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Did you catch that? The Fed raised rates and within two biz weeks the yield curve inverted! Recession doom straight ahead!
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[quote:M R E:MV81MDk4MTE1XzkzNDc0NDU0XzdEMzEwNTJC] [quote:Anonymous Coward 82487843:MV81MDk4MTE1XzkzNDczNjgwXzUxQTE1M0E4] [quote:M R E:MV81MDk4MTE1XzkzNDczNTY5X0I0Qjg3OERC] so does this mean the Fed will continue to increase their balance sheet (stimulate) instead of reducing it while raising rates at the same time?? or will they reverse course and move to negative rates?? [/quote] What can they do? They just raised rates, in mid-March, but obviously they can't raise them any more. If they do, recession, maybe depression. If they don't, inflation, maybe hyperinflation. My best guess is they'll jawbone about further raising rates but do nothing as inflation increases and as growth stalls. In other words, we're going to get both, folks, over the next year: inflation and a recession. The Fed can do nothing. This is the end. It is the Alamo. Holy smokes. I knew it was coming. But still part of me didn't believe it. [/quote] so we are heading for Stagflation! [/quote]
Original Message
March 17, the Fed raises rates for the first time since 2018: [
link to baystreet.ca
]
March 30, the yield curve inverts, indicating an impending recesion: [
link to www.barrons.com (secure)
]
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