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DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)
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[quote:Anonymous Coward 78715086:MV80NDk4NzA3XzgxOTUzODIyX0RDRTdGOEUy] If you cherry pick the search terms you can get the outcome you want. Another shit theead from OP. [/quote]
Original Message
(Update: It seems you can use this to detect electoral fraud)
The method that works is:
1) Last names - not full names - (or whatever is a simplest shortest way to identify the candidate . E.G: Beto is better than O'Rourke - Mccain is better than John or John Mccain)
2) Date range starts from beginning of campaign to 1 week after the election.
3) Always Filter by geographical area where election takes place
(Country, state, county etc..)
You do that, 9 out 10 times - the results match reality.
Note: the predictive system starts to breaks down when there are less than 500,000 voters, or when the election is too tight (candidates within 3% of each other.)
2004 election
[
link to trends.google.com (secure)
]
2008 election:
[
link to trends.google.com (secure)
]
2012 election:
[
link to trends.google.com (secure)
]
2016 election:
[
link to trends.google.com (secure)
]
2020 election: (past 90 days)
[
link to trends.google.com (secure)
]
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