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BAM! 10Y:3M yield curve inverts! A recession is now a lock, done deal, happening!
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In accordance with industry accepted best practices we ask that users limit their copy / paste of copyrighted material to the relevant portions of the article you wish to discuss and no more than 50% of the source material, provide a link back to the original article and provide your original comments / criticism in your post with the article.
[quote:Anonymous Coward 84119115:MV81MjYxNDY5Xzk2OTU2MDYxX0NEMzMyMEJC] [quote:Economic Prepper:MV81MjYxNDY5Xzk2OTU2MDQzXzExMEIyMzE1] [b]Stocks are in a bubble. Treasury Bonds are in a Hyper Bubble. The Treasury Dept is panicking behind the scenes[/b] [/quote] I'm ready for it all to collapse so I can stop hearing Biden Bros proclaim this is the best economy ever. [/quote]
Original Message
[
link to www.forbes.com (secure)
]
U.S. government 3-month rates rose above the yield on 10-year bonds
, according to U.S. Treasury data for Oct. 18, 2022. This is
fairly unusual
and researchers regard this as among the
best indicators that a U.S. recession is coming on a 6-18 month view
. This indicator is among the
best track records
in forecasting recessions across a range of economic variables.
It has successfully called all recessions in recent decades
without
any
false alarms
.
Big news. Bigger news than the guy pooping publicly.
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