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Earthquake Thread ~ Always Updated*5.8 Taiwan*5.2 Taiwan ~ Pg 20439
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[quote:Anonymous Coward 52600155:MV8yMzkxMDE5XzQyMjI5ODMyX0YwM0I2MDJD] What time is the expected plasma cloud (CME) predicted to arrive? Will I see the aurora? Those are questions many sky watchers are asking. The timing of the arrival, your location, and local weather conditions, will determine if you have a chance to witness the aurora. Those located high enough in latitude, above 50 degrees magnetic latitude (northern tier USA, Canada, Alaska, Northern UK, Scotland, Scandinavia) will be in the best location. At least partially clear skies and an impact to our geomagnetic field as predicted while it is still dark outside will be crucial. Both CME prediction models released by NASA / Goddard Space Flight Center, and NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center have been brought up to date with the latest tracking. The NASA/Goddard model is calling for an impact at 06:00 UTC (12:00 am EST). The NOAA/SWPC model is calling for an impact at 08:00 UTC (03:00 am EST). These times are all estimated based on CME speed analysis and can be off by several hours on either side. The latest report by the Solar Influences Data Center (SIDC) in Belgium, based on a interplanetary shock speed of near 1900 km/s, is predicting an arrival time between 02:00 UTC (09:00 pm EST) and 07:00 UTC (02:00 am EST). Summarizing the above timing, it is looking like a overnight impact (very early morning) on January 9th for the eastern parts of North America, late night impact for those located out west, and predawn impact for anyone located in the northern UK or Scandinavia. There is no guarantee with any CME impact, and tracking models are data based and subject to error, therefore strong G3 level storming is a best case scenario. With a little luck, and good timing, we might just witness the aurora. For information on understanding your geomagnetic latitude, geomagnetic storm levels, and capturing the aurora, please visit the following links. http://www.solarham.net/viewing.htm http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/index.html#GeomagneticStorms http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/Aurora/ [/quote]
Original Message
I accidentally deleted the OP of this thread during some glitch issues on GLP this morning (10/30/17).
I will be posting some useful links in the next post to make it easier for those posting so you don't have to scroll through a massive OP. :)
I had to delete the first two comments on this thread to do so, but wanted to keep them so I've put them below.
5* and I'm on board.. Simple.. I'm sorry about CH.. He will be missed greatly..
but, the continuation of EQ is an important thing because it's connected to so many things..
Thank you!!! Simple... I will be here.....
Quoting:
4thhorseman
Awesome Simple, glad you started this thread. Lets get to work.
Quoting:
Anonymous Coward 2911653
I also would like to mention that I know this thread has MANY pages and that it can be somewhat intimidating to join/chime in on a long standing thread as a new member/AC (I've experienced it when I first joined GLP), but we are a VERY welcoming group to those who newly join us. We are a small family of sorts who are all mostly interested in the same earth-related topics (quakes/solar/volcanoes/weather/etc.) and share info on each of those topics as well as 'off-topic' discussions. We genuinely care for one another here and even when we do not agree with each other, we ALWAYS respect each other.
I truly enjoy when new folks join us here. All that I ask is to show respect. :)
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