The Euro will die between 2018 and 2021

Germany ran a surplus in 2015.

I always enjoy your posts and insight. Few people have any insight at all, let alone at the level of yourself.

My work on the overall economy matches up to your timing for the upcoming period ... with the caveat that I also have a separate model that has long called for a "Major" "Political Change" for 2024 +-2yr.

By "major" it is much bigger than what happened with the collapse of the Soviet Union and it's Eastern Block allies. My model for that "lesser" event called for 1990+- 2 years. (fwiw "Major" "Political Change" usually results in a "WAR", large political change of the order of 1990+-2 has seldom been as peaceful as that change was, and for the next time, 2024 +-2, the "change" is of an order of magnitude larger than 1990 +-2 was. VERY turbulent times ahead, not just economic, if my other model remains accurate).

Old Trader.

Soon to change - who will pay for all the new arrivals? No affect on the budget? Dream on.

Incorrect - he had 1 Oct as a change in trend - have you not noticed the change in the markets and conflict in Syria? The change is from confidence in public (government) decreasing and moving to private. I used his and others analysis and moved to cash early August. I avoided the market down spiral started by China in August and "kept my powder dry" for the next opportunity.

Thank you Old Trader - its always a pleasure to read your thoughts and insights. Hope to see more of you here!
ND

You look to much at Armstrong. There are other factors that are much more important like the collapsing biosphere,all the trees and bees are dying. So tell me 2018 is the date, It can happen much and much sooner. Forget about you statistical graphs about cycles. This is the big collapse and then the great tribulation.

Finnish Parliament to Consider Withdrawal From Eurozone
[link to sputniknews.com]

Oh so that's what you call it, visiting? Pfft, well enjoy your eurotrip, all your fellows are already here.

What is being overlooked is Article 50 of the 2009 Lisbon Treaty which effectively is the EU exit button. – it allows a country to start formally withdrawing from the European Union. Once Britain has activated this clause, it has two years to negotiate its departure with the remaining 27 members of the bloc. Among the terms to be discussed include: trade tariffs and freedom of movement.

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Dijsselbloem will not accept any responsibility for the failed structure of the Euro and would never comprehend that converting all past debts to euros doubled the national debts of Southern Europe and acted like they were strip-mining their economies, sending unemployment among the youth to about 60%. No, all the problems with the euro are not that Southern Europe is spending all their money on booze and women.

The attitude of the politicians in the North of those in the South has always been one of indignation. This was why they would not consolidate the debts of all members, because they told me back in 1998 it would appear to be a bailout for the lazy South. That is why they left each country with its own debt.



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Macron will fail and with him, the dream of Brussels.

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people where putting to much faith in the french to bring down the euro. that's not gonna happen the same in germany. the real shit kicker is still brexit and the italians. and who is gonna make up the shortfall because they are not gonna reign in their spending

Thread: IMF "suggesting" a 10% tax on all money on deposit in banks throughout Europe.

Germany lost 35 billion fucking EURO due to HSH BANK alone.. which will be PAID by and bailed out as usual with tax payer money because HSB is a state owned BANK fraud organisation.

Now do the math how many Elb Philharmony's and Berlin airports could have been constructed with this OUTRAGOUS amount of money.... yet all the politicans are REALLY GOOD at keeping quiet.. stop believing the bloody propaganda news in Germany! Ehrlich Mann... glaubst du die erzählen dir was, das Deutsche Bank vielleicht total PLEITE ist?!

Italian banks is a good guess, but so is the US Debt implosion ..

The Euro is FINISHED' Currency's creator says it will soon COLLAPSE and destroy the EU

THE Euro is a ticking time bomb which will soon blow up and wipe out the whole EU project in its wake, the currency's creator has said in an extraordinary warning today

[link to www.express.co.uk (secure)]

Ok,but before Eur likeup to 1.25 in january 18

Actually Trump is destroying the E.U. as we speak. I was fooled and did not understand the strategy. The satanist, communist E.U. vs Trump and Christianity.

Trump's tax bill is going to be devastating to the E.U. It is now illegal for large corporations to keep their money offshore. Because of Trump's tax bill they can now bring it back to the U.S. tax free and that is exactly what they are doing. Taking their money out of E.U. banks and bringing it back to the U.S.

But that is not all. I was totally confused as to why Trump was putting troops into East Europe (Austria, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia) right on the Russia Border. They masked it very well and blamed it on "Russia aggression" which did not exist.

The truth is those nations told the E.U. to cram their demands up their butts. Those nations are not about to allow the Muslim scum to destroy their Christian nations.

So the E.U. invoked Article 7 nuclear option against Poland that would strip its citizens of all of their rights.

The U.S. troops are in Eastern Europe to defend them from the E.U. not Russia. The E.U. is finished.

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Ive yet to hear armstrong get a anything right. Nothing in 2015 and his 2017 Nov dates were just as vacuous.

He is smarmy and acts like a victim savant, but he never delivers. FAIL

"nothing" in 2015 you say -but Russia invaded Syria that very date. Perhaps you do not understand his models?

Understand cycles and parabolic moves prior to a collapse

Europe has no chance of the EU Project actually succeeding long-term. The entire structure is completely unsound and the political process is anti-Democrat. The EU was purposefully designed to be as close to a dictatorship where the people are not trusted to make any decision and are too stupid to even know how to spend their own money. Nobody in the Troika ever stands for an election and they are the people who rule with an iron fist over the economy.



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The euro is immortal.

The way things are going, this sounds like a pretty good prediction. Merkel's new coalition won't last the month, and it'll be all downhill from then.

Mario Draghi will NOT stop Quantitative Easing and he WILL NOT raise rates until he can get out the door. His term at the ECB is for 8 years and sources say he cannot wait to leave. Draghi will extend his signature landmark bond-buying stimulus programme that is just life-support for the member governments at least September 2018 officially but indefinitely until he leaves. He does not want to be blamed for the economic disaster he has created for the world and as such he is trapped in the ECB until October 2019. The question will be can he really keep up this insane losing position that much longer or will the entire house of cards come crashing down.

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The European Central Bank (ECB) has postponed its new guidelines for banks because if it did not, the Italian banking system would simply collapse. The ECB has given Eurozone area banks more time to adapt to new guidelines on how to deal with bad loans. The deadline has been postponed from 2018 off into 2021. The new rules require banks to increase their capital for all loans, which are now classified as risk-taking. Bad loans are systemic in Europe as they increased after the 2007-2009 financial crisis.

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Totally agree with you, with todays news pissing on the hopes of the anti-brexit brigade, its only a matter of time before other countries follow us, the eu are already afraid of ireland leaving, i hope they do, as since changing to the euro their economy has weakened no end, and now austria are seriously thinking about leaving....france are also grumbling, its only a matter before the e.u starts the death rattle!! Its about time that countries in the eu realizes that everyone is getting screwed by brussels.

The peak in the Euro came precisely in 2008 and ever since we have witnessed the erosion of economic confidence. The peak of the first 8.6-year wave into this new cycle for Europe came 2013.13 and then the low was 2017.43. We are now in a wave due for its peak in 2021.73 and by that turning point, we will see the Euro under tremendous pressure if it can even survive. There is no doubt that by 2030.33, that the Euro will probably not exist. The complete failure of the design is a profound mistake that is tearing Europe apart.

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