SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

Hugh, you know full well that a lot of the regulars here follow s0, so your derisive tone towards s0 watchers is disrespectful to the posters in this thread. Why is it so hard for you to just maintain minimal respect for your threadmates here?

Back to the topic...

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Space Weather Message Code: WATA20
Serial Number: 503
Issue Time: 2012 Nov 10 2015 UTC

WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Nov 11: None (Below G1) Nov 12: G1 (Minor) Nov 13: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

==============

EDIT: There's a second Earth directed CME incoming. [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

This one is only predicted to clip us, whereas the 11-9 CME is modelled to hit us square on the jaw. In the next few days in quick succession we will be hit by 2 separate CME's and a CH stream.

[link to halpha.nso.edu]


Looks as if 1611 has some energy brewing,looks almost like steam coming out. Looking again on SDO that SW release was backside


Heres amuch better shot of the prominence that lifted off
[link to www.solarham.net]

Gamma Rays emanating from the sun isn't that unusual during extremely energetic solar flares. The week of March 7 was about the most energetic we've seen this cycle (according to NIN's list we had 2 X-flares on the 7th plus 13 M-flares that week-including 3 M6 or greater!). Solar gamma ray events are not GRB's. GRB's are many (billion) magnitudes more energetic and only a few have been detected from the Milky Way galaxy. Here's a gif of a GRB to compare with that Fermi chart from March.

[link to science.hq.nasa.gov]

It came from this page of Gamma Ray info:

[link to science.hq.nasa.gov]

Just found this, don't know if it has been posted or not, sorry if it has, just posting bits.....


Is there a planetary influence on solar activity? It seems so according to this new paper

Long suspected, it seems that this has now been confirmed by a paper in Astronomy and Astrophysics with the title “Is there a planetary influence on solar activity?” by Abreu et al that was published on 22nd October, 2012.

From the Discussion and Conclusions section:

The excellent spectral agreement between the planetary tidal effects acting on the tachocline and the solar magnetic activity is
surprising, because until now the tidal coupling has been considered to be negligible. In Appendix A we show that the possibility of an accidental coincidence can be ruled out. We therefore suggest that a planetary modulation of the solar activity does take place on multidecadal to centennial time scales.

The idea that planetary motions may influence solar activity seems to have been initiated by Rudolf Wolf in the 1850s. While energy considerations clearly show that the planets cannot be the direct cause of solar activity, they may perturb the solar dynamo.

The match between theory and the physical evidence is very, very good. As the authors put it,”there is highly statistically significant evidence for a causal relationship between the power spectra of the planetary torque on the Sun and the observed magnetic activity at the solar surface as derived from cosmogenic radionuclides.”

They also advance a plausible mechanism which is that the tachocline, playing a key role in the solar dynamo process, is a layer of strong shear which coincides more or less with the layer of overshooting convection at the bottom of the convection zone. The overshoot layer is thought to be crucial for the storage and amplification of the magnetic flux tubes that eventually erupt at the solar photosphere to form active regions.

Conclusion

This paper is a major advance in our understanding of how solar activity is modulated and in turn its effect on the earth’s climate. It can be expected that planetary torque will progress to being useful as a tool for climate prediction – for several hundred years ahead.

[link to wattsupwiththat.com]

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​


Geo-Lurking on Volcano Cafe had this to say:

It proposes a mechanism. An actual physical mechanism that could conceivably be the link between the phenomena. It then goes on to try and test that linkage.

If it’s valid or not… well, that has yet to be seen. The authors think it’s valid, others do not. But it is real science, not mindless yammering by loons.

The link? Well, the Sun undergoes something called Differential Rotation. That’s where the equatorial regions rotate at a different speed than the higher latitude regions. The Sun, being mostly gas/plasma, that is not such a weird thing. But down about 30% solar radii down, the Sun rotates as a Solid Body. The transition zone is where it is beleived that the sheer forces generate the magnetic flux that drives eventually the sunspots. That is where the proposed link occurs. From the tidal forces on that layer.

How do they know this? By analyzing and studying the spectral lines of the light at wavelengths specific to different levels. Elements emit photons characteristic of the environment that they are in… pressure, temperature, etc. These show up as emission/absorption lines. Looking at the Doppler shift of these lines allow the researchers to learn a lot about the motion and environment of the atoms/molecule that emitted/absorbed the light.

That is one reason that we know about the Livingston-Penn thing. Livingston-Penn noted that the magnetic field inside the cores of suspots (the dark area) were getting weaker over time. Below about 1500 Gauss, they won’t be strong enough to evacuate enough material from the core of the Sunspot to be visible. They will still be there, they just won’t show up in the visible spectrum.

[link to volcanocafe.wordpress.com]

Few links:

[link to www.leif.org]

[link to www.leif.org]

take a pint of water

you have water

but a pint is a man made measurement, the water doesn't care for pints.

time is the same

therefore einstein is bullshit


tesla, on the other hand built things, real things

which one is mainstream media?


the sun isn't a bomb.
it's "electric" whatever that is,
we don't even know that yet

I'm with you AC, I was discussing waht is electricty here the other night. It has to have a dimension of consciousness to it if you ask me.

Thread: EQ Myanmar 7.0



I'm sure its got nothing to do with anything, completely random, he he

Very cute Sis:

You mentioned the quakes, try 5 -

4.8 - November 11 2012, 05:24:47 UTC - Sumbawa Region, Indonesia - Depth: 124 km

4.7 - November 11 2012, 05:15:49 UTC - Near East Coast Of Honshu, Japan - Depth: 36 km

4.6 - November 11 2012, 05:10:55 UTC - Offshore O'higgins, Chile - Depth: 35 km

4.4 - November 11 2012, 04:57:45 UTC - Offshore Guatemala - Depth: 43 km

4.5 - November 11 2012, 04:11:33 UTC - Fiji Region - Depth: 459 km

Very cute Sis:

You mentioned the quakes, try 5 -

4.8 - November 11 2012, 05:24:47 UTC - Sumbawa Region, Indonesia - Depth: 124 km

4.7 - November 11 2012, 05:15:49 UTC - Near East Coast Of Honshu, Japan - Depth: 36 km

4.6 - November 11 2012, 05:10:55 UTC - Offshore O'higgins, Chile - Depth: 35 km

4.4 - November 11 2012, 04:57:45 UTC - Offshore Guatemala - Depth: 43 km

4.5 - November 11 2012, 04:11:33 UTC - Fiji Region - Depth: 459 km

WOW! Thanks for the backup, Whiteangel
and remember, the scales were changed, so that Myamar is really an 8

Very cute Sis:

You mentioned the quakes, try 7 -
4.7 - November 11 2012, 05:46:48 UTC - Offshore O'higgins, Chile - Depth: 37 km

4.7 - November 11 2012, 05:46:48 UTC - Offshore O'higgins, Chile = Depth: 37 km

4.8 - November 11 2012, 05:24:47 UTC - Sumbawa Region, Indonesia - Depth: 124 km

4.7 - November 11 2012, 05:15:49 UTC - Near East Coast Of Honshu, Japan - Depth: 36 km

4.6 - November 11 2012, 05:10:55 UTC - Offshore O'higgins, Chile - Depth: 35 km

4.4 - November 11 2012, 04:57:45 UTC - Offshore Guatemala - Depth: 43 km

4.5 - November 11 2012, 04:11:33 UTC - Fiji Region - Depth: 459 km

Probably off-topic here, but that SOLAR filament liftoff produced a very odd Coronal Mass Ejection. Looky here:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

STEREO Ahead movie from NASA:

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Looks like a magnetic whip,I'm glad you caught that, I was getting ready to look for that one. Seems we've got a nice little filament near 1608 that wants to come loose. I think it may be an eventfull weekend

hello everyone,

LOVE YOU ALL DEARLY.
i thunk its time you all understand wwhat the SUN reaky is,

i cant stand by any konger watching my brothers and sisters being miss informed about the sub,

please wake up i need you all to, so we can inform others ,

[link to www.youtube.com]

may the Creator bless you all,

love peace and joy to you all.

Hpokie

[link to en.wikipedia.org]

Corona radiata-its not a brain, its Ovulating

Love peace to you all.

watch this,

see what the sun does when the giant planet on collision corse with it, you will all be amazed,

this is an eye opener for those who are ready,

[link to www.youtube.com]


Love yo all.
May the Creator bless you all.

PEACE.

Hpokie

In this one, 4th/5 he shows how the sun is actually pulsing, if you catch the images right. The amount of electromagnetic emissions goes through the roof during a pulse (whole sun glows, period between pulses is days). Since the pics occur every few hours, some of the pulses are missed. He also discusses how the sun may be going into the 6th sun as the ancients documented. Says a black hole generates smaller black holes that are subatomic and genereate plasma that slows them down til they become unstable, at which point, they slough off the excess and their spin picks up again. He suspects the sun is sloughing off the excess currently. Says Jupiter has a hot spot on its north pole that could potentially grow and ignite causing Jupiter to become the second sun, also predicted in ancient texts. I could use a little help in determining the date he gave this lecture on. I think it is 2004 but I'm not sure. I'll go look too.