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Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years

 
Fire and Ice
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11/08/2016 01:16 PM
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Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
The pollsters are starting to cover their asses!!


[link to www.breitbart.com]
The Deplorable BOOM!

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11/08/2016 01:19 PM
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Re: Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
Trying to walk it back are ya Nate?

ASH-INTERESTING
It wasn't always like this, I had a real life, once. A job.
Fire and Ice  (OP)

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11/08/2016 01:20 PM
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Re: Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
Trying to walk it back are ya Nate?

ASH-INTERESTING
 Quoting: The Deplorable BOOM!


NJKman
Fire and Ice  (OP)

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11/08/2016 01:24 PM
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Re: Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
Bill Mitchell ‏@mitchellvii 5m5 minutes ago
NEWS FLASH!
In 2012, Obama won Hillsborough County, FL by 6%. So far today, Reps lead Dems there by 4% - a 10% shift!

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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11/08/2016 01:27 PM
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Re: Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
Wasn't Nate Silver one of the guys who ended up cooking their results after being paid by the White House, as according to an internal source?

Not that I trust them anyway. For being a pollster, he kept using polls like ABC and CNN that were proven, often, of being purposely skewed. That just speaks of rank deception.
Anonymous Coward
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11/08/2016 01:57 PM
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Re: Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
Reuters, the poll that constantly had Hillary up by many points, today shows a Trump surge. Trump now leads by 6 points.

Trump 42
Clinton 35.9

[link to www.thegatewaypundit.com]
dschis1000

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11/08/2016 02:00 PM
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Re: Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
Frankly, we don't answer the phone or hang up on them. We voted Trump
anonymous
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11/08/2016 02:21 PM
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Re: Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
Gee who would have ever guessed, ignorant bostiges.
Anonymous Coward
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11/08/2016 02:26 PM
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Re: Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
Silver is just another Establishment tool.


.
Anonymous Coward
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11/08/2016 03:13 PM
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Re: Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
Silver is just another Establishment tool.


.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 73365531


This....any time some "expert" just appears out of nowhere and we're all on a first name basis all of a sudden, you know he's owned bought and paid for.
NightBloom

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11/08/2016 03:22 PM
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Re: Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
In the article it says that the undecided numbers were bigger even up to the last days, and that this is what is largely responsible for the lesser reliability. I don't know if it's a CYA move on Silver's part or not, but either way, it is interesting to think about. Also, it is noted that Trump is doing better than Romney did in the Midwest.

Last Edited by Night Bloom on 11/08/2016 03:22 PM
Anonymous Coward
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11/08/2016 04:28 PM
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Re: Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
In the article it says that the undecided numbers were bigger even up to the last days, and that this is what is largely responsible for the lesser reliability. I don't know if it's a CYA move on Silver's part or not, but either way, it is interesting to think about. Also, it is noted that Trump is doing better than Romney did in the Midwest.
 Quoting: NightBloom


I think the undecided voters were trump fans that did not want to admit it, because the media spun all trump supports as crazy UN-educated losers.
Anonymous Coward
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11/08/2016 04:28 PM
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Re: Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
^and that is why the poles were off.
Anonymous Coward
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11/08/2016 04:35 PM
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Re: Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
I think the undecided voters were trump fans that did not want to admit it, because the media spun all trump supports as crazy UN-educated losers.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1379183


True.....

Look at this:
Thread: About to go vote TRUMP in HAWAII....look at my Starter PACK!!!!

goofy thum
Anonymous Coward
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11/08/2016 05:35 PM
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Re: Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
Trying to walk it back are ya Nate?

:ASH-INTERESTING:
 Quoting: The Deplorable BOOM!


Nah. He basically said that it's the new voters that he isn't too sure about so he's factoring that into the polls.
Anonymous Coward
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11/08/2016 05:36 PM
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Re: Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
Plus Nate said that Hillary is one state from losing.
DFM8608

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11/08/2016 06:02 PM
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Re: Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
Bill Mitchell ‏@mitchellvii 5m5 minutes ago
NEWS FLASH!
In 2012, Obama won Hillsborough County, FL by 6%. So far today, Reps lead Dems there by 4% - a 10% shift!

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Fire and Ice


Sorry, but link does not come up for me...
Anonymous Coward
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11/08/2016 06:21 PM
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Re: Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
How the fuck is anyone undecided at this point? Seriously?
Anonymous Coward
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11/08/2016 06:51 PM
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Re: Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years
How the fuck is anyone undecided at this point? Seriously?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 64899572


lol that's my question. the two main options are so extremely different I don't get how anyone could still be undecided at this point.





GLP