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ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 734630
10/8/2009 3:08 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
OP, best thread of the day..
your theory is highly interesting and plausible..(not so sure about the tsunami part, but the rest makes great sense.)
keep up the good work...
this one might have some legs to it. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 762525
10/8/2009 3:31 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Interesting post, but you can extrapolate a 'trend' from any two data points. If there is a third earthquake that fits your theory, then... DOOM!
Until then, just an interesting coincidence. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 728223 (OP)
10/8/2009 3:34 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Well, the reason I fear the tsunami is this...
A strong thrusting earthquake can generate a strong tsunami. All that is needed is a quick displacement of a mass of water.
If the explosion were large enough to displace a sizeable amount of ocean, then we have a tsunami. Krakatoa created a monster tsunami and that explosion was on land, but I suppose it could have been landslide.
Can't sleep right tonight, just woke up for a shit and a smoke so I need to catch up the last few pages. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 728223 (OP)
10/8/2009 3:44 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Whether you are wrong or right isn't important.
But the fact you choose to put ALERT - Extinction Level Event is a little disturbing.
Like you are not trying to warn people you just want to scare them. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 769898
If you are easily scared, I suggest you stay FAR away from GLP.
Or should I place a disclaimer for the weak hearted to leave the thread?
I am not trying to scare anyone as I clearly stated I may be wrong and we're on grounds of science that isn't clearly answered. But the few facts we have ARE alarming.
If the surge of numerous quakes in the region doesn't alarm you, then my title shouldn't either. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 183102
10/8/2009 3:50 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Look at you records GLPers, you have been predicting things for years now, and most of the time guess what: wrong, fail, failed, your prediction failed.
Why would this be any different?
There is nothing to see in this thread, life goes on, move on. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 789095
10/8/2009 3:53 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Look at you records GLPers, you have been predicting things for years now, and most of the time guess what: wrong, fail, failed, your prediction failed.
Why would this be any different?
There is nothing to see in this thread, life goes on, move on. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 183102
That's every GLP thread these days...
"E.L.E." 
Riggggght. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 782325
10/8/2009 4:01 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Look at you records GLPers, you have been predicting things for years now, and most of the time guess what: wrong, fail, failed, your prediction failed.
Why would this be any different?
There is nothing to see in this thread, life goes on, move on. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 183102
Ignorant of the signs.
[link to hisz.rsoe.hu]
I suggest you read page 1 of this thread. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 623805
10/8/2009 4:05 AM | |
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 745855
10/8/2009 4:08 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
[youtube]<object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value=" [link to www.youtube.com] name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src=" [link to www.youtube.com] type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object> |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 778943
10/8/2009 4:13 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
I believe it will come sooner than the Nov 18th date.
The formula is sound and the math is fine, but the arrival date assumes a constant rate of travel(velocity).
The more volume of magma that gets squeezed upward, well doesn't that sorta work like a garden sprayer??!!!
I think velocity would increase! Quoting: Anonymous Coward 567074
Exactly.
Get ready everyone, be safe and prepare for what's coming. It will totally change the foundation our planet is built on.
It is time for a new era of humanity to begin. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 778943
10/8/2009 4:51 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
The recent two deep earthquakes near the Philippines are really alarming. Especially since the second one in the same location. The odds of these two quakes being seperate from each other are near zero. So, what is going on? Is there a large body of thick molten magma rising with the consitency of soft plastic? Could very well be just that as typical friction and tension quakes do not occur at that depth, not even close.
Today there was a 6.7 at 582.8 km deep. Same place as the 630.5 km quake on the 4th 3 days ago.
It is the same location. So lets figure this. If there is something happening and is coming towards the surface, it travelled exactly 630.5km to 582.8km with a difference of 47.7km. The dates were October 4th 2009 10:58UTC and October 7th 2009 21:45UTC with a difference of 82 hours and 47 minutes.
So far the travel speed is 0.576 Km/hr.
At this rate, the event might reach the surface in 1,011 hours or at about 42 days. The date is November 18th 2009.
It may be a few days ahead or a few days behind but if anything is travelling towards the surface, it would be catastrophic. Real Global Doom everyone.
I do not support craaazy GLP babble predictions as there are millions of them. But this date has facts behind it. I may be wrong, I'de rather be wrong but the details show us something deep and deadly rising. Quoting: ºCRAPº
Your thinking is right, but your calculations are wrong.
Tomorrow, you will see. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 751936
10/8/2009 4:57 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
7.0 2009/10/08 08:28:51 -13.200 166.200 33.0 VANUATU
7.0 2009/10/08 08:28:47 -13.096 166.144 35.0 VANUATU
5.1 2009/10/08 06:44:50 -12.449 166.280 45.8 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS
5.1 2009/10/08 06:07:13 -11.459 165.497 35.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS
5.1 2009/10/08 04:38:51 -12.981 166.069 35.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS
5.3 2009/10/08 04:17:54 -13.031 165.983 35.0 VANUATU
5.2 2009/10/08 03:40:56 -12.787 165.792 35.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS
6.6 2009/10/08 02:12:39 -11.650 166.170 35.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS
5.8 2009/10/08 01:59:20 -11.923 165.892 35.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS
5.1 2009/10/08 01:31:00 -13.308 166.440 35.0 VANUATU
5.4 2009/10/08 01:08:36 -12.802 166.242 35.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS
5.2 2009/10/08 00:22:05 -13.280 166.135 35.0 VANUATU
5.7 2009/10/07 23:48:52 -13.489 166.408 29.5 VANUATU
7.3 2009/10/07 23:13:49 -13.145 166.297 33.3 VANUATU
7.7 2009/10/07 22:18:26 -12.554 166.320 35.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS
7.8 2009/10/07 22:03:15 -13.052 166.187 35.0 VANUATU
6.7 2009/10/07 21:41:14 4.043 122.584 582.8 CELEBES SEA |
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Sandpiper
User ID: 789124
10/8/2009 5:05 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
WOW!!! Just wow! Hey guys, I love you all and pray for everyone to be safe. |
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9teen.47™ 
Time is short.
User ID: 789076
10/8/2009 5:10 AM
 | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
For interest.
Zec 12:3 And in that day will I make Jerusalem a burdensome stone for all people: all that burden themselves with it shall be cut in pieces, though all the people of the earth be gathered together against it.
Psa 9:17 The wicked shall be turned into hell, [and] all the nations that forget God.
STOCK UP NOW. You should have at least 6 months worth of basics for every member of your household. Stay away from crowds when trouble starts, do not forget water storage, tobaccos worth more than gold or silver, and be kind to hungry children. |
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Justmebeingme
User ID: 788545
10/8/2009 5:45 AM
 | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Well WoW... This I did not see coming!...
To the world you may be one person,
but to one person you may be the world. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 789136
10/8/2009 5:56 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
why does nobody seem to thin of the easiest explaination ?
Look where all these quakes and storms,taifuns etc are occuring.. Under the ocean is land. Islands are simply only the tops of underwater landmasses and mountains.
It is sunken countries which rise up again.
maybe atlantis or something that big is coming up.
when "new" land is appearing it also means that old ones will sink.
I watch it under that aspect. |
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Ice
User ID: 729060
10/8/2009 6:07 AM
 | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Well, the reason I fear the tsunami is this...
A strong thrusting earthquake can generate a strong tsunami. All that is needed is a quick displacement of a mass of water.
If the explosion were large enough to displace a sizeable amount of ocean, then we have a tsunami. Krakatoa created a monster tsunami and that explosion was on land, but I suppose it could have been landslide.
Can't sleep right tonight, just woke up for a shit and a smoke so I need to catch up the last few pages. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 728223
will be watching
ice
You have until 2016 to get your Act together! Be Wise! |
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Ice
User ID: 729060
10/8/2009 6:10 AM
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Smilin' Irish Eyes
User ID: 656642
10/8/2009 6:58 AM
 | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
How far that little candle throws his beams! So shines a good deed in a naughty world. The Merchant of Venice. Act. v. Sc. 1. W. Shakespeare |
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ºCRAPº
User ID: 728223
10/8/2009 7:35 AM
 | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Ok, I'm going to adjust the title some.
I'm going to do some deep investigating today. I read a long paper about earth tremors below 450km. It was very interesting. That is how I know about tremors that deep and why they can't be typical earthquakes we are mostly familiar with.
Later today I'll have a write up report. And I will say this, I will not hold a doom bias. That is, regardless of the event I will report the truth. So if I learn this is a non-event or a minor eruption potential, I'll report it as such.
One thing I can't stand is people altering the truth to fit their own agenda.
Later
Those who give up a little freedom for a little security deserve neither and lose both. |
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ºCRAPº
User ID: 728223
10/8/2009 7:38 AM
| | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Btw, I am not ºEATº.
I am the opposite of ºEATº
So if what I post is true, we just may be doomed anyways.
But if ºEATº comes in a posts doom, we together may be able to compramise the GLP effect once and for all....lol
Just kidding with you all, have a great day.
Those who give up a little freedom for a little security deserve neither and lose both. |
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Ice
User ID: 495883
10/8/2009 7:41 AM
| | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Ok, I'm going to adjust the title some.
I'm going to do some deep investigating today. I read a long paper about earth tremors below 450km. It was very interesting. That is how I know about tremors that deep and why they can't be typical earthquakes we are mostly familiar with.
Later today I'll have a write up report. And I will say this, I will not hold a doom bias. That is, regardless of the event I will report the truth. So if I learn this is a non-event or a minor eruption potential, I'll report it as such.
One thing I can't stand is people altering the truth to fit their own agenda.
Later Quoting: ºCRAPº
sounds good
watching
ice
You have until 2016 to get your Act together! Be Wise! |
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Greenhorn
User ID: 789201
10/8/2009 8:04 AM
 | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
....just woke up for a shit and a smoke so I need to catch up the last few pages.
will be watching
ice Quoting: Ice
Is anyone else disturbed by this?
wanna feel good
gotta be who I am |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 789169
10/8/2009 8:11 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
According to the Australian Quake site, there have actually been five of a similar depth, beginning in mid Sept.
Date Depth Mag Location
07/10/09 590 6.5 Celebes Sea, Indonesia
07/10/09 591 5.0 Vanuatu Islands Region
04/10/09 622 7.0 Mindanao, Philippines
28/09/09 581 5.3 Java, Indonesia
13/09/09 600 5.1 South of Fiji Islands
[link to www.ga.gov.au] |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 786744
10/8/2009 8:13 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
....just woke up for a shit and a smoke so I need to catch up the last few pages.
will be watching
ice
Is anyone else disturbed by this? Quoting: Greenhorn
That's hilarious!
Hope you built that log cabin well and didn't burn it down with a carelessly tossed butt
 |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 787497
10/8/2009 8:15 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Yes, I'll say too, "Best thread of the day!" It's excellent tracking, ºCRAPº, and thanks.
Traveling '0.576 Km/h'
That's a little over 1/2 kilometer per hour. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 788271
10/8/2009 8:20 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Last one:
MAP 4.9 2009/10/08 09:10:02 3.934 122.504 582.7 CELEBES SEA
The depth remained the same. Doom is off. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 788271
10/8/2009 8:20 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
Yes, I'll say too, "Best thread of the day!" It's excellent tracking, ºCRAPº, and thanks.
Traveling '0.576 Km/h'
That's a little over 1/2 kilometer per hour. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 787497
it's not "traveling" at all. |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 789210
10/8/2009 8:24 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
bump!! |
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Anonymous Coward
User ID: 787497
10/8/2009 8:32 AM | | Re: ALERT - Toba Super Volcano, New Intense Swarm Starts Again - NOV 9 - UPDATE PG 17 | Quote |
AC @ 8:20 am,
Over how many hours?
MAP 4.9 2009/10/08 09:10:02 3.934N 122.504E 582.7 CELEBES SEA
MAP 6.7 2009/10/07 21:41:15 4.043N 122.584E 582.8 CELEBES SEA
Over about 12 hours.
Maybe it's hit a sticky patch and is rising more slowly. The possibility is that the speed of ascent is variable. Well spotted. |
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20 -11.923 165.892 35.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS
05 -13.280 166.135 35.0 VANUATU
49 -13.145 166.297 33.3 VANUATU
26 -12.554 166.320 35.0 SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS
16 -13.052 166.187 35.0 VANUATU