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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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03/15/2013 10:44 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to halpha.nso.edu]
Giant northern filament seen lifting off here
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1619757


You beat me to it. Haha
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Sending links to my phone to post so my computer isn't banned :)
c o s m o g e n e s i s
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03/15/2013 10:47 PM
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 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 36246585


Loved that, loved that image of earth having a central sun at its core. We are all really just one big toroidal fractal. Central Sun at our core could explain a lot of what we have been observing. We too often see ourselves and our planet as being acted on, when we could just as easily be the actor, the progenitor.
 Quoting: Isis One


was wondering if Niin and u all have seen it
its my impression also Isis..

this is amazing...


Love = Light
 Quoting: c o s m o g e n e s i s 36246585


Cosmo, I knew this was you, felt it was too bold to ask!
 Quoting: Isis One


We`ve been lyed soooo much Isis trough decades by this NAZIS

and trough centurys by Churches and Banksters

thank u for make me feel Welcome Isis

Love=Light

We 1

next Time u ask ... alll good :)))
Isis One

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03/15/2013 10:48 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
oooo wait one minute..... we have something else as well here
i just looked at the AIA 304 filter on SDO and that huge north west prominance is right now lifting off
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
(laymens terms: that big darker blob in the top right area)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


those of you up for the night crew, watch for this event to trigger another event
there is a lot of magnetic connection going on when those prominances lift off
with this one being in the same general area that we see these other northern region sunspots, we could see some more larger activity tonight
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Eye Eye Chief!! LOL, this is so funpopcornpopcornpopcorn
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Isis One

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03/15/2013 10:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


Loved that, loved that image of earth having a central sun at its core. We are all really just one big toroidal fractal. Central Sun at our core could explain a lot of what we have been observing. We too often see ourselves and our planet as being acted on, when we could just as easily be the actor, the progenitor.
 Quoting: Isis One


was wondering if Niin and u all have seen it
its my impression also Isis..

this is amazing...


Love = Light
 Quoting: c o s m o g e n e s i s 36246585


Cosmo, I knew this was you, felt it was too bold to ask!
 Quoting: Isis One


We`ve been lyed soooo much Isis trough decades by this NAZIS

and trough centurys by Churches and Banksters

thank u for make me feel Welcome Isis

Love=Light

We 1

next Time u ask ... alll good :)))
 Quoting: c o s m o g e n e s i s 36246585


Ok, I will, and I agree, everything hidden, they should have called this the Dark Ages as well. We are coming fully into the light now though, no stopping it!! Namaste my friend. How do you like all this liveliness of our sun tonight?
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Hugh M Eye

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03/15/2013 10:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to halpha.nso.edu]
Giant northern filament seen lifting off here
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1619757


You beat me to it. Haha
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


No, I beat you both to it, haha. See above post w/pics. Good work though. There was a time when ground-based b&w images weren't very cool, LOL. I'm happy to see more folks using the GONG telescopes; quick and painless website they have there, too. Carry on.......
Anonymous Coward
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03/15/2013 10:59 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Nice work Hugh!
been following this thread since it's first day, things like tonight are what keep me here!
Hugh M Eye

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03/15/2013 11:41 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Nice work Hugh!
been following this thread since it's first day, things like tonight are what keep me here!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1619757


Kudos to you also, AC757, for sticking thru 1800+ pages! It's nice for me when the sun cooperates with my work schedule. I don't have to get up at 5 AM today, but I must get some sleep to wait for tomorrows CME arrival.

Here's the SDO/Solarsoft close-up movies of the two C2.6 flares from 1698:

#1 [link to sdowww.lmsal.com]
#2
[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

I noticed on the SDO moviemaker, the composite movies show a coronal dimming and a large shockwave going from 1698 all the way to below the fat part of the coronal hole. I didn't see any ejection, but I wouldn't be at all surprised if there was another CME from the LDE. Please keep an eye on the STEREO Ahead cor 2 images for any signs. G'night all.

[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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03/15/2013 11:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Solar Plasma....Preparing for Liftoff!

shadasonic

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03/16/2013 02:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Solar Plasma....Preparing for Liftoff!


 Quoting: Dettro


nice
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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03/16/2013 02:22 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Peace out NW filament

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
Geoshill


Link to my Gaming Channel….
[link to m.youtube.com (secure)]
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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03/16/2013 02:24 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
UGH! The X-rays aren't updating for the past hour. I'm trying to be on night shift right now, but it aint possible

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Geoshill


Link to my Gaming Channel….
[link to m.youtube.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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03/16/2013 02:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
UGH! The X-rays aren't updating for the past hour. I'm trying to be on night shift right now, but it aint possible

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Not your fault that it's not updating. Thanks for being on the night shift to post updates for the silent watchers and followers (like me).

By the way, does it fail to update often? I don't think I've ever seen that before.
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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03/16/2013 02:55 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
UGH! The X-rays aren't updating for the past hour. I'm trying to be on night shift right now, but it aint possible

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Not your fault that it's not updating. Thanks for being on the night shift to post updates for the silent watchers and followers (like me).

By the way, does it fail to update often? I don't think I've ever seen that before.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 6383062


It's GOES eclipse season. The worst time for SunTards.

Last Edited by Bomb Cyclone on 03/16/2013 02:56 AM
Geoshill


Link to my Gaming Channel….
[link to m.youtube.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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03/16/2013 03:02 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
UGH! The X-rays aren't updating for the past hour. I'm trying to be on night shift right now, but it aint possible

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Not your fault that it's not updating. Thanks for being on the night shift to post updates for the silent watchers and followers (like me).

By the way, does it fail to update often? I don't think I've ever seen that before.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 6383062


It's GOES eclipse season. The worst time for SunTards.
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Oh, I see. That explains it. I'm only an amateur suntard, really just a suntard groupie, so I appreciate you taking the time to type an explanation.
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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03/16/2013 03:08 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
UGH! The X-rays aren't updating for the past hour. I'm trying to be on night shift right now, but it aint possible

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Not your fault that it's not updating. Thanks for being on the night shift to post updates for the silent watchers and followers (like me).

By the way, does it fail to update often? I don't think I've ever seen that before.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 6383062


It's GOES eclipse season. The worst time for SunTards.
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


Oh, I see. That explains it. I'm only an amateur suntard, really just a suntard groupie, so I appreciate you taking the time to type an explanation.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 6383062


Yep. No problem.
Geoshill


Link to my Gaming Channel….
[link to m.youtube.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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03/16/2013 03:48 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hi Helios watchers, here is another video Re: sunspots for this week, I just completed it.
Hope you enjoy.

[link to s1245.beta.photobucket.com]

Now play catchup.hi

peace
 Quoting: sounds


Good info, loved it !!
Tiny Trink

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03/16/2013 03:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Much Love,

[link to www.youtube.com]


Tiny Trink, Double T, Tink Tink, T x 2

"You are responsible for the Energy you bring into a space" ~ Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor

Shine Brightly as someone is needing your Inner Light to find theirs.
Anonymous Coward
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03/16/2013 04:00 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Good morning all hf

Global D ramping up some more

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

It will be interesting to see if we get "full" bars today.

T,S,D elevated but steady.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Da fuq

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03/16/2013 04:11 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


We might have some problems later today.




[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]

Looks like code sequence

Last Edited by Da fuq on 03/16/2013 08:08 AM
shenue

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03/16/2013 08:26 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I hope everyone is well today!

:group hug poster:
Watch your thoughts; they become words. Watch your words; they become actions. Watch your actions; they become habits. Watch your habits; they become your character. Watch your character; it becomes your destiny.
NiNzrez
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03/16/2013 08:46 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Bumping this info, for anyone who might have missed it :)
ho hum well... we 'might' be seeing the front of a small CME
looking at haarp magnetometer
[link to www.haarp.alaska.edu]
as well as the GOES magentometer
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
the GOES electron flux
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez 28232082


***Protons as seen at GOES are still on the rise
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
this is coupled with the Earth-Sun Magnetic connection that is occuring right now
when Earths footprint is at or close to an active region, the CME coming from that region is magneticaly connected with earth and protons will rise if there is a CME from the footpring region


***Right now we can see that the Global D-Region Map is lighting up around the north and south poles. this is becuse there is a Polar Cap Absorption event going on right now. This is from the increase in protons that are coming through the polar regions right now(see above). The higher the proton count, the higher the reading level on the D-Region map, and the farther toward the equator we see the reading increase
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Explination of map: The precipitation of protons (as well as other ions) into the earth’s atmosphere during the Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events can also create significant enhancements of ionospheric electron densities in the D region. Solar protons with energies between 1 to 200 MeV are primarily responsible for most of ionization of the D region and, consequently, for the ionospheric absorption of HF radio waves. Because of shielding of the earth by its magnetic field SEPs find easy access to the atmosphere only in high latitude regions around the earth’s geomagnetic poles. Such occurrences are therefore termed Polar Cap Absorption (PCA) events.
Read More: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


***NOAA SWPC still have the CME arrival for Saturday March 16th, but they are now calling for a G2 geomagnetic storm on Sunday March 17, 2013

Issue Time: 2013 Mar 15 1712 UTC
WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Mar 16: G1 (Minor) Mar 17: G2 (Moderate) Mar 18: None (Below G1)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


***At the same time, we now see Spaceweather stating that this latest CME is not due to arrive at all until Sunday March 17, 2013 (a whole day later than SWPC has stated)and are now speculating to "green skys" for St. Pats day this Sunday

The CME left the sun traveling some 900 km/s (2 million mph). Three-dimensional computer models based on observations from SOHO and NASA's twin STEREO probes predict the CME will cross the void between sun and Earth in two days or less. NOAA forecasters estimate a 70% chance of polar geomagnetic storms when the cloud arrives on March 17th.
[link to spaceweather.com]


***Ace data is remaining fairly steady at the moment with a slight slow rise in solar wind speeds. The highest for the day being 531.7km/sec recorded at 03:20 UTC (around half hour ago). Protons at ACE are staying around the 2.0 range
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Here is the link for ALL the ACE data plots
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]


***Looking on STEREO, we can see the CME enrout in space on the STEREO B HI2 images. The CME will appear as black and white on the image (see the far left)
[link to stereo-ssc.nascom.nasa.gov]
The black portions you see are areas of very dence plasma. the more black you see, the more dence the CME is. This is one way to try forecasting just how strong the CME impact will be once it arrives.
Now, I bet you want to know where Earth is on the STEREO B HI2 image we just looked at? ok im ahead of you on this one :) Here you can see Earth is labled on the HI2 image
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Here you can see what planets are seen on all the STEREO images
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


***Also keep in mind, that Sunspot 1692 that produced this event, will be directly Earth facing over this next week. More events may be in the making

SWPC Event probabilities 16 Mar-18 Mar
20% Chance for M Flares
01% Chance for X Flares

ALL links to solar data used as well as general solar information can be found at any time on My Solar Alerts top tabs
Solar Q&A/Guides: [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
Solar Monitors: [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

... stay tuned
 Quoting: NiNzrez
Anonymous Coward
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03/16/2013 08:46 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Good Morning Shenue hf

Check out this eruption from the helioviewer from Videovax !!



Still waiting on the Northern filament.
NiNzrez
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03/16/2013 08:52 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
How Do Solar Flares Affect People and the Earth?
What are the Human Impacts of Solar Storms and Space Weather?


Solar activity that is intense enough to send solar flares or Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) into the Earth's atmosphere will affect the Earth's electromagnetic energy field (EEF). The CMEs will also affect each person's EEF. The depth of the effect on each person can vary. However, first one must examine how CMEs affect the Earth's EEF
Here is a list of links to this info
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
miabelieves

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03/16/2013 08:56 AM

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How Do Solar Flares Affect People and the Earth?
What are the Human Impacts of Solar Storms and Space Weather?


Solar activity that is intense enough to send solar flares or Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) into the Earth's atmosphere will affect the Earth's electromagnetic energy field (EEF). The CMEs will also affect each person's EEF. The depth of the effect on each person can vary. However, first one must examine how CMEs affect the Earth's EEF
Here is a list of links to this info
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez 28232082


too bad it does not go into more detail about animals :) I'm very interested in knowing...I was able to get your blog link to come up but not how it affects humans :(
Do you know what time this current event started. My animal started acting strange around 2am and is currently in the tub and won't come out :)
Hold on to your undies, it's gonna be a hell of a ride
Anonymous Coward
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03/16/2013 08:58 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
1692 looks BGD to me wink

:31613:
MamaHasAwakened

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03/16/2013 09:01 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
How Do Solar Flares Affect People and the Earth?
What are the Human Impacts of Solar Storms and Space Weather?


Solar activity that is intense enough to send solar flares or Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) into the Earth's atmosphere will affect the Earth's electromagnetic energy field (EEF). The CMEs will also affect each person's EEF. The depth of the effect on each person can vary. However, first one must examine how CMEs affect the Earth's EEF
Here is a list of links to this info
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez 28232082


too bad it does not go into more detail about animals :) I'm very interested in knowing...I was able to get your blog link to come up but not how it affects humans :(
Do you know what time this current event started. My animal started acting strange around 2am and is currently in the tub and won't come out :)
 Quoting: miabelieves


Uh oh....thats not good!
NiNzrez  (OP)

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03/16/2013 09:19 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
How Do Solar Flares Affect People and the Earth?
What are the Human Impacts of Solar Storms and Space Weather?


Solar activity that is intense enough to send solar flares or Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) into the Earth's atmosphere will affect the Earth's electromagnetic energy field (EEF). The CMEs will also affect each person's EEF. The depth of the effect on each person can vary. However, first one must examine how CMEs affect the Earth's EEF
Here is a list of links to this info
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: NiNzrez 28232082


too bad it does not go into more detail about animals :) I'm very interested in knowing...I was able to get your blog link to come up but not how it affects humans :(
Do you know what time this current event started. My animal started acting strange around 2am and is currently in the tub and won't come out :)
 Quoting: miabelieves


it is a growing list that i have not had the chance to complete just yet
how animals are effected is at the top of the list of things to add :)
Hugh M Eye

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03/16/2013 09:26 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
"Region 1694 was SUBSUMED into Region 1692"...is that the same as 'devoured by" ? AR1698 has been producing several C-flares today and, given it's quick growth, may show us an M-flare before long.

AR1698 Bigger-
:3/16-1698:

AR1698 Magnetogram-
:3/16-1698magneto:

Latest HMI Intensitygram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Latest HMI Magnetogram:
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

NOAA Discussion-

Solar Activity

After yesterdays M-class event, solar activity returned to low levels.
The largest flare of the period was a long duration C2 event from Region
1698 (S19W49, Cso/beta) at 16/0539 UTC. Region 1698 was also
responsible for the only other two flares of the period, a C2 at 16/0428
UTC and another at 16/0718 UTC. This region grew and the number of
intermediate spots increased during the period. Similar behavior was
observed in Region 1696 (N05W29, Eai/beta-gamma). Region 1694 was
subsumed into Region 1692 (N08W05, now Cao/beta).


.Forecast...
Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for further
M-class activity for the forecast period (16-18 Mar).

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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03/16/2013 10:03 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Heading up again

[link to www.solarham.net]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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03/16/2013 10:06 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1
Serial Number: 387
Issue Time: 2013 Mar 16 1647 UTC

WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Valid From: 2013 Mar 16 1645 UTC
Valid To: 2013 Mar 17 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor
Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.





GLP