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Message Subject Earthquake Thread ~ Always Updated
Poster Handle KickinIt
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Aftershock Forecast (Alaska)

The USGS estimates the chance of more aftershocks as follows: Within the next 1 Week until 2020-07-29 12:20:00 (UTC):

The chance of an earthquake of magnitude 3 or higher is > 99 %, and it is most likely that as few as 93 or as many as 400 such earthquakes may occur in the case that the sequence is re-invigorated by a larger aftershock.

The chance of an earthquake of magnitude 5 or higher is 85 %, and it is most likely that as few as 0 or as many as 7 such earthquakes may occur.

The chance of an earthquake of magnitude 6 or higher is 19 %, and it is most likely that as few as 0 or as many as 2 such earthquakes may occur.

The chance of an earthquake of magnitude 7 or higher is 2 %, such an earthquake is possible but with a low probability.


[link to earthquake.usgs.gov (secure)]
 
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