Insurance Cost Against US Default Hits Record | |
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galdur (OP) User ID: 1225757 Iceland 07/28/2011 12:45 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | In the case of the U.S., a credit event would occur if the Treasury failed to make a payment on government bonds. In that situation, a committee under the auspices of the ISDA would rule that a default event had occurred only if the payment had not been made after a three-day grace period. At that point, U.S. CDS trades would be triggered and then settled. In the event of a U.S. credit event, the buyers of CDS would locate the February 2039 Treasury bond, currently priced at less than $88, and deliver that to the writers of insurance and receive $100 back, or par. At current levels, for a $10 million trade in CDS, that would generate a return of more than $1m, said Mr Jersey. The U.S. CDS market is defined by a smaller number of trades but much larger notional sizes when compared with other sovereign credits. There is a gross outstanding of $27 billion in U.S. for 1,063 trades, equating to an average trade size of $25 million, whereas for the UK there is $66 billion in outstanding notional volume for 4,789 trades, or $14 million per average trade size. cnbc.com |
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