German Army Report: Economy shrinking indefinitely

All the more reason to fast-track fusion reactor development and build more nuclear reactors, also probing space-based solar power solutions. I'm sorry people but to avoid this kind of catastrophe means using nuclear to make the transition to fusion/solar. The japanese fucked up by putting 40 year old reactors on a major fault on an island next to the ocean! FFS I wouldn't build a house there!

Also, there needs to be a MAJOR effort to push microwave power redistribution to get electricity to remote regions.

A fucking windmill and panels on your house aren't going to avert a GLOBAL energy crisis. You need a PARADIGM SHIFT to dodge this kind of economic freight train.

But how will Germany compete with Asian
countries that can produce green technology
cheaper?

The profit motive hasn't been repealed in Germany
has it?

During World War I, the German Empire was one of the Central Powers that ultimately lost the war. It began participation with the conflict after the declaration of war against Serbia by its ally, Austria-Hungary.


[link to en.wikipedia.org]

They will do it again, both start it and lose it! WWIII!

Peak fossil fuels are going to make cars a luxury for the rare few . So how are you guys are producing horses ?

"The German study which was released recently is unique for the frankness with which it explores the dire consequences which may be in store for us.

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The Germans also believe that it is already too late to complete a comprehensive global transition to a post fossil fuel economy.

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For the near future the study foresees that a very large increase in oil prices would harm the energy-intensive agricultural systems that produce much of our food. Not only could the costs of fertilizers and pesticides become prohibitive, but the massive amount of oil-dependent transportation needed to move agricultural products long distances could make food unaffordable for many.

The study goes on to postulate a "mobility crisis" that would arise from substantial increases in the costs of operating private cars and trucks. Although sudden shortages could be relieved by volunteer and regulatory measures, ultimately the mobility crisis would feed into and add to the worsening economic situation.

...

Domestic and foreign trade will have to adapt to these new relationships but doing so will likely lead to economic upheavals. As businesses transform to less oil-dependent forms of services and production, there would likely be an extended period of "transformation unemployment" that will become a major economic problem. A case could be made that our current "jobs" crisis is simply the leading edge of the "transformation unemployment" that could go on for decades.

The German study maintains that all countries on earth will sooner or later be faced with the problem of transitioning to a post-fossil fuel age. As such a transition has never happened before, there are no guidelines for how it is to be accomplished. Of great significance is the willingness of nations to implement the economic policies necessary to effect the transformation to the post fossil fuel age. Forms of government will be sorely tested. The Germans who have much experience in these matters note that only continuous improvement in individual living conditions forms the basis for tolerant and open societies. Given the widespread unemployment and high mobility costs that are almost certain to accompany the transition to a post fossil fuel world, democratic forms of government are likely to face severe challenges.

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For the immediate future, however, the German Army study foresees: 1. increasing oil prices that will reduce consumption and economic output (i.e. a recession or worse); 2. increasing transportation costs that will lead to lower trade volumes - less income for many and unaffordable food for some; and 3. pressure on government budgets as they must keep populations fed, deal with the social consequences of mass unemployment, and attempt to invest in sustainable sources of energy. Governmental revenues are bound to fall as unemployment increases along with resistance to further taxation.

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In an indefinitely shrinking economy, savings would not be invested as profits could no longer be made or borrowing costs paid. In this environment, the banking system, stock exchanges and financial markets would have a hard time surviving.

Banks would be left with no reason to exist as they would not be able to pay interest on deposits or find credit-worthy companies or individuals. The final step would be the loss of confidence in currencies and with them the ability to carry on normal economic transactions outside of barter.

If all this sounds extreme to American ears, remember the Germans have been through far more than we have in the last century. What is interesting is the way they are telling it like they see it - no pulling of punches here."

Full text [link to www.fcnp.com]