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***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1439992
Australia
06/23/2011 11:54 AM
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***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
_________________________________________________

FLASHPOINT #1 – NAGORNY-KARABAKH

_________________________________________________

Talks in Kazan between Azerbaijan and Armenia break down.

Azerbaijan mobilizes troops to Karabakh, alarming Armenia, who mobilizes in response.

Russia says it will support Armenia should war break out.

Turkey reiterates its support for Azerbaijan but says it does not want war.

NATO appeals for calm but warns Russia that it will support Turkey as a NATO member.

Fighting erupts after Azerbaijan crosses into Karabakh, prompting Armenian retaliation.

Armenia declares war on Azerbaijan. Pandemonium erupts at the UN Security Council.

Russia declares war on Turkey.

Turkey declares war on Russia.

Russian artillery and warplanes open fire on Turkish positions.

NATO is drawn into the war after Turkey calls on Article V of the NATO charter.

Russian and Western ships exchange heavy fire.

_________________________________________________

FLASHPOINT #2 – THE KOREAN PENINSULA – DMZ

_________________________________________________

North Korea, buoyed by an economically crippled West, fires on South Korean ships

South Korea returns fire, inflicting heavy casualties on North Korea

The United States, though distracted, warns North Korea that it will be punished

In an unusual display, China sends several warships to the Korean Peninsula

Russia pleads for all sides to exercise calm

North Korea masses 400,000 more troops along the DMZ and positions artillery

South Korea unexpectedly launches a pre-emptive strike on North Korean artillery batteries

North Korea invades the South, launching missiles and launching aerial Kamikaze attacks

China says it will repel any attempts by Western powers to invade North Korea

The US begins carpet bombing North Korea, demanding they cease or face a ‘nuclear attack’

China says it will not tolerate “a Hiroshima and Nagasaki” in North Korea

China blockades North Korea to prevent any further US landings

A new US government declares war on China

_________________________________________________

FLASHPOINT #3 – THE OCCUPIED TERRITORIES (PALESTINE)

_________________________________________________

Peace talks stall with regards to Israeli settlements in the occupied territories & East Jerusalem

The Palestinian Authority seeks independence at the UN General Assembly

A majority of UN members vote in favour of the idea, but the US vetoes it in the UNSC.

Arab countries sympathetic to Palestine announce unilateral but unspecified ‘aid’ to Gaza.

Convoys begin bringing large shipments into Gaza through the Gaza Crossing (via Egypt)

The Israeli government announces a blockade, calling the bluff of the Arab states

Syria and Egypt warn Israel that it is playing with fire and continue to supply aid into Gaza

A conflaguration erupts when one of the convoys (Syrian/Lebanese) is fired upon

Hezbollah in Lebanon mobilize to the border with Israel and announce they’re “ready for war”

Israel decides on a pre-emptive strike against Hezbollah, inflicting “very heavy” casualties

Lebanon, Syria and Egypt are drawn into war against Israel with Iran’s moral and logistical support

Israel launches a massive aerial assault on Iran’s nuclear reactors. A regional war erupts.

____________________________________________

Link
[link to thedailyjackhammer.wordpress.com]

bump
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 1439992
Australia
06/23/2011 11:57 AM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
This below piece is with regards to Nagorny-Karabakh

This region was controlled by the Russians until 1989 when they reluctantly most of the power over to their satelite state Azerbaijan. The problem was, the Armenians had been protesting, wanting the region to be handed over to Armenia. In 1991, Armenians living in Nagorny-Karabakh held a referenum in which a majority supported establishing a seperate state with Armenians in control. The Azerbaijanis rejected it and have threatened to use force to get it back ever since.

In summary, the region of Nagorny-Karabakh (a disputed area in Azerbaijan) was clinched by Armenia in a vote not recognized by Azerbaijan. Azerbaijan (a Turkish ally) is threatening to invade this region (which is geopolitically theirs) which is controlled by the Armenians (Russian allies).

In other words, we'd have Turkey (NATO) vs Russia.

If you look at the map, you'll see how close it also is to other key players in the region.

[excerpt from article]

17 years after the ceasefire that ended all-out fighting, tensions have escalated again with regular fire-fights along the Karabakh frontline and repeated threats from Baku to seize the region back by force if talks don't yield results.

In response, the ethnic Armenian separatists who have controlled Karabakh since the war and their backers in Yerevan have threatened large-scale retaliation if Baku takes military action.


The talks, which are expected to fail, are held TOMORROW.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 1439992
Australia
06/23/2011 11:57 AM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
popcorn
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1440096
United States
06/23/2011 11:58 AM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
kim crap What is behind Door number 4?
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1279884
Canada
06/23/2011 12:00 PM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
also

spratly islands

possible turkish intervention in syria
Smith_and_Jones

User ID: 1439901
United States
06/23/2011 12:07 PM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
I wonder when it will occur to people that most of what is happening in the world is THEATER.

"All the world's a stage, And all the men and women merely players: They have their exits and their entrances.
- William Shakespeare from "As You Like It"

There are 2 sides in everything that people are seeing....

1) The New World Order consisting of the "elites" from every country

2) The rest of the world's population in every country.

It's them against us. It's as simple as that. Stop believing their "Theater", and most things will stop happening.

Do you remember when there were "theaters of war" during WW2? Theaters are for entertainment, right? The NWO starts every war and then they entertain themselves. It's a big chess match, but the world population always pays the price.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 1439992
Australia
06/23/2011 12:13 PM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
also

spratly islands

possible turkish intervention in syria
 Quoting: Swinburnian



Right now I seriously think that the Azerbaijan-Armenia breakdown in talks (expected tomorrow) is more of a real threat than anything.

On one side you have...

Azerbaijan (which Turkey will fight for, bound by treaty)

Armenia (which Russia will fight for, bound by treaty)

Iran and Georgia (bordering both, who will enter the war).

Oh and did I mention NATO??
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 1439992
Australia
06/23/2011 12:14 PM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
bump
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1382145
United States
06/23/2011 12:14 PM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
Only three? Try again. You forgot about Pakistan (china/india/US), Syria (Russia/US/Turkey), and even libya(China/Russia/US). Then there's the European missle shield in Europe we insist on shoving down Russia's throat, and Tiawan/China issue as always. And Israel/Palestine. And Israel/Iran. And Israel/Egypt....

Don't forget US economic collapse either - we have a whole bunch of enemies we haven't heard from in quite some time that will make their presence felt if we fall. We don't even have to completely collapse our economy - simply devaluing our dollar more (screwing the chinese/arabs out of their treasuries) may be enough.

I'm not even going to talk about solar/natural disaster/food storage events that could lead to wars, nor am I touching terrorism. Face it, the entire planet is circling the drain.

But I will give you a bump for the three listed, particularly the Turkey scenario. That's how these things usually get started, with friends of friends waring. That is an overlooked but very possible scenario.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1279884
Canada
06/23/2011 12:15 PM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
also

spratly islands

possible turkish intervention in syria
 Quoting: Swinburnian



Right now I seriously think that the Azerbaijan-Armenia breakdown in talks (expected tomorrow) is more of a real threat than anything.

On one side you have...

Azerbaijan (which Turkey will fight for, bound by treaty)

Armenia (which Russia will fight for, bound by treaty)

Iran and Georgia (bordering both, who will enter the war).

Oh and did I mention NATO??
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1439992


the syria situation also involves turkey (and by extension, NATO), russia and iran
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 1439992
Australia
06/23/2011 12:17 PM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
I have a bad feeling about this damned
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1279884
Canada
06/23/2011 12:18 PM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
I have a bad feeling about this damned
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1439992


that's obvious
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 1439992
Australia
06/23/2011 12:22 PM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
##### BREAKING #####

PENTAGON INFORMED ABOUT ARMENIAN OBSTRUCTIONS IN KARABAKH
[link to news.az]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1279884
Canada
06/23/2011 12:31 PM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
##### BREAKING #####

PENTAGON INFORMED ABOUT ARMENIAN OBSTRUCTIONS IN KARABAKH
[link to news.az]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1439992


Azerbaijan’s Defense Minister Safar Abiyev has discussed bilateral cooperation and Karabakh settlement with US Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defence Celesta Wallander.

[link to news.az]
Epic Beard Guy

User ID: 1079209
United States
06/23/2011 02:11 PM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
And so it begins!
Hope for the best, but prepare for the worst.
"America is at that awkward stage. It's too late to work within the system, but too early to shoot the bastards." -- Claire Wolfe
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1441079
Germany
06/24/2011 03:56 AM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
And so it begins!
 Quoting: Epic Beard Guy


What sense would make such a war.

An instant relief from a inner pressure that is activated round the globe. And the only therapy is war. Meeting the ancestors, bumm-bumm, hello.

Urges the patriarchal society after their covenant with the devil all the decades to renew again.

Giving faces to men and women and a living in constant fear it might come again to that solution.

Is war the highest court on earth who decides finally everything. From a haircut to a honeymoon, from a theory to the practice - no worry, the winner on the battlefield decides.

A question about the mechanism that can be decided by the fortunes of war and how addicted we are to that "heilbringer".

This, even though everyone knows that are clear and calm mind that war is nonsense to bog flowers bloom only yields, and causes immense damage that is disproportionate to the starting point of contention.

What begins with war will end in war. Do not take it personally but stretched over generations, as a people-body reflex or as history of the patriarchate.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1328703
United States
06/24/2011 04:58 AM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
YAwwnn...no problems with the quality of leaders.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1426127
New Zealand
06/24/2011 05:06 AM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
This below piece is with regards to Nagorny-Karabakh

This region was controlled by the Russians until 1989 when they reluctantly most of the power over to their satelite state Azerbaijan. The problem was, the Armenians had been protesting, wanting the region to be handed over to Armenia. In 1991, Armenians living in Nagorny-Karabakh held a referenum in which a majority supported establishing a seperate state with Armenians in control. The Azerbaijanis rejected it and have threatened to use force to get it back ever since.

In summary, the region of Nagorny-Karabakh (a disputed area in Azerbaijan) was clinched by Armenia in a vote not recognized by Azerbaijan. Azerbaijan (a Turkish ally) is threatening to invade this region (which is geopolitically theirs) which is controlled by the Armenians (Russian allies).

In other words, we'd have Turkey (NATO) vs Russia.

If you look at the map, you'll see how close it also is to other key players in the region.

[excerpt from article]

17 years after the ceasefire that ended all-out fighting, tensions have escalated again with regular fire-fights along the Karabakh frontline and repeated threats from Baku to seize the region back by force if talks don't yield results.

In response, the ethnic Armenian separatists who have controlled Karabakh since the war and their backers in Yerevan have threatened large-scale retaliation if Baku takes military action.


The talks, which are expected to fail, are held TOMORROW.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1439992


Azeri propaganda
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1431648
Australia
06/24/2011 05:12 AM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
UPDATE: 24/06/2011- 7:11PM

Mood of Armenian-Azeri talks darkened by military threat
[link to www.huliq.com]

(Azerbaijan's President warned Armenia that his country spends way more than Armenia on defence spending and that he has a superior military)

But....Armenia has RUSSIA
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1279884
Canada
06/24/2011 08:02 AM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
updates, OP?
Dervish nli
User ID: 1441301
Turkey
06/24/2011 08:16 AM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
Ahh hell
time to move again?
running out of places to live!!!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1279884
Canada
06/24/2011 08:21 AM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
Ahh hell
time to move again?
running out of places to live!!!
 Quoting: Dervish nli 1441301


there's a remote place with a western standard of living almost nobody has heard of. Google "Falkland ...

oh

forget it -- nowhere is safe
Jackasster

User ID: 1113407
Canada
06/24/2011 08:39 AM
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Re: ***Three Ticking Timebombs - Take Your Pick***
Azerbaijan's President warned Armenia

Are these two known for stick rattling like North Korea





GLP