INVEST 91L in Atlantic - Models Forecast Possible Hurricane - Could Hit Portugal

Currently NHC has 50% chance to form.

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov]

Guidance has a track to Portugal.

[link to oi45.tinypic.com]


SHIPS model predicts Cat 1 at 75 knot winds.

Stay tuned.

Stay safe Luis!




TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1248 UTC SAT DEC 1 2012

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL912012) 20121201 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
121201 1200 121202 0000 121202 1200 121203 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 26.0N 42.3W 27.0N 42.7W 28.4N 42.8W 30.1N 42.1W
BAMD 26.0N 42.3W 27.7N 41.8W 29.6N 42.1W 32.3N 41.5W
BAMM 26.0N 42.3W 27.4N 42.1W 29.1N 42.0W 31.5N 41.1W
LBAR 26.0N 42.3W 27.1N 41.3W 28.5N 40.9W 30.5N 40.8W
SHIP 25KTS 33KTS 42KTS 52KTS
DSHP 25KTS 33KTS 42KTS 52KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
121203 1200 121204 1200 121205 1200 121206 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 32.1N 40.5W 37.4N 33.0W 43.2N 19.6W 45.9N 12.6W
BAMD 35.9N 40.0W 43.4N 35.0W 46.7N 26.6W 44.9N 17.0W
BAMM 34.6N 39.1W 42.3N 31.2W 47.1N 24.4W 45.0N 21.8W
LBAR 33.1N 40.3W 39.4N 35.0W 44.3N 15.7W 44.1N 14.0W
SHIP 62KTS 75KTS 76KTS 62KTS
DSHP 62KTS 75KTS 76KTS 62KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 26.0N LONCUR = 42.3W DIRCUR = 25DEG SPDCUR = 4KT
LATM12 = 25.4N LONM12 = 42.9W DIRM12 = 15DEG SPDM12 = 5KT
LATM24 = 24.3N LONM24 = 42.8W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM