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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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10/26/2020 04:22 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 3780
Issue Time: 2020 Oct 26 0555 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 3779
Valid From: 2020 Oct 25 1305 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2020 Oct 26 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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10/26/2020 04:22 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
New sunspot just sprouted up over night looking right at us on the equator of the southern hemisphere.

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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10/26/2020 11:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 3781
Issue Time: 2020 Oct 26 1454 UTC

EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 3780
Valid From: 2020 Oct 25 1305 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2020 Oct 26 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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10/26/2020 11:53 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
ENLIL forecast just updated.

Appears we will have an incoming CME on October 31 however only updated to 14:00 so next update we should see if it will be a direct hit or glancing blow.

But we're definitely going to get something.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
joinca

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10/26/2020 01:55 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
Simple27

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10/26/2020 05:25 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
New sunspot just sprouted up over night looking right at us on the equator of the southern hemisphere.

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79184037


BIG NEW SUNSPOT FACES EARTH: A sunspot has just materialized in the sun's southern hemisphere--and it's a big one. Newly-named AR2778 is inset in this magnetic map of the sun from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory:

[link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]

The +/- polarity of the spot marks it as a member of new Solar Cycle 25. This continues a trend of intensifying new-cycle sunspot activity in 2020.

The primary dark core of AR2778 is about the size of Earth. Altogether, the sunspot group sprawls 90,000 km across the face of the sun, dimensions which make it an easy target for backyard solar telescopes.

[link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]
~*Ride the Wave*~
Simple27

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10/26/2020 05:31 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
MINOR GEOMAGNETIC STORM PREDICTED: NOAA forecasters say that a minor G1-class geomagnetic storm is likely on Oct. 26th. That's when Earth will pass through a new stream of solar wind flowing from a northern hole in the sun's atmosphere. Bright auroras may be seen in Alaska, Canada, and the countries of Scandinavia.

[link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]
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Simple27

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10/26/2020 05:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
A Snake-like Filament Erupts while a Solar Storm Rages | Space Weather News 10.26.2020

This week our Sun continues its upward climb in activity with multiple new bright regions on the Earth-facing disk, including a new sunspot region (region 2778). On top of this we finally had that massive snake-like filament that we first saw in STEREO-A's view on the far side of the Sun launch as a non-Earth directed solar storm. Plus, we are also in the middle of a solar storm due to the fast wind from the northern coronal hole. This storm, which will likely rage for a few more days before settling down, has already brought aurora down to mid-latitudes, and there is a good chance more is to come!

Learn the details of the current storm conditions, see where that snake-like filament launch is headed, watch region 2778 emerge and learn what else our Sun has in store this week.


[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
~*Ride the Wave*~
Simple27

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10/26/2020 05:52 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
https://imgur.com/c6SeH2D

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danderson100

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10/26/2020 09:33 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I'm kind of shocked that 2778 is only doing B class flaring. Maybe it's waiting to get away from earth geoeffectiveness?

Last Edited by danderson100 on 10/26/2020 09:40 PM
danderson100
Isis One

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10/27/2020 02:17 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I love how enlil is showing the cme making a distinct right hand turn. What’s up with that!
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
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Anonymous Coward
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10/27/2020 03:21 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
C4.3
Anonymous Coward
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10/27/2020 03:24 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
https://imgur.com/a/KCGpoEo
Anonymous Coward
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10/27/2020 04:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTEF3
Serial Number: 3072
Issue Time: 2020 Oct 27 0459 UTC

CONTINUED ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3071
Begin Time: 2020 Oct 25 1320 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 16463 pfu

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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10/27/2020 04:14 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: WARK04
Serial Number: 3782
Issue Time: 2020 Oct 27 0809 UTC

WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2020 Oct 27 0808 UTC
Valid To: 2020 Oct 27 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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10/27/2020 04:16 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
New sunspot just sprouted up over night looking right at us on the equator of the southern hemisphere. [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79184037
BIG NEW SUNSPOT FACES EARTH: A sunspot has just materialized in the sun's southern hemisphere--and it's a big one. Newly-named AR2778 is inset in this magnetic map of the sun from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory: [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] The +/- polarity of the spot marks it as a member of new Solar Cycle 25. This continues a trend of intensifying new-cycle sunspot activity in 2020. The primary dark core of AR2778 is about the size of Earth. Altogether, the sunspot group sprawls 90,000 km across the face of the sun, dimensions which make it an easy target for backyard solar telescopes. [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Simple27


Now NASA can't even count right. 2777 comes after 2776. putin
Anonymous Coward
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10/27/2020 04:18 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
A Snake-like Filament Erupts while a Solar Storm Rages | Space Weather News 10.26.2020 This week our Sun continues its upward climb in activity with multiple new bright regions on the Earth-facing disk, including a new sunspot region (region 2778). On top of this we finally had that massive snake-like filament that we first saw in STEREO-A's view on the far side of the Sun launch as a non-Earth directed solar storm. Plus, we are also in the middle of a solar storm due to the fast wind from the northern coronal hole. This storm, which will likely rage for a few more days before settling down, has already brought aurora down to mid-latitudes, and there is a good chance more is to come! Learn the details of the current storm conditions, see where that snake-like filament launch is headed, watch region 2778 emerge and learn what else our Sun has in store this week. [link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Simple27


putin-thiss

And interesting I saw what appeared to be a pyramid exiting the sun on C2 STEREO A last night, 10/26 @ 18:00 +

Conveniently though it only captured 3 frames and is gone now. Was expecting it update further but instead there is a convenient time gap from 18:00 - 23:00..........
Anonymous Coward
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10/27/2020 04:23 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
I love how enlil is showing the cme making a distinct right hand turn. What’s up with that!
 Quoting: Isis One


It's almost like we're either dodging a bullet - or getting hit just enough! Talk about threading the eye of a needle.

And is the flare moving to the right of us, or are we moving to the left of the flare...?

Distinct turn like in NASCAR. cruise
Anonymous Coward
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10/27/2020 04:29 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Found the STEREO A C2 image archive and made some gifs...


https://imgur.com/xrphJvI
https://imgur.com/3cCxnzs
Anonymous Coward
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10/27/2020 04:30 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
New sunspot just sprouted up over night looking right at us on the equator of the southern hemisphere. [link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 79184037
BIG NEW SUNSPOT FACES EARTH: A sunspot has just materialized in the sun's southern hemisphere--and it's a big one. Newly-named AR2778 is inset in this magnetic map of the sun from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory: [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] The +/- polarity of the spot marks it as a member of new Solar Cycle 25. This continues a trend of intensifying new-cycle sunspot activity in 2020. The primary dark core of AR2778 is about the size of Earth. Altogether, the sunspot group sprawls 90,000 km across the face of the sun, dimensions which make it an easy target for backyard solar telescopes. [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Simple27
Now NASA can't even count right. 2777 comes after 2776. putin
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77359769


I bet they skipped it because they don't like 777. cruise
Anonymous Coward
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10/27/2020 04:54 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
NASA

Need Another Seven Astronauts
Anonymous Coward
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10/27/2020 05:39 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04
Serial Number: 2176
Issue Time: 2020 Oct 27 0901 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2020 Oct 27 0859 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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10/27/2020 08:35 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
joinca

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10/27/2020 10:05 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
joinca

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10/27/2020 10:46 AM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
Anonymous Coward
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10/27/2020 11:46 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


Yeah flux is really spiking.

ENLIL forecast just updated too - we're definitely going to get some impact.

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)]
joinca

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10/27/2020 12:45 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
BIG SUNSPOT ALERT: There's a new sunspot on the sun--and it's a big one. AR2778 contains a dozen dark cores sprawling nearly 100,000 km across the solar surface. Earlier today, it began to strobe Earth with minor C-class solar flares, activity which could intensify if the sunspot's rapid growth continues apace. Visit Spaceweather.com for updates and more information.
"The government will one day be corrupt and full of liars, and the people will flock to the one that tells the truth." - “Tyranny is defined as that which is legal for the government but illegal for the citizenry.” - "The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson

We MUST NEVER forget what Kamala Harris did to Justice Kavanaugh & his family!
Simple27

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10/27/2020 04:45 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
C1.4 [link to www.lmsal.com (secure)]

C4.3 [link to www.lmsal.com (secure)]

C1.4 [link to www.lmsal.com (secure)]

C2.3 [link to www.lmsal.com (secure)]

C1.5 [link to www.lmsal.com (secure)]
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Simple27

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10/27/2020 04:47 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
BIG SUNSPOT ALERT: There's a new sunspot on the sun--and it's a big one. AR2778 contains a dozen dark cores sprawling nearly 100,000 km across the solar surface. Earlier today, it began to strobe Earth with minor C-class solar flares, activity which could intensify if the sunspot's rapid growth continues apace. Visit Spaceweather.com for updates and more information.
 Quoting: joinca


That ss grew fast! Check out this 48 hour progression.

[link to www.solarham.net (secure)]
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10/27/2020 04:47 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)


'NO HABLA JIBBER-JABBER'! UH.





GLP