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Jim Berklandīs Earthquake Forecast - Aug 17-24th
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Original Message
Contributed by Jim Berkland
Thursday, 11 August 2005
The August 17-24, 2005 Seismic Window includes the last of only three perigean spring tides this year, where a syzygy is less than 25 hours from perigee.
The full Moon of August 19 comes only 12 hours after a very close lunar perigee of less than 223,000 miles. The slightly closer perigee and full Moon of July 21 were triggers for abundant seismic activeity and my record for the July Window was four of four, including the only major quake in the world since June 15th (to date).
The rare 4.2M quake near Los Angeles on July 24th had only an 18% chance of occurring and it frustrated a critical former USGS employee who had bet me that it would not occur. He agreed tp pay the price by no longer harassing me daily on my Website, with his ill-conceived charges of "liar" or "fraud".
A 3.6M quake struck 120 miles SE of Mt. Diablo on July 24th.
Several quakes of 3.1-3.3M struck Mt. St. Helens on July 21-22.
A 7.2M quake near the Nicobar Islands on July 24th was the only major quake in the world from June 15 thru Aug 10th, and counting.
For August 17-24, 2005 I predict with 80% confidence that there will be one or more earthquakes meeting each of the following criteria:
1) 3.5-6.5M within 140 miles of Mt. Diablo (37.9N; 121.9W)
2) 3.5-6.5M within 140 miles of Los Angeles (34.0N; 118.0W)
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