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FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262

 
joinca

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09/14/2018 12:03 AM

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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Capital Weather Gang @capitalweather

UPDATE: Storm surge of 10 FEET observed in Morehead City - this is a massive rise in ocean water above normally dry land. There are likely to be some devastating scenes in the morning from this.

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson
HO LEE FUKK

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09/14/2018 12:05 AM

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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Capital Weather Gang @capitalweather

UPDATE: Storm surge of 10 FEET observed in Morehead City - this is a massive rise in ocean water above normally dry land. There are likely to be some devastating scenes in the morning from this.

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: joinca


siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2siren2wtfdoomscreamsfanahhhdrevil
doomalert5
JustTheFactsPlease

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09/14/2018 12:06 AM
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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
IF anyone cares, she is now a Cat 1 storm.

LOTS of dry air now and if she hasn't made landfall yet, it looks like it will be sooner rather than later.

[link to www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov (secure)]

Also, is she continues at the pace and doesn't stall the surge and rain totals won't be near what has been forecast....keeping fingers crossed.

Last Edited by JustTheFactsPlease on 09/14/2018 12:09 AM
JustTheFactsPlease
Catalyst

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09/14/2018 12:07 AM

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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Capital Weather Gang @capitalweather

UPDATE: Storm surge of 10 FEET observed in Morehead City - this is a massive rise in ocean water above normally dry land. There are likely to be some devastating scenes in the morning from this.

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: joinca


But Florence is still going to be there in the morning!

Last Edited by Catalyst on 09/14/2018 12:08 AM
fluffycat

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09/14/2018 12:09 AM
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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
IF anyone cares, she is now a Cat 1 storm.
 Quoting: JustTheFactsPlease


Still quite a blow job.
In Florida, not Canada.
nutmeg

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09/14/2018 12:10 AM

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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Capital Weather Gang @capitalweather

UPDATE: Storm surge of 10 FEET observed in Morehead City - this is a massive rise in ocean water above normally dry land. There are likely to be some devastating scenes in the morning from this.

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: joinca


TV Weather Channel said they've had to rescue people already.
JustTheFactsPlease

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09/14/2018 12:11 AM
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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Capital Weather Gang @capitalweather

UPDATE: Storm surge of 10 FEET observed in Morehead City - this is a massive rise in ocean water above normally dry land. There are likely to be some devastating scenes in the morning from this.

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: joinca


But Florence is still going to be there in the morning!
 Quoting: Catalyst


Shes already there...looks as if her outer bands are losing their punch...all good news, if it holds.
JustTheFactsPlease
joinca

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09/14/2018 12:12 AM

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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Alex Lamers @AlexJLamers

This is a 36 hour forecast loop from the 8 PM HRRR model. Just look at how slow that thing moves. And how those bands to the east just pummel the same areas for hours and hours. Not good.

video
[link to twitter.com (secure)]
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson
JustTheFactsPlease

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09/14/2018 12:14 AM
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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Alex Lamers @AlexJLamers

This is a 36 hour forecast loop from the 8 PM HRRR model. Just look at how slow that thing moves. And how those bands to the east just pummel the same areas for hours and hours. Not good.

video
[link to twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: joinca


That model is out the window! Folks, she is already coming on shore or close to it....she is losing her power, it appears pretty rapidly with what I'm looking at. This is fantastic news, if it holds.

Last Edited by JustTheFactsPlease on 09/14/2018 12:15 AM
JustTheFactsPlease
joinca

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09/14/2018 12:20 AM

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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
WECT News @wectnews

All emergency response operations suspended in Carolina Beach since winds have exceeded 50 mph.

[link to twitter.com (secure)]
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson
Catalyst

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09/14/2018 12:20 AM

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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Alex Lamers @AlexJLamers

This is a 36 hour forecast loop from the 8 PM HRRR model. Just look at how slow that thing moves. And how those bands to the east just pummel the same areas for hours and hours. Not good.

video
[link to twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: joinca


That model is out the window! Folks, she is already coming on shore or close to it....she is losing her power, it appears pretty rapidly with what I'm looking at. This is fantastic news, if it holds.
 Quoting: JustTheFactsPlease


It's supposed to lose power as it makes landfall. Its still going to be dumping rain and causing massive flooding.
Riff-Raff

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09/14/2018 12:21 AM

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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
I just took a quick drive around downtown Wilmington including across the drawbridge, and with the eye wall only 40 miles away, this is tropical storm stuff with some hurricane gusts. Might get more intense as she l the eye wall comes across. Damage survey is not going to be as difficult as I'd planned.
Risking my life for people I hate for reasons I don't understand.
JustTheFactsPlease

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09/14/2018 12:24 AM
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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Observations From Aircraft Reconnaissance


Radar imagery and data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter flight indicate that Florence has an inner eye that is open on the east side, and a secondary wind maximum that has already begun to spread inland across southeastern North Carolina.

The highest flight-level wind (102 kt) was actually measured within the outer band that is moving onshore in the Wilmington area.

However, the highest SFMR-measured wind was 73 kt, and the highest land observation so far was a sustained wind of 72 kt at Cape Lookout,North Carolina.
On top of that, NOAA Doppler radar velocities have been running around 100 kt at about 5,000 feet. All of these data
support reducing the initial intensity to 80 kt, but based on the higher flight-level winds, the gust factor is being set a little higher than is typical for an 80-kt hurricane.
JustTheFactsPlease
JustTheFactsPlease

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09/14/2018 12:25 AM
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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Alex Lamers @AlexJLamers

This is a 36 hour forecast loop from the 8 PM HRRR model. Just look at how slow that thing moves. And how those bands to the east just pummel the same areas for hours and hours. Not good.

video
[link to twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: joinca


That model is out the window! Folks, she is already coming on shore or close to it....she is losing her power, it appears pretty rapidly with what I'm looking at. This is fantastic news, if it holds.
 Quoting: JustTheFactsPlease


It's supposed to lose power as it makes landfall. Its still going to be dumping rain and causing massive flooding.
 Quoting: Catalyst


If you watch your model run and then watch what is actually taking place as we speak you will clearly see the model is NOT being followed.
JustTheFactsPlease
nutmeg

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09/14/2018 12:25 AM

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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
We are going to stop seeing Jeff's coverage when the cell towers start coming down or losing power.

I hope he can find service to upload often.
 Quoting: CleverCreator

He needs a SAT Phone like Mrs. Louis has (she can ignore my calls anywhere in the world with it.)
 Quoting: Louis in Richmond


chuckle
joinca

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09/14/2018 12:31 AM

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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Hurricane Hack: Making a phone charger using a battery

[link to www.foxla.com]
"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not." - "I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them." - "A Country with no Border, is not a country" -- Thomas Jefferson
JustTheFactsPlease

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09/14/2018 12:32 AM
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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Here are the current Surge projections from the NWC

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]

and here is what is actually happening in real time;

[link to waterdata.usgs.gov (secure)]
JustTheFactsPlease
King of Karaoke
I strike up a chord and I take u away

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09/14/2018 12:39 AM

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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Observations From Aircraft Reconnaissance


Radar imagery and data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter flight indicate that Florence has an inner eye that is open on the east side, and a secondary wind maximum that has already begun to spread inland across southeastern North Carolina.

The highest flight-level wind (102 kt) was actually measured within the outer band that is moving onshore in the Wilmington area.

However, the highest SFMR-measured wind was 73 kt, and the highest land observation so far was a sustained wind of 72 kt at Cape Lookout,North Carolina.
On top of that, NOAA Doppler radar velocities have been running around 100 kt at about 5,000 feet. All of these data
support reducing the initial intensity to 80 kt, but based on the higher flight-level winds, the gust factor is being set a little higher than is typical for an 80-kt hurricane.
 Quoting: JustTheFactsPlease
ILYS-dude

Last Edited by King of Karaoke on 09/14/2018 12:40 AM
I'm a driver, I'm a winner. Things are going to change, I can feel it.
fluffycat

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09/14/2018 12:48 AM
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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Hurricane Hack: Making a phone charger using a battery

[link to www.foxla.com]
 Quoting: joinca


That's pretty fuckin' nifty, since the car charger has the necessary DC regulator to step higher voltage down to 5V needed to charge a USB device.
In Florida, not Canada.
MaximusRex

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09/14/2018 01:11 AM

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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Alex Lamers @AlexJLamers

This is a 36 hour forecast loop from the 8 PM HRRR model. Just look at how slow that thing moves. And how those bands to the east just pummel the same areas for hours and hours. Not good.

video
[link to twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: joinca


That model is out the window! Folks, she is already coming on shore or close to it....she is losing her power, it appears pretty rapidly with what I'm looking at. This is fantastic news, if it holds.
 Quoting: JustTheFactsPlease


This is incorrect. The storm is still nearly as deep as 2 days ago. Understand a 950ish mb storm is typically cat 3 to 4. The storms energy has transitioned to that of a nor Easter like Sandy. Weaker peak winds but spread over an area 2 or 3 times the size of a normal hurricane. The result can be storm surge as bad as a cat4.. but now spread over a long duration. There is absolutely nothing to minimize about this considering this will be significantly worse than Matthew and floyd.
gabrielcheckingin

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09/14/2018 01:19 AM
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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
No way is this going to live up to what it was advertised as.
Rayelle

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09/14/2018 01:22 AM

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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
How are the hog farms doing? I hope they have those animals in barns.
I saw a picture of what happened the last time there was flooding. (shudder)
AmericanSpyglass

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09/14/2018 01:26 AM

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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Alex Lamers @AlexJLamers

This is a 36 hour forecast loop from the 8 PM HRRR model. Just look at how slow that thing moves. And how those bands to the east just pummel the same areas for hours and hours. Not good.

video
[link to twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: joinca


That model is out the window! Folks, she is already coming on shore or close to it....she is losing her power, it appears pretty rapidly with what I'm looking at. This is fantastic news, if it holds.
 Quoting: JustTheFactsPlease


This is incorrect. The storm is still nearly as deep as 2 days ago. Understand a 950ish mb storm is typically cat 3 to 4. The storms energy has transitioned to that of a nor Easter like Sandy. Weaker peak winds but spread over an area 2 or 3 times the size of a normal hurricane. The result can be storm surge as bad as a cat4.. but now spread over a long duration. There is absolutely nothing to minimize about this considering this will be significantly worse than Matthew and floyd.
 Quoting: MaximusRex


hesright
BBWPrincessMary

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09/14/2018 01:30 AM
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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
IF anyone cares, she is now a Cat 1 storm.

LOTS of dry air now and if she hasn't made landfall yet, it looks like it will be sooner rather than later.

[link to www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov (secure)]

Also, is she continues at the pace and doesn't stall the surge and rain totals won't be near what has been forecast....keeping fingers crossed.
 Quoting: JustTheFactsPlease


I doubt that. one town in NC already has 13 inches of rain. The storm is slowing. The wind is nothing now. It's still going to keep raining an storm surge is so bad, because of the size it's been.
BBWPrincessMary
Riff-Raff

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09/14/2018 01:32 AM

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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Eye wall getting close...

[link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)]
Risking my life for people I hate for reasons I don't understand.
Dustybunny

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09/14/2018 01:32 AM

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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Guess it's a nothing burger for charleston cause we still havent seen a drop of rain or wind over 15 mph. Glad it didnt double back down the coast like it was supposed to.
Dustybunny
King of Karaoke
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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Mellow on cams. Water tonight will be really bad though.
I'm a driver, I'm a winner. Things are going to change, I can feel it.
BBWPrincessMary

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09/14/2018 02:00 AM
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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Mellow on cams. Water tonight will be really bad though.
 Quoting: King of Karaoke


storm surges are going to be bad with flooding for sure. Forget wind. Storm is now moving westward with an official WNW movement on the 2pm EST advisory, but on radar it seems to be moving dead west. If it stays that way, Wilmington is going to take a direct hit.
BBWPrincessMary
Catalyst

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09/14/2018 02:39 AM

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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Time to rest, while the hurricane doesn't. When I wake up tomorrow, it's still going to be there!

Hang on

-Issued Forth-

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09/14/2018 03:19 AM
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Re: FLORENCE: 32 DEATHS NOW! Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding!!!p262
Eye wall getting close...

[link to mobile.twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Riff-Raff