Return of Polar Vortex: January 20th - Feb. 4th 2014 (Feb. to bring large snowstorms) | |
The Flash (OP) User ID: 44493383 United States 01/15/2014 09:48 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi 2h Just told clients, cut video on [link to Weatherbell.com] on upcoming cold saying it could have economic impact of major hurricane hit on US [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
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The Flash (OP) User ID: 44493383 United States 01/15/2014 09:57 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi 20h I am trying to measure words, but what I see coming needs preparaton Power outages, busting pipes strain on cities threat has me rattled Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi 21h I think nation should prepare for worst in coming 2-3 weeks. Crisis cold is on the table in this pattern given strain on infrastructure [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
The Flash (OP) User ID: 44493383 United States 01/15/2014 10:01 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This surge of cold air will be a piece of the polar vortex breaking off and coming southward." [link to www.accuweather.com] |
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This Needs Pinned! User ID: 48143433 United States 01/15/2014 04:24 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I have been following this situation for about 10 days. When the mild air rolled in after the polar vortex last week, many, including Accuweather and other weather services said that it might be the last time this winter that we would see temps that cold. Well they are wrong, dead wrong. Almost all models indicate that around the 22nd (starting with regular winter storm weather) we will see a gradual decline in temps. The outbreak will be longer and possibly more severe than the previous two out breaks that we have had this winter season blizzard conditions for the NE and possible power outages in the Midwest. If I were a betting person on the possibilities of this happening I'd say 95%. If you had busted pipes or experienced power outages in either of the previous out breaks, I suggest that you get your ass in gear and make sure over this weekend that you have the necessary preps to take care of yourself in the event impacts you. If you live in the area that had been impacted with extreme cold temps the previous two episodes, I suggest that you start getting ready. If you don't believe me, starting this weekend, mostly likely Saturday, your local cast will start teasing you with the return of cold weather but they really won't start talking about it until early next week. Trust me on this, this out break will be worse than the last outbreak. |
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beeches User ID: 28167778 United States 01/15/2014 07:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This is meaningless conjecture at this point. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 52974181 The models you are forecasting are not nearly as reliable as you'd think. Don't cause a false alarm. It makes you look like a jerk. okay, weather prediction can have surprises, but this there is no reason to call this an alarm, false or not. Some of us are looking forward to it. the only ones who look like jerks are the knee-jerk deniers of GLOBAL COOLING. Liberalism is totalitarianism with a human face – Thomas Sowell |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 48143433 United States 01/15/2014 08:26 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Well, I will say that these same models were correct as far back as November identifying the out break in December and the out break in the first week of January, some 21 days out. So based on past modeling over this winter, I will say that we have a good examples to go by. It wasn't only strong in identifying the cold weather out breaks but also the snows that have hit this year and the warming that has taken place. So if these models make me look like a jerk then i'm okay with that. The only area these models have been a miss on is through the pan handle of West Virginia down the Ohio River into Louisville (precip--rain/snow). But at least they have the precip. |
The Flash (OP) User ID: 44493383 United States 01/15/2014 08:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This is meaningless conjecture at this point. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 52974181 The models you are forecasting are not nearly as reliable as you'd think. Don't cause a false alarm. It makes you look like a jerk. I have study models for a long time. And yes that is very true, but when you have several major models repeating and showing the same outcomes, that is when there is a cause for concern. |
The Flash (OP) User ID: 44493383 United States 01/15/2014 08:37 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Chicago mean showing 72hrs straight of below zero highs with lows reaching as low has -20. in the 8-16 day range : [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 50023016 Canada 01/15/2014 10:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This is meaningless conjecture at this point. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 52974181 The models you are forecasting are not nearly as reliable as you'd think. Don't cause a false alarm. It makes you look like a jerk. okay, weather prediction can have surprises, but this there is no reason to call this an alarm, false or not. Some of us are looking forward to it. the only ones who look like jerks are the knee-jerk deniers of GLOBAL COOLING. I'm afraid you're mistaken, beeches The planet does not appear to be cooling in many places. Take a look at Whitehorse, they're forecasting 50s for Thursday! The average temp is around 0 this time of year. The damn sun doesn't even rise until like 10 in the morning and sets around 4pm, if I'm not mistaken. In the south Okanagan, BC, it has been in the 50s the last few days, zero snow, and above average for most of the winter. Last summer was one of the best years for the grape growers and it was smokin' hot like usual. Then there's the southern hemisphere... heat waves. Weather patterns are certainly "off" lately, but it really depends where you look. The climate scientists predicted this very thing... |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 48143433 United States 01/16/2014 08:49 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | An update on the potential for cold temps returning. The models are still in agreement with a large cold snap for the US in the next 10 days. We could be looking at a cold outbreak equal to the 1985 inauguration cold wave. Right now the models are indicating this could be a prolonged period, up to 10 days. Will follow with additional updates as needed |
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CleverMoniker User ID: 1692254 Canada 01/16/2014 09:44 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | It will last a lot longer than the previous. A good possibility of the cold last for quite a while. I'm seeing at least 2 weeks or so of cold cold weather around the end of the month. Quoting: The Flash Snowfall totals around the Super Bowl in NYC: [link to pbs.twimg.com (secure)] Day 8-15 temperatures [link to pbs.twimg.com (secure)] Polar Vortex Returns: [link to twitter.com (secure)] I'll keep you all updated as the time range approaches The 'polar vortex' has been active since before you were born and will continue to be active long after we die. I'm sorry but you've simply bought into a MSM buzzword. 'Polar Vortex' is not a weather event like a hurricane, tornado, etc. It simply the term used to describe the ever-present North Pole air currents. The act of the Polar Vortex extending further south than we're accustomed to is what is causing the extreme winter weather we're experiencing. |
CleverMoniker User ID: 1692254 Canada 01/16/2014 09:48 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | This is meaningless conjecture at this point. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 52974181 The models you are forecasting are not nearly as reliable as you'd think. Don't cause a false alarm. It makes you look like a jerk. okay, weather prediction can have surprises, but this there is no reason to call this an alarm, false or not. Some of us are looking forward to it. the only ones who look like jerks are the knee-jerk deniers of GLOBAL COOLING. Global Cooling is merely a scam that rich conservative 'scientists' are using to live the easy life on government grants. What you think you've been personally observing in the weather, hasn't actually been happening. AAHHHHHHHH THAT FELT GOOD. |
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