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California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed

 
Anonymous Coward
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Mexico
05/18/2019 11:07 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
...


California is about to be taken out by the NWO.
Which is ironic because they sucked up to it the most.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 74661623

Nature is doing a lot of taking out of California too.. not just the failing reservoirs.. some of which nature is engaged in... Oroville is built on insufficient foundation, plus being too high and nature is reacting to that.
 Quoting: ALL IS ONE IS ALL


I disagree. Failure of concrete because the guy who designed the original was an intern does not qualify as "nature reacting".

There is not a damn thing wrong with Oroville now, you might as well paint your walls and watch it dry for fun rather than watch Oroville, unless you want to see all the little boatie boaties go round and round.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58899479


HEY YA SMELLY GREASE BALL! GET YOUR ASS BACK ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


In Mexico, a LOT fewer people have cute little "boaties". I think I'll sit and watch the Oroville live feed.
Anonymous Coward
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05/18/2019 11:08 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Can anyone summarize the current situation? Been gone fishing!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 60905062


California is about to be taken out by the NWO.
Which is ironic because they sucked up to it the most.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 74661623

Nature is doing a lot of taking out of California too.. not just the failing reservoirs.. some of which nature is engaged in... Oroville is built on insufficient foundation, plus being too high and nature is reacting to that.
 Quoting: ALL IS ONE IS ALL


I disagree. Failure of concrete because the guy who designed the original was an intern does not qualify as "nature reacting".

There is not a damn thing wrong with Oroville now, you might as well paint your walls and watch it dry for fun rather than watch Oroville, unless you want to see all the little boatie boaties go round and round.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58899479


Nope, nothing wrong here, she's ready to go.

[link to pbs.twimg.com (secure)]

As usual, you have no fucking clue what you're talking about, get your ass back over that wall...
Anonymous Coward
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Mexico
05/18/2019 11:11 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
...


California is about to be taken out by the NWO.
Which is ironic because they sucked up to it the most.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 74661623

Nature is doing a lot of taking out of California too.. not just the failing reservoirs.. some of which nature is engaged in... Oroville is built on insufficient foundation, plus being too high and nature is reacting to that.
 Quoting: ALL IS ONE IS ALL


I disagree. Failure of concrete because the guy who designed the original was an intern does not qualify as "nature reacting".

There is not a damn thing wrong with Oroville now, you might as well paint your walls and watch it dry for fun rather than watch Oroville, unless you want to see all the little boatie boaties go round and round.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58899479


Nope, nothing wrong here, she's ready to go.

[link to pbs.twimg.com (secure)]

As usual, you have no fucking clue what you're talking about, get your ass back over that wall...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77563121


THAT THING holds water a LOT better than any Mexican dam, what the * are you worried about?

If the gates were going to fail, you would also not use manlifts, you'd be inspecting where the most pressure is.
Anonymous Coward
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United States
05/18/2019 11:13 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
ARE HARMONIC VIBRATIONS/TREMORS INCREASING?

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


OROVILLE DAM OR CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE? eq

IF CASCADIA...THEN THIS DAMN DAM WILL BE THE LEAST OF OUR WORRIES!
Anonymous Coward
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Mexico
05/18/2019 11:15 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
This thread is like watching a group of retards try to figure out how a washing machine works.

Patience is a virtue, I'm willing to wait for a laugh and when the water is back down to 885 I'll certainly not forget to return and say:

I TOLD YOU SO.
Anonymous Coward
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United States
05/18/2019 11:20 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Will Oroville Spillway Gates Fail in Heavy Flows? Design Flaws & Fixes Risk Gate Binding?

[link to www.catholic.org (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


See, now that is interesting and I learned something.

The spillway "gates" are actually a 2 gate system. On the lake side opening there are stacks of "five 8+ foot high plates with support beams, called "stoplogs". Those control any water getting to the lake side of the "radial gates"

They open the "stop logs" with the radial gates closed and there is no water flowing, in theory, then they control any release by opening the radial gates to generate whatever CFS they want to.

NOW you know why all these tards keep saying "the radial gates were never designed to be water proof" and say it with a straight face, they aren't lying, they very likely weren't designed to be water proof, it makes sense they wouldn't be since the friction of a water proof seal would be tremendous.

However, the stoplog gates WERE DESIGNED TO BE WATERPROOF. They have hydraulic fluid inflatable seals. If they were operating properly they would seal off the lake on the lake side of the gate system, water would drain out of the area in between the radial gates and the stoplog gates, all pressure removed from the radial gates, wait until next time.

So the sequence of operation to open from a static all closed, water sealed off with seals under hydraulic pressure condition would be:

1) release pressure on stoplog seals
2) water begins to enter area between radial gates and "stoplogs"
3) allow water to equalize pressure as much as possible. (radial gates would likely begin to leak)
4) Open stoplog gates via whatever mechanical method they use. Now full lake pressure is on the radial gates and they are exposed to the lake.
5) Open radial gates to whatever degree allowing release of water to spillway.

Reverse to close.

Makes more sense to me now, radial tinter gates are designed to open and close under extreme water flow rates. The physics of the shape actually gets help from water flowing by them to close and they have less resistance to opening than a straight gate, it's why they have been used for over a hundred years for dams and are still used today, they work.

So, when one of these DWR fuckwits says, "The radial gates were never designed to be water proof, stop being a doomtard, next question!"

Someone needs to continue with, "Yeah we know THAT, but what about the front gates (stoplogs) that WERE supposed to be waterproof and are now obviously leaking because we can SEE water coming through the radial gates that was never supposed to be there in the first place? What about those seals fuckhead?"

Murmurs spread through the crowd...DWR official pees his pants a little..
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77517484

Well, after reading more in depth and doing a bit more research into this I'll admit I was wrong.

The stoplog system is not a permanent part of the operational gate system. There is no 2 stage gate system and the radial gates are the only gate between the lake the and the spillway.

From what I see now, whatever the stoplogs are, apparently large plates, they just bring them from wherever they store them and would try to drop them in place on the lake side entry way and block off inflow in the case of gate failure.

Good luck with that. Seems that no one thinks it's actually possible anyway. So in essence, they are just glorified mattresses to stuff in a hole if a leak springs.

Too bad really, I liked the 2 stage gate system I thought existed, but doesn't, a whole lot better, I do like at least some redundancy, but there is none.

So, the radial gates alone are bearing the load of several hundred tons of water pressure and that's what we got and that's all we got.

Sorry for any confusion!
Anonymous Coward
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United States
05/18/2019 11:21 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
This thread is like watching a group of retards try to figure out how a washing machine works.

Patience is a virtue, I'm willing to wait for a laugh and when the water is back down to 885 I'll certainly not forget to return and say:

I TOLD YOU SO.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58899479


DIRTY SANCHEZ...PLEASE GO HOME!
Anonymous Coward
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United States
05/18/2019 11:22 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
This thread is like watching a group of retards try to figure out how a washing machine works.

Patience is a virtue, I'm willing to wait for a laugh and when the water is back down to 885 I'll certainly not forget to return and say:

I TOLD YOU SO.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58899479


I, for one, would like nothing better than for you to be able to say I told you so. However, making it through another year does not then by definition mean nothing is wrong.

If I'm not mistaken, they have even admitted they haven't yet finished the work.

Disaster averted does not mean problem solved.
Nonentity

User ID: 77013656
United States
05/18/2019 11:23 AM

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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
This thread is like watching a group of retards try to figure out how a washing machine works.

Patience is a virtue, I'm willing to wait for a laugh and when the water is back down to 885 I'll certainly not forget to return and say:

I TOLD YOU SO.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58899479


Well, here in America we value life and a 0.1% chance hundreds of thousands in danger is worth having concern.

This isn't a 10 foot beener dam who's failure mearly wipes out Cheechoes illegal moonshine rig.

And your attitude creates a lack of awareness. Suggesting there is something wrong with someone for having concerns?

No, there is something wrong with you.

Have a great day Taco
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 13358554
United States
05/18/2019 11:25 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
This thread is like watching a group of retards try to figure out how a washing machine works.

Patience is a virtue, I'm willing to wait for a laugh and when the water is back down to 885 I'll certainly not forget to return and say:

I TOLD YOU SO.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58899479


stfu AND GET OUT OF MY FACE YA FKN FENCE FAIRY!
Prayandprepare000

User ID: 74211141
United States
05/18/2019 11:26 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed


Nope, nothing wrong here, she's ready to go.

[link to pbs.twimg.com (secure)]




Now that is the funniest snark remark in a while. Thanks for the link. It says it all.
Anonymous Coward
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United States
05/18/2019 11:29 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Will Oroville Spillway Gates Fail in Heavy Flows? Design Flaws & Fixes Risk Gate Binding?

[link to www.catholic.org (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


See, now that is interesting and I learned something.

The spillway "gates" are actually a 2 gate system. On the lake side opening there are stacks of "five 8+ foot high plates with support beams, called "stoplogs". Those control any water getting to the lake side of the "radial gates"

They open the "stop logs" with the radial gates closed and there is no water flowing, in theory, then they control any release by opening the radial gates to generate whatever CFS they want to.

NOW you know why all these tards keep saying "the radial gates were never designed to be water proof" and say it with a straight face, they aren't lying, they very likely weren't designed to be water proof, it makes sense they wouldn't be since the friction of a water proof seal would be tremendous.

However, the stoplog gates WERE DESIGNED TO BE WATERPROOF. They have hydraulic fluid inflatable seals. If they were operating properly they would seal off the lake on the lake side of the gate system, water would drain out of the area in between the radial gates and the stoplog gates, all pressure removed from the radial gates, wait until next time.

So the sequence of operation to open from a static all closed, water sealed off with seals under hydraulic pressure condition would be:

1) release pressure on stoplog seals
2) water begins to enter area between radial gates and "stoplogs"
3) allow water to equalize pressure as much as possible. (radial gates would likely begin to leak)
4) Open stoplog gates via whatever mechanical method they use. Now full lake pressure is on the radial gates and they are exposed to the lake.
5) Open radial gates to whatever degree allowing release of water to spillway.

Reverse to close.

Makes more sense to me now, radial tinter gates are designed to open and close under extreme water flow rates. The physics of the shape actually gets help from water flowing by them to close and they have less resistance to opening than a straight gate, it's why they have been used for over a hundred years for dams and are still used today, they work.

So, when one of these DWR fuckwits says, "The radial gates were never designed to be water proof, stop being a doomtard, next question!"

Someone needs to continue with, "Yeah we know THAT, but what about the front gates (stoplogs) that WERE supposed to be waterproof and are now obviously leaking because we can SEE water coming through the radial gates that was never supposed to be there in the first place? What about those seals fuckhead?"

Murmurs spread through the crowd...DWR official pees his pants a little..
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77517484

Well, after reading more in depth and doing a bit more research into this I'll admit I was wrong.

The stoplog system is not a permanent part of the operational gate system. There is no 2 stage gate system and the radial gates are the only gate between the lake the and the spillway.

From what I see now, whatever the stoplogs are, apparently large plates, they just bring them from wherever they store them and would try to drop them in place on the lake side entry way and block off inflow in the case of gate failure.

Good luck with that. Seems that no one thinks it's actually possible anyway. So in essence, they are just glorified mattresses to stuff in a hole if a leak springs.

Too bad really, I liked the 2 stage gate system I thought existed, but doesn't, a whole lot better, I do like at least some redundancy, but there is none.

So, the radial gates alone are bearing the load of several hundred tons of water pressure and that's what we got and that's all we got.

Sorry for any confusion!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77517484


Have you seen these? Gives a lake side view of the structure. [link to 3.bp.blogspot.com (secure)]

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77563121
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 13358554
United States
05/18/2019 11:30 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
 Quoting: Prayandprepare000


Nope, nothing wrong here, she's ready to go.

[link to pbs.twimg.com (secure)]




Now that is the funniest snark remark in a while. Thanks for the link. It says it all.


ONLY THOSE RADIAL GATES ARE BETWEEN THAT WATER AND ETERNITY FOR HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS OF PEOPLE! verysad
Prayandprepare000

User ID: 74211141
United States
05/18/2019 11:32 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Will Oroville Spillway Gates Fail in Heavy Flows? Design Flaws & Fixes Risk Gate Binding?

[link to www.catholic.org (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


See, now that is interesting and I learned something.

The spillway "gates" are actually a 2 gate system. On the lake side opening there are stacks of "five 8+ foot high plates with support beams, called "stoplogs". Those control any water getting to the lake side of the "radial gates"

They open the "stop logs" with the radial gates closed and there is no water flowing, in theory, then they control any release by opening the radial gates to generate whatever CFS they want to.

NOW you know why all these tards keep saying "the radial gates were never designed to be water proof" and say it with a straight face, they aren't lying, they very likely weren't designed to be water proof, it makes sense they wouldn't be since the friction of a water proof seal would be tremendous.

However, the stoplog gates WERE DESIGNED TO BE WATERPROOF. They have hydraulic fluid inflatable seals. If they were operating properly they would seal off the lake on the lake side of the gate system, water would drain out of the area in between the radial gates and the stoplog gates, all pressure removed from the radial gates, wait until next time.

So the sequence of operation to open from a static all closed, water sealed off with seals under hydraulic pressure condition would be:

1) release pressure on stoplog seals
2) water begins to enter area between radial gates and "stoplogs"
3) allow water to equalize pressure as much as possible. (radial gates would likely begin to leak)
4) Open stoplog gates via whatever mechanical method they use. Now full lake pressure is on the radial gates and they are exposed to the lake.
5) Open radial gates to whatever degree allowing release of water to spillway.

Reverse to close.

Makes more sense to me now, radial tinter gates are designed to open and close under extreme water flow rates. The physics of the shape actually gets help from water flowing by them to close and they have less resistance to opening than a straight gate, it's why they have been used for over a hundred years for dams and are still used today, they work.

So, when one of these DWR fuckwits says, "The radial gates were never designed to be water proof, stop being a doomtard, next question!"

Someone needs to continue with, "Yeah we know THAT, but what about the front gates (stoplogs) that WERE supposed to be waterproof and are now obviously leaking because we can SEE water coming through the radial gates that was never supposed to be there in the first place? What about those seals fuckhead?"

Murmurs spread through the crowd...DWR official pees his pants a little..
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77517484

Well, after reading more in depth and doing a bit more research into this I'll admit I was wrong.

The stoplog system is not a permanent part of the operational gate system. There is no 2 stage gate system and the radial gates are the only gate between the lake the and the spillway.

From what I see now, whatever the stoplogs are, apparently large plates, they just bring them from wherever they store them and would try to drop them in place on the lake side entry way and block off inflow in the case of gate failure.

Good luck with that. Seems that no one thinks it's actually possible anyway. So in essence, they are just glorified mattresses to stuff in a hole if a leak springs.

Too bad really, I liked the 2 stage gate system I thought existed, but doesn't, a whole lot better, I do like at least some redundancy, but there is none.

So, the radial gates alone are bearing the load of several hundred tons of water pressure and that's what we got and that's all we got.

Sorry for any confusion!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77517484


Why worry. Just because Folsom dam had the exact same gates and one snapped apart after 40 years, and 40 percent of the reservoir drained out, and Oroville gates are over 50 years old with all kinds of cracks and corrosion just like Folsom, is no cause for concern. DWR says the gates are fine. Be happy.
Anonymous Coward
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United States
05/18/2019 11:33 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed



Have you seen these? Gives a lake side view of the structure. [link to 3.bp.blogspot.com (secure)]

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77563121

I do remember that video from back in 2017, but always good to refresh the memory.

Don't think I've seen that photo till just then.

Here are a few really good close ups from a contractor that did a walk through for quoting some repair work on the gates. Gives a good sense of scale.

[link to imgur.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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05/18/2019 11:35 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
ARE HARMONIC VIBRATIONS/TREMORS INCREASING?

[link to earthquake.usgs.gov (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


OROVILLE DAM OR CASCADIA SUBDUCTION ZONE? eq

IF CASCADIA...THEN THIS DAMN DAM WILL BE THE LEAST OF OUR WORRIES!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


the above link is for Oroville dam area. today it looks good in fact.
Midwest Skeptic

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05/18/2019 11:41 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Now that the first rain event is over, and the water flows into the lake are back down to just the Snow Melt levels, we can calculate how much the lake went up per inch of rain hitting the watershed when the ground was dry.

Some here had previously been talking about 12' rise in the lake per inch of rain. The history of 2017 was that on SATURATED SOILS the Oroville Lake was going up 3' to 4' per inch of rain (water releases were about 5,000 cf/s until the spillway self destructed vs today's 10,000 cf/s - but that 10,000 cf/s is matching the steady snow melt).

On the DRY soil conditions that existed before the rain began based upon the rain that fell at the Dam location, which in reviewing the entire watershed appears to be about the average for the entire watershed (some small areas to the NE were double, other large areas to the east were 1/2 or less, many areas were about the same as the dam) the numbers (DRY SOIL) have worked out to 1' (one foot) rise of the lake for each 1" of rain they received from the Rain Event. (1.67' lake rise with 1.64" of rain)

Based upon Army Corp numbers of the runoff for a totally saturated soil base of 106,000 acre feet per inch of rain that means that in this instance the run off VIA DRY SOIL was only 16,000+- acre feet per inch of rain. In other words the soil, acting as a sponge, absorbed about 85% of the rain that fell.

This HUGE sponge effect will ONLY apply to the watershed when it is dry. As the watershed soil becomes wetter the sponge effect will become less.

For all but the very worst conditions then the 3' to 4' rise in the lake per inch of rain, which is what we saw in 2017 with back to back to back storms, is probably about the maximum increase per inch of rain that will generally be seen for Lake Oroville (the ACE numbers of 106,000 acre feet were based upon approximately 15 inches of rain falling in 72 hours onto soil that was already totally saturated).

Now that we have some solid numbers - rain vs lake rise - we can make some projections for the next rain event.

With 3 days to dry out the soil can still probably absorb 85% of the first inch of the next storm, 75% of the next couple of inches, and 60% of the next two inches - assuming all that rain comes in about a 72 hour period.

1 foot rise for the first inch of rain +-
1.65 foot rise for each inch of the next two inches of rain +-
2.65 foot rise for each inch of the next two inches of rain +-

Based upon today's current lake level of 890.95 feet that would mean that the lake should be able to handle the run off for the next 4.5" of rain, barely, but it should be able to hold it, without water going over the Emergency Spillway or the Main Spillway being used.

Of course as with all projections one needs to understand that with this case the assumptions as the soil sponge effect may be too high, or may be too low, but to me they appear to be reasonable now that we have some solid data to work with.

Last Edited by Midwest Skeptic on 05/18/2019 12:11 PM
Midwest Skeptic
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05/18/2019 11:45 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Oroville is built on insufficient foundation, plus being too high and nature is reacting to that.
 Quoting: ALL IS ONE IS ALL


I've heard this repeatedly, I assume it's about the MS, but when the spillway broke up in 2017, it looked like bedrock underneath. Are you able to point me to a/the source that talks about what's really underneath?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 74281020


there are plenty on the web... so do a search. The bedrock is broken.. leaking.. and fractured.. Bed rock does not always mean no fractures in it...

There is plenty I think in this thread too posted over time. I don't have time to do you research...

I however have a very strong source who KNOWs and had given me information. Last time I took close looks helped by that source of issues and construction features and there were design problems from the beginning.

The biggest risk is actually the DAM which has serious internal problems... There is issues with leaking at both abutments to it and across the face of the dam... These are both internal issues and pressure issues of a dam built too high...from the water itself.
Anonymous Coward
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05/18/2019 11:48 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed

Have you seen these? Gives a lake side view of the structure. [link to 3.bp.blogspot.com (secure)]

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77563121

I do remember that video from back in 2017, but always good to refresh the memory.

Don't think I've seen that photo till just then.

Here are a few really good close ups from a contractor that did a walk through for quoting some repair work on the gates. Gives a good sense of scale.

[link to imgur.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 74281020


Yes, scale is something that is often lacking.

I've been there, and it is MASSIVE. Following this story and seeing the pics and video it's hard to tell just how big it really is.

We've put in at the dam launch area many times and I only recently learned there are actually 7 ramps there that zig zag down the hill as the water recedes. I know there was more than one because I've been on them, but I didn't know just how many, and they're not short ramps.
Anonymous Coward
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05/18/2019 11:48 AM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Now that the first rain event is over, and the water flows into the lake are back down to just the Snow Melt levels we can calculate how much the lake went up per inch or rain hitting the watershed when the ground was dry.

Some here had previously been talking about 12' rise in the lake per inch of rain. The history of 2017 was that on SATURATED SOILS the Oroville Lake was going up 3' to 4' per inch of rain (water releases were about 5,000 cf/s until the spillway self destructed vs today's 10,000 cf/s - but that 10,000 cf/s is matching the steady snow melt).

On the DRY soil conditions based upon the rain that fell at the Dam location, which in reviewing the entire watershed appears to be about the average for the entire watershed (some small areas to the NE were double, other large areas to the east were 1/2 or less, many areas were about the same as the dam) the numbers (DRY SOIL) have worked out to 1' (one foot) per inch of rain for each 1" of rain they received from the Rain Event. (1.67' lake rise with 1.64" of rain)

Based upon Army Corp numbers of the runoff for a totally saturated soil base of 106,000 acre feet per inch of rain that means that in this instance the run off VIA DRY SOIL was only 16,000+- acre feet per inch of rain. In other words the soil, acting as a sponge, absorbed about 85% of the rain that fell.

This HUGE sponge effect will ONLY apply to the watershed when it is dry. As the watershed soil becomes wetter the sponge effect will become less.

For all but the very worst conditions then the 3' to 4' rise in the lake per inch of rain, which is what we saw in 2017 with back to back to back storms, is probably about the maximum increase per inch of rain that will be seen for Lake Oroville (the ACE numbers of 106,000 cf/s were based upon approximately 15 inches of rain falling in 72 hours onto soil that was already totally saturated).

Now that we have some solid numbers - rain vs lake rise - we can make some projections for the next rain event.

With 3 days to dry out the soil can still probably absorb 85% of the first inch of the next storm, 75% of the next couple of inches, and 60% of the next two inches - assuming all that rain comes in about a 72 hour period.

1 foot rise for the first inch of rain +-
1.65 foot rise for each inch of the next two inches of rain +-
2.65 foot rise for each inch of the next two inches of rain +-

Based upon today's current lake level of 890.95 feet that would mean that the lake should be able to handle the run off for the next 4.5" of rain, barely, but it should be able to hold it, without water going over the Emergency Spillway or the Main Spillway being used.

Of course as with all projections one needs to understand that with this case the assumptions as the soil sponge effect may be too high, or may be too low, but to me they appear to be reasonable now that we have some solid data to work with.
 Quoting: Midwest Skeptic


MIDWEST,

GREAT POST AND THAT'S GOOD NEWS!

THE BAD NEWS IS MUD IS GOING DOWN THE SPILLWAY! IT COULD BE DUE TO EROSION UNDER THE GATE STRUCTURE AND CUTTING BACK TO THE GATE HOUSE! IT'S ALL SPECULATION AT THIS POINT!
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Will Oroville Spillway Gates Fail in Heavy Flows? Design Flaws & Fixes Risk Gate Binding?

[link to www.catholic.org (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


See, now that is interesting and I learned something.

The spillway "gates" are actually a 2 gate system. On the lake side opening there are stacks of "five 8+ foot high plates with support beams, called "stoplogs". Those control any water getting to the lake side of the "radial gates"

They open the "stop logs" with the radial gates closed and there is no water flowing, in theory, then they control any release by opening the radial gates to generate whatever CFS they want to.

NOW you know why all these tards keep saying "the radial gates were never designed to be water proof" and say it with a straight face, they aren't lying, they very likely weren't designed to be water proof, it makes sense they wouldn't be since the friction of a water proof seal would be tremendous.

However, the stoplog gates WERE DESIGNED TO BE WATERPROOF. They have hydraulic fluid inflatable seals. If they were operating properly they would seal off the lake on the lake side of the gate system, water would drain out of the area in between the radial gates and the stoplog gates, all pressure removed from the radial gates, wait until next time.

So the sequence of operation to open from a static all closed, water sealed off with seals under hydraulic pressure condition would be:

1) release pressure on stoplog seals
2) water begins to enter area between radial gates and "stoplogs"
3) allow water to equalize pressure as much as possible. (radial gates would likely begin to leak)
4) Open stoplog gates via whatever mechanical method they use. Now full lake pressure is on the radial gates and they are exposed to the lake.
5) Open radial gates to whatever degree allowing release of water to spillway.

Reverse to close.

Makes more sense to me now, radial tinter gates are designed to open and close under extreme water flow rates. The physics of the shape actually gets help from water flowing by them to close and they have less resistance to opening than a straight gate, it's why they have been used for over a hundred years for dams and are still used today, they work.

So, when one of these DWR fuckwits says, "The radial gates were never designed to be water proof, stop being a doomtard, next question!"

Someone needs to continue with, "Yeah we know THAT, but what about the front gates (stoplogs) that WERE supposed to be waterproof and are now obviously leaking because we can SEE water coming through the radial gates that was never supposed to be there in the first place? What about those seals fuckhead?"

Murmurs spread through the crowd...DWR official pees his pants a little..
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77517484

Well, after reading more in depth and doing a bit more research into this I'll admit I was wrong.

The stoplog system is not a permanent part of the operational gate system. There is no 2 stage gate system and the radial gates are the only gate between the lake the and the spillway.

From what I see now, whatever the stoplogs are, apparently large plates, they just bring them from wherever they store them and would try to drop them in place on the lake side entry way and block off inflow in the case of gate failure.

Good luck with that. Seems that no one thinks it's actually possible anyway. So in essence, they are just glorified mattresses to stuff in a hole if a leak springs.

Too bad really, I liked the 2 stage gate system I thought existed, but doesn't, a whole lot better, I do like at least some redundancy, but there is none.

So, the radial gates alone are bearing the load of several hundred tons of water pressure and that's what we got and that's all we got.

Sorry for any confusion!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77517484


It is not "several hundred tons", it is probably closer to hundreds of thousands if not millions of tons, (when totally full)

Stuff like that exists in industry on occasion.
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
This thread is like watching a group of retards try to figure out how a washing machine works.

Patience is a virtue, I'm willing to wait for a laugh and when the water is back down to 885 I'll certainly not forget to return and say:

I TOLD YOU SO.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58899479


stfu AND GET OUT OF MY FACE YA FKN FENCE FAIRY!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


First of all, I am not a fairy. Too hairy.

Second of all, I don't sit on a fence. And I would not rather go over it either, your country SUCKS, you can keep your gays.
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Oroville is built on insufficient foundation, plus being too high and nature is reacting to that.
 Quoting: ALL IS ONE IS ALL


I've heard this repeatedly, I assume it's about the MS, but when the spillway broke up in 2017, it looked like bedrock underneath. Are you able to point me to a/the source that talks about what's really underneath?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 74281020


there are plenty on the web... so do a search. The bedrock is broken.. leaking.. and fractured.. Bed rock does not always mean no fractures in it...

There is plenty I think in this thread too posted over time. I don't have time to do you research...

I however have a very strong source who KNOWs and had given me information. Last time I took close looks helped by that source of issues and construction features and there were design problems from the beginning.

The biggest risk is actually the DAM which has serious internal problems... There is issues with leaking at both abutments to it and across the face of the dam... These are both internal issues and pressure issues of a dam built too high...from the water itself.
 Quoting: ALL IS ONE IS ALL


Thanks anyway. I've seen many of your posts and you seem to speak with a certain amount of "authority" (confidence from knowledge?) and since I used to live in Sacramento and have been to the lake a lot, I have a certain level of knowledge simply from experience of being there, and what you have said always seems to match what my experience.

All that to say, I thought you might have a link handy, lol.
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
If a 10'x10' saw 100 psi, the entire plate experiences 120,000 lbs of force.

Psi is per square inch. A plate 1 foot squared has 12 inch square.

To make it complicated, the gates experience a gradual change of force due to depth.

Just imagine how much force 300 psi is on those massive gates. All that force is placed on the bearings, axis or whatever it is called, trunnion something.

It's probably well into many millions of lbs of force.
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
This thread is like watching a group of retards try to figure out how a washing machine works.

Patience is a virtue, I'm willing to wait for a laugh and when the water is back down to 885 I'll certainly not forget to return and say:

I TOLD YOU SO.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 58899479


stfu AND GET OUT OF MY FACE YA FKN FENCE FAIRY!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


First of all, I am not a fairy. Too hairy.

Second of all, I don't sit on a fence. And I would not rather go over it either, your country SUCKS, you can keep your gays.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 71478468


skull_fing YA FKN PIECE OF MEXCREMENT!

I CAN'T WAIT TIL TRUMP GOES MAGA ALL OVER YOUR ASS!
Midwest Skeptic

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05/18/2019 12:06 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
If a 10'x10' saw 100 psi, the entire plate experiences 120,000 lbs of force.

Psi is per square inch. A plate 1 foot squared has 12 inch square.

To make it complicated, the gates experience a gradual change of force due to depth.

Just imagine how much force 300 psi is on those massive gates. All that force is placed on the bearings, axis or whatever it is called, trunnion something.

It's probably well into many millions of lbs of force.
 Quoting: Nonentity


The actual pressure AT THE BOTTOM of the gates will be about 35-38 psi, nowhere close to 100 psi let alone 300 psi (with the lake at full 900' and the BOTTOM of the gate at 813 the head will be 87 feet measured to the BOTTOM of the gate)

With an 80' head the water pressure is just under 35 psi. Extensive talk on this issue yesterday a few pages back. (do a Google Search and check it yourself)

Last Edited by Midwest Skeptic on 05/18/2019 12:07 PM
Midwest Skeptic
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Why worry. Just because Folsom dam had the exact same gates and one snapped apart after 40 years, and 40 percent of the reservoir drained out, and Oroville gates are over 50 years old with all kinds of cracks and corrosion just like Folsom, is no cause for concern. DWR says the gates are fine. Be happy.
 Quoting: Prayandprepare000


I learned a long time ago, very long actually, that the mechanisms you design, think of them as going to war and design / build accordingly.

War of various forces constantly trying to tear apart, wear down, destroy whatever you built. The more complex and multi layered whatever that is? The more fail-safes and redundancy you try and incorporate, especially if whatever you are building can kill or injure someone(s) if it fails.

Reserve chute, engine shutdown if oil pressure drops, more than one exit from a building, so on and so forth.

Right now from where the lake is, as far as storage goes, there is right about 1 million acre feet of water that would drain out from the 890ft now, to the just about 820 ft or so when it would stop or slow enough on it's own, if a gate failed, or even just got stuck.

A million acres of water a foot deep. That's a helluva lot of water. Just to give some idea of how much:

ONE acre ft of water is the volume of water necessary to cover one acre of surface area to a depth of one foot. It is equal to exactly 43,560 cubic feet, or to 325,851 U.S. gallons, or exactly 1233.48184 cubic meters.

1 million acre ft?

43.5 Billion Cubic ft
325.8 Billion gallons

LOL, sound like a lot? Cause it does to me.

Yeah, I'd design whatever is holding THAT force back with just one layer, and let's make that layer a movable one too, that is going to have an abrasive fluid moving at high speed rushing past it from time.

Oh hey, how about we chuck in shitty maintenance? Why not!

Just gets better and better doesn't it.
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Radial gate dimensions. 17'7" wide 33' tall

Just shy of 7,000 square inches.

If upper psi is 100 and lowest psi is 300, then use 200 psi as number.

7,000 x 200 = 1,400,000 lbs of force on one gate, estimate.
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05/18/2019 12:10 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
It is not "several hundred tons", it is probably closer to hundreds of thousands if not millions of tons, (when totally full)

Stuff like that exists in industry on occasion.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 71478468


Stick to washing machine theory.
Midwest Skeptic

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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Radial gate dimensions. 17'7" wide 33' tall

Just shy of 7,000 square inches.

If upper psi is 100 and lowest psi is 300, then use 200 psi as number.

7,000 x 200 = 1,400,000 lbs of force on one gate, estimate.
 Quoting: Nonentity


AGAIN ...

At the BASE of the gates the pressure is going to be in the 35-38 psi range. At the top of the gates it is going to be considerably LESS!!


Your psi numbers are ridiculous!!

Sheesh ... covered in depth yesterday.

Don't believe me? Go go a simple Google Search of water pressure based on a head of 80 feet, 85 feet, and 90 feet!! Takes less than a minute to do. (900' minus the base at 813 feet equals 87' head IF the lake is at 900')

-----------------
Edited to add:

Here is a LINK to a site that has not just the math formulas but has an actual table (just scroll down). Ne need to even do a Google Search:

[link to www.engineeringtoolbox.com (secure)]

Last Edited by Midwest Skeptic on 05/18/2019 12:20 PM
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GLP