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ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17
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White Widow
User ID: 780533
10/8/2009 10:37 PM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
GLP has changed
many of the folk have gone!!!!
can't explain the lack of posting on this thread Quoting: Ice
I think we are all  about your researches and are standing by for the Big One. Still some time til 2012. |
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Freethinker 
They can't eat ya...
User ID: 789574
10/8/2009 10:40 PM
 | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Thursday, October 08, 2009
Vanuatu/Solomon Islands Earthquakes, 8th October 2009 - John Seach
Posted by John Seach
Listed below is a summary of the large and major earthquakes to hit the Vanuatu/Solomon Islands region today, 8th October 2009. Times are local.
Mag 6.1 8th October 2009 at 07:34 pm. 12.284°S, 166.568°E. Depth 35 km.
Mag 7.0 8th October 2009 at 07:28 pm. 13.298°S, 165.951°E. Depth 35 km.
Mag 6.6 8th October 2009 at 01:12 pm. 11.650°S, 166.170°E. Depth 35 km.
Mag 7.3 8th October 2009 at 10:13 am. 13.145°S, 166.297°E. Depth 33 km.
Mag 7.7 8th October 2009 at 09:18 am. 12.554°S, 166.320°E. Depth 35 km.
Mag 7.8 8th October 2009 at 09:03 am. 13.052°S, 166.187°E. Depth 35 km.
Earthquakes of this size can disrupt nearby volcanoes. Active Vanuatu volcanoes close to the epicentre are Suretamatai, Gaua, Ambae, Ambrym, and Lopevi. Tinakula volcano is located north in the Solomon Islands.
Volcanoes of Vanuatu...
I'm not sure if people truly realize the significance of how many 7.0+ earthquakes today alone.
I don't think the reality of this has sunk in deep enough yet.
We are quite probably facing the largest volcanic explosion/eruption in all of recorded history. On top of that, an Ice Age, Tsunami's for days, reduced sunlight and a Global Death Toll that would shock anyone into a delusional trance.
GLP has changed
many of the folk have gone!!!!
can't explain the lack of posting on this thread Quoting: Ice
Roger that Iceman. I intend to keep following this thread.
and it does no harm to the beauty of the sunset to understand the mysteries of the sun |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 788829
10/8/2009 10:41 PM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
 |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 769308
10/8/2009 10:58 PM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Why the hell is this not pinned. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 788543
10/8/2009 11:04 PM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Three hours....no significant quakes.
Hmmmmm? |
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Intruth
User ID: 586863
10/8/2009 11:06 PM
 | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Why the hell is this not pinned. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 769308
It was! YESTERDAY
The OP changed the title, I have been looking for it and thought it got deleted. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 789763
10/8/2009 11:11 PM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Satan is angry as hell and he is going to break out with trillions of demons! It will be a living hell. I hope Jesus can win but am not quite sure he will. Quoting: god fearing christian 787483
hahahahahahah LOL |
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ADEND
User ID: 758549
10/8/2009 11:18 PM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
This is the best non-economic doom thread I have seen since I joined GLP. Keep up the good work!!! |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 788829
10/8/2009 11:55 PM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
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me777
User ID: 774992
10/9/2009 12:15 AM | |
Bonnie
User ID: 776717
10/9/2009 12:21 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
OP mentioned that he thought Tinakula would erupt, among other events. Here's a little info on Tinakula:
Tinakula
The small 3.5-km-wide island of Tinakula is the exposed summit of a massive stratovolcano that rises 3-4 km from the sea floor at the NW end of the Santa Cruz islands. Tinakula resembles Stromboli volcano in containing a breached summit crater that extends from the 851-m-high summit to below sea level. Landslides enlarged this scarp in 1965, creating an embayment on the NW coast. The satellitic cone of Mendana is located on the SE side. The dominantly andesitic Tinakula volcano has frequently been observed in eruption since the era of Spanish exploration began in 1595. In about 1840, an explosive eruption apparently produced pyroclastic flows that swept all sides of the island, killing its inhabitants. Frequent historical eruptions have originated from a cone constructed within the large breached crater. These have left the upper flanks of the volcano and the steep apron of lava flows and volcaniclastic debris within the breach unvegetated.
[link to www.volcano.si.edu] |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 789825
10/9/2009 12:57 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
GLP has changed
many of the folk have gone!!!!
can't explain the lack of posting on this thread
I think we are all about your researches and are standing by for the Big One. Still some time til 2012.
Perhaps they moved to shelters, as there is plenty of DOOM for october/november. If i could i would too. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 786257
10/9/2009 1:00 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Its not going to happen at Toba, watch Washington !!! |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 786257
10/9/2009 1:01 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Its not going to happen at Toba, watch Washington !!! Quoting: Anonymous Coward 786257
Washington State, Cascadia subduction zone. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 786257
10/9/2009 1:03 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Wow, that last one really lit up the siesmo's in the Caldera.
[link to quake.usgs.gov] |
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AlreadyBugged
User ID: 789376
10/9/2009 3:17 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
VANUATU: LONG ROLLING MOTION
Apex Garden Hotel owner Valiant Leung said it was the biggest earthquake he had experienced in his 26 years on the island of Santo. But rather than being a violent quake, it was a long rolling motion.
"It was like being on a boat."
He said the earthquake lasted several minutes and had frightened guests, many of whom had fled to higher ground.
[link to www.stuff.co.nz]
"It isn't about me bringing change, I am asking YOU to bring about change." Barack Obama |
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Prince Akkiko
User ID: 789877
10/9/2009 3:36 AM
 | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
The recent two deep earthquakes near the Philippines are really alarming. Especially since the second one in the same location. The odds of these two quakes being seperate from each other are near zero. So, what is going on? Is there a large body of thick molten magma rising with the consitency of soft plastic? Could very well be just that as typical friction and tension quakes do not occur at that depth, not even close.
Today there was a 6.7 at 582.8 km deep. Same place as the 630.5 km quake on the 4th 3 days ago.
It is the same location. So lets figure this. If there is something happening and is coming towards the surface, it travelled exactly 630.5km to 582.8km with a difference of 47.7km. The dates were October 4th 2009 10:58UTC and October 7th 2009 21:45UTC with a difference of 82 hours and 47 minutes.
So far the travel speed is 0.576 Km/hr.
At this rate, the event might reach the surface in 1,011 hours or at about 42 days. The date is November 18th 2009.
It may be a few days ahead or a few days behind but if anything is travelling towards the surface, it would be catastrophic. Real Global Doom everyone.
I do not support craaazy GLP babble predictions as there are millions of them. But this date has facts behind it. I may be wrong, I'de rather be wrong but the details show us something deep and deadly rising.
UPDATED INFORMATION
There is a caldera in the general area where the series of deep tremors are. It is called Taal Caldera. There is a volcano in the lake but the lake itself is the caldera. So it is a volcano inside a volcano.
Taal's last major eruptions were between 50,000-100,000 years ago. Four caldera explosions during that time frame.
In June/July of 2009 the area has been put on Alert Level 1 due to increasing activity.
Professor Ray Cas of Monash University School of Geosciences stated Lake Toba is in threat of eruption after the massive Sumatra Earthquake that triggered the deadly tsunami.
Earthquakes above 7.0 Mag can hasten a caldera's explosion. Each quake above 7.0 makes the explosion sooner then later.
The series of deep quakes are indicative of renewed activity which is most likely associated with either Toba and/or Taal.
Either one erupted would kill everything with in 1,000km and produce a tsunami over 560m high. It would release about 1,000 cubic kilometers of ash and rock debris blocking sunlight globally.
Tobas last massive eruption left only 10,000 Homo Sapiens on the planet. Known as the genetic bottle neck in Africa. Quoting: ºCRAPº
Taal Volcano and the Lake are located far north from the vicinity of the two earthquakes of about two thousand kilometers or more.
Most probably it is the Mayon Volcano that is plausible for the effect and this volcano is active this time. Mayon Volcano is about one thousand kilometers from the area of the earthquake. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 789879
10/9/2009 3:41 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
I LIVE IN PROVIDENT VILLAGE, MARIKINA, PHILIPPINES.
We were the ones devastated by the recent typhoon.
Yeah, our village is totally reclaimed by mud.
And now we are homeless. And our new car too.
But my wife and kids survived.
[ link to www.myhealthblog.org]
So are you telling me I SHOULD EVACUATE my self and my family from the Philippines?
Where should I go where it is safe?
Stay where you are . there is nowhere to run. There is a Islamic prophesy which says that when the time comes, the man sitting is better than those standing and those standing is better than those running. We dont know which direction its going to take, so just stay where you are
I agree unless you have the means to travel to a new part of the world.
If you have the money why not make a good thing of it. Move a place in the world you always wanted to see, and that is relatively safe if that concerns you. There are plenty of beautiful and safe places one could settle down in. Do you have children? If so, DO NOT PANIC. It is not good for kids. Second, don't run in panic BUT with everything that is going on in the last few weeks as far as earthquakes and tsunamis are concerned, you ARE living in an elevated risk area. Let's not kid each other, it isn't safe right now. But that is life so we all must get used to it.
Do what you can do and don't discourage from what you can't do.
Enjoy the evening, peace. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 745855
10/9/2009 4:18 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
The hotel owner said this earthquake was different...long rolling motions.
Maybe a few hundred k's of molten lava pushing up? |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 789889
10/9/2009 4:30 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Its not going to happen at Toba, watch Washington !!!
Washington State, Cascadia subduction zone. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 786257
Yes, the Juan de Fuca subduction zone is very worrisome with the possibility of a 9+.
I recently read, maybe here but can't remember, that the seismologists now feel that if those plates go that it will reign more destruction on Seattle and Puget Sound than they had previously estimated.
It is a very similar subduction zone to Sumatra. |
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Ice
User ID: 729060
10/9/2009 4:41 AM
 | |
ºCRAPº
User ID: 728223
10/9/2009 5:39 AM
 | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Why the hell is this not pinned.
It was! YESTERDAY
The OP changed the title, I have been looking for it and thought it got deleted. Quoting: Intruth
Just rying to keep the title appropriate. Don't want GLP'ers crying "misleading title".
As long as you search ALERT, you will find this thread,
Those who give up a little freedom for a little security deserve neither and lose both. |
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ºCRAPº
User ID: 728223
10/9/2009 5:42 AM
| | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
VANUATU: LONG ROLLING MOTION
Apex Garden Hotel owner Valiant Leung said it was the biggest earthquake he had experienced in his 26 years on the island of Santo. But rather than being a violent quake, it was a long rolling motion.
"It was like being on a boat."
He said the earthquake lasted several minutes and had frightened guests, many of whom had fled to higher ground.
[ link to www.stuff.co.nz] Quoting: AlreadyBugged
sounds like a large pool of hot gases or magma is nearing the surface.
Those who give up a little freedom for a little security deserve neither and lose both. |
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ºCRAPº
User ID: 728223
10/9/2009 5:46 AM
| | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
The hotel owner said this earthquake was different...long rolling motions.
Maybe a few hundred k's of molten lava pushing up? Quoting: Anonymous Coward 745855
That was my first impression as well.
Would tension between two techtonic plates cause a slow rolling quake?
It seems like the ground is shifting from a gas or liquid filling the soil below.
At this point, I would not be surprised if a violent explosion occurs.
Cross your fingers and say a prayer cause I think fire, ash and brimestone is coming to a world near you.
Those who give up a little freedom for a little security deserve neither and lose both. |
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ºCRAPº
User ID: 728223
10/9/2009 5:53 AM
| | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
News article says Volcanic Eruptions in Sumatra possible soon.
[link to news.outlookindia.com]
Those who give up a little freedom for a little security deserve neither and lose both. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 728223 (OP)
10/9/2009 7:15 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
UPDATE OCTOBER 9th 7:00AM EST
According to geologists, it is these three volcanoes that are active and are in threat of eruption.
Marapi, Talang and Tandikat
Krakatau was a volcano very similar to those three before Krakatau blew sky high.
Merapi: Gunung Merapi translates as Mountain of Fire.
Image: [link to en.wikipedia.org]
Elevation: 2,968 m / 9,738 ft
Location: 7°32′26.99″S 110°26′41.34″E
Type: Stratovolcano
Info: Merapi has violently erupted in 1006, 1786, 1822, 1872 and 1930. Minor eruptions occur every 2-3 years. The eruption of 1006 was it's known largest and covered all of Central Java with ash and rock debris.
Talang: Talang has two lakes at it's base which are craters from previous explosions. Large volcano.
Image: [link to en.wikipedia.org]
Elevation: 2,597 m / 8,520 ft
Location: 0°58′42″S 100°40′46″E
Type: Stratovolcano
Info: Last erupted in March 28, 2005 killing over 600 people. One of the craters is 1km X 2km in size. Large enough to produce a violent Earth changing explosion. In the past, Mount Talang has shown weakness to earthquakes in the local Sumatra area. Meaning Mount Talang often erupts after a series of moderate to strong earthquakes in the region.
Tandikat: A twin volcano with Mount Singgalang located NNE of Mount Tandikat.
Image: [link to en.wikipedia.org]
Elevation: 2,438 m / 7,999 ft
Location: 0°25′57.30″S 100°19′1.69″E
Type: Stratovolcano
Info: Historically, only Tandikat has erupted but the eruption of Singgalang is always possible. The sprawling capitol of Padang Panjang, population of roughly 900,000, sits at the base of Tandikat.
Media Reports:
[link to www.timesonline.co.uk]
There was also the possibility that the seismic activity could set off eruptions, with three big volcanoes in Indonesia's West Sumatra — Merapi, Talang and Tandikat.
"There seems to be a relationship between volcanoes and earthquakes. They are all part of the same tectonic system," Gibson said.
[link to www.brisbanetimes.com.au]
"There are three big volcanoes in West Sumatra - Merapi, Talang and Tandikat. We fear that this quake might cause volcanic eruptions there," he said.
Experts have said the city is most at risk from a final segment along the zone shifting to unleash a massive amount of energy.
The zone's other segments have already cracked, including a large portion off Aceh, at the northern tip of Sumatra, which triggered the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami that killed more than 220,000 people.
There are fears among officials and geologists that these three volcanoes may erupt and/or explode violently. Remember, Krakatau was the same size as these before it exploded in the past. History can and will repeat itself.
Peace |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 789588
10/9/2009 7:50 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
[link to news.bbc.co.uk]
Quake unblocked distant geysers. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 789588
10/9/2009 7:56 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Quoting: Anonymous Coward 789588
Just to add though it is pretty obvious that the large quakes in the region will of course impact on Toba. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 789973
10/9/2009 8:01 AM | |
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 789973
10/9/2009 8:13 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Quoting: Anonymous Coward 789973
this vid from that thread is VERY interesting. the magma chamber is KNOWN to be filling, yet there is NO uplift around the caldera. Yellowstone BREATHES, rising up and down periodically. the fact there is NO uplift at Toba tells me the magma chamber is PRESSURISING. I am not convinced by the scientist's reassurances that nothing will happen. anyway, his measurements were taken between 1993 and 2001, 3 years BEFORE this recent activity started.
as Bill McGuire said, 'we may get months of warning, we get get weeks, we may even get days'
[link to www.youtube.com]
[link to www.youtube.com] |
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46 -16.035 168.203 291.2 VANUATU
51 -12.031 165.903 38.5 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS
07 -11.234 165.849 35.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS
20 -11.923 165.892 35.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS
05 -13.280 166.135 35.0 VANUATU