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BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami

 
DoorBert
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07/28/2013 10:07 AM
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BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Tagged as Invest 91L.

Rapidly strengthening this morning.

[link to www.ssd.noaa.gov]

Catching all the mets off guard.

Models don't what to make of it.

Could go into the GOM, hit Miami, or drive up the east coast.

Stay tuned for updates.


[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov]


Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 281140
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN JUL 28 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF DORIAN...
IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT EXTENDS A
FEW HUNDRED MILES NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THIS
ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...PASSING NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND
PUERTO RICO TODAY AND MONDAY...AND MOVING OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS AND SOUTHERN BAHAMAS BY EARLY TUESDAY. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR REGENERATION...AND
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED
TO INVESTIGATE THIS DISTURBANCE LATER TODAY.

A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES OFF THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH OVER COLD
WATER. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov]


WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1200 PM EDT SAT 27 JULY 2013
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z JULY 2013
TCPOD NUMBER.....13-057

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM DORIAN
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71
A. 28/1730Z
B. AFXXX 0104A DORIAN
C. 28/1600Z
D. 19.9N 61.4W
E. 28/1630Z TO 28/2030Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 72
A. 29/0530Z
B. AFXXX 0204A DORIAN
C. 29/0230Z
D. 20.4N 65.0W
E. 29/0300Z TO 29/0700Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 12-HRLY FIXES
WHILE SYSTEM MAINTAINS ITS INTEGRITY.


[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by DoorBert on 07/28/2013 10:17 AM
DoorBert  (OP)

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07/28/2013 10:16 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Just got word, latest SHIPS model has a CAT 1 off Miami!!
Anonymous Coward
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07/28/2013 10:19 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Tomatoes still out at this point. No worries.
Saratonin

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07/28/2013 10:19 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Miami doom on! Thanks Doorbert!
My Blog - [link to blog.emergencyoutdoors.com]
Online Survival Store - [link to www.emergencyoutdoors.com]
Heirloom (Non-GMO) Survival Seeds - [link to www.emergencyoutdoors.com]
John Difool

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07/28/2013 10:24 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
It's going to encounter the front/trough now diving off of the southeast coast which will put the storm in high shear/ low development environment & most likely bump it up the east coast.
Anonymous Coward
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07/28/2013 10:30 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
They must have turned off the weather modification system too early - another case of Mission Accomplished before the job is done??
Klasikatica

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07/28/2013 10:37 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Good! I hate miami...
Anonymous Coward
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07/28/2013 10:39 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
The chemtrails have been old sxhool silky smooth sylphy slugs turning the day skies opalescent and the sunsets anodized tangerine. The "dry air" will mingle with the western and northern bands and weaken the influence of the trough..

Which region of the east coast or Gulf coast is an economical mess right now?
Thats the target.
Anonymous Coward
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07/28/2013 10:39 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Ahh... back from death... Hoping it goes straight west into GOM and strike south Texas then curve to the north...
Anonymous Coward
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07/28/2013 10:45 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Ahh... back from death... Hoping it goes straight west into GOM and strike south Texas then curve to the north...
 Quoting: AlcoholicRunner


Damn straight, could use the rain. With the HAARP machine off anything can happen. Still pissed that HAARP killed the tropical storm that was going hit Texas plum smack in the middle a few years back
Anonymous Coward
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07/28/2013 11:02 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Will it encounter any shear in the GOM?
John Difool

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07/28/2013 11:05 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Will it encounter any shear in the GOM?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 42748560





Per sat imagery, getting ready to encounter some shear as it approaches the Leeward islands.
Anonymous Coward
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07/28/2013 11:15 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Dorian..the little 'cane that could.
Rachael123

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07/28/2013 11:49 AM

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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Wow that was fast.
Just got word, latest SHIPS model has a CAT 1 off Miami!!
 Quoting: DoorBert
Anonymous Coward
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07/28/2013 11:52 AM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Nonsense, less than 20% chance of redevelopment. Doom off, although im near Galveston and would welcome a storm
Anonymous Coward
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07/28/2013 12:01 PM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Good! I hate miami...
 Quoting: Klasikatica


Yeah, I live here and hate it as well. : P
Anonymous Coward
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07/28/2013 12:11 PM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
bump
Anonymous Coward
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07/28/2013 12:13 PM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
The best source of information for this is Flhurricane

The forum is www.flhurricane.com

yes, it is looking like it wants to come back to life.

here is the thread - [link to flhurricane.com]
Knowbody Special

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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
[link to www.youtube.com]



banana2
DoorBert  (OP)

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07/28/2013 12:45 PM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Much thanks for pin!!
DoorBert  (OP)

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07/28/2013 12:47 PM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
All models take it to Cat 1.

[link to img845.imageshack.us]

Once data from recon gets in, I expect to see even more intensity
DoorBert  (OP)

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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Recon in the air.

Took off from the Virgin Islands.

[link to www.fallsky.com]
2FishOn

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07/28/2013 12:59 PM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Ahh... back from death... Hoping it goes straight west into GOM and strike south Texas then curve to the north...
 Quoting: AlcoholicRunner


iamwith I was saying the same thing last week on here... Just had a gut feeling about this one.
2FishOn
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07/28/2013 01:32 PM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
can't afford a trip too the bahamas do not care
fishingnut

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07/28/2013 01:40 PM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Much thanks for pin!!
 Quoting: DoorBert


Katrina formed from the ashes of an earlier TD, Tropical Depression 10. This at least suggests ANYTHING is possible at this point.

[link to en.wikipedia.org]
AwesomeSauce

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07/28/2013 01:41 PM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Recon in the air.

Took off from the Virgin Islands.

[link to www.fallsky.com]
 Quoting: DoorBert


Here we go! Recon is always fun to watch. I use to have the realtime data app on google earth for it but cannot find it anymore :(. I can't seem to find a COC on any of the imagery, can anyone else?
Inside every cynical person, there is a disappointed idealist.



I am open to any and all sides of a story but beware,I have a biased opinion from life experiences just like you.
fishingnut

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07/28/2013 01:45 PM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Recon in the air.

Took off from the Virgin Islands.

[link to www.fallsky.com]
 Quoting: DoorBert


I can't seem to find a COC on any of the imagery, can anyone else?
 Quoting: AwesomeSauce


I keep watching this loop and in the last few frames I THINK I see a center.
[link to www.ssd.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by hater site on 07/28/2013 01:46 PM
AwesomeSauce

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07/28/2013 01:49 PM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Recon in the air.

Took off from the Virgin Islands.

[link to www.fallsky.com]
 Quoting: DoorBert


I can't seem to find a COC on any of the imagery, can anyone else?
 Quoting: AwesomeSauce


I keep watching this loop and in the last few frames I THINK I see a center.
[link to www.ssd.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: fishingnut


It sure does look like its expanding with some sort of outflow going on. Temporary weakening possibly but im sure that's due to the increased sheer to the north. I guess well be playing the wait and see game for the next day or two.


[link to tropic.ssec.wisc.edu]

Last Edited by KickAzCarlin on 07/28/2013 01:54 PM
Inside every cynical person, there is a disappointed idealist.



I am open to any and all sides of a story but beware,I have a biased opinion from life experiences just like you.
fishingnut

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07/28/2013 02:09 PM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Recon in the air.

Took off from the Virgin Islands.

[link to www.fallsky.com]
 Quoting: DoorBert


I can't seem to find a COC on any of the imagery, can anyone else?
 Quoting: AwesomeSauce


I keep watching this loop and in the last few frames I THINK I see a center.
[link to www.ssd.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: fishingnut


It sure does look like its expanding with some sort of outflow going on. Temporary weakening possibly but im sure that's due to the increased sheer to the north. I guess well be playing the wait and see game for the next day or two.


[link to tropic.ssec.wisc.edu]
 Quoting: AwesomeSauce


I can't wait for the Hurricane Hunter data to come in.

Last Edited by hater site on 07/28/2013 02:09 PM
Anonymous Coward
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07/28/2013 02:10 PM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Just got word, latest SHIPS model has a CAT 1 off Miami!!
 Quoting: DoorBert


:yawn;
Anonymous Coward
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07/28/2013 02:23 PM
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Re: BREAKING: Dorian Re-energizes Approaching Bahamas. Hurricane Hunters Fly this Afternoon. New Model Runs show Cat 1 Miami
Is gonna hit the Turks and Caicos as a cat 1 or 2 and then hit Cuba and die out over Cuba.





GLP