NASA Downgrades Condition Code of Asteroid YU55 – Unsure of Trajectory | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 4265578 Canada 11/05/2011 04:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Kalki User ID: 1123721 United States 11/05/2011 04:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yep. For months they were 100% certain of its trjectory and about a week ago, with it only days away, they all of a sudden became 'uncertain'! Not only that, theyre using the incredibly precise Goldstone telescope (which can see billions of miles into space!)to track this thing! My guess is they know its gonna hit and this is their way of saying, 'Well we werent 100% sure it would miss, there was a slight chance it would hit, we just didn't know because there was uncertainty' |
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Seer777 Ride the wings of the mind User ID: 3018467 United States 11/05/2011 04:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
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Basedonaconspiracytheory User ID: 1553344 Hungary 11/05/2011 04:34 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
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5moreminutesmom User ID: 1873482 United States 11/05/2011 04:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Mycelium User ID: 4595286 United States 11/05/2011 04:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | "MPC "U" parameter: orbit uncertainty estimate 0-9, with 0 being good, and 9 being highly uncertain" from JPL site: [link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov] In other words, you're a moron. |
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TBar1984 User ID: 1537588 United States 11/05/2011 04:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The Condition Code was 3 on Monday, it's NOW 2. That's NOT a Downgrade. Another Fail. It was 0- not really a fail. And the projection near earth is about half of what it was. Comparing the Old Data to the New gives a difference of 202 km in the YU55 position. That IS NOT about half of 324,935 km. Watch the video. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 4662499 Australia 11/05/2011 05:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to minorplanetcenter.net] [link to www.minorplanet.info] most recent activity at the bottom for some reason. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 4662499 Australia 11/05/2011 05:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | The Condition Code was 3 on Monday, it's NOW 2. That's NOT a Downgrade. Another Fail. WRONG In February 2010 it was rated 1 on the Torino Scale, indicating that a pass near the Earth is predicted that poses no unusual level of danger. On 19 April 2010, highly accurate radar targeting by the Arecibo radio telescope reduced uncertainties about the orbit by 50 percent.[4] This improvement eliminated any possibility of an impact with the Earth for the next 100 years.[4] It was removed from the Sentry Risk Table on 22 April 2010 and and as such it now has a rating of 0 on the Torino Scale. More [link to en.wikipedia.org] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 4550462 United States 11/05/2011 06:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
TBar1984 User ID: 1537588 United States 11/05/2011 06:26 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | It's all posted in this thread Thread: YU55 Plot And JPL's Nov 1st Conference - The 'Twins' Vesta & Dembowska's Orbit It starts Monday with the pre-Radar Elements and ends with yesterday's Goldstone Radar updated Elements. All the links are there. |
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psyoptics User ID: 4658571 United States 11/05/2011 06:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov] condition code is 2 but the more then doubled last year and there are some sites list it at 175m some at 200m JPL now has it 400m the size change came after the radar resualts in 2010. space weather says 200m the link to JLP says 400m or .4 Km # obs. used (total) 775 # delay obs. used 5 # Doppler obs. used 5 data-arc span 2141 days (5.86 yr) first obs. used 2005-12-24 last obs. used 2011-11-04 planetary ephem. DE405 SB-pert. ephem. SB405-CPV-2 condition code 2 fit RMS .40482 data source ORB producer OSOD/Goldstone solution date 2011-Nov-04 10:47:14 a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants. |
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ZOSIME User ID: 1540299 United States 11/05/2011 06:37 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yep. For months they were 100% certain of its trjectory and about a week ago, with it only days away, they all of a sudden became 'uncertain'! Not only that, theyre using the incredibly precise Goldstone telescope (which can see billions of miles into space!)to track this thing! Quoting: Kalki 1123721 My guess is they know its gonna hit and this is their way of saying, 'Well we werent 100% sure it would miss, there was a slight chance it would hit, we just didn't know because there was uncertainty' CYA |
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TBar1984 User ID: 1537588 United States 11/05/2011 06:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Yep. For months they were 100% certain of its trjectory and about a week ago, with it only days away, they all of a sudden became 'uncertain'! Not only that, theyre using the incredibly precise Goldstone telescope (which can see billions of miles into space!)to track this thing! Quoting: Kalki 1123721 My guess is they know its gonna hit and this is their way of saying, 'Well we werent 100% sure it would miss, there was a slight chance it would hit, we just didn't know because there was uncertainty' CYA It's coming much closer this time than last. That means they are going to receive much better data than last time. If they had kept the CC at 0, how would they 'improve' upon the old data with the 'better' data? They had to lower the 16 month old CC so they could use the new data to show improvement and keep the bean counters happy. Think about it. After the next round of Radar Observations, the CC will again be ZERO. Count on it. |
ItsMaKa2 User ID: 1151446 United States 11/05/2011 06:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I SECOND THAT! |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 792087 Canada 11/05/2011 07:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Richard C Hoagland said on no name that all of North and South America will see this pass. THEREFORE!!!!!! if it doesn't pass it lands in the middle of the pacific and with that the entire Pacific coast gets a UMTD!!!!!! *******!!!!!!Ultra Massive Tsunami of Death!!!!!!!******** |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 1337927 United States 11/05/2011 07:15 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Richard C Hoagland said on no name that all of North and South America will see this pass. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 792087 THEREFORE!!!!!! if it doesn't pass it lands in the middle of the pacific and with that the entire Pacific coast gets a UMTD!!!!!! *******!!!!!!Ultra Massive Tsunami of Death!!!!!!!******** What show did Hoagland say this on? |