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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
zacksavage

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09/09/2011 02:10 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
hahahaha!
well thank you Zack
but you sure do not know where i live dear
going for a walk would not be relaxful and even the birds are scared to come to my area haha
but i do get what your saying, and i do step away to take breathers on days like today :)
hf
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Actually I forgot. You posting something about yer "neighborhood" a while back.

Maybe you need to hook up with Da Purple Chicken and hang out in Kauai for a while.

You understand what I mean though,...you have to disconnect from the doom and get centered within your soul in some way every once and a while or you will go stark raving mad in these times.

Don't go mad Nin,...the world needs people like you in any case.


See ya later
Z

Last Edited by zacksavage on 09/09/2011 02:11 PM
Free your mind,...your ass will follow.

--- parliament funkadelic
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/09/2011 02:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Aurora Borealis Forecast for Friday, September 09, 2011


Latest Forecast = in 38 minutes, the Aurora will be at 'STORM' LEVEL! (It's On!!)

The Space Environment Center's Neural Net Program Estimates that . . .
in 13 minutes, the Geomagnetic Activity level (Kp number) will be 6 -- at 'STORM' LEVEL! (It's On!!)
in 26 minutes, the Geomagnetic Activity level (Kp number) will be 6 -- at 'STORM' LEVEL! (It's On!!)
in 38 minutes, the Geomagnetic Activity level (Kp number) will be 7 -- at 'STORM' LEVEL! (It's On!!)



[link to www.softservenews.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


thanks for posting that info :)


here is the latest NOAA Alert

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK06
Serial Number: 270
Issue Time: 2011 Sep 09 1701 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2011 Sep 09 1700 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC
Station: Boulder
Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

G2 - Kp = 6
Moderate
Power systems: high-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms, long-duration storms may cause transformer damage.

Spacecraft operations: corrective actions to orientation may be required by ground control; possible changes in drag affect orbit predictions.

Other systems: HF radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes, and aurora has been seen as low as New York and Idaho (typically 55° geomagnetic lat.)**.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

if it remains this high, then the 2nd CME hits, we could be looking at a Kp 7-8
Anonymous Coward
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09/09/2011 02:11 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
38.. we would be all dead in a matter of minutes. Everything over 11-12 I guess. 10.0 would be a monster.
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/09/2011 02:12 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
electrons just dropped sharp
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
watch for 2nd CME impact

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 09/09/2011 02:13 PM
Anonymous Coward
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09/09/2011 02:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
That was cool
Screenshot here:

[link to www.outofspace.pl]
 Quoting: outofspace


hmmmmm
so in the future on Sept 10th at 05:00 UTC
wtf
ok, so i for one will be watching for a damn huge quake at 05:00 utc tomorrow
right now it is 17:10 utc Sept 9th
05:00 utc would be 1am EST
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Obama's going down---this is a signal--not reality

watch them remove obama--hawaii birth certificate fraud
OR his felony---using a deadman's SSN to file his 2010
tax return and michelle's 53 properties acquiring mortgages using dead peoples SSNs-----

felons go to jail----felons cannot be employed by the US Government.....

i believe this is why it's in the future---look for it on the news on the 10th a 1 am EST
El Quisqueyano

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09/09/2011 02:15 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
the Bz sure is staying steady in the red
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I don't like NIN. Remember Japan 9.0?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


All the instruments on this thread is what we need to keep our eyes on for impending quake signatures;

Thread: Magnetic north Pole shifting issues as we speak!!!


I will keep my eye and ears on the ELF/ULF spectrum for any earthquake precursor signals. Will inform here only of >6 possible tremors.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


have you tried just clicking the H (uncheck the other 2)
click "1 month"
then click the "1000nt
then click "latest" on the bottom
chuckle

it shifted on Aug 12th ^^
 Quoting: NiNzrez


What do you mean? Click where?
Anonymous Coward
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09/09/2011 02:16 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Ground currents have been detected.

[link to spaceweather.com]
Wallie
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09/09/2011 02:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Maybe they've had a forewarning from TPTB and accidentally posted it too early? damned SHTF tomorrow morning at 5am! ULTIMATE DOOM!!!! ;)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1542080


shhhhhhhhhh
i sure hope not
that size mag would crack the earth right in half
 Quoting: NiNzrez


We wouldn't even notice, right NiN????
Please say NO?
First time in 10 years I'm scared.
Also that weird quake in my country..
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/09/2011 02:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
electrons just dropped sharp
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
watch for 2nd CME impact
 Quoting: NiNzrez


SOHO CELIAS/MTOF Proton Monitor
[link to umtof.umd.edu]

2011 252:11:19:28 -2.93 22.66 5.71 327.70 100.00 15640.00
2011 252:11:21:28 -3.03 22.39 5.77 329.00 104.00 17712.00
2011 252:11:23:29 -2.80 21.65 6.28 326.40 98.00 17996.00
2011 252:11:25:31 -2.72 22.43 6.16 330.10 107.00 20144.00
2011 252:11:27:31 -2.28 23.25 9.30 340.60 108.00 34160.00
2011 252:11:29:33 -2.27 22.76 12.27 341.80 107.00 45088.00
2011 252:11:31:33 -3.86 21.95 14.57 341.70 104.00 53248.00
2011 252:11:33:35 -3.73 21.82 13.75 341.00 104.00 50432.00
2011 252:11:35:35 -3.68 21.33 12.72 340.40 117.00 47008.00
2011 252:11:37:36 -3.62 22.05 11.37 340.50 112.00 42080.00
2011 252:11:39:36 -4.83 21.66 14.94 341.50 113.00 54464.00
2011 252:11:42:38 -5.61 21.43 17.90 340.60 110.00 64608.00

[link to umtof.umd.edu]
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/09/2011 02:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


I don't like NIN. Remember Japan 9.0?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


All the instruments on this thread is what we need to keep our eyes on for impending quake signatures;

Thread: Magnetic north Pole shifting issues as we speak!!!


I will keep my eye and ears on the ELF/ULF spectrum for any earthquake precursor signals. Will inform here only of >6 possible tremors.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


have you tried just clicking the H (uncheck the other 2)
click "1 month"
then click the "1000nt
then click "latest" on the bottom
chuckle

it shifted on Aug 12th ^^
 Quoting: NiNzrez


What do you mean? Click where?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano

[link to 137.229.36.30]
look on the left hand side

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 09/09/2011 02:18 PM
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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09/09/2011 02:19 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
today...
CMEs, flares, Dow down -315 right now, power outages all over, raised terror alert, then this mess up on the quake map
man.. i need medicated today hahaha
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I`ve already reached my med quota for the week...dasbier
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/09/2011 02:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
electrons just dropped sharp
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
watch for 2nd CME impact
 Quoting: NiNzrez


SOHO CELIAS/MTOF Proton Monitor
[link to umtof.umd.edu]

2011 252:11:19:28 -2.93 22.66 5.71 327.70 100.00 15640.00
2011 252:11:21:28 -3.03 22.39 5.77 329.00 104.00 17712.00
2011 252:11:23:29 -2.80 21.65 6.28 326.40 98.00 17996.00
2011 252:11:25:31 -2.72 22.43 6.16 330.10 107.00 20144.00
2011 252:11:27:31 -2.28 23.25 9.30 340.60 108.00 34160.00
2011 252:11:29:33 -2.27 22.76 12.27 341.80 107.00 45088.00
2011 252:11:31:33 -3.86 21.95 14.57 341.70 104.00 53248.00
2011 252:11:33:35 -3.73 21.82 13.75 341.00 104.00 50432.00
2011 252:11:35:35 -3.68 21.33 12.72 340.40 117.00 47008.00
2011 252:11:37:36 -3.62 22.05 11.37 340.50 112.00 42080.00
2011 252:11:39:36 -4.83 21.66 14.94 341.50 113.00 54464.00
2011 252:11:42:38 -5.61 21.43 17.90 340.60 110.00 64608.00

[link to umtof.umd.edu]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


look at this angle it is coming in at
[link to umtof.umd.edu]
Oh Tits

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09/09/2011 02:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
today...
CMEs, flares, Dow down -315 right now, power outages all over, raised terror alert, then this mess up on the quake map
man.. i need medicated today hahaha
 Quoting: NiNzrez


I`ve already reached my med quota for the week...dasbier
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


I just got mine refilled about an hour ago :D
You can call it chronic paranoia... I call it critical thinking
El Quisqueyano

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09/09/2011 02:22 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


All the instruments on this thread is what we need to keep our eyes on for impending quake signatures;

Thread: Magnetic north Pole shifting issues as we speak!!!


I will keep my eye and ears on the ELF/ULF spectrum for any earthquake precursor signals. Will inform here only of >6 possible tremors.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


have you tried just clicking the H (uncheck the other 2)
click "1 month"
then click the "1000nt
then click "latest" on the bottom
chuckle

it shifted on Aug 12th ^^
 Quoting: NiNzrez


What do you mean? Click where?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano

[link to 137.229.36.30]
look on the left hand side
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Yes. I see what you mean. That is quite a jump remains steady for a whole month now for the 9th it is showing traces of going back to August 12th lower readings.

What could it be NIN?
El Quisqueyano

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09/09/2011 02:23 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


have you tried just clicking the H (uncheck the other 2)
click "1 month"
then click the "1000nt
then click "latest" on the bottom
chuckle

it shifted on Aug 12th ^^
 Quoting: NiNzrez


What do you mean? Click where?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano

[link to 137.229.36.30]
look on the left hand side
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Yes. I see what you mean. That is quite a jump remains steady for a whole month now for the 9th it is showing traces of going back to August 12th lower readings.

What could it be NIN?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


It is headed back to the levels it was in August 11th right around the 11th of September!

Another coincidence?
Anonymous Coward
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Germany
09/09/2011 02:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


All the instruments on this thread is what we need to keep our eyes on for impending quake signatures;

Thread: Magnetic north Pole shifting issues as we speak!!!


I will keep my eye and ears on the ELF/ULF spectrum for any earthquake precursor signals. Will inform here only of >6 possible tremors.
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


have you tried just clicking the H (uncheck the other 2)
click "1 month"
then click the "1000nt
then click "latest" on the bottom
chuckle

it shifted on Aug 12th ^^
 Quoting: NiNzrez


What do you mean? Click where?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano

[link to 137.229.36.30]
look on the left hand side
 Quoting: NiNzrez



holy shit...that looks scary!






--------------------------------------------------
KP 7
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/09/2011 02:24 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Maybe they've had a forewarning from TPTB and accidentally posted it too early? damned SHTF tomorrow morning at 5am! ULTIMATE DOOM!!!! ;)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1542080


shhhhhhhhhh
i sure hope not
that size mag would crack the earth right in half
 Quoting: NiNzrez


We wouldn't even notice, right NiN????
Please say NO?
First time in 10 years I'm scared.
Also that weird quake in my country..
 Quoting: Wallie 1311144


if that ever did happen, we would not even have time to consider what hit us
lets all just breath
it was just a hacker this time *sigh*
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/09/2011 02:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


have you tried just clicking the H (uncheck the other 2)
click "1 month"
then click the "1000nt
then click "latest" on the bottom
chuckle

it shifted on Aug 12th ^^
 Quoting: NiNzrez


What do you mean? Click where?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano

[link to 137.229.36.30]
look on the left hand side
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Yes. I see what you mean. That is quite a jump remains steady for a whole month now for the 9th it is showing traces of going back to August 12th lower readings.

What could it be NIN?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


still working on that :)
TruthSeeker66

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09/09/2011 02:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I'm really new at this, but looking at

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

Where it was blue nearest the earth when the first CME hit this morning, there seems to be an increasingly yellow bubble (within the bubble protecting from the CME)

Does it mean anything ??? Perhaps the CME is penetrating our magnetosphere in it's weakened state and creating a higher impact on earth ?

Just an observation.
Anonymous Coward
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09/09/2011 02:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be moderate during the period (09 - 11 September) with a chance for another X-class flare from Region 1283.

Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels until late on day 1 (09 September). Activity is expected to increase to unsettled levels late on 09 September with a chance for active levels due to a CME arrival. A further increase to unsettled to active levels with a chance for minor storm levels is expected on day 2 (10 September) as the CME passage continues. A decrease to unsettled levels is expected on day 3 (11 September). There will be a chance for a greater than 10 MeV proton event at geosynchronous orbit on day 1.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Weather prediction center

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: hoopity

<p>
Space Weather Outlook
07 September - 03 October 2011

Solar activity is expected to be low with M-class activity likely and a slight chance for X-class
activity through 11 September when Region 1283 rotates off the disk. A decrease to very low to
low levels is expected from 12 - 17 September. An increase to low to moderate levels is expected
as old Regions 1286 and 1283 return and transit the disk from 18 September through the
remainder of the forecast period.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: hoopity

 Quoting: hoopity
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/09/2011 02:27 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
wow look at that auroral oval lit up
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/09/2011 02:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Chance for Flares:

1289 -
52% chance for a M flare
41% chance for a X flare

1283 -
16% chance for a M flare
10% chance for a X flare

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
 Quoting: NiNzrez

Oh Tits

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09/09/2011 02:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Chance for Flares:

1289 -
52% chance for a M flare
41% chance for a X flare

1283 -
16% chance for a M flare
10% chance for a X flare

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
 Quoting: NiNzrez

 Quoting: NiNzrez


When is 1289 supposed to be rolling around our way?

Is that the one that's producing all the solar wind?
You can call it chronic paranoia... I call it critical thinking
El Quisqueyano

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09/09/2011 02:32 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
...


What do you mean? Click where?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano

[link to 137.229.36.30]
look on the left hand side
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Yes. I see what you mean. That is quite a jump remains steady for a whole month now for the 9th it is showing traces of going back to August 12th lower readings.

What could it be NIN?
 Quoting: El Quisqueyano


still working on that :)
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Thank you.
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/09/2011 02:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I'm really new at this, but looking at

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

Where it was blue nearest the earth when the first CME hit this morning, there seems to be an increasingly yellow bubble (within the bubble protecting from the CME)

Does it mean anything ??? Perhaps the CME is penetrating our magnetosphere in it's weakened state and creating a higher impact on earth ?

Just an observation.
 Quoting: TruthSeeker66


this explains what your looking at
Thread: NICT Magnetosphere Guide For Solar Watchers (service eneded)

and for visuals, here is a video that explains it :)


[link to www.youtube.com]
Boceph

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09/09/2011 02:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
estimated k = 7 now?

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
El Quisqueyano

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09/09/2011 02:34 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
wow look at that auroral oval lit up
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: NiNzrez


Yes, I am getting, Mid Latitude Aurora being observed over VHF, alerts via my email from the DXRobot.
Anonymous Coward
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09/09/2011 02:35 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to www.gdgps.net] - hello cali
NiNzrez  (OP)

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09/09/2011 02:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Chance for Flares:

1289 -
52% chance for a M flare
41% chance for a X flare

1283 -
16% chance for a M flare
10% chance for a X flare

[link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
 Quoting: NiNzrez

 Quoting: NiNzrez


When is 1289 supposed to be rolling around our way?

Is that the one that's producing all the solar wind?
 Quoting: Oh Tits


it rolled our way some days back
[link to www.solen.info]
it has produced a few flares so far, but being as big as it is, we are expecting this sunspot region to put on a big show
the winds that are hitting earth now are from the CMEs he had on the 6th and 7th
September:
X1.8 Flare on 9/7/2011 @ 22:23 UTC - sunspot 1283 - Earth directed CME produced
X2.1 Flare on 9/6/2011 @ 22:16 UTC - sunspot 1283 - Earth directed CME produced
M5.3 Flare on 9/6/2011 @ 01:50 UTC sunspot 1283 - Earth directed CME produced

then we also have a large Coronal Hole that is earth facing. we will see the CG winds from that on or around Sept 11th-12th
Anonymous Coward
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09/09/2011 02:37 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Dang it why do the geomagnetic storms always happen this time of day? I want to see some aurora here in Illinois.





GLP