Hello all!

The month of March has been eerily quiet despite the recent 6.6.

If no further 6.3+ come today, this March has been the calmest earthquake month since September 2014.

Also, if no 7+ hits today, I calculated that the probability to get 8+ during the month of April increases to 40%. The normal probability to get one (2000-2017 statistical average) is around 7%.

So actually the probability for an 8+ to hit in April is over five times compared to normal. Again, I'm not kidding these are really the statistics. This probability increase is mainly because we have had two consecutive months without 7+.

To repeat the 188-cycle time window, this year it lands on 10-16th of May. This quake will be separate from the April forecast and the magnitude should be over 7.5.

-Finland