Godlike Productions - Conspiracy Forum
Users Online Now: 957 (Who's On?)Visitors Today: 219,037
Pageviews Today: 330,978Threads Today: 56Posts Today: 1,621
06:15 AM


Rate this Thread

Absolute BS Crap Reasonable Nice Amazing
 

Volcanic Eruptions Increasing

 
By Jupiter
Offer Upgrade

User ID: 164778
Spain
04/12/2007 07:09 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
Etna erupts Wednesday:

[link to video.aol.com]
By Jupiter  (OP)

User ID: 164778
Spain
04/12/2007 07:15 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
Reunion Island erupting:

[link to video.aol.com]
By Jupiter  (OP)

User ID: 164778
Spain
04/12/2007 07:24 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
Tungurahua in Ecuador

[link to search.bbc.co.uk]
By Jupiter  (OP)

User ID: 164778
Spain
04/12/2007 07:26 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
Current volcano alerts page.

[link to www.intlvrc.org]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 221686
United States
04/12/2007 07:27 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
ahhh
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 96486
United States
04/12/2007 07:28 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
Volcanic Eruptions Increasing By Uranus
By Jupiter  (OP)

User ID: 164778
Spain
04/12/2007 07:28 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
Using the Smithsonian Volcano Research database and sampling every five years the following trend for eruptions is shown for the past 150 years.

2005 68
2000 67
1995 60
1990 53
1985 52
1980 65
1975 50
1970 54
1965 53
1960 57
1955 46
1950 48
1945 36
1940 45
1935 42
1930 37
1925 42
1920 37
1915 34
1910 41
1905 40
1900 34
1895 32
1890 38
1885 39
1880 30
1875 24
1870 24
1865 32
1860 32
1855 23
Zodeva

User ID: 221309
United States
04/12/2007 07:47 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
Etna erupts Wednesday:

[link to video.aol.com]
 Quoting: By Jupiter


Ya know? It's just a thang. Like anything else in life, shit happens. When it comes to cataclysmic events, you won't know it hits you, until it does.
chacao

User ID: 217164
Canada
04/12/2007 07:54 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
Wake me up when Yellowstone, blows (yawn)
killdamon

User ID: 221196
United States
04/12/2007 08:14 AM

Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
Yes they are. there are a good 150 currently erupting. the red triangles are volcanos . [link to visz.rsoe.hu] .
Just passing thru.
OG id 126286
NasTraDooMis
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 171724
United States
04/12/2007 08:20 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
Using the Smithsonian Volcano Research database and sampling every five years the following trend for eruptions is shown for the past 150 years.

2005 68
2000 67
1995 60
1990 53
1985 52
1980 65
1975 50
1970 54
1965 53
1960 57
1955 46
1950 48
1945 36
1940 45
1935 42
1930 37
1925 42
1920 37
1915 34
1910 41
1905 40
1900 34
1895 32
1890 38
1885 39
1880 30
1875 24
1870 24
1865 32
1860 32
1855 23
 Quoting: By Jupiter


Z-value, Yr, Number
2.002463448 2005 68
1.92215767 2000 67
1.360017219 1995 60
0.797876769 1990 53
0.71757099 1985 52
1.761546112 1980 65
0.556959433 1975 50
0.878182547 1970 54
0.797876769 1965 53
1.119099883 1960 57
0.235736318 1955 46
0.396347875 1950 48
-0.567321469 1945 36
0.155430539 1940 45
-0.085486797 1935 42
-0.48701569 1930 37
-0.085486797 1925 42
-0.48701569 1920 37
-0.727933026 1915 34
-0.165792575 1910 41
-0.246098354 1905 40
-0.727933026 1900 34
-0.888544583 1895 32
-0.406709911 1890 38
-0.326404133 1885 39
-1.04915614 1880 30
-1.530990812 1875 24
-1.530990812 1870 24
-0.888544583 1865 32
-0.888544583 1860 32
-1.611296591 1855 23

Year 2005 is statistically significantly different, p<.05

Trend Analysis:

Yr, Number
2035 69.54314516
2030 68.28225806
2025 67.02137097
2020 65.76048387
2015 64.49959677
2010 63.23870968

Assuming linear growth; if logistic growth then future years will see much higher predictions. If we use the last 20 years for trend, then:

Yr, Number
2035 96.8
2030 92.2
2025 87.6
2020 83
2015 78.4
2010 73.8

If between 150 year trend and last 20 year trend, then:

Yr, Number
2035 between 70 and 97 volcano eruptions
2030 between 68 and 92 volcano eruptions
2025 between 67 and 88 volcano eruptions
2020 between 66 and 84 volcano eruptions
2015 between 64 and 78 volcano eruptions
2010 between 63 and 74 volcano eruptions

All trends point to increased vulcanism in the next 30 years.

Year 2005 eruption frequency is statistically aberrant from the past 150 years, p < .05

Something is up...
edgar celadus nli
User ID: 222025
Latvia
04/12/2007 08:20 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 221027
United States
04/12/2007 08:22 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
Yes they are. there are a good 150 currently erupting. the red triangles are volcanos . [link to visz.rsoe.hu] .
 Quoting: killdamon


There are not 150 currently erupting. There are maybe 150 showing signs of activity but not all are erupting.

As for using every 5 year sampling, that's poor statistical analysis.
By Jupiter  (OP)

User ID: 164778
Spain
04/12/2007 08:35 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
Yes they are. there are a good 150 currently erupting. the red triangles are volcanos . [link to visz.rsoe.hu] .
 Quoting: killdamon


Thanks for the map.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 222150
Germany
04/12/2007 08:38 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing

 Quoting: edgar celadus nli 222025


damned

WHAT THE...
By Jupiter  (OP)

User ID: 164778
Spain
04/12/2007 08:40 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
Earthquakes and vulcanism linked?

[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Zodeva

User ID: 221309
United States
04/12/2007 08:41 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing

 Quoting: edgar celadus nli 222025


Kinda cool
By Jupiter  (OP)

User ID: 164778
Spain
04/12/2007 08:46 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
edgar celadus nli
User ID: 222025

Thank you Edgar a bit of levity amidst all the doom.
By Jupiter  (OP)

User ID: 164778
Spain
04/12/2007 08:53 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
Solomon Islands quake, volcanic?

"A visiting geologist from New Zealand, Garth MacIntyre, 49, said he believed a deep rumbling in the sea was caused by pressure between tectonic plates and volcanic activity, either an underwater volcano or a vent where magma was rising to the surface. Villagers have found large amounts of newly formed pumice - volcanic rock - on the shore."

[link to www.stuff.co.nz]
By Jupiter  (OP)

User ID: 164778
Spain
04/12/2007 09:06 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
Round up of current eruptions:

[link to www.volcanodiscovery.com]
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 214292
Australia
04/12/2007 09:16 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing



Kinda cool
 Quoting: Zodeva


Yeah Kinda cool but a trick never the less. Look up Chris Angel on You Tube he shows you how this is done.
edgar celadus
User ID: 222025
Latvia
04/12/2007 09:38 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
Kinda cool


Yeah Kinda cool but a trick never the less. Look up Chris Angel on You Tube he shows you how this is done.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 214292

Actually the mystery of David Blaine's levitation effect has never been authenticated nor solved still today. Chris angel on the other hand is much different and is just like any other magician looking for recognition with his artificial misdirection techniques.

The balducci effect where you raise one foot up in the air has no relation whatsoever to some of the stunts blaine performed. people think they have the answer, but they're ignorant to realize they don't.
By Jupiter  (OP)

User ID: 164778
Spain
04/12/2007 09:40 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
Trend Analysis:

Yr, Number
2035 69.54314516
2030 68.28225806
2025 67.02137097
2020 65.76048387
2015 64.49959677
2010 63.23870968

Assuming linear growth; if logistic growth then future years will see much higher predictions. If we use the last 20 years for trend, then:

Yr, Number
2035 96.8
2030 92.2
2025 87.6
2020 83
2015 78.4
2010 73.8

If between 150 year trend and last 20 year trend, then:

Yr, Number
2035 between 70 and 97 volcano eruptions
2030 between 68 and 92 volcano eruptions
2025 between 67 and 88 volcano eruptions
2020 between 66 and 84 volcano eruptions
2015 between 64 and 78 volcano eruptions
2010 between 63 and 74 volcano eruptions

All trends point to increased vulcanism in the next 30 years.

Year 2005 eruption frequency is statistically aberrant from the past 150 years, p < .05

Something is up...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 171724


Perhaps the progression is not linear. If one looks at the eruption totals for the years 1881, 1882, 1883, the respective totals are 26, 24, 44. 1883 being the year Krakatua erupted. This may tie in with the Transit of Venus.

Wikipedia Quote "Transits of Venus are among the rarest of predictable astronomical phenomena and currently occur in a pattern that repeats every 243 years, with pairs of transits eight years apart separated by long gaps of 121.5 years and 105.5 years. Before 2004, the last pair of transits were in December 1874 and December 1882. The first of a pair of transits of Venus in the beginning of the 21st century took place on June 8, 2004 (see Transit of Venus, 2004) and the next will be on June 6, 2012 (see Transit of Venus, 2012)."

My suggestion is that if the 2012 transit, second in the pair, boosts eruptions as occured after 1882 transit we might see a steep increase in activity.
Zodeva

User ID: 221309
United States
04/12/2007 09:53 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing



Kinda cool


Yeah Kinda cool but a trick never the less. Look up Chris Angel on You Tube he shows you how this is done.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 214292


Thanks for that. hf
By Jupiter  (OP)

User ID: 164778
Spain
04/12/2007 09:57 AM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
This thread is becoming schizophrenic.

Twinned with: [link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 164778
Spain
04/12/2007 02:14 PM
Report Abusive Post
Report Copyright Violation
Re: Volcanic Eruptions Increasing
What's levitation go to do with volcanos.