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California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed

 
Publius
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05/19/2019 12:37 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Probably should not worry until the precious sacred Salmon are rescued. Then and only then be very afraid.
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 12:39 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
A little discerning....

Less than 10 ft from the E.S. being topped.

No work crews visible.

M.S. has only a trickle running down it (leak? One gate open a fraction of an inch?).

Two rows of sandbags directing said trickle to one side of spillway.

Watershed has had rain over the last several days with more incoming... yet there's practically zero release at the M.S. to account for this.

Hayatt power plant has a failed turbine.

I'm no expert in this but this does NOT look good!
 Quoting: Hiram's Apprentice


ANOTHER TURBINE FAILED RECENTLY! TWO DOWN...
Hiram's Apprentice

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05/19/2019 12:41 PM

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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
A little discerning....

Less than 10 ft from the E.S. being topped.

No work crews visible.

M.S. has only a trickle running down it (leak? One gate open a fraction of an inch?).

Two rows of sandbags directing said trickle to one side of spillway.

Watershed has had rain over the last several days with more incoming... yet there's practically zero release at the M.S. to account for this.

Hayatt power plant has a failed turbine.

I'm no expert in this but this does NOT look good!
 Quoting: Hiram's Apprentice


ANOTHER TURBINE FAILED RECENTLY! TWO DOWN...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


That's a damn shame
"Tempus Fugit"
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 12:42 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Probably should not worry until the precious sacred Salmon are rescued. Then and only then be very afraid.
 Quoting: Publius 12087824


That's right, it took some 3 days to evacuate the fish in 2017, and it wasn't until they were out that the people were told to evacuate.
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 12:42 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
CONFIRMED...No one working at the dam this morning. I have been monitoring this dam EVERY DAY for two months, and have NEVER SEEN IT THIS QUIET UP THERE. Heck, they even had crews working up there at 2AM Easter morning.

CONFIRMED... No backside view showing actual water levels. The last view--a small quarter-screen view-- went into permanent pause mode last night, making the less-informed susceptible to thinking it is live if they don't look closely.

CONFIRMED...Reported water elevation and water inflows DO NOT MATCH WITH REPORTED RAINFALL TOTALS, even the scaled-back rainfall totals DWR IS USING. This could mean the dam is fuller than being reported.

I'm not saying this is what is happening, but these things are exactly what one might expect to occur were a planned false flag underway, and the perps not wanting the victims fleeing before they are inundated.

Just saying...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77016816


I too have been checking the cams often. Always something going on, always traffic at all ties of day, even holidays as you mentioned.

Today, ghost town.

It is possible the construction company decided to stay off the dam during these heavy rains. Enough people could have complained or called in sick.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77013656


I didn't see this before on the web cam (maybe always says this?

[link to www.parks.ca.gov]

Notice: The Lake Oroville SRA webcam's may be offline at times due to issues related to the repair of the webcam's network connection.
UH
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05/19/2019 12:45 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
‘Significant Flood Event’ Could Breach Prado Dam, Put 29 SoCal Cities At Risk

Federal engineers reported Wednesday that the Prado Dam in Corona is vulnerable to a “significant flood event” that could breach the nearly 80-year-old dam and threaten dozens of cities downstream.



 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554

 Quoting: G3


MHORE DHOOM..ILL TAKE THE O-VUH JOEY...
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 12:45 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Water Officials Quell Rumors Of Oroville Dam Spillway Problems

The late season storm is raising concern for people living below the Oroville Dam, especially after a flood of online rumors concerning the rebuilty spillway.

[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
Nonentity

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05/19/2019 12:46 PM

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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
A little discerning....

Less than 10 ft from the E.S. being topped.

No work crews visible.

M.S. has only a trickle running down it (leak? One gate open a fraction of an inch?).

Two rows of sandbags directing said trickle to one side of spillway.

Watershed has had rain over the last several days with more incoming... yet there's practically zero release at the M.S. to account for this.

Hayatt power plant has a failed turbine.

I'm no expert in this but this does NOT look good!
 Quoting: Hiram's Apprentice


They aren't planning on using the spillway. They have equipment on there. Which would damage the spillway on down if opened with two lifts by the gates.

That tells me they aren't prepared to use the spillway on a moment's notice.

I think they know they can't use it.
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 12:53 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
YIKES! KALI IS ABOUT TO GET SLAMMED!

[link to www.goes.noaa.gov (secure)]
Nonentity

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05/19/2019 12:53 PM

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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Did the construction company take all their heavy equipment off site?
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 12:56 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
HOLY MOLY! LOOK AT THESE PICTURES! waaaht

[link to pixel-ca-dwr.photoshelter.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 01:00 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
HOLY MOLY! LOOK AT THESE PICTURES! waaaht

[link to pixel-ca-dwr.photoshelter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


Those are old
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 01:03 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Did the construction company take all their heavy equipment off site?
 Quoting: Nonentity


I don't thinks so. If you look on the lower part of the road going to the parking lot (where it loops around) there is some equipment there.
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 01:05 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
It's raining pretty good:

[link to www.parks.ca.gov]

at least it was, now it's frozen.
bbster2

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05/19/2019 01:06 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
If it were me, this is the moment I would leave if I had not yet.

It would suck but i couldn't live under that thing as it stands right now.

Those MS cracks are not normal at all.
 Quoting: Nonentity


IF THIS DAM FAILS IT IS ESTIMATED THAT MORE THAN A MILLION PEOPLE WOULD IMMEDIATELY BE AFFECTED. MILLIONS MORE IN STAGES...NOT TO MENTION THE FACT THAT IT WOULD KILL OUR ECONOMY!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


I don’t deny this would be horrible, but y’all need to start little economies as you should have been doing. Every single day there is risk.

If you can’t figure out how to survive without a larger economy ... then you need to pray to your God that the next major crisis isn’t in your lifetime.
 Quoting: CleverCreator


We did have our own economy and food and they burned our whole town down. I'll bet Trump got word about Oroville Dam last night and issued the disaster declaration for 17 counties so he wouldn't be percieved as part of the failure
bbster2
Nonentity

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05/19/2019 01:07 PM

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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Did the construction company take all their heavy equipment off site?
 Quoting: Nonentity


I don't thinks so. If you look on the lower part of the road going to the parking lot (where it loops around) there is some equipment there.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 74281020


I see material and a few little dozers. But the big diggers I don't see. But the cam viewing is obviously limited.

Thanks
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 01:08 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
HOLY MOLY! LOOK AT THESE PICTURES! waaaht

[link to pixel-ca-dwr.photoshelter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


Those are old
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77635059


stfu SO ARE DIAMONDS! JUST BECAUSE THOSE PICTURES WERE TAKEN IN 2017 MEANS THEY ARE WORTHLESS?

granny IT'S A HISTORY LESSON, SHITFACE!
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 01:10 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Oroville Dam Overflow Warning

[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
UseLessRepEATER
Those who know the least obey the best: G.F.

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05/19/2019 01:14 PM

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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
It's raining pretty good:

[link to www.parks.ca.gov]

at least it was, now it's frozen.
 Quoting: sseess


refresh it, and it'll unfreeze...
Real Eyes, Realize, Real Lies.....


Every normal man must be tempted, at times, to spit on his hands, hoist the black flag, and begin slitting throats.
~H. L. Mencken~

We can easily forgive a child who is afraid of the dark; the real tragedy of life is when men are afraid of the light.
~Plato~

When a well-packaged web of lies has been sold gradually to the masses over generations,
the truth will seem utterly preposterous and its speaker a raving lunatic.
~Dresden James~
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 01:15 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
HOLY MOLY! LOOK AT THESE PICTURES! waaaht

[link to pixel-ca-dwr.photoshelter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


Those are old
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77635059


stfu SO ARE DIAMONDS! JUST BECAUSE THOSE PICTURES WERE TAKEN IN 2017 MEANS THEY ARE WORTHLESS?

granny IT'S A HISTORY LESSON, SHITFACE!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


Calm your shit numbnuts
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 01:16 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
It's raining pretty good:

[link to www.parks.ca.gov]

at least it was, now it's frozen.
 Quoting: sseess


refresh it, and it'll unfreeze...
 Quoting: UseLessRepEATER


Thanks! It sure is strange that there isn't a soul to be seen.....
UseLessRepEATER
Those who know the least obey the best: G.F.

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05/19/2019 01:16 PM

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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
It's raining pretty good:

[link to www.parks.ca.gov]

at least it was, now it's frozen.
 Quoting: sseess


refresh it, and it'll unfreeze...
 Quoting: UseLessRepEATER


Thanks! It sure is strange that there isn't a soul to be seen.....
 Quoting: sseess


I didn't see much activity yesterday either...
Real Eyes, Realize, Real Lies.....


Every normal man must be tempted, at times, to spit on his hands, hoist the black flag, and begin slitting throats.
~H. L. Mencken~

We can easily forgive a child who is afraid of the dark; the real tragedy of life is when men are afraid of the light.
~Plato~

When a well-packaged web of lies has been sold gradually to the masses over generations,
the truth will seem utterly preposterous and its speaker a raving lunatic.
~Dresden James~
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 01:17 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
It's raining pretty good:

[link to www.parks.ca.gov]

at least it was, now it's frozen.
 Quoting: sseess


refresh it, and it'll unfreeze...
 Quoting: UseLessRepEATER


Thanks! It sure is strange that there isn't a soul to be seen.....
 Quoting: sseess


There work is complete?
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 01:19 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Did the construction company take all their heavy equipment off site?
 Quoting: Nonentity


I don't thinks so. If you look on the lower part of the road going to the parking lot (where it loops around) there is some equipment there.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 74281020


I see material and a few little dozers. But the big diggers I don't see. But the cam viewing is obviously limited.

Thanks
 Quoting: Nonentity


At 6:15 she starts reading a message from a Paradise refugee in Oroville who has noticed machinery moved overnight. Not sure of the exact date.


Oroville Dam Update: Strange Activity Seen? Rain Being Stopped In Oroville?

I think the place the FEMA trailers are in is a campground on the other side of the hill from the dam, above the marina. If it is, they are out of the path of the dam.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 74281020
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 01:20 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
HOLY MOLY! LOOK AT THESE PICTURES! waaaht

[link to pixel-ca-dwr.photoshelter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


Those are old
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77635059


stfu SO ARE DIAMONDS! JUST BECAUSE THOSE PICTURES WERE TAKEN IN 2017 MEANS THEY ARE WORTHLESS?

granny IT'S A HISTORY LESSON, SHITFACE!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


Calm your shit numbnuts
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77646013


stfu HEY BRITTARD! DON'T YOU HAVE A DENTIST APPOINTMENT THAT YOU'VE GOT TO GET TO?

NO?

WHAT ABOUT ACID? ARE YOU GOING TO THROW ACID IN THE FACE OF AN UNSUSPECTING TOURIST?

HOW MANY PEOPLE ARE YOU GOING TO KNIFE TODAY?
H
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05/19/2019 01:24 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
It's raining pretty good:

[link to www.parks.ca.gov]

at least it was, now it's frozen.
 Quoting: sseess


refresh it, and it'll unfreeze...
 Quoting: UseLessRepEATER


Thanks! It sure is strange that there isn't a soul to be seen.....
 Quoting: sseess


There work is complete?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 60905062


IF U MEAN PACKIN IT WIFF SEA FUR.... COUNT THE DOTS

THEN, U MAY B CORRECT.
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 01:29 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Last Ditch Effort at Oroville

[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 01:29 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Notice they never opened more than 4 gates too...
 Quoting: ALL IS ONE IS ALL


Actually they did, they just opened them all up later than that video was made.

One thing that now stands out me, that I never realized before is this. It's pretty obvious, especially from that video, that the gates were not leaking the entire time, up till the time they used them.

Now some, or all definitely ARE leaking and of course, this is completely normal because they were never designed to seal, even though they were, and never leaked before use.

So, in conclusion of that obvious gate leak situation there are only 2 ways the situation can be.

1) something fucked up with the gate seals after this one time operation and the once sealing surface(s) can no longer be sealed, or it has been determined that a full seal mode would cause some kind of damage. This would be bad, subjective as to how bad? that would have to be determined by pros on the scene. However, it is impossible that flowing water under pressure carrying an unknown amount of abrasive materials, won't abrade against the surface(s) that it is flowing over, around and through. It is physically impossible for that fluid, water plus whatever, not to be creating wear. So, the leak area must increase until it somehow gets clogged or sealed and fluid stops moving through it.

2) For some reason unknown to us the operators are intentionally leaving some or all gates partially open to allow this relatively small amount of water to get through. All of the above surface wear details would apply here also. I'm sure there are a few conspiracy theories as to why they might be doing that, if they are, such as using the minimal water flow to hide some surface issue on the main spillway etc etc, you can all run with that. There really isn't any good reason for the gates to be partially opened on purpose, there is no upside for that reasoning and it wouldn't be considered reasoning IMO, it'd be the opposite.

All we really know is the gates were not leaking before the test operation, now post operation they are and we are being told this all perfectly normal and expected.

So what IS normal? No leaks before, or now leaks after?
Both? lol, yeah sure.

Perhaps the leaks prior to operation were all clog sealed by various amounts of crud and debris, like pepper in a car's radiator, great. Now that they released the crud, the gates leak, also great.

All I can tell you with any certainty is this:
Wherever the "leaking" water is, wear is taking place. That wear is removing material and if left to continue, the size of the leaks is going to increase. The more fluid the leaks allow to flow? the faster that material removal will happen. 100 cfs removes more material than 10 cfs and 500 cfs removes more than 100 cfs.

Fluid pressure increasing by the lake rising also adds in, 20 psi fluid has a higher flow rate though the same size opening than 15 psi and 25 psi higher than 20, same laws apply.

There might only be a very small amount of wear to the gates, concrete, seals whatever surfaces, but it will never stop as long as fluid flow continues, it cannot stop.

Maybe everyone will get lucky and the possible crud seals will just happen naturally over time and the leaks will stop, or maybe we'll see the pepper barges deployed, we just don't know because all we get is STFU everything's fine, completely normal.

So we may just see the amount of water leaking through the gates increase, oh wait we have, grrreat.
UseLessRepEATER
Those who know the least obey the best: G.F.

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United States
05/19/2019 01:32 PM

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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Last Ditch Effort at Oroville

[link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13358554


This was from yesterday's broadcast where Hodges was criticized for talking about cubic, square feet.
Real Eyes, Realize, Real Lies.....


Every normal man must be tempted, at times, to spit on his hands, hoist the black flag, and begin slitting throats.
~H. L. Mencken~

We can easily forgive a child who is afraid of the dark; the real tragedy of life is when men are afraid of the light.
~Plato~

When a well-packaged web of lies has been sold gradually to the masses over generations,
the truth will seem utterly preposterous and its speaker a raving lunatic.
~Dresden James~
Anonymous Coward
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05/19/2019 01:37 PM
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Re: California's Lake Oroville Main Spillway Severely Damaged/Eroded. Oroville Dam's Recently Reconstructed Main Spillway Fundamentally Flawed
Notice they never opened more than 4 gates too...
 Quoting: ALL IS ONE IS ALL


Actually they did, they just opened them all up later than that video was made.

One thing that now stands out me, that I never realized before is this. It's pretty obvious, especially from that video, that the gates were not leaking the entire time, up till the time they used them.

Now some, or all definitely ARE leaking and of course, this is completely normal because they were never designed to seal, even though they were, and never leaked before use.

So, in conclusion of that obvious gate leak situation there are only 2 ways the situation can be.

1) something fucked up with the gate seals after this one time operation and the once sealing surface(s) can no longer be sealed, or it has been determined that a full seal mode would cause some kind of damage. This would be bad, subjective as to how bad? that would have to be determined by pros on the scene. However, it is impossible that flowing water under pressure carrying an unknown amount of abrasive materials, won't abrade against the surface(s) that it is flowing over, around and through. It is physically impossible for that fluid, water plus whatever, not to be creating wear. So, the leak area must increase until it somehow gets clogged or sealed and fluid stops moving through it.

2) For some reason unknown to us the operators are intentionally leaving some or all gates partially open to allow this relatively small amount of water to get through. All of the above surface wear details would apply here also. I'm sure there are a few conspiracy theories as to why they might be doing that, if they are, such as using the minimal water flow to hide some surface issue on the main spillway etc etc, you can all run with that. There really isn't any good reason for the gates to be partially opened on purpose, there is no upside for that reasoning and it wouldn't be considered reasoning IMO, it'd be the opposite.

All we really know is the gates were not leaking before the test operation, now post operation they are and we are being told this all perfectly normal and expected.

So what IS normal? No leaks before, or now leaks after?
Both? lol, yeah sure.

Perhaps the leaks prior to operation were all clog sealed by various amounts of crud and debris, like pepper in a car's radiator, great. Now that they released the crud, the gates leak, also great.

All I can tell you with any certainty is this:
Wherever the "leaking" water is, wear is taking place. That wear is removing material and if left to continue, the size of the leaks is going to increase. The more fluid the leaks allow to flow? the faster that material removal will happen. 100 cfs removes more material than 10 cfs and 500 cfs removes more than 100 cfs.

Fluid pressure increasing by the lake rising also adds in, 20 psi fluid has a higher flow rate though the same size opening than 15 psi and 25 psi higher than 20, same laws apply.

There might only be a very small amount of wear to the gates, concrete, seals whatever surfaces, but it will never stop as long as fluid flow continues, it cannot stop.

Maybe everyone will get lucky and the possible crud seals will just happen naturally over time and the leaks will stop, or maybe we'll see the pepper barges deployed, we just don't know because all we get is STFU everything's fine, completely normal.

So we may just see the amount of water leaking through the gates increase, oh wait we have, grrreat.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 77517484


484,

GREAT POST! 5a

THANKS A LOT!

DO YOU HAVE ANYTHING MORE TO SAY?





GLP