Tornado WARN Oklahoma /Severe Storms Texas

Strong Storms Threaten World Series Game 3Oct 22, 2011; 3:53 PM ET
[link to www.accuweather.com]

QUOTE SNIP:

"However, a disturbance approaching the region will combine with warm and humid air to spark strong thunderstorms tonight. Although the majority of the active weather should remain north and east of the ballpark in Arlington, a thunderstorm could delay the game and clear the stands for a period of time.

Any thunderstorms that do develop late today could produce large hail and damaging wind gusts over 60 mph in addition to heavy downpours and dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning."

--------

On TV, the cameraman at the game just showed sunset going into dusk with very big thunderheads starting to build in the distant sky around the stadium @ Arlington --> so, heads up folks in Texas as it has been a bit too hot today and there are some type of abnormal energy systems that are coming towards Texas tonight so storms may get very bad without much warning beforehand!

Here's the SEVERE THUNDERSTORM STORM WATCH
ISSUED BY THE SPC - NWS:

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

[MAP is at the link to see the area covered -- appears that the Dallas area is just on the southern border of the WATCH zone but local weather forecasters are expecting some storms to come into region of DFW this evening through tonight]
==============


QUOTE NWS:

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #869Issued/Updated: Oct 23, 2011 at 0003 UTC
Expires: Oct 23, 2011 at 0500 UTC
Latest Watch Status Message


SEL9

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 869
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
340 PM CDT SAT OCT 22 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

FAR SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
PARTS OF NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 340 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH OF WICHITA FALLS TEXAS TO 65 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PARIS TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION... MID-LVL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO NWRN OK WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSLATE ESE TOWARD THE ARKLATEX BY LATE THIS EVE. LLVL MOISTURE... CHARACTERIZED BY UPR 50S TO LWR 60S DEW POINTS... HAVE COMBINED WITH STRONG HEATING TO SUPPORT MLCAPES AROUND 1500 J/KG ACROSS CNTRL/SRN OK AND N TX. EXPECT TSTMS TO INITIATE INVOF SWRN/CNTRL OK 22-23Z NEAR A WRMFNT. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE MORE THAN SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH INITIAL ACTIVITY WITH LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY THREAT. AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND STORM NUMBER INCREASE... EXPECT TRANSITION INTO A POSSIBLE FORWARD-PROPAGATING MCS... TRACKING ESE INTO N TX AND POSSIBLY THE ARKLATEX REGION BY 06-07Z. DMGG WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT LATER THIS EVE.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30030.

...RACY

Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Low Very Low
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
Moderate Moderate
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
Moderate Low

Note: See the experimental Public Watch (SEL) product with explicit hazard information section below. The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

SEL9

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 869
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
340 PM CDT SAT OCT 22 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

FAR SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
PARTS OF NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 340 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL TO 2.0 INCHES IN DIAMETER

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH OF WICHITA FALLS TEXAS TO 65 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PARIS TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...MID-LVL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO NWRN OK WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSLATE ESE TOWARD THE ARKLATEX BY LATE THIS EVE. LLVL MOISTURE...CHARACTERIZED BY UPR 50S TO LWR 60S DEW POINTS...HAVE COMBINED WITH STRONG HEATING TO SUPPORT MLCAPES AROUND 1500 J/KG ACROSS CNTRL/SRN OK AND N TX. EXPECT TSTMS TO INITIATE INVOF SWRN/CNTRL OK 22-23Z NEAR A WRMFNT. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE
MORE THAN SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH INITIAL ACTIVITY
WITH LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY THREAT. AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND STORM
NUMBER INCREASE...EXPECT TRANSITION INTO A POSSIBLE
FORWARD-PROPAGATING MCS...TRACKING ESE INTO N TX AND POSSIBLY THE
ARKLATEX REGION BY 06-07Z. DMGG WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT LATER THIS EVE.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 30030.


...RACY

Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Low Very Low
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
Moderate Moderate
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
Moderate Low


SEL9

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 869
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
340 PM CDT SAT OCT 22 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

FAR SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
PARTS OF NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 340 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH OF
WICHITA FALLS TEXAS TO 65 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PARIS TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...MID-LVL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO NWRN OK WILL
CONTINUE TO TRANSLATE ESE TOWARD THE ARKLATEX BY LATE THIS EVE.
LLVL MOISTURE...CHARACTERIZED BY UPR 50S TO LWR 60S DEW
POINTS...HAVE COMBINED WITH STRONG HEATING TO SUPPORT MLCAPES AROUND
1500 J/KG ACROSS CNTRL/SRN OK AND N TX. EXPECT TSTMS TO INITIATE
INVOF SWRN/CNTRL OK 22-23Z NEAR A WRMFNT. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE
MORE THAN SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH INITIAL ACTIVITY
WITH LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY THREAT. AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND STORM
NUMBER INCREASE...EXPECT TRANSITION INTO A POSSIBLE
FORWARD-PROPAGATING MCS...TRACKING ESE INTO N TX AND POSSIBLY THE
ARKLATEX REGION BY 06-07Z. DMGG WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT LATER THIS EVE.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 30030.


...RACY

Hazard Tornadoes EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood Low Very Low
Severe Wind 65 kt+ Wind
Moderate Moderate
Severe Hail 2"+ Hail
Moderate Low


Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

WOUS64 KWNS 222034
WOU9

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 869
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
340 PM CDT SAT OCT 22 2011

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 869 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

LITTLE RIVER SEVIER


OKC005-013-015-017-019-023-027-029-031-033-049-051-061-063-06​7-
069-073-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-091-095-099-107-109-121-1​23-
125-127-133-137-230500-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0869.111022T2040Z-111023T0500Z/


OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATOKA BRYAN CADDO
CANADIAN CARTER CHOCTAW
CLEVELAND COAL COMANCHE
COTTON GARVIN GRADY
HASKELL HUGHES JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KINGFISHER LATIMER
LE FLORE LINCOLN LOGAN
LOVE MARSHALL MCCLAIN
MCCURTAIN MCINTOSH MURRAY
OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA
SEMINOLE STEPHENS


TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BOWIE CAMP CASS
CLAY COLLIN COOKE
DELTA DENTON FANNIN
FRANKLIN GRAYSON GREGG
HARRISON HOPKINS HUNT
JACK LAMAR MARION
MONTAGUE MORRIS RAINS
RED RIVER TITUS UPSHUR
WISE WOOD