Godlike Productions - Reply to Thread

Users Online Now: 1,671 (Who's On?)	Visitors Today: 746,177
Pageviews Today: 1,322,339	Threads Today: 493	Posts Today: 10,064
04:05 PM

REPLY TO THREAD

Subject DEBUNK THIS: Google trends of various elections: Is google more accurate than polls? (It has predicted the winner in all the last 4 elections)

User Name

Font color: Font:

In accordance with industry accepted best practices we ask that users limit their copy / paste of copyrighted material to the relevant portions of the article you wish to discuss and no more than 50% of the source material, provide a link back to the original article and provide your original comments / criticism in your post with the article.

[quote:JADR+:MV80NDk4NzA3XzRGRjM4RkZG]
(Update: It seems you can use this to detect electoral fraud)

[b]The method that works is:[/b]

[b]1) Last names - not full names - (or whatever is a simplest shortest way to identify the candidate . E.G: Beto is better than O'Rourke - Mccain is better than John or John Mccain)
2) Date range starts from beginning of campaign to 1 week after the election.
3) Always Filter by geographical area where election takes place[/b] (Country, state, county etc..)

[b][color=red]You do that, 9 out 10 times - the results match reality.[/color][/b]

[i]Note: the predictive system starts to breaks down when there are less than 500,000 voters, or when the election is too tight (candidates within 3% of each other.)
[/i]

2004 election

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=2004-06-01%202004-11-15&geo=US&q=Kerry,Bush

2008 election:

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=2008-07-24%202008-11-15&geo=US&q=Obama,McCain

2012 election:

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=2012-07-24%202012-11-15&geo=US&q=Obama,Romney

2016 election:

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=2016-07-24%202016-12-24&geo=US&q=clinton,Trump

2020 election: (past 90 days)

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%203-m&geo=US&q=Biden,Trump

:butthurt9:
[/quote]

Original Message (Update: It seems you can use this to detect electoral fraud)

The method that works is:

1) Last names - not full names - (or whatever is a simplest shortest way to identify the candidate . E.G: Beto is better than O'Rourke - Mccain is better than John or John Mccain)
2) Date range starts from beginning of campaign to 1 week after the election.
3) Always Filter by geographical area where election takes place (Country, state, county etc..)

You do that, 9 out 10 times - the results match reality.

Note: the predictive system starts to breaks down when there are less than 500,000 voters, or when the election is too tight (candidates within 3% of each other.)

2004 election

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]

2008 election:

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]

2012 election:

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]

2016 election:

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]

2020 election: (past 90 days)

[link to trends.google.com (secure)]

Pictures (click to insert)





\| Next Page >>