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| 10:41 AM | ||
| Users Online Now: 2,372 (Who's On?) | Visitors Today: 630,188 | |
| Pageviews Today: 1,021,452 | Threads Today: 410 | Posts Today: 6,834 |
| 10:41 AM | ||
SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 39977436  United States05/18/2013 02:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Spittin'Cesium  User ID: 37880954  United Kingdom05/18/2013 02:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I'll just keep schtum. For the record(if anyone was wondering that is)I am still firmly of the mind that 24 will be a relative dud and 25 extremely small. Luv2ya. Oh,yes how could I forget,it is still bloody cold. : P Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 05/18/2013 04:14 PM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 40052994  Portugal05/18/2013 04:55 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Kael User ID: 1451069  Syria05/18/2013 04:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | At last some action! "Thou we are not now that strength which in old days moved earth and heaven that which we are, we are. One equal temper of heroic hearts made weak by time and fate but strong in will to strive, to seek, to find and not to yield" |
| hIndsIght2020 User ID: 20069010 United States05/18/2013 05:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 40052994 Portugal05/18/2013 05:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 39977436 United States05/18/2013 05:26 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 8660183  Japan05/18/2013 05:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| #Geomagnetic_Storm# User ID: 40065719 United States05/18/2013 05:30 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Long duration event. |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 8660183 Japan05/18/2013 05:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| #Geomagnetic_Storm# User ID: 40065719 United States05/18/2013 05:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 39977436 United States05/18/2013 05:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| #Geomagnetic_Storm# User ID: 40065719 United States05/18/2013 05:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to lasp.colorado.edu] |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 39977436 United States05/18/2013 05:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 40052994 Portugal05/18/2013 05:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to lasp.colorado.edu] It's sooo slow decaying! |
| #Geomagnetic_Storm# User ID: 40065719 United States05/18/2013 05:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to lasp.colorado.edu] It's sooo slow decaying! That x flare region? Yes it is :'( |
| Anonymous Coward User ID: 1775746 United States05/18/2013 07:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| whiteangel also known at WA User ID: 1775746 United States05/18/2013 07:23 PM  Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The LDE C-flare looks like the new area N07E89 on eastern limb. 1748 went to sleep Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1775746 Forgot to log in, that was me, lol Isaiah 5:20 KJV Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light, and light for darkness; that put bitter for sweet, and sweet for bitter! Thread: Being Prepared - Updated Basic Food List On Page One |
| shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States05/18/2013 08:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | in the case of the present position of Stereo A and Stereo B, certainly you can. and, in that case, that would be 180 degrees away from the Earth. hope this helps. . Heres an example of the stereo tool page that gives proper coordinates for examination STEREO-B Earth STEREO-A Heliocentric distance (AU) 1.003956 1.011679 0.959615 Semidiameter (arcsec) 955.846 948.550 1000.014 HCI longitude 20.753 162.412 299.230 HCI latitude -2.326 -2.200 6.378 Carrington longitude 165.081 306.740 83.558 Carrington rotation number 2137.541 2137.148 2136.768 Heliographic (HEEQ) longitude -141.659 0.000 136.818 Heliographic (HEEQ) latitude -2.326 -2.200 6.378 HAE longitude 96.642 238.045 14.798 Earth Ecliptic (HEE) longitude -141.403 0.000 136.753 Earth Ecliptic (HEE) latitude 0.256 -0.000 0.042 Roll from ecliptic north -0.321 0.046 Roll from solar north 6.458 3.580 Light travel time to Earth (min) 15.823 15.243 Separation angle with Earth 141.402 136.753 Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 05/18/2013 09:04 PM “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States05/18/2013 08:50 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The LDE C-flare looks like the new area N07E89 on eastern limb. 1748 went to sleep Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1775746 And the action starts back up in the east! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States05/18/2013 09:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to twitter.com (secure)] Off topic but heres apic of the meteor in mexico, seems there was one in Pa. also. “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States05/18/2013 09:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | If the embedded star were a 100 Jupiter mass red dwarf, its luminosity which normally would be about 0.09% of the sun’s luminosity would soar 2,500 times to 2.3 solar luminosities. So in this close vicinity to the Galactic core, stars would be rapidly losing their atmospheres, even if they were below their Eddington Limit. In a forum posting made last October, I had warned of this stellar mass loss effect which could generate large quantities of gas which could ultimately fall into the Galactic core. The new orbital trajectory for the G2 cloud substantially enhances this danger. Quoting: shadasonic Just now getting to the info on the G2 cloud and its new trajectory. If this is true this could be huge news! [link to etheric.com] Bringing this over from a different thread. Seems the G2 cloud will come twice as close to the galactic center as previously thought.......if this is true this is a game changer. link again. [link to etheric.com] “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States05/18/2013 10:38 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I'm predicting 1745 will post possitive polarity umbra by 60 long. and blow out a big event by 75 going into 90 “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| M1.618 User ID: 35747086 United States05/18/2013 10:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
| shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States05/18/2013 10:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to solarham.net] We are going to have a nice north of the border collection of SS soon. The closer to the mixing the better the energy , if we could get them to hold on to it. Dipolarity movement By Horace Babcock Butterfly diagram showing paired sunspot pattern. Graph is sunspot Wolf number. Horace W. Babcock proposed in 1961 a qualitative model for the dynamics of the solar outer layers: The start of the 22-year cycle begins with a well-established dipole field component aligned along the solar rotational axis. The field lines tend to be held by the highly conductive solar plasma of the solar surface. The solar surface plasma rotation rate is different at different latitudes, and the rotation rate is 20 percent faster at the equator than at the poles (one rotation every 27 days). Consequently, the magnetic field lines are wrapped by 20 percent every 27 days. After many rotations, the field lines become highly twisted and bundled, increasing their intensity, and the resulting buoyancy lifts the bundle to the solar surface, forming a bipolar field that appears as two spots, being kinks in the field lines. The sunspots result from the strong local magnetic fields in the solar surface that exclude the light-emitting solar plasma and appear as darkened spots on the solar surface. The leading spot of the bipolar field has the same polarity as the solar hemisphere, and the trailing spot is of opposite polarity. The leading spot of the bipolar field tends to migrate towards the equator, while the trailing spot of opposite polarity migrates towards the solar pole of the respective hemisphere with a resultant reduction of the solar dipole moment. This process of sunspot formation and migration continues until the solar dipole field Last Edited by Thinking out loud on 05/18/2013 10:53 PM “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 39479530 United States05/18/2013 10:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SOHO Images- C2: [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] C3: [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] This event was not Earth-directed. Two new active regions are coming over the east limb now. Latest GOES X-Ray Imager: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] East Limb Activity- :5/18-eastlimb: |
| shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States05/18/2013 11:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | A large helmet streamer cut loose a lot of plasma near the SE limb. The big, slow CME seems associated with the LDE seen on the x-ray flux. Quoting: Hugh M Eye SOHO Images- C2: [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] C3: [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] This event was not Earth-directed. Two new active regions are coming over the east limb now. Latest GOES X-Ray Imager: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] East Limb Activity- :5/18-eastlimb: Thanks Hugh, the east will be hot again soon my friend! “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| Hugh M Eye User ID: 39479530 United States05/18/2013 11:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Latest NOAA Discussion- Solar Activity .24 hr Summary... Solar activity was at low levels. The largest flare of the period was a C6/Sf flare at 18/0345 UTC from Region 1748 (N12E11, Dao/beta-delta). Some weakening was observed in the delta of the leader spots in Region 1748 along with slight decay in the trailing spots. However, a strong east-west inversion line was still evident just north of the trailer spots. Region 1744 (N06W54, Dao/beta) appears to have lost its gamma magnetic configuration. Slight growth was observed in the intermediate area of Region 1750 (S09W54, Dao/beta). The rest of the spotted regions were either stable or decaying. No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed during the period. Geospace Forecast... By midday on day 1 (19 May), the 17 May CME is expected to impact the geomagnetic field causing minor to major storm (G1-Minor to G2-Moderate) levels. By day 2 (20 May), conditions are expected to be at quiet to active levels as CME effects wane. A return to quiet to unsettled levels is expected on day 3 (21 May). [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] ENLIL CME Model: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] AR1750 Seems to be Growing- :1750: AR1744 and 1748 have lost their 'Gamma' classification. Latest HMI Magnetogram: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Latest HMI Intensitygram: [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary SRS Number 139 Issued at 0030Z on 19 May 2013 Report compiled from data received at SWO on 18 May I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 18/2400Z Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type 1743 N20W69 016 0010 Axx 01 02 Alpha 1744 N06W54 001 0070 Dao 09 05 Beta 1745 N14W27 334 0210 Dao 08 11 Beta 1746 S27W26 333 0120 Dso 06 04 Beta 1747 S18W31 338 0040 Cao 09 06 Beta 1748 N12E11 296 0140 Dao 10 12 Beta-Delta 1749 S22W78 025 0010 Bxo 04 03 Beta 1750 S09W54 001 0080 Dao 06 09 Beta 1752 N18W52 359 0020 Cro 05 04 Beta AR1750 Magnetogram- :1750mag: Last Edited by Hugh M Eye on 05/18/2013 11:20 PM |
| shadasonic User ID: 34416224 United States05/18/2013 11:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | If I win powerball I'll take everyone north everything paid to see the Northern LIghts, and I'll buy us our own observatory, screw nasa and the vatican. We'll have the best private scope in the world!  “One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan |
| M1.618 User ID: 35747086 United States05/18/2013 11:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
