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| 02:56 PM | ||
SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
| SC User ID: 14589973  Netherlands10/01/2012 11:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We do also have a incoming CME Arrival for the 2nd October - Quoting: Spittin'Cesium Event Issue Date: 2012-09-30 19:51:21.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2012-10-02 22:31:42.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 11 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.1 Re That would be from one of the other Halo Events mentioned a couple of Days back. Hopefully geoeffective enlil updates to show this soon. It's currently in ambient mode. There was a slightly geoeffective cme showing on the enlil cygnet for a while but a newer one overrode it. :) I'm pretty sure I saw that on there earlier - Was that the one that appeared to get caught up in the High Speed Stream? |
| SC User ID: 14589973 Netherlands10/01/2012 11:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| SC User ID: 14589973 Netherlands10/01/2012 11:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We do also have a incoming CME Arrival for the 2nd October - Quoting: Spittin'Cesium Event Issue Date: 2012-09-30 19:51:21.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2012-10-02 22:31:42.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 11 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.1 Re That would be from one of the other Halo Events mentioned a couple of Days back. Hopefully geoeffective enlil updates to show this soon. It's currently in ambient mode. There was a slightly geoeffective cme showing on the enlil cygnet for a while but a newer one overrode it. :) I don't suppose you could post it when it updates could you please Madass? I would but I'm a little all over the place at the moment - Spread thinly in other Words. |
Hugh M Eye  User ID: 22914370  United States10/01/2012 11:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We do also have a incoming CME Arrival for the 2nd October - Quoting: Spittin'Cesium Event Issue Date: 2012-09-30 19:51:21.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2012-10-02 22:31:42.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 11 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.1 Re That would be from one of the other Halo Events mentioned a couple of Days back. Uh-oh! Thanks, Cesium, for bring it to our attention. I didn't know. Was that from the M-flare or thereabouts? Strange they would expect Disturbance Duration of 11 hours. I'll check the CACTus Diagnostics...... It may be this one here- [link to www.sidc.oma.be] It's super-slow, hence long duration of disturbance I suppose. |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 14589973 Netherlands10/01/2012 11:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We do also have a incoming CME Arrival for the 2nd October - Quoting: Spittin'Cesium Event Issue Date: 2012-09-30 19:51:21.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2012-10-02 22:31:42.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 11 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.1 Re That would be from one of the other Halo Events mentioned a couple of Days back. Uh-oh! Thanks, Cesium, for bring it to our attention. I didn't know. Was that from the M-flare or thereabouts? Strange they would expect Disturbance Duration of 11 hours. I'll check the CACTus Diagnostics...... It may be this one here- [link to www.sidc.oma.be] It's super-slow, hence long duration of disturbance I suppose. Arrr - It may well be that as you can clearly see the ejecta spread all along the Western side,North to South and toward the POV. It is a slow one hey? |
| SC User ID: 14589973 Netherlands10/01/2012 11:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We do also have a incoming CME Arrival for the 2nd October - Quoting: Spittin'Cesium Event Issue Date: 2012-09-30 19:51:21.0 GMT CME Arrival Time: 2012-10-02 22:31:42.0 GMT Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours Disturbance Duration: 11 hours Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 6.1 Re That would be from one of the other Halo Events mentioned a couple of Days back. Uh-oh! Thanks, Cesium, for bring it to our attention. I didn't know. Was that from the M-flare or thereabouts? Strange they would expect Disturbance Duration of 11 hours. I'll check the CACTus Diagnostics...... It may be this one here- [link to www.sidc.oma.be] It's super-slow, hence long duration of disturbance I suppose. Arrr - It may well be that as you can clearly see the ejecta spread all along the Western side,North to South and toward the POV. It is a slow one hey? After looking through here [link to www.sidc.oma.be] I think that may well be the one Hugh,thank you muchly Brother. |
| shenue User ID: 5263313 United States10/01/2012 11:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good night everyone. You all are the best!! Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny. |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands10/01/2012 11:55 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States10/01/2012 11:59 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here's the SEEDS master CME list. If you scroll down you'll see movies of all different events seen on LASCO. Just click on the NUMBER of frames to see the movies. They should also have STEREO A/B movies for each day at the top of the page, but there's always gaps in the imagery. [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] Here's two SOHO/LASCO candidates from the 29th: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] The STEREO A movie shows a nice one here: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] |
| SnakeBite User ID: 20003075  Canada10/02/2012 12:11 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands10/02/2012 12:24 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here's the SEEDS master CME list. If you scroll down you'll see movies of all different events seen on LASCO. Just click on the NUMBER of frames to see the movies. They should also have STEREO A/B movies for each day at the top of the page, but there's always gaps in the imagery. Quoting: Hugh M Eye [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] Here's two SOHO/LASCO candidates from the 29th: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] The STEREO A movie shows a nice one here: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] Danke schoen. [link to www.youtube.com] Ta' muchly again Hugh! Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 10/02/2012 12:32 AM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| madajs User ID: 24791599 Canada10/02/2012 12:27 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Well here's the barely geoeffective CME I saw earlier on the cygnet streamer [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] And always, he fought the temptation to choose a clear, safe course, warning: "That path leads ever down into stagnation." |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands10/02/2012 12:28 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands10/02/2012 12:30 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Well here's the barely geoeffective CME I saw earlier on the cygnet streamer Quoting: madajs [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov] I saw a different one earlier - the CME was traveling the other side of Earth? Nevermind! The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States10/02/2012 12:33 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | There's always more, LOL. Sometimes there's a dozen CMEs recorded; but most are tiny and go unnoticed. We only watch out for large to humongous ones; though some little ones do sneak in occasionally and send a ripple thru the magnetic fields. I may be totally off-track on this one. They issued that prediction late on the 30th, but I was seeing CMEs from the 29th. Didn't see any haloes on the 30th, but the M-flare was early on the 30th. So let me look again.... Not much really, just that smoke-ring looking CME in the southeast which didn't look Earth-directed to me. CACTus details: [link to www.sidc.oma.be] SEEDS LASCO-based: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] SEEDS STEREO B: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands10/02/2012 12:37 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands10/02/2012 12:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | There's always more, LOL. Sometimes there's a dozen CMEs recorded; but most are tiny and go unnoticed. We only watch out for large to humongous ones; though some little ones do sneak in occasionally and send a ripple thru the magnetic fields. I may be totally off-track on this one. They issued that prediction late on the 30th, but I was seeing CMEs from the 29th. Didn't see any haloes on the 30th, but the M-flare was early on the 30th. So let me look again.... Not much really, just that smoke-ring looking CME in the southeast which didn't look Earth-directed to me. CACTus details: [link to www.sidc.oma.be] SEEDS LASCO-based: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] SEEDS STEREO B: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] I still think it may well be from one of the Halo/Partial Halo events on the 29th. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands10/02/2012 12:44 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | There's always more, LOL. Sometimes there's a dozen CMEs recorded; but most are tiny and go unnoticed. We only watch out for large to humongous ones; though some little ones do sneak in occasionally and send a ripple thru the magnetic fields. I may be totally off-track on this one. They issued that prediction late on the 30th, but I was seeing CMEs from the 29th. Didn't see any haloes on the 30th, but the M-flare was early on the 30th. So let me look again.... Not much really, just that smoke-ring looking CME in the southeast which didn't look Earth-directed to me. CACTus details: [link to www.sidc.oma.be] SEEDS LASCO-based: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] SEEDS STEREO B: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] Hugh,do you know what the outlined area at exactly 3 on the dial is here [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] ? The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands10/02/2012 12:49 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The power of a Solar Death Ray,or alternatively Off Grid Eggs and Bacon with Tea/Coffee - [link to www.youtube.com] Build one,now. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States10/02/2012 12:56 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | There's always more, LOL. Sometimes there's a dozen CMEs recorded; but most are tiny and go unnoticed. We only watch out for large to humongous ones; though some little ones do sneak in occasionally and send a ripple thru the magnetic fields. I may be totally off-track on this one. They issued that prediction late on the 30th, but I was seeing CMEs from the 29th. Didn't see any haloes on the 30th, but the M-flare was early on the 30th. So let me look again.... Not much really, just that smoke-ring looking CME in the southeast which didn't look Earth-directed to me. CACTus details: [link to www.sidc.oma.be] SEEDS LASCO-based: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] SEEDS STEREO B: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] Hugh,do you know what the outlined area at exactly 3 on the dial is here [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] ? The white lines seem to be showing an expanding plasma cloud and 3o'clock is generally in Earth's direction. Unfortunately, the STEREO data gaps are really bad (also why some folks missed that other Big CME), but it's possible that ring kept expanding. After piddling around with the STEREO HI 1 images, I tend to agree with you that the incoming one is from the partial halo-west limb flare. Either way, I would guess a glancing blow and barely a gust of SW. |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands10/02/2012 12:59 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | There's always more, LOL. Sometimes there's a dozen CMEs recorded; but most are tiny and go unnoticed. We only watch out for large to humongous ones; though some little ones do sneak in occasionally and send a ripple thru the magnetic fields. I may be totally off-track on this one. They issued that prediction late on the 30th, but I was seeing CMEs from the 29th. Didn't see any haloes on the 30th, but the M-flare was early on the 30th. So let me look again.... Not much really, just that smoke-ring looking CME in the southeast which didn't look Earth-directed to me. CACTus details: [link to www.sidc.oma.be] SEEDS LASCO-based: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] SEEDS STEREO B: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] Hugh,do you know what the outlined area at exactly 3 on the dial is here [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] ? The white lines seem to be showing an expanding plasma cloud and 3o'clock is generally in Earth's direction. Unfortunately, the STEREO data gaps are really bad (also why some folks missed that other Big CME), but it's possible that ring kept expanding. After piddling around with the STEREO HI 1 images, I tend to agree with you that the incoming one is from the partial halo-west limb flare. Either way, I would guess a glancing blow and barely a gust of SW. Agreed,it was'nt the largest of Ejections at all. But,time will tell all. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| nerdrage88sasr User ID: 24792703  Australia10/02/2012 01:12 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hey all! Been scrub alot over past few weeks, only been able to check up on occasion and not post..what interesting occurances we have had! ive been catching up (phew)...good to see/read you all...i think im back just in time... Peace to all, and great job on the info sharing guys/Gals. Nerd "Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD) |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States10/02/2012 01:13 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We may have another CME soon; Learmonth H-alpha shows a filament lifting off near mid-disk (slightly north). I don't think I'll be awake to wait for the coronagraphs, but some could check STEREO and SOHO in an hour or two for CMEs. [link to halpha.nso.edu] |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States10/02/2012 01:15 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hey all! Been scrub alot over past few weeks, only been able to check up on occasion and not post..what interesting occurances we have had! ive been catching up (phew)...good to see/read you all...i think im back just in time... Quoting: nerdrage88sasr Peace to all, and great job on the info sharing guys/Gals. Nerd Welcome back, 88! You've been missed. Didja see any auroras??   |
| nerdrage88sasr User ID: 24792703 Australia10/02/2012 01:17 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hey all! Been scrub alot over past few weeks, only been able to check up on occasion and not post..what interesting occurances we have had! ive been catching up (phew)...good to see/read you all...i think im back just in time... Quoting: nerdrage88sasr Peace to all, and great job on the info sharing guys/Gals. Nerd Welcome back, 88! You've been missed. Didja see any auroras?? nah man, not here unfortunately, still too far north... had some amazingly clear nights in the desert though..always get a buzz staring at the stars and realising im looking back into time... Peace Brother "Luck is what happens when preparation meets Oppurtunity"-- Seneca (5BC-65AD) |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 22914370 United States10/02/2012 01:24 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hey all! Been scrub alot over past few weeks, only been able to check up on occasion and not post..what interesting occurances we have had! ive been catching up (phew)...good to see/read you all...i think im back just in time... Quoting: nerdrage88sasr Peace to all, and great job on the info sharing guys/Gals. Nerd Welcome back, 88! You've been missed. Didja see any auroras?? nah man, not here unfortunately, still too far north... had some amazingly clear nights in the desert though..always get a buzz staring at the stars and realising im looking back into time... Peace Brother Glad none of those badass snakes or killer emus didn't get a hold of you. |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands10/02/2012 01:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Hey all! Been scrub alot over past few weeks, only been able to check up on occasion and not post..what interesting occurances we have had! ive been catching up (phew)...good to see/read you all...i think im back just in time... Quoting: nerdrage88sasr Peace to all, and great job on the info sharing guys/Gals. Nerd Yay! 88 in the House! Missed ya' Brother,hope you have enjoyed yourself since you've been gone : )   The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands10/02/2012 01:46 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | We may have another CME soon; Learmonth H-alpha shows a filament lifting off near mid-disk (slightly north). I don't think I'll be awake to wait for the coronagraphs, but some could check STEREO and SOHO in an hour or two for CMEs. Quoting: Hugh M Eye [link to halpha.nso.edu] Hard to tell if it lifted off or dissipated to another area but more than likely that did eject..if you look at 1582 closely you can see Filament like wisps that also appear to be leaving the surface(very,very faint). The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands10/02/2012 01:50 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Wow the Moon is bright this Morning - Its' 6:48am here and light(ish) yet the Moon seems to have forgot - Nice Lunar Halo I'm looking directly at out my Kitchen window. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 22115056 United States10/02/2012 03:27 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | There's always more, LOL. Sometimes there's a dozen CMEs recorded; but most are tiny and go unnoticed. We only watch out for large to humongous ones; though some little ones do sneak in occasionally and send a ripple thru the magnetic fields. I may be totally off-track on this one. They issued that prediction late on the 30th, but I was seeing CMEs from the 29th. Didn't see any haloes on the 30th, but the M-flare was early on the 30th. So let me look again.... Not much really, just that smoke-ring looking CME in the southeast which didn't look Earth-directed to me. CACTus details: [link to www.sidc.oma.be] SEEDS LASCO-based: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] SEEDS STEREO B: [link to spaceweather.gmu.edu] Howdy Padna; HaHa! [link to www.youtube.com] "The Eyes of TX are upon you, all the live long day"..Well not really, but I thought it was funny! yup! |
