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US DOLLAR WILL RALLY !
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 743646 10/21/2009 1:50 AM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote |
I got 1000 dollars that the dollar won't even reach 77.00 again this year. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 797881
Then run out and buy gold with it. |
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GlassPearls  GlassPearls User ID: 613866 10/21/2009 1:54 AM
 | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote |
Someday it will rally, and you'll claim you were right.
Timing is everything.
I have been banging on about a dollar rally for months as I knew it was coming.
I see into the future. Quoting: TRADER. 798959
Your 'vision' sucks.
For a recap, here's TRADER at his/her best (assuming it's the same person):
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TRADER.
User ID: 568085
12/9/2008 11:56 AM
Re: $ US DOLLAR OUTLOOK $ USD retracement has started. Last price 85.88
TRADER.
User ID: 568085
12/11/2008 1:01 AM
Re: $ US DOLLAR OUTLOOK $ Look out below USD ! Last price 84.90
TRADER.
User ID: 578600
12/24/2008 6:36 AM
Re: $ US DOLLAR OUTLOOK $ USD wants to resume it's downtrend. Last price $82
TRADER.
User ID: 579642
12/28/2008 10:23 PM
Re: $ US DOLLAR OUTLOOK $ USD wants to resume downtrend so bullish Euro. USD last price $ 81.22
TRADER.
User ID: 579642
12/29/2008 1:18 AM
Re: $ US DOLLAR OUTLOOK $ Go long Euro !
TRADER
User ID: 709635
6/24/2009 2:54 PM
Re: $ US DOLLAR OUTLOOK $ USD trend is still up so gold/silver holders be careful !
TRADER.
User ID: 709635
6/25/2009 3:36 AM
Re: $ US DOLLAR OUTLOOK $ USD trend is still up so gold/silver holders be careful !$80.90
TRADER.
User ID: 709635
6/26/2009 7:21 AM
Re: $ US DOLLAR OUTLOOK $ USD shorter term trend has gone bearish so expect some bullish action from gold and silver and euro etc. Longer term USD bullish outlook has not changed. USD Index last price 80.13
TRADER.
User ID: 714576
6/30/2009 12:28 PM
Re: $ US DOLLAR OUTLOOK $ USD has gone bullish again. Gold holders be careful !!!
TRADER.
User ID: 715311
7/2/2009 10:57 PM
Re: $ US DOLLAR OUTLOOK $ USD trend is still up so gold/silver holders be careful !
TRADER.
User ID: 767304
9/11/2009 8:38 AM
Re: $ US DOLLAR OUTLOOK $ Dollar bears, have you bothered to actually think what is on the opposite side of a USD fall ? (not gold) Have you bothered to think what will happen when the DOW tanks ? Use your brains please.
TRADER.
User ID: 758183
9/14/2009 9:03 AM
Re: $ US DOLLAR OUTLOOK $ USD long term outlook is still up
TRADER.
User ID: 758183
9/15/2009 7:49 AM
Re: $ US DOLLAR OUTLOOK $ Trend is still up for the dollar. sorry trolls.
TRADER.
User ID: 773068
9/17/2009 6:13 AM
Re: $ US DOLLAR OUTLOOK $ USD long term outlook is still up. My crystal ball says so. USD ---- long term ---- outlook. LONG TERM, GOT IT ? Not days you fool. I'm talking YEARS. Duh.
TRADER.
User ID: 789167
10/8/2009 6:14 AM
Re: $ US DOLLAR OUTLOOK $ Don't worry goldtards, US dollar will rally.
Trust me.
TRADER.
User ID: 786791
10/9/2009 3:08 PM
Re: $ US DOLLAR OUTLOOK $ Of course it's all manipulated, but the goldtards don't seem to understand this.
TRADER.
User ID: 707045
10/10/2009 12:08 AM
Re: $ US DOLLAR OUTLOOK $ Dollar bear tards need to realise that TPTB will not allow the USD to tank No way. For the benefit of the gold trolls who can't read, as I have mentioned this several times: I DO NOT TRADE THE USD. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 380182 10/21/2009 1:56 AM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote | im with trader here.... ITS COMING!!
think today prices were factored in.... caterpillars earnings i mean.
I am still bearish on long term USD...but short term...bullish. i will explain why.
the world is screaming how short they are in the USD.... its not good...
now while I think it is too soon to call a low in dollar just yet. But this is setting up now, like these fiscal policies and what we have seen in brazil with the 2% tax is that you could see a BRUTAL unwind to the upside in the dollar soon.
This will add pressure on stocks and send them down very soon IMHO. |
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GlassPearls  GlassPearls User ID: 613866 10/21/2009 2:04 AM
 | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote |
im with trader here.... ITS COMING!!
think today prices were factored in.... caterpillars earnings i mean.
I am still bearish on long term USD...but short term...bullish. i will explain why.
the world is screaming how short they are in the USD.... its not good...
now while I think it is too soon to call a low in dollar just yet. But this is setting up now, like these fiscal policies and what we have seen in brazil with the 2% tax is that you could see a BRUTAL unwind to the upside in the dollar soon.
This will add pressure on stocks and send them down very soon IMHO. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 380182
Any rally is the USD will be short lived. Today was a good chance for a bounce up due to the PPI and, as you state, all the shorts running for cover. But what did it do? Not a whole heck of a lot.
There will be rallies, but they'll be smaller and shorter in duration with the medium to long term trend to the downside.
However, THAT is not at issue here. What is at issue is that TRADER has been calling for a bullish dollar since at least June. |
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TRADER. User ID: 799128 10/21/2009 6:29 AM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote | Gold bulls must understand that USD does not have to tank just because USA economy is f*cked.
In fact many countries won't let it tank. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 799272 10/21/2009 11:03 AM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote | 75.24 |
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Anonymous Blowhard User ID: 787476 10/21/2009 11:30 AM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote | Trader may understand what's supposed to happen but here's the deal: Disclosure will happen probably this year and the first thing these aliens/demons will do is wipe out the powers that be. So even if someone has inside info from the highest sources it's null and void. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 768396 10/21/2009 11:37 AM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote | "aliens/demons"
What about the earthling/demons? How many do you know that call demons by their thoughts? The majority of ets that are assisting humanity are free of demons, unlike many people on earth. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 768396 10/21/2009 11:49 AM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote | Oct. 19, 2009
Martin here with the most shocking new numbers I've seen in my lifetime.
My conclusion: Fed Chairman Bernanke has dumped so much funny money into the U.S. banking system and has done so little to manage how that money is used, the fate of our entire economy has now been cast under a dark shadow of doubt.
Fed's Money Printed Gone Absolutely Wild
This is not conjecture or exaggeration.
Nor are the underlying facts subject to debate.
They are blatant, unambiguous, and fully supported by the Fed's own data ...
Fact #1. Up until the day Lehman Brothers collapsed in September of last year, it took the Fed a total 5,012 days — 13 years and 8 months — to double the cash currency and reserves in the coffers of U.S. banks.
In contrast, after the Lehman Brothers collapse, it took Bernanke's Fed only 112 days to double the size of U.S. bank reserves. He accelerated the pace of bank reserve expansion by a factor of 45 to 1. (Click here for the proof.)
Imagine a crowded interstate highway with a speed limit of 55 miles per hour and with a long tradition of allowing no one to exceed the limit by more than 20 or 25 mph.
Suddenly, a new driver appears on the scene with a jet-powered engine that accelerates to a supersonic speed of 1,350 mph.
That's the same magnitude of change Fed Chairman Bernanke has presided over.
Fact #2. Even in the most extreme circumstances of recent history, the Fed never pumped in anything close to this much money in such a short period of time. Indeed ...
* Before the turn of the millennium, the Fed scrambled to provide liquidity to U.S. banks to ward off a feared Y2K catastrophe, bumping up bank reserves from $557 billion on October 6, 1999 to $630 billion by January 12, 2000. And at the time, that was considered unprecedented — a $73 billion increase in just three months. In contrast, Mr. Bernanke's recent money infusion is $1.007 trillion or 14 times more!
* Similarly, in the days following the terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, the Fed rushed to flood the banks with liquid funds, adding $40 billion in the 14-day period between 9/5/01 and 9/19/01. Mr. Bernanke's recent trillion-dollar flood of money is twenty five times larger.
Fact #3. After the Y2K and 9-11 crises had passed, the Fed promptly reversed its money infusions and sopped up the extra liquidity in the banking system. But this time, Mr. Bernanke has done precisely the opposite: Since he doubled the currency and reserves at the nation's banks with his 112-day money-printing frenzy in late 2008, he has thrown still more money into the pot.
Fact #4. With no past historical precedent, no testing, and no clue regarding the likely financial fallout, Mr. Bernanke has invented and deployed more weapons of mass monetary expansion than all prior Fed chairmen combined.
The list itself boggles the imagination: Term Discount Window Program, Term Auction Facility, Primary Dealer Credit Facility, Transitional Credit Extensions, Term Securities Lending Facility, ABCP Money Market Fund Liquidity Facility, Commercial Paper Funding Facility, Money Market Investing Funding Facility, Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility, and Term Securities Lending Facility Options Program.
None of these existed earlier. All are new experiments devised in response to the debt crisis.
Fact #5. The single biggest new facility is the Fed's purchases of mortgage-backed securities (MBS). This massive operation began on January 7 of this year with only $10.2 billion. Now, just nine months later, the Fed has bought up a cumulative total of $924.9 billion, the largest money infusion by any central bank into any single market sector of all time.
Simply put, the Fed has been buying up virtually all the junk and nonjunk mortgages it can lay its hands on.
Fact #6. Mr. Bernanke would have you believe that he can carefully control how the banks use all this free money, with an eye toward preventing a sudden bout of inflation.
In practice, however, he's doing nothing of the sort.
For example, the theory is that if the Fed merely arranges for the U.S. Treasury Department to borrow back most of the excess bank reserves, the Fed could keep the money out of the banks' hands, prevent them from multiplying it with big lending, and ward off the ultimate inflationary consequences.
Bernanke and Geithner
But, as pointed out by Econbrowser.com, the reality is that the Treasury is absorbing only a small fraction of the banks' bloated reserve balances (green area in chart).
The bulk of those reserves (green area) are readily available to start multiplying through lending — and to set off an uncontrollable vicious cycle of too much money chasing too few goods.
Fact #7. If the bank lending were mostly to American businesses, it might at least help rebuild the U.S. economy. However, right now, the only big lending we see is to finance a new speculative fever that has swept the globe — the borrowing of cheap dollars to buy high-yield investments. (See Mike Larson's "Easy-Money Fed Fueling Dollar Carry Trades" and "Getting Inside the Fed's Head.")
Fact #8. The nation's money supply is exploding. In August, money in circulation and in checking accounts (M1) expanded at the breakneck speed of 18.6 percent compared to the year earlier. That was ...
* Three times faster than the average M1 growth rate of the 1970s, which helped create the worst inflation of our era;
* Over SIX times faster than theaverage M1 growth rate during the half century prior to September 2008; and
* The single fastest M1 growth rate ever recorded by the Federal Reserve.
The Consequences
This overabundance of high-powered money flooding into the nation's banking system and money supply can have only one consequence: To cheapen the value of each dollar you own.
Yes, Mr. Bernanke has temporarily tamped down the Wall Street debt crisis. And yes, he has managed to replace fear with greed ... convert the flight to safety into the lust for risk ... and transform falling markets into rising markets.
But look at the price we are paying:
* The solvency concerns regarding major financial institutions have now been replaced by looming solvency threats to the U.S. government itself.
* The debt crisis of 2007-2008 has been transformed into the dollar crisis of 2009-2010.
Clearly, in this environment, following traditional investment norms with conventional investment vehicles could be dangerous; and evidently, an entirely different approach to investing is now a must.
For specific instructions, be sure to view (or review) our recent 1-hour video, Washington's War on the Dollar. But do not delay. It goes offline this week.
Good luck and God bless!
Martin
P.S. Here's the proof of the 45-to-1 acceleration in reserve growth: On December 21, 1994, the cash currency and reserves at U.S. banks was reported by the Fed at $426.6 billion. Subsequently, it took 5,012 days for that figure to double, reaching $849.9 billion on September 10, 2008, the Fed's last reporting period prior to the failure of Lehman Brothers.
Following that date, however, as the Fed responded with new, unprecedented open market operations, it took a mere 112 days to double, reaching $1,702.2 billion on December 31, 2008. (To return to the article above, click here.)
Fed data series: U.S. aggregate reserves of depository institutions plus the monetary base. To download my spreadsheet showing the Fed data and my calculations, click here.
[link to www.moneyandmarkets.com] |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 69144 10/21/2009 11:54 AM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote | Is it not possible that the dollar drops aswell as the market drops big at the same time? |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 497757 10/21/2009 1:56 PM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote |
75.62
After many months of warnings from me, I promise it will rally. Quoting: TRADER. 798541
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 794625 10/21/2009 2:01 PM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote |
75.62
After many months of warnings from me, I promise it will rally.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 497757
Trader you need a new job |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 742149 10/21/2009 2:10 PM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote | 74 broke like a virgin 74.96 |
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TRADER. User ID: 799128 10/21/2009 4:07 PM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote | Why so many immature posters on this thread ?
Adults only please
Dollar will get stronger as Dow weakens |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 799461 10/21/2009 4:10 PM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote | Gold, oil, and silver are the true currencies. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 799461 10/21/2009 4:10 PM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote | Gold, oil, and silver are the true currencies. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 799532 10/21/2009 6:16 PM | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 549045 10/21/2009 8:07 PM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote |
Why so many immature posters on this thread ?
Adults only please
Dollar will get stronger as Dow weakens Quoting: TRADER. 799128
Just like they did today?
DOW -92.12
Dollar -.47
I think TRADER is related to EAT. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 798974 10/21/2009 8:10 PM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote |
Why so many immature posters on this thread ?
Adults only please
Dollar will get stronger as Dow weakens
Just like they did today?
DOW -92.12
Dollar -.47
I think TRADER is related to EAT. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 549045
 |
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TRADER. User ID: 799128 10/21/2009 8:16 PM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote | Immature dollar bears, do not assume that central banks will let the dollar tank.
Don't be so ignorant.
You clearly have NFI. |
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The Random Number User ID: 799108 10/21/2009 8:18 PM
 | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote |
Immature dollar bears, do not assume that central banks will let the dollar tank.
Don't be so ignorant.
You clearly have NFI. Quoting: TRADER. 799128
Question.
Do you think the dollars current (apparent) weakness is a deliberate ploy to boost US exports? processing... |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 523714 10/21/2009 8:46 PM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote | We are at critical support for the dollar against almost every dimension (index, loonie, yen and euro). If the dollar continues to fall, it will likely fall fast and deep. The sentiment in the market is not that; it instead expects orderly decline over many months. A crashing dollar would undermine their strategies and would lead to rash behavior as traders seek to capitalize on new expectations. Instead, an orderly decline needs periods of exhaustion and relief and; positing that this is not the time the dollar collapses, it must rebound strongly and sharply to retain its integrity as a carry-trade.
I'm buying dollars now unless and until certain conditions happen about 2.5%-5% below the current level (85 yen, 1 to 1 loonie). Index rebound potential is upward of 12%, so the risk-reward seems in order. If this case develops, the best selling currencies would be the British pound or the commodity currencies (AU, CA, NZ, RR) depending on the predominant theme, which currently seems to be "financial woes" instead of "commodity stockpiling" (the theme of the summer). |
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Smiles99  User ID: 773861 10/21/2009 8:57 PM
 | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote | USD 75.07 "The illegal we do immediately. The unconstitutional takes a little longer."--Henry Kissinger
"Medicine is the keystone in the arch of socialism"
~Vladimir Lenin
The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not. Thomas Jefferson |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 799546 10/21/2009 9:03 PM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote | Reality states that the other nations are considering alternatives and some have already took action. Bullish my red behind. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 768396 10/21/2009 9:53 PM | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 743646 10/21/2009 10:01 PM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote |
Question.
Do you think the dollars current (apparent) weakness is a deliberate ploy to boost US exports? Quoting: The Random Number
Here is what I think is going on. This guy is smart. He follows the bankers.
[link to www.321gold.com] |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 799671 10/21/2009 10:19 PM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote |
75.62
After many months of warnings from me, I promise it will rally. Quoting: TRADER. 798541
What you're really saying is "Hey guys, I know I've never been right, but this time, I've got it figured out."
You've been so consistently wrong, EAT looks like a financial prophet for the ages.
I see no reason to believe you now. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 780125 10/21/2009 10:23 PM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote | TRADER has been having the same 'wet dream' for weeks now!
Notice what happened today, LOSER ? |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 799676 10/21/2009 10:24 PM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote | RALLY TO WHAT 78? |
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floyd User ID: 549045 10/22/2009 12:54 AM | | Re: US DOLLAR WILL RALLY ! | Quote |
Here's a message to the US dollar bulls out there: "all is not ok," this is not a "new bull market." This is financial Armageddon. I see our special friend, Mr. US T-bond, is having a little trouble keeping up with brother dollar. The relationship will only get rockier. Quoting: Stewart Thompson
There ya have it :)
BTW, he is a professional TRADER not a fake one like the OP. |
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