## Genius (or at least statistics expert) needed | |

Anonymous Coward User ID: 647422 United States 10/01/2009 11:50 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |

Anonymous Coward User ID: 783923 Canada 10/01/2009 11:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |

Anonymous Coward (OP)User ID: 783851 United States 10/02/2009 12:04 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yes to both. Quoting: You seem to know what you're doing, it doesn't take genius. Anonymous Coward 647422I was concerned about the first date pair passing, leaving only 5 remaining date pairs.If the probability is 40 percent that the event will happen overall, then the probability is still 40 percent but you only have 5 date pairs left. So are you sure about that?? |

Anonymous Coward (OP)User ID: 783851 United States 10/02/2009 12:05 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yes to both. Quoting: You seem to know what you're doing, it doesn't take genius. The answer would most definitaly be "Thrice." Anonymous Coward 783923yeah except you can't spell definitely so I don't believe anything you say. Read what I said about retards. This is a retard free zone. |

cartaphilusUser ID: 784388 China 10/02/2009 12:09 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | though it is correct, the question of this answer has no predicates hence the answer obtained has no sense of reality. you just add another pairs of date,the answer shall change as expected unconditionally. then you see,the points you get from the answer do not need to fit into reality. what you really need is not a genius but a guy who is down to the earth style. |

Anonymous Coward User ID: 647422 United States 10/02/2009 12:10 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yes to both. Quoting: You seem to know what you're doing, it doesn't take genius. I was concerned about the first date pair passing, leaving only 5 remaining date pairs.If the probability is 40 percent that the event will happen overall, then the probability is still 40 percent but you only have 5 date pairs left. So are you sure about that?? Anonymous Coward 783851Pretty sure. If the prob of the event ever happening is only 40%, and you say there are only six possible dates it can happen, then the passing of one date doesn't change the prob for the other 5 dates. I would suggest that the prob would no longer be 40% after the 1st date passes, but would be 33.33%, but you say that's not the case, so... |

Anonymous Coward (OP)User ID: 783851 United States 10/02/2009 12:15 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yes to both. Quoting: You seem to know what you're doing, it doesn't take genius. I was concerned about the first date pair passing, leaving only 5 remaining date pairs.If the probability is 40 percent that the event will happen overall, then the probability is still 40 percent but you only have 5 date pairs left. So are you sure about that?? Pretty sure. If the prob of the event ever happening is only 40%, and you say there are only six possible dates it can happen, then the passing of one date doesn't change the prob for the other 5 dates. I would suggest that the prob would no longer be 40% after the 1st date passes, but would be 33.33%, but you say that's not the case, so... Anonymous Coward 647422I am thinking the answer is going to depend on exactly what the original assumption is. If the assumption is that the probability is 40 percent that the event will happen overall, but it can only happen on one of those six date pairs, then lets say 5 date pairs pass, and only one remains. Could it be possible that the last date pair now has a 40 percent chance of the event ? |

Anonymous Coward (OP)User ID: 783851 United States 10/02/2009 12:16 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | though it is correct, the question of this answer has no predicates hence the answer obtained has no sense of reality. you just add another pairs of date,the answer shall change as expected unconditionally. then you see,the points you get from the answer do not need to fit into reality. what you really need is not a genius but a guy who is down to the earth style. Quoting: cartaphilusFAIL |

Anonymous Coward User ID: 784375 United States 10/02/2009 12:18 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |

Anonymous Coward User ID: 647422 United States 10/02/2009 12:19 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |

Anonymous Coward (OP)User ID: 783851 United States 10/02/2009 12:20 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |

Anonymous Coward (OP)User ID: 783851 United States 10/02/2009 12:23 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I am thinking the answer is going to depend on exactly what the original assumption is. Quoting: Until you settle that, the question can't be answered. Anonymous Coward 647422Ok; well lets say the assumption is that the event has a 40 percent chance of happening and even until the last second of the last date pair there is still a 40 percent chance it could happen and then after it there is zero chance.Then how do the six date pair probabilities go? |

Anonymous Coward User ID: 784375 United States 10/02/2009 12:28 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |

Anonymous Coward (OP)User ID: 783851 United States 10/02/2009 12:35 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I am a retard, and I feel discriminated against Quoting: Whatever. At least you can spell. Thank you for noticing my humble endeavors.... Anonymous Coward 784375then endeavor to answer my question instead of thinking up five dollar words or sail on. This is a serious question and unfortunately there is no time for chit chat. |

Anonymous Coward User ID: 784423 United States 10/02/2009 01:00 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |

Scuba SteveUser ID: 763460 United States 10/02/2009 04:36 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | No retards please. That may be a lot to ask but if you have no idea just admit it and move on. Better yet just move on and don't leave a retarded message. Quoting: If you estimate the probability of an event happening at 40 percent, and the event could occur on any one of six date pairs if it is going to occur at all, then what is the probability of the event happening on any one of the six date pairs? Is the answer 6.666% ? If the first date pair passes and the event doesn't happen is the probability still 6.666 for the next pair? amateurs just sail on 783851Uh no, for every day that passes you must divide 40% by how many days are left. First day passes its 8% second day its 10% so and and so forth |

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