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Subject Florence will be a major hurricane

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Original Message 000
WTNT41 KNHC 052030
TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE DISCUSSION NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
500 PM EDT TUE SEP 05 2006

ALTHOUGH FLORENCE CONTINUES TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED...IT REMAINS AN
UNUSUALLY LARGE ATLANTIC TROPICAL STORM...AND LARGE CYCLONES TEND
TO TAKE LONGER TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY THAN SMALLER ONES DO. AS A
RESULT...ONLY MODEST INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 48
HOURS OR SO...WITH A FASTER RATE OF STRENGTHENING INDICATED AFTER
THAT AS FLORENCE MOVES OVER 29-29.5C SSTS AND BENEATH DECREASING
VERTICAL SHEAR. IF FLORENCE MOVES UNDERNEATH THE CENTER OF A 200 MB
ANTICYCLONE LIKE THE NOGAPS...UKMET...AND ECMWF MODELS ARE
SUGGESTING...THEN STRENGTHENING INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE LIKE THE
GFDL AND FSU SUPERENSEMBLE MODELS ARE FORECASTING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

But is it going to hit land?

Tracks: [link to www.sfwmd.gov] [link to www.nhc.noaa.gov]

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