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Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 06/17/2012 07:04 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | If that apparent twisting is an actual reality and not just due to the angle of the image,I'd expect a little more yet. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 06/17/2012 07:07 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SOHO DATA: Quoting: tomasgod1 last update : 2012 June 17(day 169) 03:11:54 UTC Proton Density 14.22 p/cc Wind Speed 457.20 k/ps 2012 168:21:20:22 p/cc 64.72 k/ps 517.80 2012 168:21:22:22 p/cc 73.56 k/ps 513.10 2012 168:21:24:24 p/cc 82.36 k/ps 504.40 2012 168:21:26:24 p/cc 89.41 k/ps 496.80 2012 168:21:28:55 p/cc 86.91 k/ps 507.50 2012 168:21:30:57 p/cc 81.72 k/ps 508.80 2012 168:21:32:57 p/cc 75.67 k/ps 503.30 2012 168:21:35:01 p/cc 80.68 k/ps 500.20 2012 168:21:37:01 p/cc 78.27 k/ps 491.50 2012 168:21:39:01 p/cc 78.38 k/ps 498.00 2012 168:21:41:01 p/cc 69.33 k/ps 509.80 2012 168:21:43:02 p/cc 74.71 k/ps 521.50 2012 168:21:45:02 p/cc 104.94 k/ps 509.30 2012 168:21:47:04 p/cc 107.38 k/ps 508.90 2012 168:21:49:04 p/cc 108.01 k/ps 514.30 2012 168:21:51:06 p/cc 94.66 k/ps 527.60 2012 168:21:53:05 p/cc 46.38 k/ps 537.30 Look at the densities SOHO recorded here for a long duration. They increased and then decreased over a long duration, lending credence to an actual spike rather than a sensor malfunction. That would'nt surprise me considering how wild the Magnetic Field has been reacting to the compounded CME impacts! The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 06/17/2012 07:09 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | K5 now... [link to www.n3kl.org] Quoting: Luisport Yep,that is overall..local KP Levels could be higher/lower than 5 but I am sure you know that : ) Hope you are good Luis. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
tomasgod1 User ID: 11714381 United States 06/17/2012 07:12 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Howdy, Tom! You & IWTB have a real knack for timing, LOL. I hope you're doing great. Our team here has had a few victories over the Establishment this week and we had some updates by NINzrez as well. Quoting: Hugh M Eye [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] This storm began over 24 hours ago when I suddenly woke from a 1-hour sleep to see a sharp spike in the SW speed and declared a sudden impulse CME arrival. Nerdrage & I knew and posted this fact almost an hour before NOAA woke up. And my storm prediction was frighteningly more accurate than the well-paid chimps (I'm scaring myself again). My last glance showed that we're still seeing the magnetopause breaching geosynchronus orbit at this late hour. See for yourself: [link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov:8080] It seems my forecast for a 16-hour storm was a tad conservative, hehe. ACE 24-hr. SW plot: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] It's not about timing. I have been at OOT for a family emergency, but I still look in. I am back home now. 10,00 + cars beat to hell with HAIL while I was gone, and many homes trashed..woopee. My area was spared, and I am so thankful! You have done great! I know it took a while, but I know You see why we are the way we are with those that know not how to even issue numbers for new sunspot regions when they apear! haha Welcome to the rage! We get irritated, and make fun of them, because it turns out that they are chimps, in a room, with controlls that they can't/won't use. Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 06/17/2012 07:21 AM _______ Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] YouTube Channel [link to www.youtube.com] "Give me Liberty, or give me Death!" FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799) |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 18083046 Portugal 06/17/2012 07:14 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | K5 now... [link to www.n3kl.org] Quoting: Luisport Yep,that is overall..local KP Levels could be higher/lower than 5 but I am sure you know that : ) Hope you are good Luis. Yes it's the overall KP... i post it because they rise it. 15 minutes ago it was 4... I'm very well thank you my friend! Let me thank to all this wonderfull team that is allways on top of Sun events! |
tomasgod1 User ID: 11714381 United States 06/17/2012 07:23 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Always has been a correlation between Solar radiation and bouts of crazyness. Quoting: Spittin'Cesium Oh; is that what is is ;) CURRENT ACE DATA: 2012 06 17 09:57UTC Proton density 12.1 p/cc Solar wind 411.0 km/s BznT -16.5 rock n and a rolln babe! Proton density has fallen from around 23.3 p/cc at 08:22 UTC. If the solar wind was a higher this one would be a real punch in the wowo! haha! Heya Tomas! Peace to you brother _______ Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] YouTube Channel [link to www.youtube.com] "Give me Liberty, or give me Death!" FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799) |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 06/17/2012 07:26 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The Fields are looking a little less stable in the Sunspot Regions of importance [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] The Earth is right 'On-top' of Region 1504..any events will be aimed directly at us! The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 06/17/2012 07:46 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Space Weather Message Code: WARK06 Serial Number: 197 Issue Time: 2012 Jun 17 0725 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected Valid From: 2012 Jun 17 0730 UTC Valid To: 2012 Jun 17 1200 UTC Warning Condition: Persistence NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] We have been upgraded again to G2 Status [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] As the Bz continues to stay South. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 06/17/2012 07:47 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | She is building up power [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
tomasgod1 User ID: 11714381 United States 06/17/2012 07:59 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ACE DATA 2012 06 17 11;45 UTC BznT -17.8 it just let off the gas and is now dropping. Proton Density 17.6 P/cc Solar Wind 399.4 k/ps _______ Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] YouTube Channel [link to www.youtube.com] "Give me Liberty, or give me Death!" FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799) |
shenue User ID: 5263313 United States 06/17/2012 08:02 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 06/17/2012 08:03 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 06/17/2012 08:10 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | It continues [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Our Magnetosphere is still bouncing around from the combined events and looks like it should continue for Today. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
tomasgod1 User ID: 11714381 United States 06/17/2012 08:11 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Good Morning, Shenue..:) SOHO DATA 2012 169:(17th) 11:48:42 UTC Proton Density 10.58 p/cc Solar Wind 442.30 k/ps _______ Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] YouTube Channel [link to www.youtube.com] "Give me Liberty, or give me Death!" FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799) |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 06/17/2012 08:12 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here is S.0's observations: [link to www.youtube.com] The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 06/17/2012 08:15 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | But I would not say we are not through the storm yet by any measure : ) The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 17392454 United States 06/17/2012 08:40 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Always has been a correlation between Solar radiation and bouts of crazyness. Quoting: Spittin'Cesium Oh; is that what is is ;) CURRENT ACE DATA: 2012 06 17 09:57UTC Proton density 12.1 p/cc Solar wind 411.0 km/s BznT -16.5 rock n and a rolln babe! Proton density has fallen from around 23.3 p/cc at 08:22 UTC. If the solar wind was a higher this one would be a real punch in the wowo! haha! Good Morning TG1 and all Still pretty active K_index at 6 [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Space Weather Message Code: WARK06 Serial Number: 198 Issue Time: 2012 Jun 17 1150 UTC EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected Extension to Serial Number: 197 Valid From: 2012 Jun 17 0730 UTC Now Valid Until: 2012 Jun 17 1500 UTC Warning Condition: Persistence Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 17392454 United States 06/17/2012 08:42 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ^^ logged off^^ Space Weather Message Code: ALTK06 Serial Number: 286 Issue Time: 2012 Jun 17 1133 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6 Threshold Reached: 2012 Jun 17 1131 UTC Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state. |
tomasgod1 User ID: 11714381 United States 06/17/2012 08:43 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Always has been a correlation between Solar radiation and bouts of crazyness. Quoting: Spittin'Cesium Oh; is that what is is ;) CURRENT ACE DATA: 2012 06 17 09:57UTC Proton density 12.1 p/cc Solar wind 411.0 km/s BznT -16.5 rock n and a rolln babe! Proton density has fallen from around 23.3 p/cc at 08:22 UTC. If the solar wind was a higher this one would be a real punch in the wowo! haha! Aye : ) With regard the Solar Wind,I don't think it 100% necessary that it needs to be overly high for the affects of a Geo-storm to have implications for Sattellites and Power surges here on Earth..I think the Polarities of combined CME's/Flares is of more importance,Imo. Have you noticed that the GOES Magnetometer has added -50 and +250 NanoTeslas to the Graph [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Pretty sure I had'nt noticed that before now,or have I willfully missed that in the past!? With regard to the solar wind, it as well as the proton density, the degrees K of the plasma,the angle of rotation with wich the CME arrives..are all dynamic. The speed at which the CME passes makes a monumental difference as to the effect the CME has on the magnetosphere. The GOES Magnetometometer graph is expandable to be inclusive to the readings that need to be represented. In this image from Oct. 23, 2011 [link to www.wondersofnature.nl] the readings bounced from 0 nT to 200 nT and the graph was not expanded, so I guess we will see if they leave it this way. Nice catch..:) _______ Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] YouTube Channel [link to www.youtube.com] "Give me Liberty, or give me Death!" FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799) |
tomasgod1 User ID: 11714381 United States 06/17/2012 08:47 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ^^ logged off^^ Quoting: TS66 Space Weather Message Code: ALTK06 Serial Number: 286 Issue Time: 2012 Jun 17 1133 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6 Threshold Reached: 2012 Jun 17 1131 UTC Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC Active Warning: Yes NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state. kiddo! _______ Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] YouTube Channel [link to www.youtube.com] "Give me Liberty, or give me Death!" FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799) |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 06/17/2012 08:53 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Always has been a correlation between Solar radiation and bouts of crazyness. Quoting: Spittin'Cesium Oh; is that what is is ;) CURRENT ACE DATA: 2012 06 17 09:57UTC Proton density 12.1 p/cc Solar wind 411.0 km/s BznT -16.5 rock n and a rolln babe! Proton density has fallen from around 23.3 p/cc at 08:22 UTC. If the solar wind was a higher this one would be a real punch in the wowo! haha! Aye : ) With regard the Solar Wind,I don't think it 100% necessary that it needs to be overly high for the affects of a Geo-storm to have implications for Sattellites and Power surges here on Earth..I think the Polarities of combined CME's/Flares is of more importance,Imo. Have you noticed that the GOES Magnetometer has added -50 and +250 NanoTeslas to the Graph [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Pretty sure I had'nt noticed that before now,or have I willfully missed that in the past!? With regard to the solar wind, it as well as the proton density, the degrees K of the plasma,the angle of rotation with wich the CME arrives..are all dynamic. The speed at which the CME passes makes a monumental difference as to the effect the CME has on the magnetosphere. The GOES Magnetometometer graph is expandable to be inclusive to the readings that need to be represented. In this image from Oct. 23, 2011 [link to www.wondersofnature.nl] the readings bounced from 0 nT to 200 nT and the graph was not expanded, so I guess we will see if they leave it this way. Nice catch..:) I agree fully that: 'The speed at which the CME passes makes a monumental difference as to the effect the CME has on the magnetosphere'. I think what I meant was that it does not always have to be excessive in Speed to be of any harm to our Sattellites/Earth based systems..I did'nt mean to sound like I was dismissing your comment Tom as I value hugely your input! Anyhoo',I think you know what I meant : ) I had not noticed in the past that the GOES Magnetometer had been extended to include -50/+250 NanoTesla like it has Today,had you or anyone else here seen this before? The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 18083525 India 06/17/2012 08:54 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 06/17/2012 08:55 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | It really is quaking up there! [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
tomasgod1 User ID: 11714381 United States 06/17/2012 09:03 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ... Quoting: tomasgod1 Oh; is that what is is ;) CURRENT ACE DATA: 2012 06 17 09:57UTC Proton density 12.1 p/cc Solar wind 411.0 km/s BznT -16.5 rock n and a rolln babe! Proton density has fallen from around 23.3 p/cc at 08:22 UTC. If the solar wind was a higher this one would be a real punch in the wowo! haha! Aye : ) With regard the Solar Wind,I don't think it 100% necessary that it needs to be overly high for the affects of a Geo-storm to have implications for Sattellites and Power surges here on Earth..I think the Polarities of combined CME's/Flares is of more importance,Imo. Have you noticed that the GOES Magnetometer has added -50 and +250 NanoTeslas to the Graph [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Pretty sure I had'nt noticed that before now,or have I willfully missed that in the past!? With regard to the solar wind, it as well as the proton density, the degrees K of the plasma,the angle of rotation with wich the CME arrives..are all dynamic. The speed at which the CME passes makes a monumental difference as to the effect the CME has on the magnetosphere. The GOES Magnetometometer graph is expandable to be inclusive to the readings that need to be represented. In this image from Oct. 23, 2011 [link to www.wondersofnature.nl] the readings bounced from 0 nT to 200 nT and the graph was not expanded, so I guess we will see if they leave it this way. Nice catch..:) I agree fully that: 'The speed at which the CME passes makes a monumental difference as to the effect the CME has on the magnetosphere'. I think what I meant was that it does not always have to be excessive in Speed to be of any harm to our Sattellites/Earth based systems..I did'nt mean to sound like I was dismissing your comment Tom as I value hugely your input! Anyhoo',I think you know what I meant : ) I had not noticed in the past that the GOES Magnetometer had been extended to include -50/+250 NanoTesla like it has Today,had you or anyone else here seen this before? I know what you meant:) I have not seen those numbers before. If the storm had reached the upper or lower limits of the graph, I would expect to see it expand just as the ACE electron, and proton graphs do. I found the one I posted from Oct., 2011 that reached both limits without an increase, so it will be interesting to see if they change it back. _______ Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] YouTube Channel [link to www.youtube.com] "Give me Liberty, or give me Death!" FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799) |
tomasgod1 User ID: 11714381 United States 06/17/2012 09:03 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Morning all, Quoting: IwantToBelieve76 the Aurora will be at 'STORM' LEVEL Well, watch also the ISS Live Stream for it....:D [link to www.nasa.gov] Hey you! I missed you! Dang it! _______ Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] YouTube Channel [link to www.youtube.com] "Give me Liberty, or give me Death!" FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799) |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 06/17/2012 09:04 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Eventhough the SS is growing and harbours energy for a decent flare , why is the x-ray flat???? Any body debunk thsi for me?? Very strange I felt Quoting: Anonymous Coward 18083525 It's not really that flat unless you're looking at the 1 Minute data..it just appears that she is winding up a little more before firing off anything of decent size [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] The Bz has just moved out of the South(for now)and we'll have to keep watching this to see if again she fluctuates down [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] The region of concern is exactly in Earths' footprint so any event should be squarely toward us. I say it again that it looks like a coiled Snake on EVE [link to lasp.colorado.edu] Though it does appear that she may be powering down a little : ( Have to keep watching. Last Edited by Spittin'Cesium on 06/17/2012 09:05 AM The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
tomasgod1 User ID: 11714381 United States 06/17/2012 09:11 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Was sleeping in my tent last night when I was awoken by a strong wind just after midnight. Quoting: khoisansun Then an electric storm started. Extremely intense. We have had 2 this season so far. It is normal to have them in this area. You get some incredible Electric Storms down there don't you!? Lucky : ) Good thing you wernt camping in my area the other night. We got pounded with baseball ansd softball sized hail. bwahaha. That would be a crappy deal in a tent. _______ Blog [link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com] YouTube Channel [link to www.youtube.com] "Give me Liberty, or give me Death!" FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799) |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 06/17/2012 09:17 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Was sleeping in my tent last night when I was awoken by a strong wind just after midnight. Quoting: khoisansun Then an electric storm started. Extremely intense. We have had 2 this season so far. It is normal to have them in this area. You get some incredible Electric Storms down there don't you!? Lucky : ) Good thing you wernt camping in my area the other night. We got pounded with baseball ansd softball sized hail. bwahaha. That would be a crappy deal in a tent. Hailstorms I feel may be related to the Electron Stream : ) Or at least some of them are. I have noticed that there tends to be alot more Hailstorms reported during times when we are having a Electron Fraggle. But,I must keep watching to be sure of a correlation between the two. It must be absolutely crazy to be in the middle of one of the Hailstorms you describe Tom! The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 06/17/2012 09:32 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Place your bets on the area the next CME will pop off from [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Quite a few raging prominences on the disc at present,from this image I'd say from the South-East [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] as the Field lines look pretty wide open,anyone else see that? The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |
Spittin'Cesium User ID: 14589973 Netherlands 06/17/2012 09:38 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | There is a tiny splatter on EVE in the South-East by the regions of concern [link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov] Unless that is an accident in the image I'd say there was a minor CME from that area. The thing that hath been, is That which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done:and there is no new thing under the Sun. Ecclesiastes 9:1 |