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HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265

 
NewGeneration2019

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09/22/2018 07:47 PM
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
GFS is showing an incredible size for the storm which is due to develop from the remnants of Florence.

[link to imgur.com (secure)]


New storm, according to the model:
[link to www.tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]

[link to www.tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]

for comparison, here's roughly what the size of Florence was: [link to imgur.com (secure)]


glassesoff


GFS is just drunk, hopefully... otherwise, big danger lies ahead...

Last Edited by NewGeneration2019 on 09/22/2018 07:57 PM
Brianless Moran Shill PHD

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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Some things that may be of interest...

Project HAARP
Project HAMMER
Project SMACC

Last Edited by Brianless Moran Shill PHD on 09/22/2018 08:23 PM
"Don't be shilly"
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Dilemna.
4 people in the JFK limo.
Cap'n Crunch.
Risky Raybans.
Moonraker Braces.
Houston we have a problem.
If you build it, they will come.
Solid black A-Team van with red stripe.
Depends.
Sinbad Shazaam.
The lion will lay down with the Lamb.
Wineskins not glasses.
(and many many many more)
CleverCreator

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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
I feel so bad for the East Coast. Even normal rain storms are gonna make things worse.
See the good. Prepare for the bad. And enjoy right now.
Deplorably Charlotte
EAS-tard

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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
GFS is showing an incredible size for the storm which is due to develop from the remnants of Florence.

[link to imgur.com (secure)]


New storm, according to the model:
[link to www.tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]

[link to www.tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]

for comparison, here's roughly what the size of Florence was: [link to imgur.com (secure)]


glassesoff


GFS is just drunk, hopefully... otherwise, big danger lies ahead...
 Quoting: NewGeneration2019


My god that thing is massive
Tropical tidbits...how reliable?
B. Franklin:
"A republic, if you can keep it."

I walked away in 2014

Ephesians 6:12
For our struggle is not against flesh and blood, but against the rulers, against the authorities, against the powers of this dark world and against the spiritual forces of evil in the heavenly realms.
Luisport  (OP)

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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265

@WeatherFlowCHAS
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Wow! I-40 receded near Wilmington. This is what is left. Pics by @NCDOT employee Jeff Garrett.
[link to twitter.com (secure)]
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Bret • a minute ago
A slight update:

Still not able to get in/near the house. But they will let you in the area if you’re supervised and have a home there. We now know that the car fared miraculously better than we thought, as the driver’s side window being smashed was the only damage apart from mud-stains whipped against it from the wind. No scratches. No dents. Apparently taking the vehicle into our parking instead of the usual parking it in the street out front was a wicked choice. I just decided to do that because I knew I wouldn’t be using it the next day. Every car parked out front instead of where ours was, was either damaged or destroyed.

The houses are boarded up however, construction crews and police are working round the clock. I know the shed is gone, the upstairs windows are gone but the bay window and front door survived. None of the several trees out front of all the houses did, they’re either on cars or yards and/or the street.

Since we’re in old townhouses, we fared way better than the small apartment buildings that were gutted in most cases and had walls removed and rooftops stripped.

Might not be able to go back in or have power until October. I’m not sure. Keeping track of every update I can.
HempWillSaveTheWorld

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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Bret • a minute ago
A slight update:

Still not able to get in/near the house. But they will let you in the area if you’re supervised and have a home there. We now know that the car fared miraculously better than we thought, as the driver’s side window being smashed was the only damage apart from mud-stains whipped against it from the wind. No scratches. No dents. Apparently taking the vehicle into our parking instead of the usual parking it in the street out front was a wicked choice. I just decided to do that because I knew I wouldn’t be using it the next day. Every car parked out front instead of where ours was, was either damaged or destroyed.

The houses are boarded up however, construction crews and police are working round the clock. I know the shed is gone, the upstairs windows are gone but the bay window and front door survived. None of the several trees out front of all the houses did, they’re either on cars or yards and/or the street.

Since we’re in old townhouses, we fared way better than the small apartment buildings that were gutted in most cases and had walls removed and rooftops stripped.

Might not be able to go back in or have power until October. I’m not sure. Keeping track of every update I can.
 Quoting: Luisport


Fuck dude
HempWillSaveTheWorld
NewGeneration2019

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09/23/2018 03:41 PM
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
My god that thing is massive
Tropical tidbits...how reliable?
 Quoting: Deplorably Charlotte


TT is just a website that hosts many of the latest weather model outputs. The GFS model, along with a couple others, are considered the most reliable of the models I think. hf

Last Edited by NewGeneration2019 on 09/23/2018 03:42 PM
NewGeneration2019

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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Here's subtropical storm Leslie earlier today(born from the remnants of Florence):

[link to www.tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]


And here's where the Euro model has her at in TEN days time:

[link to www.tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]

relatively speaking, it's very close to the same position... there are already some suggesting storm Leslie could eventually end up being the longest lived Atlantic tropical cyclone on record.

hmm

Last Edited by NewGeneration2019 on 09/23/2018 04:33 PM
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265

@hurrtrackerapp
2 minHá 2 minutos
Mais
Invest #98L may develop into a tropical depression or storm early-week as it takes a turn to the north and west, possibly making landfall on the Outer Banks midweek. Gusty winds and showers will be the main risks, regardless.
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Mike's Weather Page
19 hours ago

I-40 receded near Wilmington and check out what was left behind! Pic by NCDOT.

[link to scontent-lht6-1.xx.fbcdn.net (secure)]
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
[link to www.tropicaltidbits.com (secure)]
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
620
WTNT63 KNHC 232034
TCUAT3

Subtropical Storm Leslie Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
500 PM AST Sun Sep 23 2018

...WARNING...
Header information (above) was obtained from
the last official forecast file. Check the
header block carefully, especially the
system status and the time-date line.
...WARNING...

!****** START OF TCU EXAMPLE ******!

Tropical Storm Cristobal Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042014
620 AM AST Sun Aug 24 2014

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...

NOAA and Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft data indicate
that the depression has strengthened to Tropical Storm Cristobal.
The maximum winds are estimated to be 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts.

SUMMARY OF 620 AM AST...1020 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.9N 73.3W
ABOUT 40 MI...60 KM NNW OF MAYAGUANA ISLAND
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM ESE OF LONG ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Brown
NewGeneration2019

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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265

@BigJoeBastardi
2h2 hours ago

Euro on Leslie develops "perfect storm" scenario as new non tropical feature dives into Leslie. If it is declassified it will then come back stronger and is going to be around for a while, perhaps under another name if NHC decides to kill it first,
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265

@BigJoeBastardi
2h2 hours ago

Euro on Leslie develops "perfect storm" scenario as new non tropical feature dives into Leslie. If it is declassified it will then come back stronger and is going to be around for a while, perhaps under another name if NHC decides to kill it first,

 Quoting: NewGeneration2019


The oof bump.

I wonder how the nuke plant is fairing.

And how many roads were washed out from the flooding.

And I would love to see the tracking numbers on the number of road failures over the next few months.
See the good. Prepare for the bad. And enjoy right now.
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
These fish don't look too happy:

[link to www.wect.com]

Grey fish. Look like they fell at Gettysburghiding

Here is one for the religious folk:

[link to www.wbtw.com (secure)]

>Scotty and Tara boated down the Waccamaw River and through flooded streets - “normally you’d be driving a car right where we are,” he noted along the way - to pray. However, they didn't pray for themselves.

Last Edited by Asmodée on 09/24/2018 01:40 AM
Crowley rhymes with "owl fleas"
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265

@hurrtrackerapp
3 minHá 3 minutos
Mais
Invest #98L how has a 40% chance of development within the next 5 days. The Outer Banks may be impacted with gusty winds and showers midweek as a tropical depression or storm potentially forms.
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265

@SCEMD
Seguir Seguir @SCEMD
Mais
Catastrophic #flooding is happening right now in the Pee Dee region. SCDOT crews are shoring up major roads as best they can. Now is not the time to be distracted by what roads may be open and what roads may be closed... we don’t know and won’t know until they flood. #sctweets
[link to twitter.com (secure)]



@SCEMD
Seguir Seguir @SCEMD
Mais
Limit travel in Horry and Georgetown counties over the next few days due to ongoing severe flooding. #Florence
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
NWS Eastern Region @NWSEastern
Updated listing of confirmed tornadoes during Hurricane Florence. The total is now up to 22 confirmed tornadoes. It is possible that a few more tornadoes could be confirmed as additional storm surveys are completed.

diagram
[link to twitter.com (secure)]

wow
 Quoting: joinca
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Kayla Sanders • 4 minutes ago
The state of North Carolina has received significant attention from the devastating and epic rainfall in Hurricane Florence's wake. And rightly so. However, parts of the upper midwest along with many areas of the lonestar state have also racked up precipitation amounts in excess of 400% to 500% of their 30 day average outputs...
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265

@hurrtrackerapp
Seguir Seguir @hurrtrackerapp
Mais
If Invest #98L were to develop, it would have to do it today before it interacts with the Outer Banks by tonight and environmental conditions become non-conducive.
[link to twitter.com (secure)]
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265

@hurrtrackerapp
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Mais
If Invest #98L were to develop, it would have to do it today before it interacts with the Outer Banks by tonight and environmental conditions become non-conducive.
[link to twitter.com (secure)]

 Quoting: Luisport


Morning Luis

pansies
LunaFlora
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265

@hurrtrackerapp
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Mais
If Invest #98L were to develop, it would have to do it today before it interacts with the Outer Banks by tonight and environmental conditions become non-conducive.
[link to twitter.com (secure)]

 Quoting: Luisport


Morning Luis

pansies
 Quoting: LunaFlora


Good Morning everyone! hf
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265

@hurrtrackerapp
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If Invest #98L were to develop, it would have to do it today before it interacts with the Outer Banks by tonight and environmental conditions become non-conducive.
[link to twitter.com (secure)]

 Quoting: Luisport


Morning Luis

pansies
 Quoting: LunaFlora


Good Morning everyone! hf
 Quoting: Luisport


Good Morning! Looks like everything is quieting down finally. I wouldnt be surprised if that piece of energy from Florence turns into a depression, but that is about it. Hopefully this is the point the hurricane season winds down for the year-- but as we know there is a second meteorological peak around the second week of October.
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265

@hurrtrackerapp
Seguir Seguir @hurrtrackerapp
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If Invest #98L were to develop, it would have to do it today before it interacts with the Outer Banks by tonight and environmental conditions become non-conducive.
[link to twitter.com (secure)]

 Quoting: Luisport


Morning Luis

pansies
 Quoting: LunaFlora


Good Morning everyone! hf
 Quoting: Luisport


Good Morning! Looks like everything is quieting down finally. I wouldnt be surprised if that piece of energy from Florence turns into a depression, but that is about it. Hopefully this is the point the hurricane season winds down for the year-- but as we know there is a second meteorological peak around the second week of October.
 Quoting: MaximusRex


No it's not my friend, look at this: [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]
MaximusRex

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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
...


Morning Luis

pansies
 Quoting: LunaFlora


Good Morning everyone! hf
 Quoting: Luisport


Good Morning! Looks like everything is quieting down finally. I wouldnt be surprised if that piece of energy from Florence turns into a depression, but that is about it. Hopefully this is the point the hurricane season winds down for the year-- but as we know there is a second meteorological peak around the second week of October.
 Quoting: MaximusRex


No it's not my friend, look at this: [link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Luisport


Yeah 98L looks interesting, but strong winds tomorrow will end whatever it strengthens into. What is crazy is that some of the models loop/curve this back AGAIN!

Our local meteorologist who predicted Gordon 8 months ahead of time, indicated the new cyclical CONUS weather pattern is beginning to develop. When he normally indicates that, I know that means we are approaching the time of year when storms can flip flop from non-tropical to tropical or the other way around like 'The Perfect Storm" Noreaster and Super Storm Sandy. This gets into my favorite time of hurricane season because there is a chance of a lot of atypical situations to occur.
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
INVEST 98l

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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
 Quoting: Luisport


[link to uploads.disquscdn.com (secure)]
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Re: HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Sep 25 2018 1. A broad area of low pressure located about 200 miles south of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, continues to produce disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Satellite and surface data indicate that the circulation of the low remains elongated and not well defined. However, this system could still become a tropical depression this afternoon or tonight while it moves slowly northwestward to northward. By Wednesday, additional development appears unlikely due to strong upper-level winds while the system moves northward and north-northeastward near the eastern United States coast. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later this afternoon. Regardless of development, this system is likely to bring scattered showers and thunderstorms across
portions of northeastern South Carolina and eastern North Carolina this afternoon and tonight. In addition, dangerous surf conditions and rip currents are expected along portions of the North Carolina coast today. For more information, please see products from your local National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
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