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Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky

 
Anonymous Coward
05/05/2005 06:28 AM
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Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
The whole article should be read from the original site for references and Maps.




Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran
by Michel Chossudovsky
www.globalresearch.ca 1 May 2005
The URL of this article is: [link to globalresearch.ca]


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At the outset of Bushīs second term, Vice President Dick Cheney dropped a bombshell. He hinted, in no uncertain terms, that Iran was "right at the top of the list" of the rogue enemies of America, and that Israel would, so to speak, "be doing the bombing for us", without US military involvement and without us putting pressure on them "to do it":

"One of the concerns people have is that Israel might do it without being asked... Given the fact that Iran has a stated policy that their objective is the destruction of Israel, the Israelis might well decide to act first, and let the rest of the world worry about cleaning up the diplomatic mess afterwards," (quoted from an MSNBC Interview Jan 2005)

Israel is a Rottweiler on a leash: The US wants to "set Israel loose" to attack Iran. Commenting the Vice Presidentīs assertion, former National Security adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski in an interview on PBS, confirmed with some apprehension, yes: Cheney wants Prime Ariel Sharon to act on Americaīs behalf and "do it" for us:

"Iran I think is more ambiguous. And there the issue is certainly not tyranny; itīs nuclear weapons. And the vice president today in a kind of a strange parallel statement to this declaration of freedom hinted that the Israelis may do it and in fact used language which sounds like a justification or even an encouragement for the Israelis to do it."

The foregoing statements are misleading. The US is not "encouraging Israel". What we are dealing with is a joint US-Israeli military operation to bomb Iran, which has been in the active planning stage for more than a year. The Neocons in the Defense Department, under Douglas Feith, have been working assiduously with their Israeli military and intelligence counterparts, carefully identifying targets inside Iran ( Seymour Hersh, [link to www.globalresearch.ca] )

Under this working arrangement, Israel will not act unilaterally, without a green light from Washington. In other words, Israel will not implement an attack without the participation of the US.

Covert Intelligence Operations: Stirring Ethnic Tensions in Iran

Meanwhile, for the last two years, Washington has been involved in covert intelligence operations inside Iran. American and British intelligence and special forces (working with their Israeli counterparts) are involved in this operation.

"A British intelligence official said that any campaign against Iran would not be a ground war like the one in Iraq. The Americans will use different tactics, said the intelligence officer. īIt is getting quite scary.ī" (Evening Standard, 17 June 2003, [link to www.globalresearch.ca] )

The expectation is that a US-Israeli bombing raid of Iranīs nuclear facilities will stir up ethnic tensions and trigger "regime change" in favor of the US. (See Arab Monitor, [link to www.globalresearch.ca] ).

Bush advisers believe that the "Iranian opposition movement" will unseat the Mullahs. This assessment constitutes a gross misjudgment of social forces inside Iran. What is more likely to occur is that Iranians will consistently rally behind a wartime government against foreign aggression. In fact, the entire Middle East and beyond would rise up against US interventionism.

Retaliation in the Case of a US-Israeli Aerial Attack

Tehran has confirmed that it will retaliate if attacked, in the form of ballistic missile strikes directed against Israel (CNN, 8 Feb 2005). These attacks, could also target US military facilities in the Persian Gulf, which would immediately lead us into a scenario of military escalation and all out war.

In other words, the air strikes against Iran could contribute to unleashing a war in the broader Middle East Central Asian region.

Moreover, the planned attack on Iran should also be understood in relation to the timely withdrawal of Syrian troops from Lebanon, which has opened up a new space, for the deployment of Israeli forces. The participation of Turkey in the US-Israeli military operation is also a factor, following an agreement reached between Ankara and Tel Aviv.

In other words, US and Israeli military planners must carefully weigh the far-reaching implications of their actions.

Israel Builds up its Stockpile of Deadly Military Hardware

A massive buildup in military hardware has occurred in preparation for a possible attack on Iran.

Israel has recently taken delivery from the US of some 5,000 "smart air launched weapons" including some 500 BLU 109 ībunker-buster bombs. The (uranium coated) munitions are said to be more than "adequate to address the full range of Iranian targets, with the possible exception of the buried facility at Natanz, which may require the [more powerful] BLU-113 bunker buster ":

"Given Israelīs already substantial holdings of such weapons, this increase in its inventory would allow a sustained assault with or without further US involvement." (See Richard Bennett, [link to globalresearch.ca] )



Gbu 28 Guided Bomb Unit-28 (GBU-28)



The Israeli Air Force would attack Iranīs nuclear facility at Bushehr using US as well Israeli produced bunker buster bombs. The attack would be carried out in three separate waves "with the radar and communications jamming protection being provided by U.S. Air Force AWACS and other U.S. aircraft in the area". (See W Madsen, [link to www.globalresearch.ca]

Bear in mind that the bunker buster bombs can also be used to deliver tactical nuclear bombs. The B61-11 is the "nuclear version" of the "conventional" BLU 113. It can be delivered in much same way as the conventional bunker buster bomb. (See Michel Chossudovsky, [link to www.globalresearch.ca] , see also [link to www.thebulletin.org] ) .

According to the Pentagon, tactical nuclear weapons are "safe for civilians". Their use has been authorized by the US Senate. (See Miochel Chossudovsky, [link to www.globalresearch.ca] )

Moreover, reported in late 2003, Israeli Dolphin-class submarines equipped with US Harpoon missiles armed with nuclear warheads are now aimed at Iran. (See Gordon Thomas, [link to www.globalresearch.ca]

Even if tactical nuclear weapons are not used by Israel, an attack on Iranīs nuclear facilities not only raises the specter of a broader war, but also of nuclear radiation over a wide area:

"To attack Iranīs nuclear facilities will not only provoke war, but it could also unleash clouds of radiation far beyond the targets and the borders of Iran." (Statement of Prof Elias Tuma, Arab Internet Network, Federal News Service, 1 March 2005)

Moreover, while most reports have centered on the issue of punitive air strikes on Iranīs nuclear facilities, the strikes would most probably extend to other targets.

While a ground war is contemplated as a possible "scenario" at the level of military planning, the US military would not be able to wage a an effective ground war, given the situation in Iraq. In the words of former National Security Adviser Lawrence Eagelberger:

"We are not going to get in a ground war in Iran, I hope. If we get into that, we are in serious trouble. I donīt think anyone in Washington is seriously considering that." ( quoted in the National Journal, 4 December 2004).

Iranīs Military Capabilities

Despite its overall weaknesses in relation to Israel and the US, Iran has an advanced air defense system, deployed to protect its nuclear sites; "they are dispersed and underground making potential air strikes difficult and without any guarantees of success." (Jerusalem Post, 20 April 2005). It has upgraded its Shahab-3 missile, which can reach targets in Israel. Iranīs armed forces have recently conducted high-profile military exercises in anticipation of a US led attack. Iran also possesses some 12 X-55 strategic cruise missiles, produced by the Ukraine. Iranīs air defense systems is said to feature Russian SA-2, SA-5, SA-6 as well as shoulder-launched SA-7 missiles (Jaffa Center for Strategic Studies).

The US "Military Road Map"

The Bush administration has officially identified Iran and Syria as the next stage of “the road map to war”.

Targeting Iran is a bipartisan project, which broadly serves the interests of the Anglo-American oil conglomerates, the Wall Street financial establishment and the military-industrial complex.

The broader Middle East-Central Asian region encompasses more than 70% of the Worldīs reserves of oil and natural gas. Iran possesses 10% of the worldīs oil and ranks third after Saudi Arabia (25 %) and Iraq (11 %) in the size of its reserves. In comparison, the US possesses less than 2.8 % of global oil reserves. (See Eric Waddell, The Battle for Oil, [link to www.globalresearch.ca] )

The announcement to target Iran should come as no surprise. It is part of the battle for oil. Already during the Clinton administration, US Central Command (USCENTCOM) had formulated "in war theater plans" to invade both Iraq and Iran:

"The broad national security interests and objectives expressed in the Presidentīs National Security Strategy (NSS) and the Chairmanīs National Military Strategy (NMS) form the foundation of the United States Central Commandīs theater strategy. The NSS directs implementation of a strategy of dual containment of the rogue states of Iraq and Iran as long as those states pose a threat to U.S. interests, to other states in the region, and to their own citizens. Dual containment is designed to maintain the balance of power in the region without depending on either Iraq or Iran. USCENTCOMīs theater strategy is interest-based and threat-focused. The purpose of U.S. engagement, as espoused in the NSS, is to protect the United Statesī vital interest in the region - uninterrupted, secure U.S./Allied access to Gulf oil.

(USCENTCOM, [link to www.milnet.com] , emphasis added)

Main Military Actors

While the US, Israel, as well as Turkey (with borders with both Iran and Syria) are the main actors in this process, a number of other countries, in the region, allies of the US, including several Central Asian former Soviet republics have been enlisted. Britain is closely involved despite its official denials at the diplomatic level. Turkey occupies a central role in the Iran operation. It has an extensive military cooperation agreement with Israel. There are indications that NATO is also formally involved in the context of an Israel-NATO agreement reached in November 2004.

Planning The Aerial Attack on Iran

According to former weapons inspector Scott Ritter, George W. Bush has already signed off on orders for an aerial attack on Iran, scheduled for June.(See [link to www.globalresearch.ca] )

The June cut-off date should be understood. It does not signify that the attack will occur in June. What it suggests is that the US and Israel are "in a state of readiness" and are prepared to launch an attack by June or at a later date. In other words, the decision to launch the attack has not been made.

Ritterīs observation concerning an impending military operation should nonetheless be taken seriously. In recent months, there is ample evidence that a major military operation is in preparation:

1) several high profile military exercises have been conducted in recent months, involving military deployment and the testing of weapons systems.

2) military planning meetings have been held between the various parties involved. There has been a shuttle of military and government officials between Washington, Tel Aviv and Ankara.

3) A significant change in the military command structure in Israel has occurred, with the appointment of a new Chief of Staff.

4) Intense diplomatic exchanges have been carried out at the international level with a view to securing areas of military cooperation and/or support for a US-Israeli led military operation directed against Iran.

5) Ongoing intelligence operations inside Iran have been stepped up.

6) Consensus Building: Media propaganda on the need to intervene in Iran has been stepped up, with daily reports on how Iran constitutes a threat to peace and global security.

Timeline of Key Initiatives

In the last few months, various key initiatives have been taken, which are broadly indicative that an aerial bombing of Iran is in the military pipeline:

November 2004 in Brussels: NATO-Israel protocol: Israelīs IDF delegation to the NATO conference to met with military brass of six members of the Mediterranean basin nations, including Egypt, Jordan, Algeria, Tunisia, Morocco, Algeria and Mauritania. "NATO seeks to revive the framework, known as the Mediterranean Dialogue program, which would include Israel. The Israeli delegation accepted to participate in military exercises and "anti-terror maneuvers" together with several Arab countries.

January 2005: the US, Israel and Turkey held military exercises in the Eastern Mediterranean , off the coast of Syria. These exercises, which have been held in previous years were described as routine.

February 2005. Following the decision reached in Brussels in November 2004, Israel was involved for the first time in military exercises with NATO, which also included several Arab countries.

February 2005: Assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. The assassination, which was blamed on Syria, serves Israeli and US interests and was used as a pretext to demand the withdrawal of Syrian troops from Lebanon.

February 2005: Sharon fires his Chief-of-Staff, Moshe Ya’alon and appoints Air Force General Dan Halutz. This is the first time in Israeli history that an Air Force General is appointed Chief of Staff (See Uri Avnery, [link to www.globalresearch.ca] )

The appointment of Major General Dan Halutz as IDF Chief of Staff is considered in Israeli political circles as "the appointment of the right man at the right time." The central issue is that a major aerial operation against Iran is in the planning stage, and Maj General Halutz is slated to coordinate the aerial bombing raids on Iran. Halutzīs appointment was specifically linked to Israelīs Iran agenda: "As chief of staff, he will in the best position to prepare the military for such a scenario."

March 2005: NATOīs Secretary General was in Jerusalem for follow-up talks with Ariel Sharon and Israelīs military brass, following the joint NATO-Israel military exercise in February. These military cooperation ties are viewed by the Israeli military as a means to "enhance Israelīs deterrence capability regarding potential enemies threatening it, mainly Iran and Syria." The premise underlying NATO-Israel military cooperation is that Israel is under attack:

"The more Israelīs image is strengthened as a country facing enemies who attempt to attack it for no justified reason, the greater will be the possibility that aid will be extended to Israel by NATO. Furthermore, Iran and Syria will have to take into account the possibility that the increasing cooperation between Israel and NATO will strengthen Israelīs links with Turkey, also a member of NATO. Given Turkeyīs impressive military potential and its geographic proximity to both Iran and Syria, Israelīs operational options against them, if and when it sees the need, could gain considerable strength. " (Jaffa Center for Strategic Studies, [link to www.tau.ac.il] )

The Israel-NATO protocol is all the more important because it obligates NATO to align itself with the US-Israeli plan to bomb Iran, as an act of self defense on the part of Israel. It also means that NATO is also involved in the process of military consultations relating to the planned aerial bombing of Iran. It is of course related to the bilateral military cooperation agreement between Israel and Turkey and the likelihood that part of the military operation will be launched from Turkey, which is a member of NATO.

Late March 2005: News leaks in Israel indicated an "initial authorization" by Prime Minster Ariel Sharon of an Israeli attack on Iranīs Natanz uranium enrichment plant "if diplomacy failed to stop Iranīs nuclear program". (The Hindu, 28 March 2005)

March-April 2005: The Holding in Israel of Joint US-Israeli military exercises specifically pertaining to the launching of Patriot missiles.

US Patriot missile crews stationed in Germany were sent to Israel to participate in the joint Juniper Cobra exercise with the Israeli military. The exercise was described as routine and "unconnected to events in the Middle East": "As always, we are interested in implementing lessons learned from training exercises." (UPI, 9 March 2005).

April 2005: Donald Rumsfeld was on an official visits to Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Kyrgyzstan and Azerbaijan. His diplomatic endeavors were described by the Russian media as "literally circling Iran in an attempt to find the best bridgehead for a possible military operation against that country."

In Baku, Azerbaijan Rumsfeld was busy discussing the date for deployment of US troops in Azerbaijan on Iranīs North-Western border. US military bases described as "mobile groups" in Azerbaijan are slated to play a role in a military operation directed against Iran.

Azerbaijan is a member of GUUAM, a military cooperation agreement with the US and NATO, which allows for the stationing of US troops in several of the member countries, including Georgia, Uzbekistan and Azerbaijan. The stated short term objective is to "neutralize Iran". The longer term objective under the Pentagonīs "Caspian Plan" is to exert military and economic control over the entire Caspian sea basin, with a view to ensuring US authority over oil reserves and pipeline corridors.

During his visit in April, Rumsfeld was pushing the US initiative of establishing "American special task forces and military bases to secure US influence in the Caspian region:

"Called Caspian Watch, the project stipulates a network of special task forces and police units in the countries of the regions to be used in emergencies including threats to objects of the oil complex and pipelines. Project Caspian Watch will be financed by the United States ($100 million). It will become an advance guard of the US European Command whose zone of responsibility includes the Caspian region. Command center of the project with a powerful radar is to be located in Baku." ( Defense and Security Russia, April 27, 2005)

Rumsfeldīs visit followed shortly after that of Iranian President Mohammad Khatamiīs to Baku.

April 2005: Iran signs a military cooperation with Tajikistan, which occupies a strategic position bordering Afghanistanīs Northern frontier. Tajikistan is a member of "The Shanghai Five" military cooperation group, which also includes Kazakhstan, China, Kyrgyzstan, and Russia. Iran also has economic cooperation agreements with Turkmenistan.

Mid April 2005: Israel Prime Minister Ariel Sharon meets George W Bush at his Texas Ranch. Iran is on the agenda of bilateral talks. More significantly, the visit of Ariel Sharon was used to carry out high level talks between US and Israeli military planners pertaining to Iran.

Late April 2005. President Vladmir Putin is in Israel on an official visit. He announces Russiaīs decision to sell short-range anti-aircraft missiles to Syria and to continue supporting Iranīs nuclear industry. Beneath the gilded surface of international diplomacy, Putinīs timely visit to Israel must be interpreted as "a signal to Israel" regarding its planned aerial attack on Iran.

Late April 2005: US pressure in the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has been exerted with a view to blocking the re-appointment of Mohammed Al Baradei, who according to US officials "is not being tough enough on Iran..." Following US pressures, the vote on the appointment of a new IAEA chief was put off until June. These developments suggest that Washington wants to put forth their own hand-picked nominee prior to launching US-Israeli aerial attacks on Iranīs nuclear facilities. (See VOA, [link to www.voanews.com] ). (In February 2003, Al Baradei along with UN chief weapons inspector Hans Blix challenged the (phony) intelligence on WMD presented by the US to the UN Security Council, with a view to justifying the war on Iraq.)

Late April 2005. Sale of deadly military hardware to Israel. GBU-28 Buster Bunker Bombs: Coinciding with Putinīs visit to Israel, the US Defence Security Cooperation Agency (Department of Defense) announced the sale of an additional 100 bunker-buster bombs produced by Lockheed Martin to Israel. This decision was viewed by the US media as "a warning to Iran about its nuclear ambitions."

The sale pertains to the larger and more sophisticated "Guided Bomb Unit-28 (GBU-28) BLU-113 Penetrator" (including the WGU-36A/B guidance control unit and support equipment). The GBU-28 is described as "a special weapon for penetrating hardened command centers located deep underground. The fact of the matter is that the GBU-28 is among the Worldīs most deadly "conventional" weapons used in the 2003 invasion of Iraq, capable of causing thousands of civilian deaths through massive explosions.

The Israeli Air Force are slated to use the GBU-28s on their F-15 aircraft. (See text of DSCA news release at [link to www.dsca.osd.mil]

Late April 2005- early May: Turkeyīs Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Israel for follow-up talks with Ariel Sharon. He was accompanied by his Defense Minister Vecdi Gonul, who met with senior Israeli military officials. On the official agenda of these talks: joint defense projects, including the joint production of Arrow II Theater Missile Defense and Popeye II missiles. The latter also known as the Have Lite, are advanced small missiles, designed for deployment on fighter planes. Tel Aviv and Ankara decide to establish a hotline to share intelligence.

May 2005: Syrian troops scheduled to withdraw from Lebanon, leading to a major shift in the Middle East security situation, in favor of Israel and the US.

Iran Surrounded

The US has troops and military bases in Turkey, Pakistan, Azerbaijan, Afghanistan, and of course Iraq.

In other words, Iran is virtually surrounded by US military bases. (see Map below). These countries as well as Turkmenistan, are members of NATO`s partnership for Peace Program. and have military cooperation agreements with NATO.



Copyright Eric Waddell, Global Research, 2003 (Click Map to enlarge)

In other words, we are dealing with a potentially explosive scenario in which a number of countries, including several former Soviet republics, could be brought into a US led war with Iran. IranAtom.ru, a Russian based news and military analysis group has suggested, in this regard:

"since Iranian nuclear objects are scattered all over the country, Israel will need a mass strike with different fly-in and fly-out approaches - Jordan, Iraq, Turkey, Azerbaijan, and other countries... Azerbaijan seriously fears Tehranīs reaction should Baku issue a permit to Israeli aircraft to overfly its territory." (Defense and Security Russia, 12 April 2005).

Concluding remarks:

The World is at an important crossroads.

The Bush Administration has embarked upon a military adventure which threatens the future of humanity.

Iran is the next military target. The planned military operation, which is by no means limited to punitive strikes against Iranīs nuclear facilities, is part of a project of World domination, a military roadmap, launched at the end of the Cold War.

Military action against Iran would directly involve Israelīs participation, which in turn is likely to trigger a broader war throughout the Middle East, not to mention an implosion in the Palestinian occupied territories. Turkey is closely associated with the proposed aerial attacks.

Israel is a nuclear power with a sophisticated nuclear arsenal. (See text box below). The use of nuclear weapons by Israel or the US cannot be excluded, particularly in view of the fact that tactical nuclear weapons have now been reclassified as a variant of the conventional bunker buster bombs and are authorized by the US Senate for use in conventional war theaters. ("they are harmless to civilians because the explosion is underground")

In this regard, Israel and the US rather than Iran constitute a nuclear threat.

The planned attack on Iran must be understood in relation to the existing active war theaters in the Middle East, namely Afghanistan, Iraq and Palestine.

The conflict could easily spread from the Middle East to the Caspian sea basin. It could also involve the participation of Azerbaijan and Georgia, where US troops are stationed.

An attack on Iran would have a direct impact on the resistance movement inside Iraq. It would also put pressure on Americaīs overstretched military capabilities and resources in both the Iraqi and Afghan war theaters. (The 150,000 US troops in Iraq are already fully engaged and could not be redeployed in the case of a war with Iran.)

In other words, the shaky geopolitics of the Central Asia- Middle East region, the three existing war theaters in which America is currently, involved, the direct participation of Israel and Turkey, the structure of US sponsored military alliances, etc. raises the specter of a broader conflict.

Moreover, US military action on Iran not only threatens Russian and Chinese interests, which have geopolitical interests in the Caspian sea basin and which have bilateral agreements with Iran. It also backlashes on European oil interests in Iran and is likely to produce major divisions between Western allies, between the US and its European partners as well as within the European Union.

Through its participation in NATO, Europe, despite its reluctance, would be brought into the Iran operation. The participation of NATO largely hinges on a military cooperation agreement reached between NATO and Israel. This agreement would bind NATO to defend Israel against Syria and Iran. NATO would therefore support a preemptive attack on Iranīs nuclear facilities, and could take on a more active role if Iran were to retaliate following US-Israeli air strikes.

Needless to say, the war against Iran is part of a longer term US military agenda which seeks to militarize the entire Caspian sea basin, eventually leading to the destabilization and conquest of the Russian Federation.

The Antiwar Movement

The antiwar movement must act, consistently, to prevent the next phase of this war from happening.

This is no easy matter. The holding of large antiwar rallies will not in itself reverse the tide of war.

High ranking officials of the Bush administration, members of the military and the US Congress have been granted the authority to uphold an illegal war agenda.

What is required is a grass roots network, a mass movement at national and international levels, which challenges the legitimacy of the military and political actors, and which is ultimately instrumental in unseating those who rule in our name.

War criminals occupy positions of authority. The citizenry is galvanized into supporting the rulers, who are "committed to their safety and well-being". Through media disinformation, war is given a humanitarian mandate.

To reverse the tide of war, military bases must be closed down, the war machine (namely the production of advanced weapons systems) must be stopped and the burgeoning police state must be dismantled.

The corporate backers and sponsors of war and war crimes must also be targeted including the oil companies, the defense contractors, the financial institutions and the corporate media, which has become an integral part of the war propaganda machine.

Antiwar sentiment does not dismantle a war agenda. The war criminals in the US, Israel and Britain must be removed from high office.

What is needed is to reveal the true face of the American Empire and the underlying criminalization of US foreign policy, which uses the "war on terrorism" and the threat of Al Qaeda to galvanize public opinion in support of a global war agenda.


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TEXT BOX: Israelīs Nuclear Capabilities
With between 200 and 500 thermonuclear weapons and a sophisticated delivery system, Israel has quietly supplanted Britain as the Worldīs 5th Largest nuclear power, and may currently rival France and China in the size and sophistication of its nuclear arsenal. Although dwarfed by the nuclear arsenals of the U.S. and Russia, each possessing over 10,000 nuclear weapons, Israel nonetheless is a major nuclear power, and should be publicly recognized as such.

Today, estimates of the Israeli nuclear arsenal range from a minimum of 200 to a maximum of about 500. Whatever the number, there is little doubt that Israeli nukes are among the worldīs most sophisticated, largely designed for "war fighting" in the Middle East. A staple of the Israeli nuclear arsenal are "neutron bombs," miniaturized thermonuclear bombs designed to maximize deadly gamma radiation while minimizing blast effects and long term radiation- in essence designed to kill people while leaving property intact.(16) Weapons include ballistic missiles and bombers capable of reaching Moscow...

The bombs themselves range in size from "city busters" larger than the Hiroshima Bomb to tactical mini nukes. The Israeli arsenal of weapons of mass destruction clearly dwarfs the actual or potential arsenals of all other Middle Eastern states combined, and is vastly greater than any conceivable need for "deterrence."

Many Middle East Peace activists have been reluctant to discuss, let alone challenge, the Israeli monopoly on nuclear weapons in the region, often leading to incomplete and uninformed analyses and flawed action strategies. Placing the issue of Israeli weapons of mass destruction directly and honestly on the table and action agenda would have several salutary effects. First, it would expose a primary destabilizing dynamic driving the Middle East arms race and compelling the regionīs states to each seek their own "deterrent."

Second, it would expose the grotesque double standard which sees the U.S. and Europe on the one hand condemning Iraq, Iran and Syria for developing weapons of mass destruction, while simultaneously protecting and enabling the principal culprit. Third, exposing Israelīs nuclear strategy would focus international public attention, resulting in increased pressure to dismantle its weapons of mass destruction and negotiate a just peace in good faith. Finally, a nuclear free Israel would make a Nuclear Free Middle East and a comprehensive regional peace agreement much more likely. Unless and until the world community confronts Israel over its covert nuclear program it is unlikely that there will be any meaningful resolution of the Israeli/Arab conflict, a fact that Israel may be counting on as the Sharon era dawns.

From John Steinbach, Israelīs Nuclear Arsenal, [link to www.globalresearch.ca]



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Anonymous Coward
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
General Joshuha
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Good Evening Professer Falcon, a game of thermonuclear war? Why yes said the professor.

Itīs easy once you find the back door.......


War Games
Maybe, maybe not
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
For many decades, Russia has practiced asymmetric warfare techniques, meaning that it has developed weapons and techniques designed to ensure that it (and its allies) can defeat nations with much larger war chests, in this case principally although not solely the īOne World Governmentī folk across in New York.
When America invested billions in the development of the Abrams battle tank, the Russians started to look for a more economical way of killing it without bothering to build an opposition tank of their own. To this end, they duplicated the American armor and tested different methods of penetrating it with lightweight economical weapons. Long before America invaded Russian ally Iraq in 2003, they had already found the answer.
Before America crossed the border from Kuwait into Iraq, Russia discreetly supplied the Republican Guard with more than 1,000 "Kornet" anti-tank missiles. Each of these and its launcher can easily be handled by a team of three men, and be fired from a simple hole in the desert. Kornet is a laser-guided Mach 3 nightmare with a double warhead guaranteed to finish off at Abrams from 5,000 yards away. In other words, completely out of sight of the American tank crew until missile impact. These missiles have already accounted for more than 60 Abrams tanks in Iraq, and will unquestionably account for a lot more in the future.
When corrupt politicians and military contractors in America decided to control the world by building monolithic aircraft carriers, known politely in New York as "Instruments of American Foreign Policy", Russia did not bother to compete. It could have done so easily, but chose instead to find more economical ways of destroying this massive seaborne American menace. This was achieved by the "Sunburn" and "Onyx" supersonic sea-skimming missiles, which have never been known to miss their targets.
Note here that both missiles have a range of less than 250 miles at best, proving they are designed for purely defensive use. None have been fitted to strategic bombers in order to attack American ships in American waters, but will unquestionably be used to sink any American aircraft carrier stupid enough to get within 250 miles of Russia or one of its close allies. Thus these missiles have completely neutered Americaīs "Instruments of Foreign Policy" at a cost of just one million dollars per round.
At the tactical level, these weapons are equally useful. American foreign policy has been getting dangerously close to Iran and Syria during the last two years, and both sovereign states are now equipped with either Sunburn or Onyx, both of which are nuclear capable. So if America is stupid enough to attack Iran, it will almost certainly lose at least one Carrier battle group in the Persian Gulf to these unstoppable weapons, making the odds too high.
In like manner, if the Jewish State is stupid enough to attack Syria, it can expect to lose most of greater Tel Aviv and probably Haifa as well. The problem is that a desperate Jewish State on the hind foot, might decide to go nuclear, and direct its īrequisitionedī stock of American atomic weapons against both Syria and Iran. Clearly, defensive Sunburns and Onyxs would be of no use at all in such a crazed doomsday scenario. But never fear, Russia had already thought of the answer to that little problem as well.
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12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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8876 thanks for the contribution.
I sincerely believe its gonig to get out of hand this time in real big terms and surprises for both the US and the Talmudist state.
Anonymous Coward
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Bump
Anonymous Coward
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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If you read between the lines you will see this from the OP post:

"We cannot afford another ground war -- if the situration gets serious enough and the aerial game has not resulted in a win, we will have to pull out the thermo-nuclear plans and obliterate them."
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12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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The final outcome considering other factors which are unknown might lead to the anihiliation of everybody.

I cannot see why some has to restraint themselves more than others.

The US/Talmudist Zionist are not the ones prepard to sacrifice their lives as far as we can see.!!!

They think they can get away with it and thats where they are bloody WRONG.!!!
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Another Bump
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12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
the bushwacker has got to hurry, cannot afford much more delay, the end game for him is getting close.

I have heard that a US attorney has reviewed the 911 evidence and has convened a secret grand jury.

day by day the evidence gets stronger that our government was invloved in 911. definately has Israel involvment too!

he has got to have martial law before the end of summer or he will be in jail by fall.
DanG
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
worshipworshipbushfingsheepsheepdynamite
bastards shoulda been locked up 3 years ago !
malu
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
locked up is too good for them dang,, one bullet each,, they sold the country out, family values, the infrastructure, social security,,,,,,,

evolution or revolution,, i donīt give a shit
Russia-Allies Empire Strikes B
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
"In like manner, if the Jewish State is stupid enough to attack Syria, it can expect to lose most of greater Tel Aviv and probably Haifa as well. The problem is that a desperate Jewish State on the hind foot, might decide to go nuclear, and direct its īrequisitionedī stock of American atomic weapons against both Syria and Iran. Clearly, defensive Sunburns and Onyxs would be of no use at all in such a crazed doomsday scenario. But never fear, Russia had already thought of the answer to that little problem as well."


Just about everyone with a television set has seen or at least heard of the fabled American "Patriot" missile, hopefully designed to intercept and destroy incoming tactical ballistic missiles, presumably fired by īMuslim Terroristsī, or perhaps any recalcitrant nation seriously pissed off at Wall Street trying to democratically steal its sovereign oil reserves. Rather like the earlier comparison between Vostok 1 and Challenger 7, the Patriot is a shrimp sized version of the venerable Russian S-300 missile system, and with the same comparative limitations, i.e. the Russian system works perfectly, while the American system does not work at all.
The S-300 was originally designed in the late sixties by the Russian Almaz Scientific Production Association, to shoot down low-altitude targets, including cruise missiles and aircraft. Even in the early days its phased-array fire control radar was capable of tracking up to six targets simultaneously, while its single-state, solid-fuel propelled missile sported aerodynamic control surfaces and thrust vectoring. The first S-300 missile, known as 5V55K, had a range of 30 miles and could successfully engage its incoming targets between 200 and 100,000 feet.
But that was then, and now is now. Both Iran and Syria have recently been equipped with the very latest version of this missiles, the S-300PMU-2, which is larger, faster and even more efficient at hunting down its prey. The range of this upgraded missile is in excess of 125 miles, with the ability to acquire and kill targets flying as low as 30 feet. The Russians routinely shoot down random target drones travelling at 5,800 feet per second, and further claim the weapon is easily capable of destroying targets approaching at up to 15,500 feet per second, or Mach 14. Trust me, the S-300PMU-2 will swiftly take care of anything America or the Jewish State is reckless enough to fire at Iran or Syria, and then some. Rumor has it that this big bird of prey is canny enough to detect and destroy Groom Lakeīs īinvisibleī B2 bomber.
[link to www.vialls.com]
malu
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
shoot down random target drones travelling at 5,800 feet per second

drones that fly faster than any bullet on earth,, ummmmmmmm

and they shoot them down do they?

am i missing something?
neti
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
The US and Israel are not looking further than their own aims. They havenīt taken into consideration the attitudes of Russia and China, both of whom have demands for oil - as well as many other countries further removed (in Southeast Asia for instance) which have military potential and ideological ties with Middle Eastern countries.


Please see the prophecy from 2002:

Predictions for 2002 and Beyond
[link to www.crawford2000.co.uk]


4. World War III

4.7. Pakistan will enter into an alliance with China and through this the Chinese will make their way through Pakistan, the Arabian Sea and the Middle East.

4.8. India will form an alliance with Russia opening the way to the Indian Ocean to the Russians which will alarm the U.S.A. and complicate that region of the world immensely.

4.9. Iran will form an alliance with Russia allowing the Russians to eventually dominate the Middle East.

(note. Some of the prophecies are technically wrong due to decisions taken, eg. the one about Saddam Hussein, but the trend of events is there, unless it can be offset in some way by public reaction to exhortations towards war.)



Similarly the īThird Secret of Fatimaī is technically wrong because nothing happened before the year 2000, but the trend towards catastrophe, of violence in human affairs and against the earth is still there and has not been significantly ameliorated.

The Vatican’s ‘Secret’...
[link to www.rosesfromheaven.com]

Fatima, Akita, Bayside All Say...
[link to www.rosesfromheaven.com]



Prophecy is not final except in so far as menīs decisions are predictable. If we are corruptible then corruption will come upon us.. Itīs as simple as that.
malu
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
well it looks to my eye,, that those 2002 predictions are pretty darn close to what will happen neti

i have felt the same way as long or longer
neti
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
Yes, Malu, but what can individual people do to offset this.... Can people individually turn away from war and warlike ways?
malu
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
tough question

i am ex military, grew up on a farm,, a survivalist at heart,, if you donīt mess with me,, i will offer you the shirt off my back,, if you try to hurt my family, take my food,, disrepect my way of life,, that is a different story

i want to be a lover,, not a fighter,, but i am trained for both,, imho
avatar too nli
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
could it be that?... the phalanx is gonna sting ya babay!

might be best if we never found out...
malu
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
we will lose two aircraft carriers in june or july,, if this goes down,,,
Anonymous Coward
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
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12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
The multi-channel mobile S-300PMU (SA-10B īGrumbleī) was designed by the Grushin and Rospletin OKB and entered service in 1985. The S-300 serves for covering cities and industrial installations from enemy air raids, defending stationary control posts located in tactical depth. The system has a short reaction time, high degree of automation, and high firing capabilities (3 seconds per launch). It can simultaneously track 9 targets and independently fire at 6 targets, one or two SAMs to each. The S-300PMU can hit targets flying at speeds of up to 10000 km/h at altitudes from 25 to 30000 meters and has a guaranteed effective range of 90 km.

The system consists of the 6AN6E īBig Birdī phased array surveillance radar, the 36N6E īFlop-Lidī phased array multi-function engagement radar capable of tracking stealth targets. The control post can manage up to 12 self-propelled launchers each carrying 4 SAMs. The īFlap-Lidī radar rests on a single four-axle chassis with high off-road capabilities. The S-300 launches SAMs in the upright position, which enables it to fire at targets approaching from any direction. This gives the system big advantages in conditions of intensive maneuvering combat as this eliminates the necessity of turning the launchers beforehand to cover all directions.

The system employs the 48N6E SAM. It is a single-stage solid-propellant missile effective against any airborne targets (aircraft, helicopters, tactical and cruise missiles) at medium ranges in wide altitude limits. The 48N6E is fitted with a 143-kg blast-fragmentation warhead. The SAM blasts off upright from the launching container with a catapult to an altitude of 20-25 meters, then the rocket motor ignites. Blastoff acceleration may be as high as 100 Gs allowing the SAM to quickly pick up speed, which can reach 7500 km/h. In flight the 48N6E is controlled by exhaust deflector vanes and ailerons.

The S-300PMU employs inertial guidance in mid-course with commands from the 36N6E engagement radar and in the terminal phase semiactive track-via-missile mode. The 36N6E radar illuminates the target and the missileīs onboard passive radar seeker receives a reflected signal. The SAM then relays this signal through an ECM-resistant data link to the control post computer. The control post then transmits control commands to the SAM. Such a method allows one to fit the 48N6E SAM with light and relatively cheap equipment and at the same time to use highperformance signal processing ground facilities.

Rif

The shipborne version S-300F Rif (Reef) with USA/NATO designation SA-N-6 īGrumbleī is intended for defending ships from enemy aircraft and cruise missiles. The S-300F is effective against maneuvering and sea-skimming targets. The SAMs blast off upright through launching hatches from the below-deck revolver-type launcher. The ammunition of the Rif may consist of 48 or 64 SAMs. This system is installed on the Slava class cruisers in 8 cell rotary launchers.

[link to www.aeronautics.ru]
Anonymous Coward
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
Humpty Bumpy
Anonymous Coward
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
bump
Anonymous Coward
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
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12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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naughty
BUNDY
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
I cant beleive it, an intelligent informative thread on GLP!
tHE ONE THING IT DOESNT MENTION is the REASON for the war to come, and thats the BLIND hatred that arabs and other moslems have for jews.
THEY refuse to allow jews even the right to exist, and the jews arent going to go anywhere.
THESE ancient hatreds will lead to a totalwar in the mideast sooner or later, no way around it
Knowing they cant beat nuclear Isreal, the moslems will seek the help of more powerful nations, which will be easy to do since they will all want arab/moslem pil, countries like CHINA , RUSSIA, ETC
THIS war is a certainty, indeed the wheels are already moving, and while important localy it will just be the theater of a much larger world war.
AND this war will be SPECIAL, this is because we now have the tech to run a world society, whoever wins this one will be the boss of the planet, prob for a VERY long time
ONE OF THE REASONS EVERYBODY HAS BEEN RUNNING UP THE CREDIDT CARDS is because they know that in any world-wide conflagration all currency will be either revamped or wiped out completly.
The CIA is moving to Denver, as are other govt agencies going to ground. The japanese are building a NAVY.
wHOEVER WINS THIS ONE WILL CONTROL SCARCE OIL RESOURCES, sea lanes, you name it, and domination the planet will make the American hedgemony of the 20th century look pale by comparison. They will rule and shape the lanet for centuries
KEEP an eye out, we are close
HMMM... time for a bowl of cornflakescharlie
Anonymous Coward
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
So you think those Khazarain Talmudist Ashkenazi Zionists that became Jewish in 700 AD just can come in and take over Palestine pretending to be the old Hebrews.???

Which history school did you got????

The one run by the mainstrem brainwash messmedia???

The Spehardic Jews are oriental jews but 90% of all Jews on this planet come Khazrian orgin.
Read:
[link to 198.62.75.1]
Anonymous Coward
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
got that ole feeling that if this goes off, we loose the gas for a while, enough to implement Code Red.......more people have been killed by their own GOV than in all wars.
bundy
12/08/2005 10:16 AM
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Re: Very Important Analysis Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran by Michel Chossudovsky
I do know that MOST of the jews ON THE PLANET live in the USA, NOT iSREAL, AND that those who make the case that the USA is the new jerusalem actualy make a lot of sense.
And you can spout your "zionist" revisionist bullshit all you want, nobody is buying any of it.
The word "zionist" when you use it, says "I am a muslim and I hate the fuck outta jews"
Or mayby a white power nutbeer2





GLP