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SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)

 
Anonymous Coward
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01/06/2012 05:22 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
GoodMorning all^^,


:SunspotsJanuary6:


New Region 1393 (circled) next to 1392 gets numbered. It emerged in the northeast quadrant on January 4 and got an SWPC number the next day

Region 1388 and 89 was quiet and stable. Region 1391 was quiet too. Region 1390 lost some trailing spots but the leading penumbra increased.
1392 developed again as new flux emerged (we remember the flare yesterday).




Solar activity is near to low so far. We had one C Flare


Flare of class C1.4 1389 06:04:00 06:08:00 06:11:00
[link to www.tesis.lebedev.ru]




We remember the large filament eruption to the north of region 1392 was recorded as a long duration C2.1 Class event peaking at 12:38 UTC.

So the main core of the associated CME will not reach Earth but STEREO imagery and also ISWA CYGNET STREAMER shows us that the outer edge of the CME could hit us:


[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]


The ISWA CME Arrival Time Prediction shows up an alert:

:ISWAalertJanuary:

[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]
(click to the left on: CME Arrival Time Prediction)



[link to solarwatchninzrez.blogspot.com]


Edit


RWC BELGIUM 06 Jan 2012, 1218UT

The Sun has produced two C flares in the last 24 hours. A C1.4 flare was released by NOAA AR 11389, peaking at 06:08 UT, January 6. A C2.2 flare peaked at 11:25 UT on January 6. More C flares are likely to occur within the next 24 hours. A CME associated with the C2.1 flare and filament eruption of 12:38 UT on January 5 was first observed by COR2 B on 12:40 UT. Due to data gaps, only a few images were available on COR2 A and none on LASCO C2 and C3. This CME is not directed towards Earth, but might deliver a glancing blow on January 9. An expected Coronal Hole high speed stream has arrived at L1. ACE solar wind velocity has gradually increased from about 350 km/s towards a plateau of about 450 km/s, while density and temperature peaked. The IMF has remained moderate at about 10 nT. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet within the last 24 hours, and are expected to be predominantly at active levels in the second half of January 6 and the first half of January 7. Quiet conditions are likely in the second half of January 7 and on January 8.
[link to sidc.oma.be]




Super close up Region 1391

NOBODY in the amateur astro world does Sun in H-Alpha better than this :

[link to www.astroimagem.com]


Region 1389 and 88
[link to www.astroimagem.com]
Anonymous Coward
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01/06/2012 10:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
We have a CME seen on Stereo Images:

:CMEjanuary62012:

This CME is not earth facing




however:

Caused by a large eruption on the farside, seen on latest

Stereo Behind EUVI 195


[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
<<LOOK`n thru YOU>>

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01/06/2012 02:14 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Watch California today or tomorrow...alot of small EQ`s being listed...way past due

[link to quakes.globalincidentmap.com]




 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


things getting bumpy on the west coast..North and south of it too...She is getting ready to shift

Last Edited by <<LOOK`n thru YOU>> on 01/06/2012 02:21 PM
Anonymous Coward
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01/06/2012 02:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Watch California today or tomorrow...alot of small EQ`s being listed...way past due

[link to quakes.globalincidentmap.com]




 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


things getting bumpy on the west coast..North and south of it too...She is getting ready to shift
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>



Hi lookncheers

mhh, then come over here..i will drive tomorrow to our supervolcano: lake laach

will record a bit and maybe i comment it like jackass style:

" this is iwanttobelieve76 and today i will swim in a supervolcano...."

1rof1



---------------------------------------------




We had another 2 small c flares

Flare of class C2.2 1392 11:14:00 11:25:00 11:35:00

and the latest one

a c 1.4
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
NiNzrez  (OP)

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01/06/2012 03:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
good afternoon everyone :)
looks like the sun got a bit quiet with the flare activity
thanks for all the info IWTB
always right on top of things!

wow 2012 is like chaos around where i live
it's almost like the minute new years hit, people went insane! i can not even watch the news here
and the neighbors are all crazy out of no where haha
fighting, cops and more fighting
wow just wow
today is a bit more quiet here, so im hoping i will get some time to sit here and enjoy the net a bit
lots of earth activity going on today
maybe this has something to do with peoples moods
i posted this info in some other threads, but will add it here for the solar watch viewers as well


Volcanos have become very active (!) world wide within the last few days

Italy - Mt Etna
[link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com]

Hawaii - Kilauea
[link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com]

Iceland - Katla
[link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com]

Indonesia - Mt Lewotolok
[link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com]

Chili - Lascar
[link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com]

Canary Island - El Hierro
[link to theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com]

Africa - Nyamuragira
[link to earthobservatory.nasa.gov]

Russia - Kizimen
[link to earthobservatory.nasa.gov]

Alaska - (I suspect volcano activity around fox island region due to the quake activity there in the last 2 days)


Emergency Monitoring Sites:
RSOE
[link to hisz.rsoe.hu]

HEWS
[link to www.hewsweb.org]



Record high temps in the USA:
April in January (nearly 900 record highs in the last week; subzero by Jan. 17-20?)
[link to www.startribune.com]

Map of Record high temps for the USA, Jan 5 2012
[link to mapcenter.hamweather.com]
and today (friday) is much warmer in most places with new record highs to be set


115 record highs set Thursday around the USA. Source: NBC News.

The high temp for where i live in southeast michigan today was 55f
it feels like the beginning of spring outside

Last Edited by NiNzrez on 01/06/2012 03:12 PM
MamaHasAwakened

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01/06/2012 03:53 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
It is 70 degrees in St. Louis today! I am loving it, even though it is so far from nromal. Oh well, should be headed back to the 40'/ 50's this week!
Anonymous Coward
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01/06/2012 06:49 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hi all,


we have another nice event...again farside

A nice CME is seen on Stereo Images:

:cmejan062254ut:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]



its again not earth directed, but the cause is int

again from an farside event:

:stereobehindeuvi:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


i will upload soon an vid

[link to solarwatchninzrez.blogspot.com]
aether

User ID: 1412926
United Kingdom
01/06/2012 07:09 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
anyone thoughts on this

Anonymous Coward
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Germany
01/06/2012 07:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
anyone thoughts on this


 Quoting: aether


Hi aether, yep this was a lensflare
Thread: Stereo B, somethings up with venus

i will upload soon a pdf
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1297814
Germany
01/06/2012 07:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Hi all,


we have another nice event...again farside

A nice CME is seen on Stereo Images:

:cmejan062254ut:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]



its again not earth directed, but the cause is int

again from an farside event:

:stereobehindeuvi:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


i will upload soon an vid

[link to solarwatchninzrez.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76




[link to www.youtube.com]
aether

User ID: 1412926
United Kingdom
01/06/2012 07:44 PM

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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
anyone thoughts on this


 Quoting: aether


Hi aether, yep this was a lensflare
Thread: Stereo B, somethings up with venus

i will upload soon a pdf
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


thank you 76 thumbs
NiNzrez  (OP)

User ID: 6459914
United States
01/06/2012 08:09 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Watch California today or tomorrow...alot of small EQ`s being listed...way past due

[link to quakes.globalincidentmap.com]




 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>


things getting bumpy on the west coast..North and south of it too...She is getting ready to shift
 Quoting: <<LOOK`n thru YOU>>



Hi lookncheers

mhh, then come over here..i will drive tomorrow to our supervolcano: lake laach

will record a bit and maybe i comment it like jackass style:

" this is iwanttobelieve76 and today i will swim in a supervolcano...."

1rof1



---------------------------------------------




We had another 2 small c flares

Flare of class C2.2 1392 11:14:00 11:25:00 11:35:00

and the latest one

a c 1.4
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


if you did a video of that, i bet it would go viral haha
FIREFIGTHER
01/06/2012 08:18 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
just asking to d sungazers in the room...
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

just pop... is this a C class one we just see here..???
bloodyt3ch

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01/06/2012 08:25 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov] Just Look At This CME
Religion is the biggest joke i've ever seen

- ME
Anonymous Coward
01/06/2012 08:28 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
earth bounded... looks strong.. 7th or 8th?
Anonymous Coward
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01/06/2012 08:30 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
just asking to d sungazers in the room...
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

just pop... is this a C class one we just see here..???
 Quoting: FIREFIGTHER 0


no this cme was caused by the large filament eruption to the north of region 1392 yesterday

and you see there a cme and no flare
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1297814
Germany
01/06/2012 08:31 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
earth bounded... looks strong.. 7th or 8th?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 0


Hi all,


we have another nice event...again farside

A nice CME is seen on Stereo Images:

:cmejan062254ut:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]



its again not earth directed, but the cause is int

again from an farside event:

:stereobehindeuvi:
[link to stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov]


i will upload soon an vid

[link to solarwatchninzrez.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76




[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76
Anonymous Coward
01/06/2012 08:38 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

STREAMER SHOWS EARTH BOUNDED..!?
JATMON

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01/06/2012 08:50 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Our sun has so much flare, doesn't it?


hf
Although it is not true that all conservatives are stupid,
it is true that most stupid people are conservative.

John Stuart Mill
************
It's much harder to be a liberal than a conservative. Why?
Because it is easier to give someone the finger than a helping hand.
Mike Royko
Anonymous Coward
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01/06/2012 08:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

STREAMER SHOWS EARTH BOUNDED..!?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 0


yeah again...


this was from the filament eruption on jan 5

:eruptionregion13:

not from the latest cme's!

here you see the ISWA alert
:ISWAalertJanuary:
[link to iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080]

Event Issue Date: 2012-01-06 02:52:50.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-01-07 13:18:01.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 6 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.1 R
Anonymous Coward
01/06/2012 08:51 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
really? u didnt see it yet! 26k cycle..
Anonymous Coward
01/06/2012 08:54 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
this one just poped.. will be here 8th or 9th.. what do u think germany?
Anonymous Coward
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Germany
01/06/2012 09:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
this one just poped.. will be here 8th or 9th.. what do u think germany?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 0


the latest ones will never be here...they are not earth directed

:CMEjanuary62012:


:cmejan062254ut:


they was produced by a eruption from the back side of the sun




[link to www.youtube.com]




the cme we see on cygnet streamer:


:ISWAalertJanuary:


will effects us:

Event Issue Date: 2012-01-06 02:52:50.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2012-01-07 13:18:01.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 6 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.1 R
shadasonic

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01/06/2012 09:39 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
It is 70 degrees in St. Louis today! I am loving it, even though it is so far from nromal. Oh well, should be headed back to the 40'/ 50's this week!
 Quoting: MamaHasAwakened


low teens in 10 days, west of ya in columbia
“One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back.” – Carl Sagan
Hugh M Eye

01/07/2012 12:41 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Beautiful SDO movie of yesterday's eruption responsible for the Earth-directed CME:

[link to sdowww.lmsal.com]

SOHO C3 image of latest "whopper" CME (fortunately originating from a few degrees over the limb):

[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

SEEDS movie of latest:

[link to spaceweather.gmu.edu]
explosionahhh
Anonymous Coward
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01/07/2012 08:12 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
GoodMorning all^^,

:SunTodayJan72012:

The new region 1394 [N18E43] emerged in the northeast quadrant on January 5 and got an SWPC number the next day

Our largest region which is 1389 showed little change during the last 24 hours.

There is a new Region on the northeast limb rotating into view soon.

We noticed also some significant change at Region 1393 in the last hours.


A nice image from the Dutch Observatory shows us the Prominence on the east limb is still there


:ProminencesJan72:
Fulldisc

:Closeup1391Jan72:
CloseUpRegion1391 and Prominence


Solar activity was quiet yesterday and till now
[link to www.tesis.lebedev.ru]

This morning Region 1392 produced a C2 solar flare, peaking at 00:09UT and Region 1389 produced a C1 solar flare peaking at 04:53UT

[link to solarwatchninzrez.blogspot.com]
Anonymous Coward
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01/07/2012 10:49 AM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
SIDC - RWC BELGIUM 07 Jan 2012, 1208UT

NOAA regions 11390, 11392, 11388 and 11389 have each produced a low C flare in the last 24 hours. The brightest flare was released by NOAA AR 1392 and had a GOES X-ray flux peak value of C2.6 around 00:09 UT on January 7. More C flares are expected in the next 24 hour period. After the arrival on Janury 6 of the expected Coronal Hole high speed stream, ACE has measured solar wind velocities between 400 and 450 km/s in the last 24 hours, with the IMF around 5 nT. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet in this period, and are expected to be quiet with a chance of active periods on January 7. Quiet conditions are likely on January 8. On January 9, a glancing blow is possible from the CME first observed by COR2 A on January 5, 14:24 UT, in which case active geomagnetic levels are expected.

[link to sidc.oma.be]
learner
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01/07/2012 12:17 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
good afternoon everyone :)
looks like the sun got a bit quiet with the flare activity
thanks for all the info IWTB
always right on top of things!

wow 2012 is like chaos around where i live
it's almost like the minute new years hit, people went insane! i can not even watch the news here
and the neighbors are all crazy out of no where haha
fighting, cops and more fighting
wow just wow
today is a bit more quiet here, so im hoping i will get some time to sit here and enjoy the net a bit
lots of earth activity going on today
maybe this has something to do with peoples moods
i posted this info in some other threads, but will add it here for the solar watch viewers as well


Record high temps in the USA:
April in January (nearly 900 record highs in the last week; subzero by Jan. 17-20?)
[link to www.startribune.com]

Map of Record high temps for the USA, Jan 5 2012
[link to mapcenter.hamweather.com]
and today (friday) is much warmer in most places with new record highs to be set


115 record highs set Thursday around the USA. Source: NBC News.

The high temp for where i live in southeast michigan today was 55f
it feels like the beginning of spring outside
 Quoting: NiNzrez


not just record highs: extremes

"Overnight, record lows were set in Alma at 19 degrees (breaking record of 20 set in 2001) and Gainesville, 20 degrees (breaking record of 22 set in 1900). Record lows were tied in Jacksonville, 22 degrees (set in 1887), Tallahassee, 18 degrees (set in 1928), and Appalachicola, 26 degrees (set in 2010)."

via : [link to news.blogs.cnn.com]


betcha that if we could map the energy density held in the Earth's field, that the peaks would correspond to high temp locations.

like ripples on the surface of a lake.

was lookin' for examples in fuckyeahfluiddynamics but got caught up in some bitchen phenomenon.

here's a couple.

[link to www.youtube.com]

[link to www.youtube.com]

if y'all havn't browsed this shit, i suggest u do.

what the old alchemist said remains true i believe: so below as above. just a question of scale and Reynolds numbers.

and energy
learner
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01/07/2012 12:21 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
oops.

site location : [link to fuckyeahfluiddynamics.tumblr.com]
El Quisqueyano

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01/07/2012 03:02 PM
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Re: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily)
Significant precursor signal detected on 1/7/2012 at 1948utc/1448est. Possible 6+.

Radio Direction Finder has signal coming in East of France from somewhere out in the Northern, Mid to Southern portions of the Pacific plate to Alaska, Canada and Chile.


Most likely candidates for this 6+ quake being Japan or Chile.





GLP