get the worst of a solar flare, every time. They also agree that because the sun is emitting smaller ones, a BIG one is unlikely now because of a gentle release of pressure.
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03/08/2012 08:13 AM
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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
Thread: BREAKING : Solar Storm Could Cause Spacequake, Which Could Trigger 6+ Magnitude Earthquake In Next 72 Hours
junkstopshere
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04/08/2012 10:17 AM
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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
A recent NASA report suggests that a coronal mass ejection could cause wide spread calamity. The doomsday scenario is outlined below.

Though a solar outburst could conceivably be more powerful, "we haven't found an example of anything worse than a Carrington event", says James Green, head of NASA's planetary division and an expert on the events of 1859. "From a scientific perspective, that would be the one that we'd want to survive." However, the prognosis from the NAS analysis is that, thanks to our technological prowess, many of us may not."
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 615289



I've just become interested in Solar Mass Ejections as a potential global extinction event. Can the Sun project masses large enough to destroy the Earth as we know it?

Should we be looking for practical ways of individually controlling space/time/gravity as proposed?
[link to www.support-port.com]

I find that traditional particle physics is not producing useful tools that will be able to protect us from these types of global extinction events. Actually, I don't know of any useful tools that particle physics has provided.Idol1
Anonymous Coward
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08/31/2012 06:36 AM
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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
[<a class="ktg6us78hf8vdu7" href="#">youtube</a>] [link to www.youtube.com]
citizenperth
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08/31/2012 07:37 AM

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Re: Coronal Mass Ejection. 2012 Doom - The scientists agree. NewScientist.com
Biblically speaking (and, no i am no religio-tard), there have been ruminscences about these forebodings and happenings since 'mankinds' arrival.

the code it seems is 'within the code' and the ability to de-code what we read.

"seek and ye shall find" is a probability that all religion base their premise upon.

"we are doomed" are the popular placards held by the homeless in many popular movies.

what we do know is death is certain.. the thing we do not know is what is 'on the otherside'

cool i think.....

Last Edited by Citizenperth on 08/31/2012 07:38 AM
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