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The Future of your country?..ask and I will tell you,...
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[quote:Anonymous Coward 168345:MV8xMDgzMzRfNTM4OTM5MV85QTc4QjlERQ==] It's interesting that Gaiaman himself predicted this debate that's going on right now, concerning the validity of his visions. I'm the first to admit that the jury is still out on most of his predictions, since they were predicted primarily for the period 2005 to 2012. And there's been a lot of direct misses, no question about it. However.....there's been a lot of direct hits that probability can't explain. His predictions aren't like heads or tails guesses...like will some dingbat get married next year or not. They've been very specific, such that if they hit - it was far better than a 50-50 chance that such an event would happen. Remember the sudden Sharon fall due to health, as opposed to a bullet? Sure, some will say, he was fat, therefore everybody knew he would keel over at the end of 2005. That was just a 50-50 chance. Riiiiiighhht. Merkel winning the election? Hamas and Al Fatah fighting? Explosions all over Israel? We thought that meant terrorist bombs. Then the surprise long-range missiles were unveiled to the world. Did we find that out through the CIA or Mossad? Nope. Roman soldiers between Lebanon and Israel? Yeah, man, like that was a 50-50 chance of coming through back in May 2005, when the peace process looked well underway. Check the size of the Italian UN contingent in Lebanon. Whales and dolphins beaching themselves on Australian beaches? Happens a couple times over a century. Icebergs hitting New Zealand? Hey, that was pretty wacko. Read the news now. Terrorist bomb in Bali? He named the street. Floods in the Netherlands? Airport closing in Tulsa due to an incident? Riots in Paris, and all over France and other parts of Europe. A murder that shocks the UK - I;m still reading all the aftermath reports of the poisoning. All these are by no means a comprehensive list of hits. Somebody needs to go back and document - because they are numerous - and they sure as hell weren't 50-50 chances. The odd thing about predictions, is that when they are made several years before events move in the direction of their fulfillment, they are dismissed and ignored as wacko. BUT...when events DO move in that direction, people then say..."Gee, well everybody knows that! That's a no-brainer....like even I could make that prediction." They need to check the dates of the predictions, and be honest with themselves about what THEY thought would likely happen - back then. But we won't have long to see whether Gaiaman is right about the most important parts of his predictions. Saddam execution, US moving into Syria, Iran attacking US forces in Iraq while it's preoccupied in Syria, global jihad erupting therefrom. At this point, any decent strategic forecasting consultant better be predicting these very likely events - else they ain't worth squat. And what else did he say about other major players? Russia and China siding with Iran and jihadists. Anybody read the news lately? Seeing as the Saddam execution is seen as a bellwether point of credibility, I too am tuned in to this "Superbowl" of Gaiaman predictions. I will note that since that long ago prediction, the plausibility is increasing. Saddam himself is requesting execution by firing squad. Suddenly he's found religion - Islam. And some Iraqis are now complaining that his execution will be too private and that it should be televised to all of Iraq in order to bring closure to his regime. For those readers who wonder about the relevance of the above, please read the early and very specific predictions about the Saddam execution. The appeals court is still debating - they can do anything they want - even set him free. Is it beyond believability that they would toss him the small crumb of execution by firing squad - along with the promise of a live public address - in exchange for a public execution? [/quote]
Original Message
What will happen to your country the coming years? I have the power to see,
if you like to know. But a warning, for some the future is not so bright.
But if you wanna know, I Gaia Man will give you the answer.
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