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Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon
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planetbarb
User ID: 577415
 United States
3/28/2009 2:56 AM
Report abusive post | Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon
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OK was going to sign off, found this site. A lot of you are probably familiar with it, NextQuake.com
[link to www.nextearthquake.com]
Magnitude 4-6 expected next week.
They do not claim all their predictions work but they seem to have a fairly high degree of accuracy.
- Planetbarb,
-------------------------------------------------
California- "Southern"
newly defined as
within 400 km of
San Diego, CA at
Lat 32.72 Lon -117.16
M4.0-M6.0 expected about Apr 6+/-3 days (posted 1050 hours 27th Mar)
.............................................. |
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california 
User ID: 644465
United States
3/28/2009 2:58 AM
 | | Re: Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon | Quote |
Good find.
A 6.0 doesn't sound too fun.
I am in Orange County, CA and NOT in the mood for a 6.0.... |
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planetbarb
User ID: 577415
United States
3/28/2009 3:11 AM
| | Re: Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon | Quote |
Good find.
A 6.0 doesn't sound too fun.
I am in Orange County, CA and NOT in the mood for a 6.0....
Quoting: california
It may or may not happen... supposedly they have fairly good stats. More data on that on the home page..
I have been thorough lots of quakes...been trying to get some of my family out here and been thinkin' of a quake on off for a couple weeks. I'm not out there in L.A. anymore now so my radar may be off, too.
You will probably be fine...
Last Edited by planetbarb on 3/28/2009 at 3:12 AM |
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planetbarb
User ID: 732688
United States
10/1/2009 12:34 AM | | Re: Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon | Quote |
Update they did predict the Samoa quake, as far as I am concerned
more data a little later |
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planetbarb
User ID: 732688
United States
10/1/2009 12:38 AM | | Re: Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon | Quote |
Looks like they are not taking credit for Samoa maybe it was just outside of the area they predicted |
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Planetbarb2008@yahoo.com
User ID: 873419
United States
2/1/2010 5:04 PM | | Re: Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon | Quote |
They predicted several quakes the ones that happened within the time frame of prediction are listed on the page.
The Phillipines just had a five point niner on the 27th and it was predicted...the quake came in 4-5 days sooner than the predicted time frame five days, how close to the exact parameters of the latitude longitude not sure yet. They hit the mark quite often IMHO.
- Planetbarb
=========================================
Next quake.com
[link to www.nextearthquake.com]
Philippines Region
within ≈500 km
of a center point at
Lat 15.72 Lon 123.589
The center is 315 ENE from Manila.
M3.5-M5.5
expected about Feb 8+/-3 days (posted 2345 hours 20th Jan)
===================================================
from USGS there were other Phillipine quakes too
4.9 2010/01/30 23:24:53 5.377 125.660 231.9 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES |
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planetbarb
User ID: 873419
United States
2/1/2010 5:14 PM
| | Re: Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon | Quote |
Good find.
A 6.0 doesn't sound too fun.
I am in Orange County, CA and NOT in the mood for a 6.0....
Quoting: california
Lots of their predictions came true but not the big So CA one.
2009 shake archives, USGS
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
Last Edited by planetbarb on 2/6/2010 at 5:51 AM |
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planetbarb
User ID: 883222
United States
2/5/2010 3:35 PM
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planetbarb
User ID: 883222
United States
2/6/2010 5:39 AM
| | Re: Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon | Quote |
Little one - looks like it (almost) falls within his prediction date range, and it is within his magnitude range of M2.7-M4.7 It was a couple days too soon to be exactly in the date range.
USGS:
3.1 2010/02/06 09:12:27 32.743 -115.618 15.3 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Nextquake.com -
California
'Southern'
newly defined
within only 160 km of
Glen Avon, 10 km NW of Riverside, Southern CA at
Lat 34.012 Lon -117.484
M2.7-M4.7
expected asbout Feb 11+/-3 days (posted 0124 hours 20th Jan)
Last Edited by planetbarb on 2/6/2010 at 6:03 AM |
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planetbarb
User ID: 883222
United States
2/6/2010 5:54 AM
| | Re: Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon | Quote |
Good find.
A 6.0 doesn't sound too fun.
I am in Orange County, CA and NOT in the mood for a 6.0....
Quoting: california
I was in the last big one out there - many years ago. Not in the Valley where it was worst, was Hollywood - but even so our building went off it's foundation and back on. Everything fell out of the cupboard and refrig stove all moved across the room and the hot water heater disconnected itself...none of us got hurt but nearby I could see where the walls fell outward on some buildings...honestly I've been in a lot of quakes that one felt far greater than the 6 plus-er it was reported to be...
Last Edited by planetbarb on 2/6/2010 at 5:59 AM |
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planetbarb
User ID: 884465
United States
2/12/2010 3:11 PM
| | Re: Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon | Quote |
Looks like Dr. Robert is not claiming the Cuba quake as one he predicted although it was not that far away. His Caribbean -Puerto Rico prediction came true. Note: That was a different quake.
[link to www.nextearthquake.com]
I did a quick tally for his prediction for the Full Moon period, January 20 through Feb 13 -although the time period is not yet done.
Out of some 34 predictions, 19 were close enough, within the data and circumference he had stated, to be accurate. Note: Several quakes he did not claim as having been predicted by him were nonetheless in the same region and within a couple days of the timeframe he presented.
(Hope I'm right here, so far he has about 56% right and the time is not up.)
IMHO he is worth listening to.
We are either going into a quiet time now or a gawd awful one soon.
- (Barb) |
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planetbarb
User ID: 884465
United States
2/14/2010 10:24 AM
| | Re: Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon | Quote |
I just saw these 2.5, 2.5, and 4.1 southern CA -
happened about 930-10 PM last night. These are about 60 mi inland from L.A. These fall within the time frame and range of Nextquake predictions. These shakers pretty common in the inland empire.
There have been a few more quakes in the past two days south and east of these ones. 3.0 etc. Probably not much in damage etc.
- Planetbarb
==================================================================
2.5 2010/02/13 22:09:03 34.008 -117.185 7.5 GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIFORNIA
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
2.5 2010/02/13 21:54:40 34.010 -117.189 5.0 GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIFORNIA
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
4.1 2010/02/13 21:39:07 34.004 -117.180 8.9 GREATER LOS ANGELES AREA, CALIFORNIA
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
This time frame and range of coordinates was in a
prediction by Nextquake.com
Last Edited by planetbarb on 2/14/2010 at 10:26 AM |
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planetbarb
User ID: 884465
United States
2/14/2010 10:43 AM
| | Re: Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon | Quote |
Dr. RJ Robert of Nextquake.com has a new table up now
Table 27a. Regional forecasts for New Moon Period
from February 14-28* 2010
[link to www.nextearthquake.com] |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 890972
United States
2/14/2010 10:55 AM | | Re: Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon | Quote |
Planetbarb, thanks for the link. They do seem to have a high degree of accuracy---except their California predictions (according to what I'm seeing.) I wonder what the factors are that they predict with high accuracy the quakes everywhere else, but Cal not so much. I wonder why. Maybe Cal has a mind of its own? |
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planetbarb
User ID: 906090
United States
3/5/2010 12:58 PM
| | Re: Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon | Quote |
Planetbarb, thanks for the link. They do seem to have a high degree of accuracy---except their California predictions (according to what I'm seeing.) I wonder what the factors are that they predict with high accuracy the quakes everywhere else, but Cal not so much. I wonder why. Maybe Cal has a mind of its own? Quoting: Anonymous Coward 890972
That's a good question -regarding California.
I think Dr. RJ Roberts might have got this prediction (below) right. There was a just a 6.5 in the Sumatra area.
We'll see if he counts it. He's pretty persnickety on giving himself credit. He has a time frame, magnitude and a certain # of miles from the longitude and latitude. He takes % of accuracy when he feels he got it partly right. I have no idea how he does it. It is science.
Dr. Robert's prediction:
Sumatra Southern Region
within 500 km of Lubuktandjung, Sumatra
Lat -3.6 Lon 102.14
M4.0-M6.0
expected about Mar 4+/-3 days (posted 0135 hours 23rd Feb)
[link to www.nextearthquake.com]
...............
Now here is the
USGS data:
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
6.5 offshore Indonesia
4.032°S, 100.806°E
Long Term Forecasts, Nextquake.com
[link to www.nextearthquake.com]
...............
Last Edited by planetbarb on 3/5/2010 at 1:03 PM |
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planetbarb
User ID: 906090
United States
3/8/2010 11:18 AM
| | Re: Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon | Quote |
Starting a separate thread Earthquake Prediction from Nextquake. Nextquake site and prediction method discovered by Dr. RJ Roberts PHd in Science. [link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Note: Here is one last update here.
Dr. Roberts of Nextquake is predicting a high, over 80 percent of the quakes that are happening. His statistics are going up, as is the number of quakes...
UPDATE
Yes, Dr. Roberts did predict the 6.5 Sumatra quake
Prediction: Sumatra Southern Region
within 500 km of Lubuktandjung, Sumatra
Lat -3.6 Lon 102.14 M4.0-M6.0
expected about Mar 4+/-3 days (posted 0135 hours 23rd Feb)
Result and Update:
5 March 2010 M6.5 5th March 2010 Southwest of Sumatra
Lat -4.032 Lon 100.806 165 km W of Bengkulu,
(USGS source)
forecast 10 days ahead
6.5
Date-Time Friday, March 05, 2010 at 16:06:57 UTC
Friday, March 05, 2010 at 11:06:57 PM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
======================================================================
USGS Data:
Location 4.032°S, 100.806°E
Depth 22 km (13.7 miles) set by location program
Region SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESIA
USGS:
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
......................................
Last Edited by planetbarb on 3/8/2010 at 11:21 PM |
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planetbarb
User ID: 906090
United States
3/8/2010 11:41 PM
| | Re: Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon | Quote |
According to Dr. Roberts this area is due for a quake. The magnitude is only predicted to be 2.5 to 4.5 - that may be, but I have noticed on a large percentage of his predictions, the quakes are a couple magnitudes higher.
No one wants a big one there in southern CA but I am picking up there could be one. Per Dr, Roberts, it will like from tomorrow through the 15th of March. Ides of March...
California 'Southern'
newly defined
within only 160 km of Glen Avon, 10 km NW of Riverside, Southern CA at Lat 34.012 Lon -117.484
M2.5-M4.5
expected about Mar 12+/-3 days
(posted 0120 hours 18th Feb)
[link to www.nextearthquake.com] |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 901426
United States
3/8/2010 11:48 PM | | Re: Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon | Quote |
looks like they nailed the Turkey one!!! |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 830674
United States
3/9/2010 3:21 AM | | Re: Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon | Quote |
Ca is hard core they can take an 8.0 like it was a fart in a hurricane. |
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planetbarb
User ID: 906090
United States
3/9/2010 5:08 PM
| | Re: Nextquake.com predictions 4-6 So CA soon | Quote |
looks like they nailed the Turkey one!!! Quoting: Anonymous Coward 901426
Doesn't look like he took credit for these yet...he predicted western Turkey. The prediction posted farther below.
USGS
5.5 2010/03/08 07:47:40 38.767 40.239 10.0 EASTERN TURKEY
6.1 2010/03/08 02:32:35 38.876 39.992 12.0 EASTERN TURKEY
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
Nextquake.com
Turkey
'Western Region'
within 350 km of Usak, Turkey, Lat 38.68 Lon 29.4
M4.0-M6.0
expected about Mar 8+/-3 days (posted 2345 hours 23rd Feb)
[link to www.nextearthquake.com]
Last Edited by planetbarb on 3/9/2010 at 5:10 PM |
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