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Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)

 
Rose8

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08/02/2018 03:48 PM

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Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
The 7th, 8th, 9th, 10th are going to be very bad days ahead for Hawaii...and not just big island.

Rev Woo-Woo...you better gear up love...

siren2 siren2 siren2 siren2 siren2

What I'm showing is that the 9th is when it really hits Big Island...Hilo, LERZ, dropping around 8" of rain onto Fissure 8. Phreatic reaction much? Winds topping around 100mph around Hilo and the North entry areas.

The 9th through 10th, we're looking at around 6" (15.24cm) the first day and TWENTY inches (50.8cm) on the tenth.

First, we have massive inundation on Fissure 8. Also massive water weight on the already unstable slump. Next, we have serious flash flooding on Maui which already dealt with that a few months ago from just 12". Now closer to 25" coming.

Here are the links:

Typhoon location the 8th:
[link to imgur.com (secure)]

Typhoon location the 9th:
[link to imgur.com (secure)]
[link to imgur.com (secure)]

Precipitation on the islands:
[link to imgur.com (secure)]
[link to imgur.com (secure)]
[link to imgur.com (secure)]

This is very grim.

siren2 siren2 siren2 siren2 siren2

Last Edited by Rose8 on 08/09/2018 12:05 PM
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FrankSki

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08/02/2018 03:50 PM
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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
The 7th, 8th, 9th, 10th are going to be very bad days ahead for Hawaii...and not just big island.

Rev Woo-Woo...you better gear up love...

siren2 siren2 siren2 siren2 siren2

What I'm showing is that the 9th is when it really hits Big Island...Hilo, LERZ, dropping around 8" of rain onto Fissure 8. Phreatic reaction much? Winds topping around 100mph around Hilo and the North entry areas.

The 9th through 10th, we're looking at around 6" (15.24cm) the first day and TWENTY inches (50.8cm) on the tenth.

First, we have massive inundation on Fissure 8. Also massive water weight on the already unstable slump. Next, we have serious flash flooding on Maui which already dealt with that a few months ago from just 12". Now closer to 25" coming.

Here are the links:

Typhoon location the 8th:
[link to imgur.com (secure)]

Typhoon location the 9th:
[link to imgur.com (secure)]
[link to imgur.com (secure)]

Precipitation on the islands:
[link to imgur.com (secure)]
[link to imgur.com (secure)]
[link to imgur.com (secure)]

This is very grim.

siren2 siren2 siren2 siren2 siren2
 Quoting: Rose8


that's allot of water weight to add. for every action there is an equal and opposite reaction. Hawaii could be in some trouble.
Nickadimus

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08/02/2018 03:52 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
The Big Kahuna's just can't catch a break can they?

Stuk

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Pure Life-Get it on...
Rose8  (OP)

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08/02/2018 03:53 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
The Big Kahuna's just can't catch a break can they?

Stuk

Nick®
 Quoting: Nickadimus


No...doesn't seem like it.
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ChipModerator
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08/02/2018 03:53 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
A lava typhoon!

ahh

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Rose8  (OP)

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08/02/2018 03:54 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)


that's allot of water weight to add. for every action there is an equal and opposite reaction. Hawaii could be in some trouble.




ROSE8:
More concerned with water entering Fissure 8. Well...maybe equally concerned. Ratio 2:3.
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Von Stauffenberg

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08/02/2018 03:58 PM
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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
Bookmarked for the Hall of FAILs
Prayandprepare000

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08/02/2018 03:59 PM
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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
I know heavy rain causes landslides on normal dirt, but does it do that in hawaii? Any history of rock slides like hilina with rain?

Btw thanks Rose.
Rose8  (OP)

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08/02/2018 04:01 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
 Quoting: Rose8


that's allot of water weight to add. for every action there is an equal and opposite reaction. Hawaii could be in some trouble.




ROSE8:
More concerned with water entering Fissure 8. Well...maybe equally concerned. Ratio 2:3.


I looked at the settings. That rain amount is from today until the 10th. The accumulations on the day the typhoon hits are not as dire as I thought. Apologies.

However, a few days after, there is still another bigger Typhoon heading the same direction. And maybe another smaller one behind that.
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Rose8  (OP)

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08/02/2018 04:02 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
Bookmarked for the Hall of FAILs
 Quoting: Von Stauffenberg


[link to www.ventusky.com (secure)]

...it's projected already on Ventusky....soooo.

And if nothing happens regarding the lava and the slump or the flashfloody areas, all the better.
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Paranoiaaaaa

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08/02/2018 04:05 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
Bad news indeed! I karma pinned it for you.
Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get you.
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Rose8  (OP)

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08/02/2018 04:07 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
Bad news indeed! I karma pinned it for you.
 Quoting: Paranoiaaaaa


Thanks dear <3
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catnahalf
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08/02/2018 04:09 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
bump
NOLAangel

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08/02/2018 04:15 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
Bookmarked for the Hall of FAILs
 Quoting: Von Stauffenberg


[link to www.ventusky.com (secure)]

...it's projected already on Ventusky....soooo.

And if nothing happens regarding the lava and the slump or the flashfloody areas, all the better.
 Quoting: Rose8


That is the GFS model that they are using. The GFS, a week out, is sometimes good at sniffing things out and sometimes it really blows the forecast.

But as you said, if nothing happens, then all the better.

5stars for alerting people to the possibility.
Life is forever changing. Prepare and beware.
Rose8  (OP)

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08/02/2018 04:17 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
Bookmarked for the Hall of FAILs
 Quoting: Von Stauffenberg


[link to www.ventusky.com (secure)]

...it's projected already on Ventusky....soooo.

And if nothing happens regarding the lava and the slump or the flashfloody areas, all the better.
 Quoting: Rose8


That is the GFS model that they are using. The GFS, a week out, is sometimes good at sniffing things out and sometimes it really blows the forecast.

But as you said, if nothing happens, then all the better.

5stars for alerting people to the possibility.
 Quoting: NOLAangel


We will keep an eye out for changes in the model on the daily. It's still a week out.
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HO LEE FUKK

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08/02/2018 04:17 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
A lava typhoon!

ahh
 Quoting: Chip



siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2wtfdoomscreamsfanahhhdrevil
skeedsup

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08/02/2018 04:20 PM
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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
Models I have seen project it to barely miss...I noticed long term ventusky models are unreliable. However, short term models from that site seem to be more accurate. We'll see things could change...August is going to be very wild indeed.
skeedsup
Superkicker

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08/02/2018 04:42 PM
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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
Start looking for square radar signatures to know where it's being steered like this image capture 1000 miles away from P.R. before Maria hit right there: : [link to imgur.com (secure)]
Superkicker
Rose8  (OP)

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08/02/2018 04:45 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
Start looking for square radar signatures to know where it's being steered like this image capture 1000 miles away from P.R. before Maria hit right there: : [link to imgur.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Superkicker


What do you mean by square radar signatures. How does that show direction though? Educate me. ;)
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redhed6971

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08/02/2018 04:56 PM
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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
If he is talking about Hector OP is soo wrong and Ventusky future casts are reckless and unscientific.

[link to tropic.ssec.wisc.edu]




[link to tropic.ssec.wisc.edu]






[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]


I think were done here.

Last Edited by redhed6971 on 08/02/2018 04:56 PM
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08/02/2018 04:57 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
A lava typhoon!

ahh
 Quoting: Chip


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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
shitstormbrewin
"I have five sinks, two with a view."
Rose8  (OP)

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08/02/2018 05:00 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
If he is talking about Hector OP is soo wrong and Ventusky future casts are reckless and unscientific.

[link to tropic.ssec.wisc.edu]




[link to tropic.ssec.wisc.edu]






[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]


I think were done here.
 Quoting: redhed6971


I don't fekking think so.
[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]

That little mappy map you posted only goes to the 7th. And the trajectory shows it heading straight for Hawaii.

YOU are reckless and misleading.
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Rose8  (OP)

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08/02/2018 05:02 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
If he is talking about Hector OP is soo wrong and Ventusky future casts are reckless and unscientific.

[link to tropic.ssec.wisc.edu]




[link to tropic.ssec.wisc.edu]






[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]


I think were done here.
 Quoting: redhed6971


I don't fekking think so.
[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]

That little mappy map you posted only goes to the 7th. And the trajectory shows it heading straight for Hawaii.

YOU are reckless and misleading.
 Quoting: Rose8



142
WTPZ45 KNHC 022041
TCDEP5

Hurricane Hector Discussion Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP102018
200 PM PDT Thu Aug 02 2018

Hector is a small but powerful hurricane this afternoon. Visible
GOES-15 data show that it has a 10 n mi wide eye, surrounded by a
increasingly symmetric area of deep convection. The latest
satellite estimates at 18 UTC were between 90 kt and 95 kt, and
since the presentation has continued to improve during the past few
hours, the initial wind speed is set to 95 kt.

Hector has intensified an impressive 50 kt over the past 24 hours-
remarkable since the environment did not seem particularly
favorable even 12 hours ago. What is perplexing about this forecast
is that, despite all of the global models showing a more conducive
environment during the next day or two, none of the regional
hurricane models show intensification, and in fact they all show
weakening. This would be a dramatic change, which seems pretty
unlikely given the current state of things. It makes the most sense
to show continuing strengthening, albeit at a reduced rate since the
SSTs do moderate, in line with the SHIPS & LGEM models. The new
forecast has a peak intensity at 72 hours when SSTs are the warmest
with the lowest environmental shear. After that time, water
temperatures and mid-level humidites should gradually decrease,
which will probably promote some weakening. Obviously this is a low
confidence forecast, and I wouldn't be surprised if it had to be
raised in the short term later tonight.

Hector continues on course, moving westward at 12 kt. The track
forecast for the next 3 days is of high confidence, since the
guidance is in good agreement and a large subtropical ridge is
providing a well-defined steering current. Complications arise in
the long range due to the potential interaction of Hector with a
mid-level trough in the Central Pacific. The latest models show
Hector moving into a weakness in the ridge associated with the
trough, causing a more west-northwestward motion earlier in the
forecast. This is a fairly subtle change but has led to most of
the guidance trending to the north. The official forecast is
shifted in that direction, but remains on the southwest side of the
guidance envelope, close to the corrected-consensus models.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 02/2100Z 14.1N 125.8W 95 KT 110 MPH
12H 03/0600Z 14.0N 127.6W 100 KT 115 MPH
24H 03/1800Z 13.9N 129.8W 105 KT 120 MPH
36H 04/0600Z 13.9N 132.0W 105 KT 120 MPH
48H 04/1800Z 13.8N 134.3W 105 KT 120 MPH
72H 05/1800Z 13.6N 139.0W 115 KT 130 MPH
96H 06/1800Z 14.5N 144.0W 110 KT 125 MPH
120H 07/1800Z 15.5N 149.0W 105 KT 120 MPH
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08/02/2018 05:19 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
A lava typhoon!

ahh
 Quoting: Chip


glassesoff
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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
bumping to follow
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08/02/2018 05:41 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
bump
Reminds me to reach out to my goddaughter who lives in Lelani Estates. She's been couch surfing since displacement.

Damn, the islands need a break from Mother Nature here.
And thought struggles against the results, trying to avoid those unpleasant results while keeping on with that way of thinking. That is what I call 'sustained incoherence.' ...David Bohm
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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
It’s showing most of the rain hitting Waimea and the Kona side. What is most troublesome for Hilo will be the winds. Usually trade winds favor Hilo, this will reverse the usual trade winds.

The 9th is not a day to be outside.
4doggies

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08/02/2018 06:03 PM
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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
Bad news indeed! I karma pinned it for you.
 Quoting: Paranoiaaaaa


Look on the bright side. If the whole place sinks, its 3 less electoral votes for the deep state!
Timur2020

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08/02/2018 06:09 PM

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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
Oof.
Whether or not the slump gives, what about the instant floods of acid rain? And if its not just what was already up there, will it fry the skin off you when that water hits fissure 8 and makes a fast and violent reaction? Like hurling tankers of fuming strong acid into a wet whirlwind.
They will get azz in those tunnels they have now.

To add to that joy, kiluea is set to go off like a bomb throwing bombs out 7 miles. What will haopen first? Will one trigger the other?
"In it for the money, but so far just laughs"
Superkicker

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08/02/2018 06:15 PM
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Re: Hawaii Hurricane Hector is OVER - (pg 6)
Start looking for square radar signatures to know where it's being steered like this image capture 1000 miles away from P.R. before Maria hit right there: : [link to imgur.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Superkicker


What do you mean by square radar signatures. How does that show direction though? Educate me. ;)
 Quoting: Rose8


When HAARP targets an area the square or rectangle signatures are fairly obvious. It is HAARP burning an ionospheric hole to steer the storm in that direction. Much like the shape of the array/photos of the installation in Gankona, AK.
Superkicker