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Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of June 28 2006
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07/09/2006 09:00 PM
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BULLETIN ITEM: Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of June 28 2006
MWM: I couldn’t resist doing my regular checkout of all terrestrial systems.
Pretty much, all is occurring roughly as previously projected, most calls
continue to come in at a reasonably high rate of approximation to reality.
That’s fun to compute. See the Geo-Pathetic Political Update below for new
(ECB June 28, 2006, MWM)
LAST THREAT ASSESSMENT: Most likely conditions with tectonic activity will
continue to be mild during the coming two weeks. Average ocean temperatures and
tepid Sunspot activity suggest that the Hurricane Season will not produce much
this next week. But continue high vigilance for sudden Super Storms or extreme
weather fronts. The atmosphere is highly energized, comparatively, and solar
influence is currently rising. A new peak in Sunspot activity is forming up and
could whip up some extremes in terrestrial weather during the next 96 hours.
There was indeed some flare up of volcanism this past week and this flare up may
continue to rise through to about the middle of July. This should be about the
last gasp for this volcanic season but keep in mind that a spectacular eruption
CAN and DOES occur at any time. Remember that the Hurricane Season is upon us
and is developing rapidly. The extreme rain in New England was partly
stimulated by the pull of an oceanic hotspot off the head of Newfoundland, which
helped to focus Jet Stream deliveries on New York quite smartly. Once again we
are in another small peak in the Sunspot Count and this may persist for another
day or so. Watch carefully for any active storms which suddenly build into
The Polar Motion Anomaly of 2005/2006 – The Spin Axis Shifted
NO NEW NEWS – NO CHANGE IN TREND SINCE LAST WEEK - The Spiral of polar motion is
still growing higher on the IERS X plot but at a very slow pace. Mostly likely
this spiral is near its X Max and the Spin Axis will soon begin to move away
from England. If so, it will be clear that that we ARE in a new wobble cycle
and that the total phase shift between the last cycle and the new cycle is a
little larger than 180 degrees.
For detailed background and links to graphics, etc, see the Earth Change
Bulletin Update As Of June 7, 2006 at
< [link to groups.yahoo.com]
Another way to see this hop in the average location of the Spin Axis, view the
latest IERS waveform plots of polar motion rather than the spiral waveform of
the Earth’s normal wobble. Scroll down the following page to find the X and Y
Plots. On the X plot, observe the right hand side, see the hump on top of a
previous hump. The top of the previous hump represents the new zero line
(average location of the spin axis in the X dimension). Quite a shift, is it
< [link to www.michaelmandeville.com]
LONG RANGE PERSPECTIVE AND PREDICTIONS
For The Changes In The Earth 2006-2050
Have the Earth Changes begun, the ones predicted by Edgar Cayce and many other
psychics and prophets. Doubtless. They began within a year of Cayce’s 1998
date, during the peak of Solar Cycle 23. They are now accelerating at a
progressive rate and will continue to do so during the next 20 years. At some
point they will culminate in a return to stability or an even more radical
“adjustment” of all vectors, which could include an avalanche of the crust.
Global Warming is doubtless one of the “upheavals” and “Changes In The Earth”
predicted by Edgar Cayce. It has appeared EXACTLY on his schedule. Even five
years ago it was not possible to come to this conclusion. Now we can see the
whole process of epochal world change and how all the elements interact. From
this assessment, and only from this assessment (empirical earth science is too
blind to forecast on this level) we can predict that the Phoenix is on track and
that increased change, catastrophe, and disruption is inevitable in practically
all ways progressively in each of the next several years. Each year we are
sinking more deeply into the chaos.
STANDING DESCRIPTION: Generally, solar MIN conditions have nearly claimed the
Sun. Information on this front will generally be minimal during the next three
STANDING FORECAST: New dimensional modeling of the solar vortex confirms Walter
Russell’s model of the Sun, as delineated during the 1930s. From recent
findings in the torus modeling of the flow of Solar Activity, researchers in
Colorado predict, on an historical statistical basis, that the next cycle of
Solar Activity, Cycle 24, will begin in 2007 and generate activity which is 30%
to 50% greater than the last cycle. I regret to predict that, IF this is true,
the Global Warming Syndrome will be accelerated into greater extremes than we
have seen yet and dare not even imagine at this time. Everything of the last
seven years, in spades, beginning in about 2010 and lasting through to about
2014. The impacts of course will be on the weather, on the climate, on the
species, and definitely as well on human violence. DEFINITELY ON HUMAN VIOLENCE
AND POLITICAL IRRATIONALITY – a 30% to 50% increase in stimulation of activity
and expression between 2010 and 2014 – think about it!.
SUNSPOT COUNT OF THE PAST FEW DAYS: From Zero to 33 as of June 27, Rising
Solar Flux is 79 and rising as of June 27.
This rise is likely a result of the Mercury | Jupiter alignment, which is only
one or two days past a straight line. The Sunspot Count more probable than not
was rising June 28 and may continue rising for another day or so. Then it will
dip for a few says and then begin to climb just after July 4 for the coming
Mercury | Earth alignment on July 15 or so (actually about July 13 through 16)
As should be expected, the Fluxgate Monitor at the U of Alaska shows a major
chart-pegging disturbance during the past 24 hours of long duration. These
disturbances likely will continue. NASA reports that the Earth is in a large
solar wind stream from a large coronal hole (in the Sun’s atmosphere). NASA
currently predicts the chance of X or M class flares to 1%, respectively, with
up to a 25% chance of major magnetic disturbances in the higher latitudes.
THE SOLAR MINIMA: Portions of NASA’s website are referring to the Sun as being
at MINIMA with Solar Cycle 23 more or less over. This is NOT CORRECT
information. MINIMA is a month in which the average daily Sunspot Count is less
than 5. This could be as low as zero, which it has occasionally reached. We
will see MINIMA only in retrospect, after the fact, when the average monthly
Sunspot Count begins to rise again. We are not there yet but it could now
happen practically anytime in 2006 or 2007. Keep in mind that the sunspot cycle
is always irregular and definitely a tad unpredictable. It can go a couple
extra years in length, or be as short as nine years. So now you know why
everybody you read quotes somewhat different numbers. This cycle was less
energetic than previous ones and I expect it to end pretty much on the dull
average for these cycles, or slightly less than the average 11.5 years. But
this is definitely not written in stone.
CONFIRMED AND CONTINUING: Strong prediction: sunspot count and solar activity
may continue to rise another day or so and then slowly taper down. Another peak
will be produced during the second week or so of July and thereafter the Sunspot
Count will diminish to zero.
Moon is 3 days past the last New Moon and it now 10% of Full, growing rapidly
towards the next Full Moon on July 11, 2006. It is some 402,000 km from the
Earth and is in its North Node receding rapidly into Apogee on July 1 (furthest
point in its monthly orbit from the Earth). More or less, lunar influence is
diminishing rapidly and its impact on tectonic activity will mute to its lowest
level during the next seven days. The next Perigee is on July 13, two days
after the Full on July 11. Consider then that the next syzygy begins July 8 and
extends to July 26. During this period, tectonic activity should increase once
again in frequency and magnitude.
Jun 16 17:09 368925 km F+4d23h Jul 1 20:14 404447 km N+6d 4h
Jul 13 17:36 364286 km F+2d14h Jul 29 13:03 405404 km N+4d 8h
Aug 10 18:29 359754 km F+1d 7h Aug 26 1:24 406270 km - N+2d 6h
Sep 8 3:08 357174 km + F+ 8h Sep 22 5:22 406498 km -- N- 6h
Oct 6 14:08 357409 km F- 13h Oct 19 9:36 406073 km - N-2d19h
Nov 3 23:52 360597 km F-1d13h Nov 15 23:21 405192 km N-4d22h
Dec 2 0:07 365922 km F-3d 0h Dec 13 18:57 404416 km N-6d19h
2006 Jun 25 16:07 2006 Jul 11 3:04
2006 Jul 25 4:32 2006 Aug 9 10:56
2006 Aug 23 19:11 2006 Sep 7 18:44
2006 Sep 22 11:46 2006 Oct 7 3:14
2006 Oct 22 5:15 2006 Nov 5 12:59
2006 Nov 20 22:18 2006 Dec 5 0:25
2006 Dec 20 14:01 2007 Jan 3 13:58
Since the New Moon Syzygies will be far from Perigees during the next three
lunar cycles, their influences will be the weakest of 2006. On August 9, a Full
Moon will be followed by an August 10 Perigee. Thereafter through the Fall,
Full Moons should have the maximum syzygy punch on the Earth. All dates UTC.
Here is the list of the remaining Super Moon Syzygies for 2006, meaning a New or
Full Moon at Perigee or within 90 per cent.
SEP 07, 2006 | 06:43 PM | FULL MOON
OCT 07, 2006 | 03:13 AM | FULL MOON
In accordance with Hotno’s remarks, the October Full Moon may be the deadliest
during 2006, esp. through the Medit-Himalayan Belt.
PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS: Mercury will now speed to align with Earth on July 15 or
16. Anticipate major sunspot peaks, perhaps in the range of 60-100 about five
days prior to the alignment. These will most likely be accompanied by solar
pyrotechnics in the form of flares, auroras, CME”s. Impact on the Earth’s
weather will be substantial and will immediately push any existing hurricanes,
cyclones, t-storms, and tornadoes into higher energy states.
The last half of July could be very petulant and tropical storms during that
period could be especially extreme. BUT, the Sun is almost at MINIMA and there
is only one very small sunspot on the farside of the Sun. In other words, there
is very little petulant activity which can rotate into the alignment in July.
This suggests strongly the Mercury | Earth alignment will be diminished. THIS
MAY SAVE SOME CARIB AND GULF COAST LINES THIS YEAR. The timing of the rapid
die-off of solar activity is not very predictable but it is a welcome ray of
hope which may result in this Hurricane Season remaining closer to the old
averages than the new trends established during 2004/05.
However, keep in mind that precisely because the Sun is mutable and somewhat
chaotic in its responses to the planets, which makes exact prediction impossible
and most forecasts somewhat sloppy, we could see a sudden flare-out of new
activity at any time emerging out of its depths to rise for the Mercury | Earth
alignment. Accordingly, July is going to be a dicey, unpredictable month which
could go either way. Weather should be great through July 4, for one of the
best festivals in years throughout North America. After that, be ready for
August should lull down for the first two weeks until another double-header
alignment forms up on about August 21. The Earth will align with Neptune about
August 20, which will produce a minor peak in Solar Activity about August 15,
while Mercury will align with Venus about August 21 and quickly speed by Saturn
the next day. These passages most likely will produce another spectacular
increase in Solar Activity.
Beware then, THE IDES OF AUGUST. Hurricane activity will be greatly stimulated
during the third week of August leading into the New Moon period on August 23.
The New Moon of August may be especially ominous this year.
But wait it can and most likely will get worse about the end of August when
Solar Activity is pulled out in even larger volumes by a triple header alignment
on September 4.
September 4 will bring alignments between Venus and Saturn, Mercury and Mars,
and Earth and Uranus. This may very likely produce a week long plateau above 50
in the Sunspot Count, along with three distinct peaks, one of which will reach
Any hurricanes which form up about the New Moon of August 23 or during the
ensuing week are likely to be stimulated THREE TIMES by the Sun, a few days
apart each time.
This will be a very good time indeed to be a long ways away from Gulf and
Eastern beaches. Take your last August and early September vacation in the
Mountains, preferably the Rockies, or in places like Maine and Newfoundland.
AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: (ECB April 5, 2006, MWM) All weather patterns and ocean
temperature patterns strongly hint that the increased ferocity of storms this
year will move right on schedule, perhaps slightly early this year. The Gulf
Coast and the entire Mississippi Watershed region up to the Great Lakes is quite
obviously going to be hit very heavily with tornadoes and hurricanes with many
more super strong systems than normal. This is the Global Warming reality, the
new Climate Syndrome. Adapting to it will require a different agriculture and a
radical conversion of construction to reinforced concrete and all construction
heavily anchored into the Earth. Looking at past cycles, this could last a
minimum of another 10 years to play out previous hurricane cycles. But this is
the Global Warming Trend, which will not return weather patterns to a previous
level. The forced adaptations will have a huge impact on the economy of the Mid
West, Plains States, and the Gulf area. Go with the flow, let go all past
patterns, realize everything really is changing, and rapidly.
PACIFIC WATCH: NO CHANGE. All temperature patterns in the Pacific have
broken up. All anomalies dissolving. No seeds of El Nino or La Nina are present.
These developments portend a more normal year in the western portion of North
America (within the new normal of the Global Warming Syndrome).
ATLANTIC WATCH: Conditions seem as they are on average for this time of year.
No anomalies to report except around Newfoundland. All Carib and Gulf Basin sea
surface temperature appears at about the same temperature. This will promote
equi-potential for the land fall of all storms, thus these will likely be
heavily influenced more by jet stream mechanics than by the sea surface
NEWFOUNDLAND: EVEN MORE BAD NEWS UNLESS YOU LIKE BIG OCEAN STORMS. The water
off Newfoundland has consolidated into a major warm patch which is persisting
strongly. As it did during the past three weeks, most especially this week,
this will be sure to suck more floody storms into the New England area.
Take a look at all this on the “Anomalies Chart” at
[link to www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov]
DEPENDING UPON THE JET STREAM: The storm track pattern is likely to vary and
may shift as the season advances. Expect storms which enter into the Gulf to
SHOOT STRAIGHT UP THE LOW GRAVITY CENTER OF N.A. – UP THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
THIS PATTERN MAY BE A PART OF THE EMERGENT GLOBAL WARMING SYNDROME, thus we may
see it repeatedly.
THIS FOLLOWING PREDICTION NOW MAY BE EXCESSIVE. WATER CONDITIONS ARE
DIMINISHING THE PROBABLE STRENGTH OF STORMS AT THIS TIME: SUMMER PREDICTION:
Here is the summer prediction of the Earth Changes Bulletin: More probable than
not: there will easily be a dozen hurricanes in the North Atlantic, half of
these will land fall on North America, FOUR WILL BE SUPER STORMS CATEGORY 4 OR
GREATER for at least a part of their flow, odds are the zone from Houston to
the Florida Panhandle will be broadsided at least once again in the manor of
Katrina. The results of the 2006 hurricane season will force more abandonment
of habitat and commercial activity along the Gulf Coast, and the economy of
Florida will continue to disintegrate at a faster rate. Texas may begin to reel
as well. The best response? Go with the flow.
SOUTHWEST: DO NOT EXPECT ANYTHING REMOTELY SIMILAR TO A NORMAL MONSOON. As has
been obvious the past six months, the atmosphere has so much energy in it that
the moisture is being aggressively transported to the north and the east. Not
even the high mountains are squeezing much moisture out. Drought die-offs will
become pronounced once again this year.
THIS IS ON TRACK: - AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED – NOW MANIFESTING WITH A VENGENCE
IN MAJOR FIRES: I expect that the acceleration of Global Warming during the
last four years will sustain a stiff drought regime in the desert latitudes of
North and South America, Africa, and through the Middle East for the next
several years. I believe we are likely to see dust bowl conditions widespread
in both Africa and America. During the next several years, there is not likely
to be much relief in Africa and the Sonoran Desert in the PSW of the U.S. The
PSW probably will not see much monsoon rain except in the high elevations above
7000 feet. There may not be any relief until the next El Nino, which will come
during 2007 or 2008 at the latest This pattern will continue to persist for the
foreseeable future under the global warming trend. There will be occasional
short-lived relief, as in late 2004 and early 2005, from El Nino wet air, but
most of this wet air will probably end up far to the North and to the East,
producing extremes of flooding and large numbers of tornadoes in other areas.
In other words, the new normal is there is no normal at all, just a deepening of
AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED: Weather PATTERNS will continue to be non-normal
because of the chaotic mixing effects which Global Warming Syndrome is inducing
into the flow of air. All local regimes will continue to be perturbed and this
perturbance will gradually get more and more surreal through this time of the
rapidly accelerating Change In The Earth. No normality will be seen for at
least the next four millennia. All biomes will relentlessly migrate and
transmute. Catastrophic impact of the weather in some regions, such as the
Carib Basin, will ebb and flow in severity in response to the modulation imposed
by the 7 year cycle in the Wobble, (the Primary Axis Cycle). In general, the
coast lines of the Gulf area, including Florida, are in process of being
destroyed and this process will accelerate. Within the next 24 months, it is
likely that North Americans will give up on the Gulf Coast. The islands in the
Carib Basin will face the same issues and abandonment of some of these will
commence as well during the next four years.
SCRIPPS EL NINO WATCH: - no change since June 5
see [link to meteora.ucsd.edu]
“Forecast Summary (Updated June 5, 2006): The model is forecasting the current
cold conditions to be replaced by mild warm conditions by the end of 2006.”
ECB Commentary: Right on. I expect now to see El Nino arrive during the Fall
of 2007 to last through the Spring of 2008. This coming El Nino probably will
be driven by a record-breaking increase in world volcanism during late 2006 and
through 2007. The El Nino will break a lot of climate/weather records.
SYZYGY FORECAST: The next Perigee is on July 13, two days after the Full on
July 11. Consider then that the next syzygy begins July 8 and extends to July
26. During this period, tectonic activity should increase once again in
frequency and magnitude. This coming period should be stronger than the last two
Frequency and magnitude of quakes remain at a dull average today, in fact,
depressed all around the world, after an active day yesterday which included two
6.0 plus quakes. For global frequency map for the past two weeks, go to
< [link to www.iris.edu]
Activity in the Aleutians (Rat Islands in the Northern Pacific remains elevated
with large numbers of quakes in the range of 2.5 – 5.0, accounting for well over
50% of all seismic activity in North America, which is mostly virtually
quiescent (above 2.5 mag).
Other activity above 4.0 during the past seven days has hit mainly along the
Equator at two 180 nodes, one node is the now famous Nicobar Islands (off
Sumatra) and the other node was Ecuador/Chile. The Fiji/Tonga area remains
highly active, most other activity was fairly random.
Activity is likely to remain depressed until the next syzygy.
Volcanism is up modestly. Out of now 23 active volcanoes (same as last week,
over a dozen were visibly still quite active. Spectacular eruptions on Merapi
continues on Indonesia, two smokers are busy in the Philippines, and our active
sentinels on the Carib Basin still continue to loft out some ash – three in
Guatemala, one in Mexico, one in Costa Rica. Montserrat was silent but Kilauea
produced greater lava flows, providing some spectacular pictures. See
[link to www.swvrc.org]
The SWVC counts this week were 7 restless (same as last week), 66 alert list (up
one from last week), and 23 active eruptions (same as last week).
These figures omit two smokers which suddenly roared to life today in the South
Sandwich Islands, thus the active count is actually 25 this week,
It is still very unclear to me that Etna should be on the active list.
Augustine in Alaska is barely alive but more vigorous than Helens and the
Kamchatka volcanoes. Popo is still relatively slow, but even on its slow days
it outperforms nearly all other active volcanoes. Two South Seas ash
emitters, a couple in the Andes, and three dome-builders on Kamchatka rounded
out most of the world’s activity. The three on Kamchatka continue to mirror St.
Helens with remarkable parallel in all aspects. I expect to see most of these
four produce major eruptions during the same volcano season, maybe during the
Best Wishes, Michael Wells Mandeville,
The Hills of Arizona USA at [email protected]
Master Website Index is at: [link to www.michaelmandeville.com]
Author of "Return of the Phoenix" at
[link to www.michaelmandeville.com]
Author of "The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006" at
[link to www.michaelmandeville.com]
Author of "Earth Changes Almanac & Calendar 2003"
[link to www.michaelmandeville.com]
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