Tropical Storm Alberto: Landfall near Laguna Beach, FL, winds of 45 mph, pressure of 994 mb. Coastal flooding in Shell Point, FL!!!p17

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New rainfall record set in Charleston, National Weather Service says

A new rainfall record was set in Charleston, National Weather Service meteorologists said on Saturday.
Measurements taken shortly after noon showed 3.47 inches had fallen, according to a tweet by the Weather Service's Charleston office. The previous record for May 19 was 0.65 inches set in 1969.

And rain continued to come down.
Measurements taken 30 minutes later showed an additional 1.38 inches had fallen, bringing the total to 4.6 inches, the Weather Service said.

for Floridans, pray

Frrom the NWS in Melbourne.

Previous Discussion...

Tue-Sun...The Atlantic ridge axis will remain the dominant weather
feature with a moist south to southeast flow keeping rain chances
above normal (50 to 60 percent) most days supporting mainly daytime
showers and storms. The ridge axis is forecast to gradually shift
southward and weaken during mid to late week as a trough develops
over the Southeast US. A slight reduction in the deep moisture by
Wed will allow rain chances to decrease to 30-40 percent for most
areas. It will remain humid with max temps in the mid 80s.

Both GFS and ECMWF show a mid level trough developing over the
Gulf of Mexico late in the week. The GFS retrogrades a piece of
energy SW from the base of a departing shortwave trough off the US
east coast. The real difference is how each model handles lower
pressure at the surface. The ECMWF continues to show low pressure
developing directly underneath the upper low over the central Gulf
on Fri. This looks suspect as the best support for sfc low
pressure would be to the ascending (east) side of the upper low,
closer to the GFS solution. But both models show deep tropical
moisture overspreading the FL peninsula during the first part of
the upcoming holiday weekend which will prompt high rain chances
with a threat for heavy rain and localized flooding due to already
wet conditions.

Wow, I live in Tampa area and it's been rainy for days, and I knew something might be forming, but I didn't know was Harvey level, will be watching for sure!

That is a accumulative map over that last few days.

That is going all the way up to New England!!!..Florida looks the worst but it's a vast storm!!

Yes it's a forecast hour...

This is the wettest winter/spring on record in Mid TN. It's about to break out right about now. I swear it was 4 solid months of rain with few sunny days all winter and through until now. Grass and mushrooms grow overnight, the poison Ivy will be virulent, the mold and mildew is everywhere it is so horrible. I am planning my escape, as the Mosquitos this year are bound to be thick as thieves, unusually so, and TN has Zika and encephalitis already.

This is why people tolerate whatever they have to in California. I am sick of this shit. Central Northern California, in a nice treeless subdivision.

I have never seen a mosquito at my place in the last 25 years that I've lived here.

I only get mosquito bites when i travel to OR, WA, or ID.. Or the High Sierra...

Reporting in from Central Florida, here. We have had a crazy amount of rain since early last week. Not at all normal to be raining ALL DAY. Also it's a little too early, as normally the summer rains don't hit until June 1.

Very odd!

We were fixing to take the tops off our jeeps, then saw the forecast. Ugggh.

I live in Florida, I can keep you updated. Most likely no worries however.

And will continue all week! Stay safe!

We have mosquito swarms at my place, almost like running away from a herd of bees.

In Jacksonbille, its already been raining for days still only see a few little puddles here and there. Its been light but constant. If it was heavy that would be something to worry about.

Wow that's crazy, any idea what the wind might be?

Nice to see you posting again though Luis,

I return to my normal, weather, quakes and volcanos!

Excerpt from the Miami NWS Disco...

THURSDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND: The forecast as we end the week and head
into next weekend remains very uncertain as global models continue
to diverge in solutions. Both agree on the basic synoptic evolution,
with the Atlantic ridge breaking down as the persistent upper level
trough across the Gulf of Mexico digs further south, allowing some
type of tropical disturbance to lift north out of the Central
American gyre.

As always, the crux of the forecast is in the details. Where the
ECMWF keeps a stronger/longer lasting subtropical ridge influence,
leading to drier conditions, with rain chances increasing Friday
night into the weekend as the forecasted tropical disturbance moves
toward the central Gulf. The GFS however, keeps the ridge relatively
weaker, which allows for a faster moving disturbance in a more
northeasterly direction, though strength-wise it appears to be
suffering from some convective feedback.

For now, not too many changes with the ongoing forecast with rain
chances increasing once again late week. The potential for a return
to heavy rainfall will have to be watched.

A warmer atmosphere holds more H2O which contributes to the rainfall amounts.

I was waiting until June to put in a new lawn on my property. Wish I would have done it last week now.. You cannot do with a sprinkler what mother nature can do. Ugh! My timing is always off.

Thanks for the updates and the commitment to good threads. I have family in S.E. and friends who lost a home recently due to the Hawaii eruptions.