Users Online Now:
1,232
(
Who's On?
)
Visitors Today:
321,455
Pageviews Today:
421,091
Threads Today:
139
Posts Today:
1,586
03:38 AM
Directory
Adv. Search
Topics
Forum
Back to Forum
Back to Thread
REPLY TO THREAD
Subject
Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
User Name
Font color:
Default
Dark Red
Red
Orange
Brown
Yellow
Green
Olive
Cyan
Blue
Dark Blue
Indigo
Violet
Black
Font:
Default
Verdana
Tahoma
Ms Sans Serif
In accordance with industry accepted best practices we ask that users limit their copy / paste of copyrighted material to the relevant portions of the article you wish to discuss and no more than 50% of the source material, provide a link back to the original article and provide your original comments / criticism in your post with the article.
[quote:By Jupiter:MV8zNzE2MTBfNTk4Nzg3N184OTczNUZDNg==] [quote:Anonymous Coward 171724] Trend Analysis: Yr, Number 2035 69.54314516 2030 68.28225806 2025 67.02137097 2020 65.76048387 2015 64.49959677 2010 63.23870968 Assuming linear growth; if logistic growth then future years will see much higher predictions. If we use the last 20 years for trend, then: Yr, Number 2035 96.8 2030 92.2 2025 87.6 2020 83 2015 78.4 2010 73.8 If between 150 year trend and last 20 year trend, then: Yr, Number 2035 between 70 and 97 volcano eruptions 2030 between 68 and 92 volcano eruptions 2025 between 67 and 88 volcano eruptions 2020 between 66 and 84 volcano eruptions 2015 between 64 and 78 volcano eruptions 2010 between 63 and 74 volcano eruptions All trends point to increased vulcanism in the next 30 years. Year 2005 eruption frequency is statistically aberrant from the past 150 years, p < .05 Something is up... [/quote] Perhaps the progression is not linear. If one looks at the eruption totals for the years 1881, 1882, 1883, the respective totals are 26, 24, 44. 1883 being the year Krakatua erupted. This may tie in with the Transit of Venus. Wikipedia Quote "Transits of Venus are among the rarest of predictable astronomical phenomena and currently occur in a pattern that repeats every 243 years, with pairs of transits eight years apart separated by long gaps of 121.5 years and 105.5 years. Before 2004, the last pair of transits were in December 1874 and December 1882. The first of a pair of transits of Venus in the beginning of the 21st century took place on June 8, 2004 (see Transit of Venus, 2004) and the next will be on June 6, 2012 (see Transit of Venus, 2012)." My suggestion is that if the 2012 transit, second in the pair, boosts eruptions as occured after 1882 transit we might see a steep increase in activity. [/quote]
Original Message
Etna erupts Wednesday:
[
link to video.aol.com
]
Pictures (click to insert)
General
Politics
Bananas
People
Potentially Offensive
Emotions
Big Round Smilies
Aliens and Space
Friendship & Love
Textual
Doom
Misc Small Smilies
Religion
Love
Random
View All Categories
|
Next Page >>