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The Sober Math Everyone Must Understand About the Pandemic
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Original Message
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I came across this article that I believe is pretty much spot on regarding the potential spread of COVID-19 and why isolation is so critical.
I apologize if it's already been posted, I did a search and couldn't find anything.
It takes about 10 minutes to read (+/- depending on how quickly you read), and the author has stated:
"Anyone, including the media, is free to use this post, any related content, in all or in part, for any purpose, in any format, with no attribution required. Please direct message me if you have other ideas for how to raise awareness."
So feel free to share it with family/friends/coworkers/etc.
Article: [link to medium.com (secure)]
The Sober Math Everyone Must Understand about the Pandemic
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ISSUE ONE: SOCIAL NORMS ARE POWERFUL MOTIVATORS AND GETTING IN THE WAY OF PEOPLE TAKING THE RIGHT STEPS IN RESPONSE TO THE PANDEMIC:
One of the current problems with addressing the pandemic is the social pressures of taking action today. It’s awkward, and feels like an over-reaction. The reason it feels like an overreaction is that most people OVERWEIGHT the currently reported cases and inherently UNDERWEIGHT the mathematics of how the virus is spreading and what will happen in about 30 days time. This is because our brains tend to think linearly as opposed to logarithmically. It’s the same reason many people don’t save for retirement or understand compound interest.
To create a new social norm, human beings like to see behavior modeled. This serves as a signal that says, “oh, someone else is doing it so I should do it also.”
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