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Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487

 
Anonymous Coward
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08/16/2014 02:19 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
OK I really dont think it is the wind that is causing the cams to shake(Can't say 100% sure as I am not there)reason i say this is because if you vies the katla cam theres clouds atop of the mountain but they appear not to move much. If the wind was that strong surely you see more cloud movement?

[link to www.livefromiceland.is]
Anonymous Coward
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08/16/2014 02:22 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
OK I really dont think it is the wind that is causing the cams to shake(Can't say 100% sure as I am not there)reason i say this is because if you vies the katla cam theres clouds atop of the mountain but they appear not to move much. If the wind was that strong surely you see more cloud movement?

[link to www.livefromiceland.is]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 45320234


NVM it is wind I can see it now Nothing to see here lol
way2wyrd

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08/16/2014 02:24 PM

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
bump
Urður

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08/16/2014 02:27 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
OK I really dont think it is the wind that is causing the cams to shake(Can't say 100% sure as I am not there)reason i say this is because if you vies the katla cam theres clouds atop of the mountain but they appear not to move much. If the wind was that strong surely you see more cloud movement?

[link to www.livefromiceland.is]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 45320234


This webcam is located near Katla and she's far far away from Bárðarbunga.. Nothing gonna happen there cool2
SquirrelBait
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08/16/2014 02:35 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
Quick! Somebody save the penis museum!



[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
Luisport  (OP)

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08/16/2014 02:37 PM

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
Irpsit, watching Bardarbunga

August 16, 2014 at 18:24


Several things to point out.

First immediate danger is mostly likely only to tourists on rivers which come from the west and north edges of Vatnajokull. This includes the Skaftá river near Laki, and the Jokulsá river, which passes very close to Askja road. So danger is there of a glacial burst, which would without a doubt swept a large part of that road. Also the hut of Nyidalur is located near Bardarbunga, evacuation by jeep takes 2 hours from there. so this must be taken in consideration. Tourists cannot be surprised by a ash cloud like they were in May 2011 during the night, you suddently wake up the next morning to severe volcanic night and ashfall.

If an eruption already started (very possible and somewhat likely), it’s going to take between a couple of hourss to a couple of days to reach surface depending on its strenght, but this only if eruption is at least a strong VEI2 or small VEI3. Anything smaller, like a repeat of Fimmvorduhals and it would never break to surface.

Any flood could take also between hours to weeks to come out of the glacier. Remember the 1996 flood took an entire month to come out of the glacier and did so by surprise. And that’s the danger. It would be several weeks after “this event” is over.

I also do not exclude that this is a runup to a large fissure event NE of Bardarbunga. It could open between 5km to 30km. Remember we are at a time of a hotspot maxima of activity, where very large eruptions are expected between now and mid century. Also rifting cycle predicts a large fissure event sometime around mid century.

But a larger fissure would need much more stronger earthquakes (remember Laki unzipped by a series of M5 quakes). But 1996 5km fissure unzipped by just a few M3 quakes. Thus, so far, with the current activity, only a minor fissure can open, not a big one. So either a minor fissure already started or this is just a gradual build-up to larger event later.

Two very large fissure events happened in Bardarbunga in historical times, one in 873 and another in 1477. They blew up in a region where there was the largest lake in Iceland (as large as Thingvallavatn), so it caused explosive crater rows and a lot of ashfall. So, that was 600 years between events. And last one was 540 years ago.

But between these events, Bardarbunga has minor events, small explosive eruptions that break the ice cap, like in 1902 or 1910, almost on average every 5-20 years, and one moderate sized fissure event in 1862, that lasted several months. Probably other moderate sized fissure events happened but they are badly documented.

The strange thing is why Bardarbunga was regularly erupting every few years until 1910 and then stopped (except for a minor event in 1996 and some other unconfirmed under-ice events in between).
[link to volcanocafe.wordpress.com]
Luisport  (OP)

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08/16/2014 02:57 PM

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
Earthquake count:◦Magnitude less than 1 in all: 77
◦Magnitude 1 to 2 in all: 238
◦Magnitude 2 to 3 in all: 42
◦Magnitude more than 3 in all: 2
◦Total: 359
Anonymous Coward
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08/16/2014 03:05 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
As I see it after I saw sat images it was eruption today but not at Bardarbunga volcano I will send some image in a minute .
Luisport  (OP)

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08/16/2014 03:08 PM

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
Gregor Peter @L0gg0l · 1 min

Iceland's #Bardarbunga volcano going BungaBunga below a giant glacier. Could have significant consequences
Luisport  (OP)

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08/16/2014 03:11 PM

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
Junior

August 16, 2014 at 19:05


Stöð 2 News said at the end of their news program that an eruption is more likely than not.

I think it’s too early to tell though.
Simple27

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08/16/2014 03:17 PM

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
Junior

August 16, 2014 at 19:05


Stöð 2 News said at the end of their news program that an eruption is more likely than not.

I think it’s too early to tell though.
 Quoting: Luisport


Thanks for the updates Luis hf
~*Ride the Wave*~
Luisport  (OP)

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08/16/2014 03:19 PM

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
Junior

August 16, 2014 at 19:05


Stöð 2 News said at the end of their news program that an eruption is more likely than not.

I think it’s too early to tell though.
 Quoting: Luisport


Thanks for the updates Luis hf
 Quoting: Simple27


Thank's! You are lovely!!! hugs
Luisport  (OP)

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08/16/2014 03:21 PM

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
i s l a n d e r

August 16, 2014 at 19:18


Just over two days it took “Gjálp” to punch thrugh the ice (Ref: “Eldgos 1913 – 2004″ Ari Trausti Gudmundsson & Ragnar Th Sigurdson, 2005, P. 102)
Luisport  (OP)

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
Earthquake count:◦Magnitude less than 1 in all: 77
◦Magnitude 1 to 2 in all: 238
◦Magnitude 2 to 3 in all: 42
◦Magnitude more than 3 in all: 2
◦Total: 359
 Quoting: Luisport


Now: Quake Total: 374

Last Edited by Luisport on 08/16/2014 03:22 PM
Anonymous Coward
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08/16/2014 03:30 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
ok I can not upload image but if you play the frames in this animation maybe you will see something in the south part

[link to oiswww.eumetsat.org]
Anonymous Coward
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08/16/2014 03:41 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
Sulfur Dioxide Monitoring say no eruption at 12 UTC

[link to so2.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Luisport  (OP)

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08/16/2014 03:44 PM

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
Sulfur Dioxide Monitoring say no eruption at 12 UTC

[link to so2.gsfc.nasa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1488672


it's too early, if we have na eruption now, it's still below the ice cap
Crazed Baron Haha

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08/16/2014 03:47 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
I think that webcam footage is bogus. I don't see Woody Harrelson standing around screaming anywhere.yeahsure
The best lack all conviction, while the worst are full of passionate intensity.
--William Butler Yeats, "The Second Coming"

...WELCOME TO THE SHOW.
Simple27

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08/16/2014 03:48 PM

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
Earthquake count:◦Magnitude less than 1 in all: 77
◦Magnitude 1 to 2 in all: 238
◦Magnitude 2 to 3 in all: 42
◦Magnitude more than 3 in all: 2
◦Total: 359
 Quoting: Luisport


Now: Quake Total: 374
 Quoting: Luisport


385 now

[link to en.vedur.is]
~*Ride the Wave*~
Simple27

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08/16/2014 03:48 PM

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
Earthquake count:◦Magnitude less than 1 in all: 77
◦Magnitude 1 to 2 in all: 238
◦Magnitude 2 to 3 in all: 42
◦Magnitude more than 3 in all: 2
◦Total: 359
 Quoting: Luisport


Now: Quake Total: 374
 Quoting: Luisport


385 now

[link to en.vedur.is]
 Quoting: Simple27


[link to hraun.vedur.is]
~*Ride the Wave*~
Anonymous Coward
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08/16/2014 03:50 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
nothing on OMI yet

[link to satepsanone.nesdis.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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08/16/2014 03:51 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
If this were to explode, would there be a tsunami?
Luisport  (OP)

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08/16/2014 03:51 PM

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
 Quoting: Simple27


[link to hraun.vedur.is]


see the (dyn) location
Luisport  (OP)

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08/16/2014 04:00 PM

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487

Jón Frímann @jonfr500 · 38 seg

I suspect that the harmonic tremor has just took the jump upwards just now. Still waiting on new update on the tremor data to confirm it.

Anonymous Coward
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08/16/2014 04:09 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
Thanks O.P. I can always count on your threads to learn more.bump
Luisport  (OP)

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08/16/2014 04:09 PM

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
Earthquake count:◦Magnitude less than 1 in all: 77
◦Magnitude 1 to 2 in all: 238
◦Magnitude 2 to 3 in all: 42
◦Magnitude more than 3 in all: 2
◦Total: 359
 Quoting: Luisport


Now: Quake Total: 374
 Quoting: Luisport


385 now

[link to en.vedur.is]
 Quoting: Simple27

◦Total: 402
Isis One

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08/16/2014 04:23 PM

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
bump
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
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Isis One

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08/16/2014 04:25 PM

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
Here is Canary Island seismo. Hard to interpret this. Maybe hemispheric magna is on the move.

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]
 Quoting: Isis One


Wow, still?? It's been like this for days now...

hiding
 Quoting: Simple27


Hi S! I'm assuming a glitch unless someone knows otherwise.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Anonymous Coward
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08/16/2014 04:26 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487

Jón Frímann @jonfr500 · 38 seg

I suspect that the harmonic tremor has just took the jump upwards just now. Still waiting on new update on the tremor data to confirm it.


 Quoting: Luisport


Well that don't sound good. Wonder how powerful this potential eruption could be.
Organic Prepper

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08/16/2014 04:30 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Hekla, Bláfjallaskal, Grimsvötn and Hamarinn Quake Swarms... We are not in Kansas any more!!!p1487
Just marking my place in thread. Thanks Luis.