SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) | |
OpenEnded.. User ID: 79657414 United States 12/09/2020 10:04 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Noticed the estimate plot going nuts, so decided to check : Quoting: Dodo 79721072 Plot : [link to www.spaceweatherlive.com (secure)] Observed sunspots monthly, when your starting number is around 7, it takes almoust 4 years to get steady 90+ spots / month. Now the plot shows that level year from now. To get from 7 to steady 40 spots/month, it takes 3 years. If december keeps on pushing we're lookin 40 now, or close. August was 7 starter. [link to www.sws.bom.gov.au (secure)] it's definitely an anomalous start to the solar cycle.. no complaints though, 2020 has been pretty boring so far.. LazyGringo |
#Geomagnetic_Storm# User ID: 78360602 United States 12/09/2020 10:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Question. Can someone link me to the CME Cone model, the one that shows the CME in that circling animation? Not the one that solarham uses but the classic circling CME model. I need to bookmark that shit, I can’t find it if my life depended on it. Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm# Howdy, old friend! There are many models there, but here's the common one. Enlil NASA CME cone- [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)] Thank you! |
#Geomagnetic_Storm# User ID: 78360602 United States 12/09/2020 10:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Question. Can someone link me to the CME Cone model, the one that shows the CME in that circling animation? Not the one that solarham uses but the classic circling CME model. I need to bookmark that shit, I can’t find it if my life depended on it. Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm# you mean the iswa or the enlil? can you be more specific? you should make a thread on this impact for the pinners, btw.. Thanks in advance geo, get prep'd.. Thanks. It was answered one page before this. This is the one I was talking about.... [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)] |
Simple27 User ID: 79731244 United States 12/09/2020 10:38 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | THE CME HAS ARRIVED, BUT NO STORM YET: A CME hit Earth's magnetic field on Dec. 10th (1:30 UT), suddenly raising the solar wind velocity around our planet to nearly 600 km/s. So far, the impact has not triggered a geomagnetic storm. However, there is still a chance of storms in the hours ahead as Earth moves through the CME's turbulet wake. Stay tuned. [link to www.spaceweather.com (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
Simple27 User ID: 79731244 United States 12/09/2020 10:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | CME Passage Detected December 10, 2020 @ 01:50 UTC (UPDATED) [link to www.solarham.net (secure)] ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
Simple27 User ID: 79731244 United States 12/09/2020 10:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Simple27 User ID: 79731244 United States 12/09/2020 10:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Simple27 User ID: 79731244 United States 12/09/2020 10:52 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Current Geomagnetic Overview https://imgur.com/tlsDg6l https://imgur.com/bcIMdAh https://imgur.com/SGeZiGw https://imgur.com/w2RKF30 ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
Simple27 User ID: 79731244 United States 12/09/2020 10:55 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Simple27 User ID: 79731244 United States 12/09/2020 10:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77713810 Canada 12/09/2020 11:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 65853998 United States 12/09/2020 11:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Simple27 User ID: 79731244 United States 12/09/2020 11:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Simple27 User ID: 79731244 United States 12/09/2020 11:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Ears are popping like crazy right now. Almost to the point of painful. Hey simple, I am always in your EQ thread Ears were popping driving around LA, valley area. 1 hour ago Oddly enough, I don't think I am EQ-sensitive. But I have had solar-sensitive symptoms in the past, and right now the pressure is real. ~*Ride the Wave*~ |
OpenEnded.. User ID: 79744734 United States 12/09/2020 11:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
OpenEnded.. User ID: 79744734 United States 12/09/2020 11:45 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Helios Maximus User ID: 74772411 United States 12/09/2020 11:49 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Current Geomagnetic Overview Quoting: Simple27 https://imgur.com/tlsDg6l https://imgur.com/bcIMdAh https://imgur.com/SGeZiGw https://imgur.com/w2RKF30 Nice work, my friend. Thanks for the info. Very weak CME... the G3 and G4 predictions look absurd now. My ears are popping from the very fake news cycle in the USA, LOL. I'm happy to see you and other veterans of Cycle 24 dust off their old skills and report data and stay ahead of the curve as always on GLP. Keep up the great work, Simple! The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
Cosmo888 User ID: 79550534 Portugal 12/10/2020 12:03 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Cosmo888 User ID: 79550534 Portugal 12/10/2020 12:04 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Helios Maximus User ID: 74772411 United States 12/10/2020 12:05 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The chimps at NOAA finally saw my post 3 HOURS LATER! Space Weather Message Code: SUMSUD Serial Number: 226 Issue Time: 2020 Dec 10 0447 UTC SUMMARY: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse Observed: 2020 Dec 10 0211 UTC Deviation: 30 nT Station: BOU NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation The will of the people is the only legitimate foundation of any government, and to protect its free expression should be our first object. ~ Thomas Jefferson, Inaugural Address, 1801 It is not only vain, but wicked, in a legislator to frame laws in opposition to the laws of nature, and to arm them with the terrors of death. This is truly creating crimes in order to punish them. ~ Thomas Jefferson, 1779 |
Isis One User ID: 76795039 United States 12/10/2020 12:12 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | That’s the one I was trying to remember! Thanks OE. Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
Isis One User ID: 76795039 United States 12/10/2020 12:14 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | best one, nict, is gone. Quoting: OpenEnded.. you can get good ones by launching [link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)] then go to magneosphere, then page 8 and 9.. also, this one is pretty good [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov (secure)] Another good one. Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
Isis One User ID: 76795039 United States 12/10/2020 12:16 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Noticed the estimate plot going nuts, so decided to check : Quoting: Dodo 79721072 Plot : [link to www.spaceweatherlive.com (secure)] Observed sunspots monthly, when your starting number is around 7, it takes almoust 4 years to get steady 90+ spots / month. Now the plot shows that level year from now. To get from 7 to steady 40 spots/month, it takes 3 years. If december keeps on pushing we're lookin 40 now, or close. August was 7 starter. [link to www.sws.bom.gov.au (secure)] Nice analysis. Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
OpenEnded.. User ID: 79744734 United States 12/10/2020 12:18 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Isis One User ID: 76795039 United States 12/10/2020 12:18 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Question. Can someone link me to the CME Cone model, the one that shows the CME in that circling animation? Not the one that solarham uses but the classic circling CME model. I need to bookmark that shit, I can’t find it if my life depended on it. Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm# Howdy, old friend! There are many models there, but here's the common one. Enlil NASA CME cone- [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov (secure)] I think those magnetic field lines reconnecting might push the cme south of us. Spread the word, change the collective conscious...... THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide [link to www.godlikeproductions.com] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 77713810 Canada 12/10/2020 12:19 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Looks like it is a single impact. Speed and temp are dropping off already. Kp5 looks like peak storm. easy now, this just started.. 48 hours minimum ringing if not 72 Yes, but with such a weak magnetometer disturbance from the initial density shock and no likely second impact scenario, it is hard to see any sudden increase in instability from the imf or bz at this point. |
Simple27 User ID: 79731244 United States 12/10/2020 12:22 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
OpenEnded.. User ID: 79744734 United States 12/10/2020 12:23 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Simple27 User ID: 79731244 United States 12/10/2020 12:24 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
OpenEnded.. User ID: 79744734 United States 12/10/2020 12:36 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |