HURRICANE MICHAEL ON CAROLINAS: Floodings on NC. Tornado watch has been issued for parts of North Carolina and Virginia until 9 PM EDT!!p265

SE SC SE GA

Short term /Sunday through Tuesday/...
deep-layered high pressure will persist over the area as a tropical
wave drifts west near Florida, forcing onshore flow through the
period. Enhanced moisture levels and sufficient forcing will
increase chances of showers/thunderstorms. Soundings do not
currently appear impressive for severe weather parameters, but an
isolated strong storm cannot be entirely ruled out. Otherwise,
expect near to above-normal temperatures.

&&

Long term /Tuesday night through Friday/...
deep-layered ridging will continue through much of next week, with
the potential for a tropical wave to impact the area late in the
week. Given the moist onshore flow it appears as though rain chances
will be near or even above normal through the period, especially in
Georgia. However, no significant weather impacts are anticipated.
Temperatures should be near to above normal.

Glad this pinned not that things cant change but looks very concerning thanks Luis

Very interesting. I'd never heard that before.

A bursting tropical wave, currently located between Hispañola and the Bahamas, is producing sustained showers and storms with locally heavy rainfall as far northward as the central Bahamas.

We're watching this wave because it will bring a surge of deep tropical moisture to the Gulf of Mexico on Labor Day and into the middle of next week.

Currently, wind shear – the change in wind direction and/or speed with height – is sufficient to prevent this tropical wave from developing before it reaches Florida on Labor Day.


[link to weather.com (secure)]

Thank you LP.

5*


Des

Last Edited by DestinyAKA-Des on 09/01/2018 05:22 PM

NHC issuing advisories for the Atlantic on TS Florence
NHC issuing advisories for the Eastern Pacific on Hurricane Norman and TD Seventeen-E
CPHC issuing advisories for the Central Pacific on Miriam

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov (secure)]


do not forget Norman went from TS to Cat in hours

ANYTHING FORMS IN THESE WATERS


[link to www.nodc.noaa.gov (secure)]

Water Temperature Table of the Eastern Gulf of Mexico

Luis...will you keep this thread running throught the duration?

yes i will

It will be much easier to clean out my house this time.

We were 2" away from water in our house during Harvey. It was just a rain event. This could be worse. I hope not.

That’s because of piezoelectric properties of silicates which contributes to change in electro magnetic field and the drop of the pressure due to that.
Trying to do a simple explanation.
Thanks

Last Edited by Contra spem spero on 09/02/2018 12:14 AM

Bump for updates... thank you OP

Models NVGI and XTRP have Florence in mid Atlantic in 12 days [168 hours] with just under 100 MPH winds

[link to vmcluster.wright-weather.com]

also check out wind chart tab

Thanks Luis

:red_heart:

for general reference\

[link to howlingpixel.com (secure)]

Florence on GOES 16

[link to col.st (secure)]

I live in santa fe, TX

We had a little over 50" of rain during Harvey, but were spared of any water flooding our home. Cant say the same about my neighbors though