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CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.

 
tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 03:38 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Here is the SWEPAM chart from ACE showing the quick rise in the Proton Density, the increase in the Solar Wind,Increase in Ion Temp, and plumiting BznT as this second wave of this multiwave CME arrived early this morning.

22swepam

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 01/22/2012 03:41 AM
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RTS REDUX

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01/22/2012 03:42 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
This spike signaled the onset of a multi wave CME that was unleashed on January 19, 2012 during an M3.2 LDE flare that began at approximately 13:45 UTC from Sunspot Region 1402.
 Quoting: tomasgod1


here's a close up of the flare..video begins at 13:11 UTC on 1-19




AIA 171 (2012-01-19 13:11:24 - 2012-01-19 19:09:36 UTC)
 Quoting: RTS REDUX


Thank You RTS, I tried several times back here to get this video to embed but was having a problem with the link so ended up just leaving the url.
This Region of the sun continues to be very active. Sunspot Region 1401 and it's companion Region 1402 can be seen interacting magnetically in this close up SDO movie Sunspot Regions, composed just minutes ago.

[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: tomasgod1

 Quoting: tomasgod1


if you went to that link from a feed I think you have to 'refresh it' by Googling the title of the video and getting a new link

I can tell because I see the word 'embedded' in your video link which I think may be indicative of arriving from Google Reader or something

edit to add: I just tried my own suggestion and it didn't work so..1dunno1

Last Edited by RTS REDUX on 01/22/2012 03:53 AM
RTS REDUX

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01/22/2012 04:01 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
here is your vid..just backspaced 'embedded' out of your link



[link to www.youtube.com]
OVRANALYZE

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01/22/2012 04:04 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
nice OP
tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 04:45 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
here is your vid..just backspaced 'embedded' out of your link



[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: RTS REDUX


Thanks! I saw the embed and usually that is when it is dug in on their channel, but it wasn't..haha So thanks for getting it!
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 04:50 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
nice OP
 Quoting: OVRANALYZE


Hey there OA!
Great to see you Buddie!

Check this out!

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

The AO/AE is not updating:/ sucks because this is one of the largest CMEs we have seen!
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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RTS REDUX

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01/22/2012 04:54 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
here is your vid..just backspaced 'embedded' out of your link



[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: RTS REDUX


Thanks! I saw the embed and usually that is when it is dug in on their channel, but it wasn't..haha So thanks for getting it!
 Quoting: tomasgod1


yea I forget what causes that but it seems to be a fairly common problem around here w/posting videos. That particular glitch if memory serves me right has nothing to do w/feeds

very interesting video btw, as they all have been for the past few days imo
Solaris
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01/22/2012 04:59 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
A coronal mass ejection (CME) expected to hit Earth's magnetic field on Jan. 21st is overdue, leading NOAA forecasters to downgrade the chance of polar geomagnetic storms to 10% - 25%.

go back to normal life folks! rastabanan
Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 05:02 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
GoodMorning all,

49 minutes the Aurora should be at 'STORM' LEVEL!

AuroraLive(Alaska)
[link to salmon.nict.go.jp]


Region 1401 keeps on rocking:


2012/01/21 20:44:00 21:43:00 21:20:00 C1.3 N17W10 ( 1401 )
2012/01/22 02:32:00 03:06:00 02:57:00 C7.1 N17W13 ( 1401 )
2012/01/22 03:36:00 05:10:00 04:00:00 C3.4 N21W11 ( 1401)
2012/01/22 08:47:00 09:01:00 08:54:00 C2.2 N18W14 ( 1401)

[link to www.lmsal.com]
tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 05:08 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
GoodMorning all,

49 minutes the Aurora should be at 'STORM' LEVEL!

AuroraLive(Alaska)
[link to salmon.nict.go.jp]


Region 1401 keeps on rocking:


2012/01/21 20:44:00 21:43:00 21:20:00 C1.3 N17W10 ( 1401 )
2012/01/22 02:32:00 03:06:00 02:57:00 C7.1 N17W13 ( 1401 )
2012/01/22 03:36:00 05:10:00 04:00:00 C3.4 N21W11 ( 1401)
2012/01/22 08:47:00 09:01:00 08:54:00 C2.2 N18W14 ( 1401)

[link to www.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


Guten Morgen! I have been waiting for you!

The GOES POES auroral has the right time on it but I can tell from experience that it has not updated. I has stayed exactly the same. It should be glowing red.
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 05:10 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04
Serial Number: 1553
Issue Time: 2012 Jan 22 0902 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2012 Jan 22 0859 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC
Active Warning: Yes

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 05:12 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
GoodMorning all,

49 minutes the Aurora should be at 'STORM' LEVEL!

AuroraLive(Alaska)
[link to salmon.nict.go.jp]


Region 1401 keeps on rocking:


2012/01/21 20:44:00 21:43:00 21:20:00 C1.3 N17W10 ( 1401 )
2012/01/22 02:32:00 03:06:00 02:57:00 C7.1 N17W13 ( 1401 )
2012/01/22 03:36:00 05:10:00 04:00:00 C3.4 N21W11 ( 1401)
2012/01/22 08:47:00 09:01:00 08:54:00 C2.2 N18W14 ( 1401)

[link to www.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


I bloged the 7.1 here.
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

and posted it here...
Thread: SOLAR WATCH * Huge X8.2 Flare Sept. 10, 2017! (Updated Daily) (Page 532)

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 01/22/2012 05:15 AM
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 05:16 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
GoodMorning all,

49 minutes the Aurora should be at 'STORM' LEVEL!

AuroraLive(Alaska)
[link to salmon.nict.go.jp]


Region 1401 keeps on rocking:


2012/01/21 20:44:00 21:43:00 21:20:00 C1.3 N17W10 ( 1401 )
2012/01/22 02:32:00 03:06:00 02:57:00 C7.1 N17W13 ( 1401 )
2012/01/22 03:36:00 05:10:00 04:00:00 C3.4 N21W11 ( 1401)
2012/01/22 08:47:00 09:01:00 08:54:00 C2.2 N18W14 ( 1401)

[link to www.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


I bloged the 7.1 here.
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Nice TOM!

Well, had to overread all this yesterday as i arrived and need some sleep then im rdy to work now...:)

Will make some cafe and then i can start
coffeecup
superman
tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 05:22 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
At 09:12UTC ACE showed a Proton Density of 55.7 p/cc

Solar wind Speed 531.3 km/ps

BynT -17.5 BznT 15.5
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 05:24 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
GoodMorning all,

49 minutes the Aurora should be at 'STORM' LEVEL!

AuroraLive(Alaska)
[link to salmon.nict.go.jp]


Region 1401 keeps on rocking:


2012/01/21 20:44:00 21:43:00 21:20:00 C1.3 N17W10 ( 1401 )
2012/01/22 02:32:00 03:06:00 02:57:00 C7.1 N17W13 ( 1401 )
2012/01/22 03:36:00 05:10:00 04:00:00 C3.4 N21W11 ( 1401)
2012/01/22 08:47:00 09:01:00 08:54:00 C2.2 N18W14 ( 1401)

[link to www.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


I bloged the 7.1 here.
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Nice TOM!

Well, had to overread all this yesterday as i arrived and need some sleep then im rdy to work now...:)

Will make some cafe and then i can start
coffeecup
superman
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


I keep saying I am going to get some sleep but It is hard to stop when this comes along. I have been up for 22 hrs now.
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 05:38 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
The Ao/AE is updating now.
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 01/22/2012 05:38 AM
_______

Blog
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 05:44 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
GoodMorning all,

49 minutes the Aurora should be at 'STORM' LEVEL!

AuroraLive(Alaska)
[link to salmon.nict.go.jp]


Region 1401 keeps on rocking:


2012/01/21 20:44:00 21:43:00 21:20:00 C1.3 N17W10 ( 1401 )
2012/01/22 02:32:00 03:06:00 02:57:00 C7.1 N17W13 ( 1401 )
2012/01/22 03:36:00 05:10:00 04:00:00 C3.4 N21W11 ( 1401)
2012/01/22 08:47:00 09:01:00 08:54:00 C2.2 N18W14 ( 1401)

[link to www.lmsal.com]
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


I bloged the 7.1 here.
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


Nice TOM!

Well, had to overread all this yesterday as i arrived and need some sleep then im rdy to work now...:)

Will make some cafe and then i can start
coffeecup
superman
 Quoting: IwantToBelieve76


u may like this, u may not

[link to www.volcanotectonics.de]
Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 05:46 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
yo the sun pays good?
Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 05:48 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
What is a geomagnetic sudden impulse? Could that trigger a large earthquake? Is this serious AT ALL?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 8291021


Yes
It triggered a 6.5 mag in Mexico
It has also knocked out power in several areas as well as Verizon's network

More to come!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1496648


BULLSHIT!!!! I have Verizon and have had no issues yesterday or today!!!
Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 05:51 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Take it easy, an alert of 4 is minor

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Magnetometer Data, showing cumulative value of nT deflections for each 3-hour period, and corresponding Alerts that would be issued. Note the effect of Active Warnings on K=4 and K=5 Alerts.
NOAA Scale for
Geomagnetic Storms
Kp index
G5 - Extreme
Kp = 9
G4 - Severe
Kp = 8 and 9 minus
G3 - Strong
Kp = 7
G2 - Moderate
Kp = 6
G1 - Minor
Kp = 5
tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 05:59 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
3globald



This CME has continued to saturate the Ionosphere with protons as seen here by the Global D Graph that shows radio frequency degredation. An earlier C.1.7 solar flare from Sunspot Region 1401 on January 21, 2012 started a saturation that did not recover before becoming overwhelmed from Solar Energetic Particles arriving with this CME.
The majority of the energy is extinguished in the extreme lower region of the Ionosphere (around 50-80 km in altitude). This area is particularly important to radio communications because this is the area where most of the absorption of radio signals energy occurs. The enhanced ionization produced by incoming energetic protons increases the absorption levels in the lower Ionosphere and can have the effect of completely blocking all ionospheric radio communications through the polar regions. Such events are known as Polar Cap Absorption events (or PCAs). These events commence and last as long as the energy of incoming protons at approximately greater than 10 MeV exceeds roughly 10 pfu. This graph shows the frequencies that are currently being affected, and where.

For an update of this graph, click the link below.
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 06:04 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
ItsMaKa2

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01/22/2012 06:05 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

That's one of the biggest ones I've seen in my 2+ years watching this stuff!
Starwind

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01/22/2012 06:05 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Take it easy, an alert of 4 is minor

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Magnetometer Data, showing cumulative value of nT deflections for each 3-hour period, and corresponding Alerts that would be issued. Note the effect of Active Warnings on K=4 and K=5 Alerts.
NOAA Scale for
Geomagnetic Storms
Kp index
G5 - Extreme
Kp = 9
G4 - Severe
Kp = 8 and 9 minus
G3 - Strong
Kp = 7
G2 - Moderate
Kp = 6
G1 - Minor
Kp = 5
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9323784


You do know we've been hit for four hours straight by this CME? It's still going on and we are following it in the other thread. Kelvin temp and density just went off the charts.

[link to www2.nict.go.jp]

You can't really downplay a Kp=4 when we had that before the second of three (so far) hits. Geo-magnetic storms are the after effect and the event isn't over.
tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 06:07 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Take it easy, an alert of 4 is minor

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Magnetometer Data, showing cumulative value of nT deflections for each 3-hour period, and corresponding Alerts that would be issued. Note the effect of Active Warnings on K=4 and K=5 Alerts.
NOAA Scale for
Geomagnetic Storms
Kp index
G5 - Extreme
Kp = 9
G4 - Severe
Kp = 8 and 9 minus
G3 - Strong
Kp = 7
G2 - Moderate
Kp = 6
G1 - Minor
Kp = 5
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 9323784


NOAA increases the alerts as they are exceeded. They start with 4 expected then when exceeded they issue for next level untill met or exceeded. NOAA has fallen way behind the curve. NOAA was not expecting this CME we were.
Our prediction here....
[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

NOAAs prediction here...
2012-01-20 16:35 G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm Possible January 23

SWPC Forecasters have determined that the CME from NOAA Region 1402 near disk center yesterday will likely pass above (north) of Earth. This glancing blow will cause just G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm activity. Look for the first signs of it around 1800Z (1:00 pm EST) on Sunday, January 22, with the bulk of the disturbance to occur Monday, January 23. Watch here for updates.
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 06:20 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
7.7kp

The latest 4 hr USAF estimated kp is 7.7


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
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[link to mysolaralerts.blogspot.com]

YouTube Channel
[link to www.youtube.com]

"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
FOUNDING FATHER, Patrick Henry (May 29, 1736 – June 6, 1799)
Starwind

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01/22/2012 06:22 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
7.7kp

The latest 4 hr USAF estimated kp is 7.7


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


A possible g3 before the event is even over?

Density/kelvin are still off the charts!

.....
Anonymous Coward
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01/22/2012 06:22 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
North .... I am in Northern Ontario...way up here and so far nothing...I have been checking...

Internet is still up and running...no aurora's and we have only a bit of cloud coverage...no ringing in the ears...morning coffee was good and almost time for me to head in to work...I will watch way up here through the day

just sayin nothin exciting up here in the north of the world
tomasgod1  (OP)

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01/22/2012 06:24 AM
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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
7.7kp

The latest 4 hr USAF estimated kp is 7.7


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: tomasgod1


A possible g3 before the event is even over?

Density/kelvin are still off the charts!

.....
 Quoting: Starwind


This is a very strong CME.

The actual kp is curently 5.5 and rising.

The predicted kp 7.7 is also rising.

Last Edited by tomasgod1 on 01/22/2012 06:25 AM
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"Give me Liberty, or give me Death!"
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Arnie

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01/22/2012 06:25 AM

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Re: CME waves from January 19th M 3.2 LDE Solar Flare Arrive as expected.
Green K for you Tom, for keeping up with this....

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]
I do not recall ever seeing the orange color on this thing..........
meer
AKA Auntie Arnie





GLP